Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12197 tópicos neste fórum
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1450 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1420. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1450 level. The price is trading below the $0.140 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $0.1450 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1420 and $0.1450. Dogecoin Price Dips Further Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.150, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1450 and $0.1420 supp…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
ETH/USD (Ethereum) is trading around $3,194 below the 21 SMA and around the 200 EMA, showing overbought levels and undergoing a strong technical correction after reaching the 3/8 Murray. After reaching the top of the uptrend channel and the 3/8 Murray zone, both levels acted as strong resistance. Unable to find more demand above $3,437, Ether made a sharp technical correction and is now likely to continue falling in the coming days until it reaches the psychological level of $3,000. If ETH/USD consolidates above the 200 EMA and above the 21 SMA in the coming hours, we can expect a recovery, and it could return to the 3/8 Murray resistance zone and even reach its weekly hi…
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Bitcoin is trading around $90,000 after a sharp technical correction that occurred after attempting to break above the 200 EMA and, in turn, after testing the top of the uptrend channel around $94,600. According to the H4 chart, Bitcoin appears to be overbought. So, if a technical rebound occurs in the coming hours and the price consolidates below 3/8 Murray and below the 200 EMA, it will be seen as an opportunity to take short positions with a short-term target around $85,000. Bitcoin is trading below the 200 EMA and below the 21 SMA, which means that the leading cryptocurrency could remain under bearish pressure in the coming days. A reasonable strategy could be to wait…
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Gold is trading around $4,214 within the downtrend channel formed since November 27 and is likely to continue falling in the coming hours as it encountered strong resistance around $4,248. If gold attempts to break through the top of the downtrend channel around $4,250, it will be seen as a signal to open short positions with short-term targets around $4,160. The Eagle indicator is showing a negative signal, so we will look for opportunities to sell gold in the coming hours below the 7/8 Murray located at $4,218 or even if the price falls below the 21 SMA with a target at $4,170. If the price rebounds and attempts to reach resistance levels around $4,230 - $4,245, this zo…
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The euro experienced a strong upward movement following consolidation within the secondary downtrend channel formed since early December, which led EUR/USD to reach a high of 1.1707. We are now seeing a technical correction in the euro, but this could be seen as an opportunity to open long positions if the price reaches the 3/8 Murray support around 1.1658. Above this zone, it could be seen as an opportunity to buy in the coming days. On the H4 chart, we can see that the euro left a gap on September 25 around 1.1740. We believe that the euro could continue its rise in the coming days and cover this gap, so any pullback will be seen as a signal to buy. The Eagle indicator …
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth indicator has continued to decline recently, a sign new capital inflows lack momentum. Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth Has Been Heading Down Recently As explained by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth has been trending lower recently. The “Realized Cap” is an on-chain capitalization model for BTC that calculates its total value by assuming the value of each individual token is equal to the spot price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain. This is unlike the usual market cap, which simply calculates the total valuation of the asset by multiplying the numbe…
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The dollar is facing challenges. Yesterday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to lower the key interest rate by a quarter percentage point, leading to a weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of several risk assets, including the Japanese yen. The Federal Reserve's decision was the result of prolonged debates about the state of the US economy. Proponents of the rate cut argued that the slowdown in labor market growth and global uncertainty necessitated the easing of monetary policy to stimulate economic activity. Conversely, opponents were concerned that a rate cut could lead to rising inflation and financial instability. However, it should be noted that there …
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Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.1649 level and planned to make market-entry decisions from that level. The rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.1649 provided a sell entry for the euro, resulting in a slight 20-pip decline in the pair. In the second half of the day, another false breakout around 1.1649 allowed buying the euro, which led the pair to rise towards the target level of 1.1703. To Open Long Positions on EUR/USD:Yesterday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9 to 3 to lower the key interest rate by 0.25%…
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Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3316 level and planned to make market-entry decisions from that level. The breakout and subsequent retest of 1.3316 provided a buying opportunity for the pound, but the pair did not reach significant growth. In the second half of the day, another false breakout at 1.3320 again allowed entry into the market, driving the pair up by more than 30 pips. Active selling from 1.3352 led to a rapid decline of more than 20 pips in the pound, but then the bulls took over. To Open Long Positions on GBP/USD:Th…
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Bitcoin failed to hold above $94,000 yesterday, while Ethereum is once again headed towards $3,000. This is mainly due to the US Federal Reserve's mixed stance. Recall that yesterday the interest rate was lowered by 0.25 percentage points, which positively affected the cryptocurrency market. The Fed also announced a bond-buying program, which ostensibly weakens the dollar and should help the cryptocurrency market. However, the central bank published a forecast expecting only one rate cut next year and one in 2027. This is problematic for risk assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. This ambiguity in forecasts prompts investors to exercise caution. On one hand, lower rate…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.67%, while the Nasdaq 100 strengthened by 0.33%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 1.05%. The rally in the stock market, driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, has come to a halt as disappointing results from Oracle Corp. exerted pressure on tech stocks. Investors are also reassessing their positions in light of the reality of a more cautious approach to future rate cuts. Oracle's earnings report, which fell short of expectations, raised concerns about the overall resilience of the technology sector, which has been the primary driver of market growth in recent months. The decline in…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1645 came at a moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 60 pips. The day before, the Federal Open Market Committee voted, with a majority (9 to 3), to lower the key interest rate by 0.25%, establishing a target range of 3.5%-3.75%. This action resulted in a weakening of the US dollar and a strengthening of the euro. Proponents of monetary policy easing insisted on the need to stimulate the economy amid a slowdown in labor-market growth. However, the long-term effects …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3318 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 pips. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve voted to lower the key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%. This led to a weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of the British pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates was anticipated. In justifying their decision, Fed officials cited the slowdown in labor market growth. Immediately after this, the British pound showed strong growt…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 156.63 price coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve voted 9 to 3 to lower the key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%. This led to a weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of the Japanese yen. The Fed's decision aligned with the expectations of many analysts. The dollar's weakening after this news was immediate. Investors redirected their assets toward currencies with higher yields, leading to an increase in demand for the ye…
