Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12197 tópicos neste fórum
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Fed Cuts Rates as Dissent Grows Inside the Central Bank For the third time in 2025, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by a quarter point, bringing the benchmark rate down to 3.50-3.75%, a 3-year low. The dissents on the Fed board continues to grow as two members voted to keep rates steady and a third voted to cut rates by a half of a percentage point in a 9-3 vote on Wednesday. Market Reacts Gold traded above $4,200 an ounce after the Fed’s decision and silver trades near its new all-time high at $61.31. Stocks gained modestly and Treasury yields declined on the news. Big picture? The Fed remains between a rock and hard place. Board members made today’s decisi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Fed Cuts Rates as Dissent Grows Inside the Central Bank For the third time in 2025, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by a quarter point, bringing the benchmark rate down to 3.50-3.75%, a 3-year low. The dissents on the Fed board continues to grow as two members voted to keep rates steady and a third voted to cut rates by a half of a percentage point in a 9-3 vote on Wednesday. Market Reacts Gold traded above $4,200 an ounce after the Fed’s decision and silver trades near its new all-time high at $61.31. Stocks gained modestly and Treasury yields declined on the news. Big picture? The Fed remains between a rock and hard place. Board members made today’s decisi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, told attendees at Binance Blockchain Week that the wall of skepticism inside big banks is breaking down faster than he once expected. He said he had thought it might take four to eight years for major financial firms to move fully into Bitcoin. Now, he says, that timeline is compressing and the shift is visible right away. Banking Giants Reverse Course According to Saylor, the past 12 months have seen heavy hitters — including Citibank, BNY, Bank of America, PNC, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Vanguard — shift from hostility to a more welcoming stance on crypto. Reports have disclosed that Vanguard has enabled clients to trad…
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The market has been focused entirely on the FOMC meeting for a whole week. There are several reasons for this. First, there's not much else to discuss. Occasionally, bland reports from Europe or the US come out, only leading to another yawn among market participants. Second, the December FOMC meeting could be significant. Although the decision is effectively already made, the market might face numerous surprises today. Judging by the movements in the currency market over the past weeks, traders are well aware of this. If the December meeting seems clear — rates will be cut by 25 basis points — no one understands what will happen next year. Undoubtedly, the simplest scenar…
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This question is on many minds right now, but attempting to answer it is akin to reading tea leaves. The rate will be lowered, which should reduce demand for the US dollar. However, the market has known for several weeks that a rate cut is forthcoming, as reflected by the CME FedWatch tool. Therefore, the Federal Reserve's decision might already be priced in. The contradictions and uncertainties do not end there. The Fed has already lowered interest rates twice this autumn without hindering the dollar's stability during that time. Neither the government shutdown nor the new escalation of the trade war created problems for the American currency. If the dollar, for the most…
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The name of the new Federal Reserve Chair, who will take office in May 2026, is effectively already known. At least, economists do not doubt that it will be current Trump economic advisor Kevin Hassett. So far, Donald Trump has appointed only one governor to the FOMC—Stephen Miran. Mr. Miran has immediately begun to fully utilize the leverage given to him. At each meeting, he proudly votes for a 50-basis-point easing of the Fed's monetary policy all by himself. Therefore, many expect Hassett to also start making "ultra-dovish" statements, signaling what to expect from the Fed in 2026. However, Hassett holds a different position. He verbally supports Jerome Powell and the …
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Perpetua Resources (Nasdaq: PPTA) (TSX: PPTA) announced that it has entered an agreement with the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) via Battelle Energy Alliance for the INL to host, commission, and operate a flexible, modular pilot processing plant expected to be capable of recovering critical and defense-related minerals, including antimony from the company’s ores. The initiative, the company said, is intended to demonstrate the feasibility of producing high-quality, military specification antimony trisulfide using material from Perpetua’s Stibnite project in Idaho. In October, the company began early works construction at its $1.3 billion Stibnite gold-antimon…
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XRP remains under the weight of its long-standing downtrend, but recent price action suggests the bears may be losing their grip. Upward moves are becoming sharper and more impulsive, while downward momentum slows, hinting that buyers are quietly stepping in. With a decisive breakout above key resistance, the bulls could be gearing up for a significant counterstrike. Overarching Bearish Structure: The Red Trend Line Cap According to the latest XRP chart update by MakroVision Research, the broader market structure remains firmly within a downward trajectory, clearly outlined by the steeply declining red trend lines. These trend lines continue to cap every attempt at recov…
