Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12202 tópicos neste fórum
-
The BTC USD price is continuing to struggle, despite the ETF recovery pushing the Bitcoin price back up to $111,000. Now, analysts are warning of weak support. Bitcoin hovered near $111,000 on Thursday after another round of withdrawals from US spot bitcoin ETFs. About $100 million flowed out of the funds over the past day, reviving concerns that institutional demand may be losing steam. According to Coingecko data, Bitcoin fluctuated between $106,800 and $110,300 during the session, with the last trade at $110,700. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Lekker Capital CIO Quinn Thompson says the market just lived through a rare “positioning rinse” that has left crypto consensus facing the wrong direction at precisely the wrong time. “There’s about 1, at most 2, times per year where I feel like I’m seeing things at 180 degree odds with the crypto twitter consensus,” Thompson wrote on October 20, pointing to prior episodes in September 2023, September 2024, and February 2025 as similar inflection points for sentiment. “I am using the below 3 tweets to summarize consensus,” he added, linking to contemporaneous bearish posts from @qwqiao, @blknoiz06, and @cburniske to frame the prevailing mood. Why The Crypto Bull Run Highl…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed weakness as short-term investors begin to fold under selling pressure. According to the latest data from CryptoQuant, the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR) has fallen to 0.992, its lowest level since late April. This key on-chain metric tracks the average profit or loss realized by Bitcoin holders who have owned their coins for less than 155 days — a group often associated with speculative or reactive behavior. When the STH-SOPR dips below 1.0, it indicates that these holders are selling their coins at a loss, signaling a wave of capitulation and rising fear among newer market participants. The current value impli…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For many Americans approaching or already in retirement, the question of how much of a portfolio should be held in physical gold has never been more urgent. Inflation concerns, equity market swings, and the long-term challenges facing the U.S. dollar have prompted investors to rethink traditional stock and bond heavy allocations. Physical precious metals held inside a self-directed Gold IRA can provide meaningful stability, diversification, and protection for retirement savings. Why Today’s Retirees Are Re‑Evaluating Their Portfolio Allocations Retirees have watched inflation rise and fall in unpredictable cycles, experienced sharp volatility in major stock indexes, and s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bitcoin supply in profit has seen a sharp decline amid the latest crypto market crash. This has raised concerns that BTC could suffer a further crash, as holders who are in the red may move to offload their coins. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Drops Amid Market Crash On-chain analytics platform Glassnode revealed in a report that the Bitcoin supply in profit has historically dropped to around 85%, with 15% of the supply sitting at a loss. This has occurred whenever the BTC price breaks down from a new all-time high (ATH) and trades around the short-term holders’ cost basis, as is happening now. Glassnode noted that this marks a pivotal phase for Bitcoin, as this is wh…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 23 US stocks surged higher due to optimism over trade and strong gains in major tech companies, while investors mostly ignored the potential inflationary risk from the recent spike in oil prices. The S&P 500 nearly hit a new record high after the White House confirmed that President Trump will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping on October 30th to discuss trade. This news helped tech giants rebound, with Tesla reversing its earlier losses to lead the gains. Separately, energy stocks rose along with oil prices after the U.S. imposed sanctions on major Russian oil companies over the Ukraine conflict. Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP continues to struggle for bullish momentum as market sentiment remains heavily bearish. After weeks of declining prices and fading trading volume, the token is still trading below the $2.5 mark, with traders growing increasingly cautious. While some analysts interpret this as a cooling-off period before the next potential expansion phase, fear and uncertainty continue to dominate the market’s short-term outlook. Adding to the tension, top CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn revealed that Chris Larsen, Ripple’s co-founder, has realized over $764 million in profits since January 2018 from XRP-related sales. According to on-chain data, Larsen’s selling activity tends to coinc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin is getting attention again after crypto analyst Shan Specter shared a new chart on X. In the post, Specter said Dogecoin is showing a green bullish dot on the daily chart, along with an RSI breakout. He described the move as “incredible” and said the coin looks ready to rise again. His chart shows that Dogecoin is now breaking past a level that had been holding it down for a while. Specter suggests that the primary focus is now on how the RSI has broken upward. The analyst pointed out this change as a bullish indicator that Dogecoin could move higher in the short term. The daily candlestick chart shows a clean upward push from the lower support area, hinting th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has transformed — and unfortunately, not for the better. It's still too early to conclude that the upward trend section has been canceled, but the recent decline in the European currency has made it necessary to refine the wave count. We now see a series of three-wave structures (a-b-c). It can be assumed that they are part of the larger wave 4 of the overall upward trend. