Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M On Thursday, the GBP/USD currency pair once again showed no desire to move in any clear direction. After a relatively eventful Wednesday, when a fairly impactful inflation report was published in the UK, Thursday brought no significant data releases. As a result, the British pound returned to its usual low-volatility movements with a downward bias. It is worth noting that, just like the euro, the pound sterling currently has no underlying reasons for a decline. However, on the daily time frame, a flat trend persists, so on lower time frames, we continue to observe illogical movements in the complete absence of fundamental and macroeconomic event…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair didn't even attempt to continue its illogical downward movement. For the second day in a row, price action moved sideways with minimal volatility. There was once again no macroeconomic or fundamental news, leaving traders with nothing to react to for a fourth consecutive day. However, on Thursday, it was officially confirmed that the U.S. inflation report—originally in question due to the ongoing government shutdown—would indeed be published today. The fact that this news almost went unnoticed speaks volumes. The shutdown has become such a familiar occurrence this October that even the dollar remains unaffe…
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Global macro signals are flashing both warning and opportunity for Bitcoin (BTC). On one hand, major bank Standard Chartered PLC has flagged the potential for Bitcoin to dip below $100,000 in the near term. On the other hand, significant growth in global M2 money supply strengthens the backdrop for a longer-term upside. Short-Term Correction Predicted as Trade & Liquidity Risks Mount According to head of digital asset research Geoff Kendrick at Standard Chartered, Bitcoin could briefly fall under the $100,000 mark amid intensifying global risks, particularly the escalating U.S.–China trade tensions. Although he deems the drop as temporary, Kendrick frames it as…
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Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $108,500 and $108,800. BTC could rise further if there is a clear move above the $111,200 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $108,800 resistance level. The price is trading above $109,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a short-term channel with resistance at $108,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $111,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Fresh Increase Bitcoin price declined again below the $109,000 level. BTC tested the $106,720 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. …
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The euro is recovering — slowly but steadily — after a three-day decline between October 17 and 21. A key development would be a daily close above the MACD line at 1.1638, which could provide upward momentum and accelerate the current recovery. With the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates next week — currently priced in with a 97% probability — market optimism is justified. The short-term upside target remains at 1.1779, the peak recorded on both September 9 and October 1. If the price successfully closes above the MACD line, the Marlin oscillator could move into positive territory, reinforcing the bullish outlook. On the four-hour chart, the price has alrea…
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The British pound has closed below the 1.3369 support level on the daily timeframe and remains below the MACD line, which has now slipped underneath this level, reinforcing its strength as resistance. The Marlin oscillator is holding in negative territory. External and correlated markets are showing optimism: the S&P 500 rose by 0.58% yesterday, and futures continued higher this morning on the back of Intel's strong quarterly report. Bitcoin gained 2.22%. The yield on 5-year U.S. Treasuries rose from 3.54% to 3.60%. Brent crude jumped 5.42%. In such an upbeat environment, the pound may attempt to reclaim levels above 1.3369. However, a downside target at 1.3253 rema…
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Silver has not yet reached the previously identified target of 56.000, having reversed at its peak on October 17. A second attempt at this level is likely—though only after the current correction completes and the price tests the support at 45.905. The red line of the price channel and the daily-scale MACD line form this support level. The balance line is also moving closer to the target zone. Meanwhile, the Marlin oscillator has settled into negative territory, which suggests the potential for further downside. On the four-hour chart, the price has paused in its correction near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. The current candlestick opened below this Fibonacci …
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The EUR/USD currency pair remained in a downward trend throughout Thursday. It feels as though the pair has an anchor tied to its leg, slowly pulling it down. There are no compelling reasons for the U.S. dollar to rise, nor for the euro to fall—yet the pair has been declining for a third consecutive week. October started on the wrong foot for the dollar. On October 1, the United States entered another government shutdown, famously tied to Donald Trump's policies. It goes without saying that nothing positive comes out of such an event for either the U.S. economy or the U.S. currency. Today, October 24, the shutdown is still ongoing. In just a few more days, it could break …