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Vancouver-based Myriad Uranium (CSE: M, : OTC: MYRUF) announced Wednesday that it has earned a 75% interest in the Copper Mountain uranium project in Wyoming by spending over $5.5 million on eligible expenditures under the property option agreement with Rush Rare Metals Corp. Myriad’s 75% interest and Rush’s 25% interest in the project are subject to certain underlying NSR royalties, the company said. In October, Myriad obtained a new permit to expand drilling at the project where a past owner spent $25 million ($100 million today) in the late 1970s before the Three Mile Island nuclear accident crashed prices for the heavy metal. Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) ra…
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Ethereum is trading with renewed strength after breaking above the $3,300 level and briefly pushing toward $3,400, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. However, despite this recovery, bullish conviction remains fragile. Many analysts continue to warn that the broader trend still leans bearish, emphasizing that Ethereum has yet to reclaim the structural levels needed to confirm a macro reversal. Yet one signal has captured significant attention: according to fresh data from Lookonchain, a major whale known as BitcoinOG has doubled down on his Ethereum long position. This trader is widely recognized for being the whale who successfully shorted Bitcoin durin…
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Dragonfly managing partner Haseeb Qureshi has sharpened his defense of Ethereum’s valuation, arguing that critics are using the wrong financial framework and that ETH should be analyzed more like an early-stage Amazon than a mature “value” stock. Speaking on the Milk Road Show on 9 December 2025, Qureshi revisited his now-viral valuation clash with investor Santiago “Santi” Santos, hosted by ThreadGuy, which reignited the debate over how to price layer 1 blockchains. At the core of Qureshi’s thesis is a simple but controversial claim: fee revenue on Ethereum is effectively pure margin and should be treated as profit, not as “revenue” in the traditional corporate sense. …
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade in a "zig-zag" and "fence" pattern on Wednesday. As a reminder, we will not discuss the outcomes of the FOMC meeting or any subsequent movements in this article. The reason is straightforward: we believe that right after the results are announced, the market trades on emotion. It often happens that the price initially moves in one direction, only to return to its starting position by morning. We even consider that all movements following the FOMC meeting should not be factored into technical analysis. Thus, it's better to wait for the market's passions to calm before drawing conclusions about the decisions made and how the mark…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded relatively weakly on Wednesday, at least until the FOMC meeting, the results of which and the market reaction will not be discussed in this article. The outcomes will be summarized tomorrow, once the market's passions have settled. For this week, only one significant event can be highlighted. On Tuesday, the JOLTs report on job openings was released, prompting the first more noticeable movement. The US dollar strengthened slightly as the number of job openings exceeded forecasts. However, it's worth recalling that the JOLTs report has never been a key indicator for the US labor market. Key reports will be published next week, and these cou…
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Bitcoin price failed to continue higher above $94,000. BTC is now gaining bearish pace and might decline further below $89,500. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $94,500 zone. The price is trading below $92,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $91,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $89,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to gain strength for a move above the $94,000 and $94,500 levels. BTC started a downside correction and traded below the $92,000 support. There was a clear…
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On-chain data shows the Solana Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has dipped into the loss-taking zone recently, a sign that SOL liquidity has thinned. Solana Liquidity Back At Levels Associated With Bear Markets According to data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, Solana liquidity has recently contracted to levels that are typically witnessed in a bear market. There are many ways “liquidity” of a cryptocurrency can be assessed, but here, Glassnode has used the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio. This indicator measures, as its name already implies, the ratio between the amount of profit and loss that the SOL investors as a whole are realizing through their transactions. The met…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,350. ETH is now correcting gains from $3,450 and might decline further below $3,200. Ethereum started a downside correction from the $3,450 zone. The price is trading near $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $3,240 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,200 zone. Ethereum Price Declines Heavily Ethereum price managed to stay above $3,200 and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,320 and $3,350 resistance levels. Th…