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The US dollar found itself under pressure again after representatives of the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate for the third consecutive time and maintained their forecast for only one more rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9 to 3 to reduce the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%. The committee also made minor adjustments to its statement, indicating greater uncertainty about when the next rate cut might occur. This put pressure on the US dollar, although not as significantly as many traders had anticipated. While the rate cut was expected, it sparked a wave of di…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The recent decision by the US Federal Reserve to lower interest rates by a quarter point and adjust its more dovish expectations for the coming year to a more conservative approach has weakened the positions of Bitcoin and Ethereum, leading to sell-offs of many altcoins in the cryptocurrency market. However, there is a ray of hope that the market can weather these developments. Yesterday, US Senator Cynthia Lummis announced her intention to release a draft bill outlining the structure of the crypto market by the end of this week. This will allow industry representatives and both parties to review the bill before consideration next week. Senator Lummis's statement is un…
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Yesterday, gold prices rose for the third consecutive day after the Federal Reserve announced the widely anticipated rate cut. Silver also soared to record highs. The price of gold increased by 0.5% and approached the mark of $4,248 per ounce, as treasury yields and the dollar declined following the last FOMC meeting of the year. The US central bank lowered interest rates for the third meeting in a row, maintaining the probability of only one rate cut in 2026. It is worth noting that the Fed's dovish stance favorably impacts precious metals, which typically benefit from low interest rates since they do not pay interest. Despite the cautious stance of the Fed, investors s…
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The latest FOMC of the Federal Reserve meeting put a clear spotlight on Jerome Powell hawkish tone, and it’s already shaping market sentiment across crypto assets. In the first few minutes of his remarks, Powell’s comments set the stage for how we should evaluate the implications for crypto. The FOMC decision was expected to trim rates by 25 basis points, which happened, combined with reminders that inflation is still “somewhat elevated,” which reflects a cautious shift. In support of our goals, and in light of the balance of risks to employment and inflation, today the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by 1/4 percentage point.” Ev…
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Crypto markets lurched lower after the Federal Reserve delivered exactly what everyone said they wanted: the third straight 25bps cut to close out 2025. Santiment’s latest deep dive makes a simple, slightly uncomfortable point: retail treated it as a green light, whales treated it as exit liquidity. Bitcoin shortly rallied to $94,044, Ether surged to $3,433, XRP hit $2.10 and Solana managed to reach $142, but the momentum was short-lived. The BTC price fell by more than 5% at one point, ETH even fell by more than 8.5%. What Caused The Crypto Market Plunge? On 11 December, the FOMC confirmed another quarter-point reduction, completing what Santiment calls the “trifecta o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The market got what it wanted. The Fed executed a hawkish cut, lowering the federal funds rate to 3.75% and signaling a pause in the cycle of monetary easing. However, the central bank did not close the door on further easing. Moreover, Jerome Powell's emphasis on labor market weakness and the Fed's decision-making dependence on data make monetary expansion in 2026 quite likely. This was well received by US stock indices, with the S&P 500 registering its strongest reaction to an FOMC meeting since March, while the Russell 2000 reached a new record high. S&P 500's Reaction to Fed Meetings The stock market benefited from a triple advantage provided by the Fed. No…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] With all technical indicators condition showing weakness in the NDX, such as the Death Cross formation and the RSI(14) being in the Neutral-Bearish level, sellers are quite dominant in the Nasdaq 100 Index today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 26037.7 2. Resistance. 1 : 25904.1 3. Pivot : 25700.9 4. Support. 1 : 25567.1 5. Support. 2 : 25364.1 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of #NDX breaks down and closes below 25700.9, there is potential for it to continue declining to 25567.1. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25567.1 is broken, then #NDX could test the level at 25364.1. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside …
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[#USDX] With all technical indicators condition which indicating the weakness, then #USDX has the potential to decline toward its nearest support level today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.47 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.05 3. Pivot : 98.80 4. Support. 1 : 98.38 5. Support. 2 : 98.13 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.38, it is likely to continue its decline to 98.13. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.13 is broken, then it could test the level at 97.71. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if #USDX strengthens and breaks above 99.47. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 98.84 EMA(200): 99…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Expectations within the crypto community were high when the news broke that the Fed (Federal Reserve) again cut interest rates by 25 bps, bringing the federal fund rate to its lowest level in more than three years, but today, the enthusiasm has died down a bit as the broader crypto market failed to get back its momentum. With the Fed announcing the rate cut, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .c…
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The Cardano price is once again in the spotlight after the latest FOMC decision, with ADA attempting to stabilize following another volatile macro week. With the Federal Reserve delivering its third consecutive 25-basis-point rate cut, traders initially rushed into risk assets, but the reaction faded quickly. The big question now is whether December will bring meaningful upside for Cardano crypto holders or more chop as the market processes the implications of the new policy direction. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time FOMC Cuts for the Third Time – What…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, from the level of 1.1694 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1672 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward the target of 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downWeekly chart – downOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:On Thursday, from the level of 1.1694 (yesterday's daily candle close), the mark…
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