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued to show a downward bias on Thursday, despite the absence of fundamental or macroeconomic drivers. Ironically, the only day this week when the British pound had justifiable reasons to decline — Wednesday, due to a weak inflation report — it didn't drop at all; in fact, the pair rose during the second half of the session. This further proves that recent market movements lack logic. The ongoing flat trend on the daily timeframe, which we've identified as the primary driver of irrational moves over the past three weeks, is even more evident in the euro's case. This means the dollar might continue to rise in the coming weeks, even though the…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how Bitcoin losing $108,500 could lead to a deeper correction, if the past pattern is to go by. Bitcoin Is At Risk Of Losing The 0.85 Quantile Level In its latest weekly report, analytics firm Glassnode has talked about how Bitcoin is currently looking from the perspective of the Supply Quantiles Cost Basis model. This model maps price levels according to the amount of BTC supply that would be lost if the cryptocurrency were to trade at its current price today. There are three supply “quantiles” involved in the indicator: 0.95, 0.85, and 0.75, corresponding to levels where 5%, 15%, and 25% of the supply would be held at a l…
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Tether Investments has jumped into a $39 million Series A funding round for Pave Bank, a company trying to merge traditional banking with digital assets. The round was led by Accel, with support from Wintermute, Quona Capital, and Helios Digital Ventures. The fresh funds are expected to help Pave Bank grow its global presence, speed up its product pipeline, and bring more institutional clients on board. A Bank That Talks to Both Worlds Pave Bank calls itself a “programmable” commercial bank, meaning it’s built for businesses that deal with both fiat currencies and digital assets. It’s not just a catchy tagline; their offering includes everything from treasury services an…
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The Ethereum software firm ConsenSys states that the United Kingdom has lost ground in its bid to become a leading global crypto hub. Instead, it believes the United States is now ahead, thanks in part to what it sees as overly strict regulation in Britain. These comments were made during ConsenSys’s developer conference this week, and they paint a fairly clear picture of how the firm views the current state of affairs. According to ConsenSys, the message from the UK regulators is being heard loud and clear across the industry, and not in a good way. The firm says the UK risks missing out on the next phase of crypto growth by making the regulatory environment too difficu…
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Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, continues to trade slightly below the psychologically important $4,000 price level, following the brutal drawdown on October 9, which saw the digital currency test the support at around $3,435. Ethereum Stays Above Realized Price – Bullish Momentum Soon? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor TeddyVision, Ethereum is trading above its Realized Price at approximately $2,300. Dubbing the price level a “fundamental support zone,” the analyst said that historically, any dips below this level have marked a capitulation phase. For the uninitiated, Realized Price represents the average cost bas…
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Ethereum is holding firm within the $3,600–$3,800 range, showing resilience despite recent market pullbacks. Such a consolidation phase could be the calm before a major breakout, as chart patterns hint at a possible pre-rally formation that might propel ETH toward new all-time highs. Potential Right Shoulder Formation Signals Structural Strength Crypto analyst MarketMaestro delivered a detailed technical update on ETH, noting that the asset recently suffered a key rejection at its neckline resistance. Following this failure, the price is now positioned in a crucial retest phase at a red diagonal resistance line that it had previously surpassed. ETH’s market’s success in …
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Dogecoin has spent the past several days trading around $0.19, holding relatively stable amid quiet volatility in the entire market. Dogecoin has spent the past few days trading within a tight range between $0.18 and $0.20, showing a slight increase in trading activity compared to last week. Although the price action has been mostly subdued, a new technical analysis suggests that a significant reversal could soon be underway, one that may send the Dogecoin price surging to at least $0.5 once momentum returns to the market. Dogecoin In The Lower Band Of Its Long-Term Channel Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s macro price chart shows the king of meme coins is now trading a…
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Robert Friedland-backed Sunrise Energy Metals (ASX: SRL) could become a long-term supplier of scandium for Lockheed Martin under the recently signed Australia-US critical minerals pact, the company announced late on Thursday. In a press release, the Melbourne-headquartered Sunrise said it has entered a partnership agreement with Lockheed Martin that grants the defense and aerospace manufacturer an option to buy up to a quarter of the annual scandium production from its Syerston project. The mineral is vital for semiconductors that power mobile communications, aerospace and automotive applications. The US accounts for about 90% of overall demand, but rival China co…
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Fidelity just put Solana on one of Wall Street’s biggest brokerage menus, but some traders see reasons for caution – here’s the Solana price prediction. As of Oct. 23, Fidelity made Solana (SOL) available to clients across its crypto platforms. Fidelity added Solana to its crypto lineup on October 23, 2025, expanding its list of supported assets to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. The price pattern exhibits lower highs and higher lows, indicating compression as volatility subsides following earlier gains. Recent candles suggest SOL is trying to steady near the $175–$180 zone, where the 200-day MA has repeatedly acted as a key support. This range has held several…