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A noted Bitcoin adviser has warned that Shiba Inu faces an uphill climb unless it retakes a prior support band, a call that has stirred debate across crypto social channels. According to posts by BingX Bitcoin adviser Nebraskan Gooner, the token must return above a horizontal region he marked between $0.000014 and $0.00001 to avoid a “dead” outlook. Key Support Level Under Scrutiny Gooner’s chart points to a multi-year zone that once acted as firm support. Reports show SHIB touched that band and later surged to about $0.000045 in early March 2024. The importance of the area is highlighted by the token’s price action: it has spent much of Q4 2025 below that range, and …
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Solana (SOL) is still stuck in a tight range, moving between $124 and $145 with no strong push in either direction. On-chain analyst Ali said the token has held this sideways pattern for several days, bouncing between the same levels without showing real strength. This creates a tight structure that often appears before a breakout. A close above $145 would be the first strong move beyond the trendline and could open the way toward the next supply zone between $175 and $190. The analyst said volatility will likely rise if buyers reclaim this level. A clean breakout above $145 could pull momentum toward $180 as the broader downtrend begins to lose strength. The cha…
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XRP whales have offloaded a large amount of tokens ahead of today’s FOMC meeting, a move that may have slowed the token’s recovery. But long-term holders are still staying put, and their steady behavior continues to support a bullish outlook for XRP. Why Have XRP Whales Sold Over $700M Since December 5? Santiment data shows that wallets holding between 100M and 1Bn XRP have sold close to $600M worth of tokens since December 5. (Source: Santiment) And the selling has not stopped. Since December 7, whales have offloaded another $100M, suggesting that major holders are still taking profits even as the market tries to stabilize. This pressure helps explain why XRP has st…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum are moving in a tight market today, with traders adding more leverage even as prices sit near recent highs. As of December 11, Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $92,585. The price is flat over the past 24 hours, and its weekly performance shows a slight decline, based on CoinGecko data. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Ethereum (ETH) sits near $3,354. It is up about 0.8% on the day and nearly 6.9% over the week, giving it stronger short-term momentum compared to Bitcoin. Market Cap…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.10. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.050 pivot level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.040 zone. The price is now trading below $2.020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.00. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.120 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.10 and $2.050. There was a move below the $2.00 …
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Analysis of Trades on Wednesday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair moved exactly as most traders expected on Wednesday. It is worth noting that the market does not always react clearly or logically to the FOMC meeting results. Yesterday indeed could have been such a case, as in recent months the dollar has responded to the Federal Reserve's monetary easing with growth. However, this time the dollar fell despite the Fed's promise to pause rate cuts in 2026. Overall, as most experts had anticipated, the key rate was lowered for the third consecutive time, but it was done in advance. There is still no macroeconomic data on the labor market, unemplo…
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Analysis of Trades on Wednesday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also traded higher on Wednesday, with a similar fundamental backdrop. However, it should be noted that the British currency began to rise well before the publication of the Federal Reserve's decision on rates and Jerome Powell's speech. Thus, as we anticipated, the upward trend for the British pound is maintained and gaining momentum. The market finally responded to the Fed's monetary easing as expected—by selling the dollar. Even the announcement of a pause in rate cuts at the beginning of 2026 did not deter traders from disposing of US currency. We have long anticipated a resumption of t…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Thursday. Essentially, the only report to note is the weekly jobless claims in the US, which is straightforwardly a secondary report. Recall that this week saw the release of the ADP employment report and the JOLTS open vacancies report. These are much more significant reports, but the market reacted weakly to them, as it continues to await important reports such as Non-Farm Payrolls, unemployment rates, and consumer price indexes, which will be published next week. Analysis of Fundamental Events: No fundamental events are scheduled for Thursday. However, traders will not la…
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Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, has expressed strong opposition to a proposal by the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) to exclude digital asset treasury companies (DATs) from its indexes. Calls For Fair Treatment Of Digital Asset Companies In a recent letter signed by Michael Saylor and the firm’s CEO Phong Le, Strategy highlighted its support for MSCI’s efforts to establish consistent eligibility criteria across its indices. However, the company criticized the proposed threshold for excluding firms with more than 50% digital assets on their balance sheets, calling it “misguided.” The company argued that this measure could have negative implicatio…
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