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The market opened with notable upside. Brent climbed to the $65–66 per barrel range, reflecting an intraday gain of around 4–5%. European oil stocks also surged. The trigger was the announcement of new U.S. sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil, alongside coordinated measures by allied countries targeting the so-called "shadow fleet" used to transport Russian crude. The market quickly priced in a risk premium, as any perceived threat to supply is immediately reflected in prices. The primary catalyst: U.S. sanctions targeting major Russian oil exporters. The goal is clear—cut: Moscow's oil revenues. For the global market, this impacts a supply stream worth millions of barr…
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Bitcoin has entered a phase of elevated uncertainty. Amid declining prices and weakening momentum, large holders have begun moving long-dormant coins. According to CryptoQuant, approximately 15,965 BTC that had remained idle for nearly three years were transferred on Wednesday at a price of around $108,000—equivalent to roughly $1.7 billion. Moves of this scale rarely occur without reason. In past market cycles, the activation of these "sleeping" coins often coincided with the end of rally phases and the start of corrections. However, the current situation is more nuanced. These transfers may represent more than profit-taking—they could signal internal portfolio rebalanci…
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The USD/CAD pair has been actively declining over the past few days. The decline was triggered by Tuesday's inflation report from Canada, which showed all components within the "green zone." This allowed USD/CAD sellers to go on the offensive. Over the previous four weeks, the pair had been steadily rising, climbing from 1.3720 to 1.4080 (a six-month high). Following the inflation release, it fell back into the 1.39 zone. Still, bears failed to overcome the 1.3970 support level, which aligns with the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily timeframe. This suggests that the broader upward trend remains intact — despite accelerating inflation in Canada. …
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Trouble rarely comes alone. Adding to political turmoil in France, investor disappointment over Germany's fiscal stimulus rollout, and stagnating hopes for peace in Ukraine, EUR/USD is now under pressure from the most rapid oil price surge since the onset of the Israel-Israel conflict in June. As a net oil importer, the euro area was hit hard by the 5% jump in Brent crude prices—a fresh blow to the euro. EUR/USD and Oil Price Dynamics Europe is still entangled in the ongoing French budget crisis, and now EUR/USD may lose one of its key advantages—monetary policy divergence. European Central Bank officials continue to insist that current interest rates are appropriat…
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On Tuesday, Japan's newly appointed Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi outlined her economic priorities, announcing plans to develop a stimulus package to boost the broader economy and support household spending. Proposed measures include eliminating a temporary gasoline tax and raising the income tax exemption threshold—each of which will require additional government spending. This, in turn, will necessitate further bond issuance, causing Japan's already high national debt to swell even further. Crucially, a higher interest rate from the Bank of Japan would increase the cost of servicing this debt, decreasing the likelihood of a near-term rate hike. While the exact size of t…
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In the latest Ethereum price prediction, analysts question whether the recent ETH USD Price technical breakout is genuine or a bull trap. Ethereum price held steady near $3,850 during late US trading on Thursday as market desks weighed record derivatives activity against uneven spot ETF flows and mixed year-end forecasts from major banks. According to Coingecko data, the Ethereum price was trading at $3,836, showing a slight increase of approximately 2%, in line with Bitcoin as the broader crypto market recovered. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Data …
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The BTC USD price is continuing to struggle, despite the ETF recovery pushing the Bitcoin price back up to $111,000. Now, analysts are warning of weak support. Bitcoin hovered near $111,000 on Thursday after another round of withdrawals from US spot bitcoin ETFs. About $100 million flowed out of the funds over the past day, reviving concerns that institutional demand may be losing steam. According to Coingecko data, Bitcoin fluctuated between $106,800 and $110,300 during the session, with the last trade at $110,700. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Th…
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Lekker Capital CIO Quinn Thompson says the market just lived through a rare “positioning rinse” that has left crypto consensus facing the wrong direction at precisely the wrong time. “There’s about 1, at most 2, times per year where I feel like I’m seeing things at 180 degree odds with the crypto twitter consensus,” Thompson wrote on October 20, pointing to prior episodes in September 2023, September 2024, and February 2025 as similar inflection points for sentiment. “I am using the below 3 tweets to summarize consensus,” he added, linking to contemporaneous bearish posts from @qwqiao, @blknoiz06, and @cburniske to frame the prevailing mood. Why The Crypto Bull Run Highl…
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