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unnaturally extended form, but overall, the wave pattern remains coherent. The formation of the upward trend continues, and the news background continues to mostly not favor the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward sequence, but over the past few weeks, the pattern has become complex and ambiguous. The pound has fallen too sharply, so the trend segment that began on August 1 now looks unclear. The first thought that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which is taking on a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also consisting of three smaller waves. In this case, the pair could decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels. However, the downward wave structure that started on September 17 has already taken on a three-wave form. From here, either it will develop into a five-wave structure…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 152.53 price in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero mark. This confirmed a correct entry point for buying the dollar, which resulted in a 25-point rise in the pair. On the eve of key events, the market is in a state of tense anticipation. The U.S. housing sales report, while important, temporarily loses relevance as traders focus on predicting the Federal Reserve's next moves. The main question determining the future of interest rates is inflation dynamics — whether it is slowing or remaining stable. The speeches by Barr and Bowman will…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Electra Battery Materials (NASDAQ, TSXV: ELBM) says it is now fully funded to complete the construction and commissioning of what would be the first cobalt sulfate refinery in North America. On Wednesday, the Canadian battery metals developer said it has closed a $34.5 million financing and $40 million debt equitization, marking a “major transformation” of its balance sheet and funding outlook. With over $80 million now secured from investors and government commitments, Electra has obtained all the capital required to complete its cobalt sulfate refinery located in Temiskaming Shores, Ontario, seen as a critical asset that will strengthen the region’s battery and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the British PoundThe first test of the 1.3349 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The second test of 1.3349 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought area, which allowed scenario #2 for selling the pound to materialize, resulting in a 15-point decline in the pair. News about a decrease in the U.K. industrial order balance limited the pound's upward potential. This signal, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing activity, made investors more cautious toward the British currency. The data, which came in worse than expected, reminded m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the European CurrencyThe test of the 1.1590 price occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The lack of significant economic indicators continues to weigh on traders, leading to a decrease in market volatility. It is clear that market participants, lacking clear macroeconomic guidance, have preferred to adopt a wait-and-see attitude, refraining from risky actions amid uncertainty. In the second half of the day, U.S. existing home sales data will be released. However, the main focus will be on s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
This week, the cryptocurrency community was rocked after Kadena’s sudden shutdown announcement sent the KDA price crashing by over 60% in a few hours. The massive price collapse triggered an enormous sell-off as investors scrambled to understand the abrupt closure of the once-promising blockchain project. Soon after, a shocking exposé from analysts revealed that the problems ran far deeper than market conditions, hinting at serious internal misconduct and mismanagement. Kadena Scandal Exposed After KDA Price Crash A day after the KDA price crash on Tuesday, crypto analyst Lovrin revealed on X social media that several Kadena employees were allegedly caught shorting the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US government has teamed up with Orion Resource Partners and Abu Dhabi’s ADQ to establish a new billion-dollar fund to invest in critical minerals, marking another major step in President Donald Trump’s push to secure key resources and reduce reliance on China’s supply chains. The initiative, known as the Orion Critical Mineral Consortium, was announced Thursday by Orion and supported by the US International Development Finance Corp. (DFC). According to Orion’s statement, the three partners — DFC, Orion and ADQ — have made initial capital commitments totaling $1.8 billion, with plans to expand the pool to as much as $5 billion in the future. Bloomberg News fir…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Cryptocurrency trading platform Robinhood (HOOD), has recently announced the listing of HYPE, the native token of the decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid, sparking a new rally for the altcoin, which surged beyond $40 on Thursday, marking an intraday recovery of 13%. $1 Billion For HYPE Token Buyback HYPE, with a market capitalization nearing $11 billion, has emerged as one of the market’s top performers, skyrocketing by 1,000% from its launch price of $10 in December 2024. This growth has been accompanied by an 18% increase in trading volume over the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinGecko. The recent uptick in HYPE prices also coincides with Hyperliquid S…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: Ripple whales accumulate 30M $XRP, signaling renewed confidence and potential for a rally back toward the $3 level, despite lingering broader market volatility. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), Snorter Token ($SNORT), and BlockchainFX ($BFX) are emerging presales that capitalize on the same institutional and retail momentum underpinning $XRP’s recovery narrative. These projects represent three growth narratives for this cycle: scalability with $HYPER, trader-focused utility with $SNORT, and tokenized finance infrastructure with $BFX – all offering asymmetric upside for early investors. After weeks of volatile price swings, $XRP has stabilized around $2.30–$2.40 –…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Canada’s Eldorado Gold (TSX: ELD)(NYSE: EGO) is getting close to opening its Skouries copper-gold mine in northern Greece, with first output expected in early 2026 and commercial production by mid-year. Canaccord Genuity upgraded the miner’s shares to Buy from Hold, citing reduced project risk as Skouries approaches completion, along with Eldorado’s solid balance sheet and attractive valuation. The investment bank projects Eldorado’s annual production will climb from 483,000 ounces of gold in 2025 to 665,000 ounces by 2027. Free cash flow is expected to surge from $194 million to $1.3 billion over the same period. Shares currently trade at 0.52 times price-to-NAV …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Copper climbed nearly 2% on Thursday as one of the world’s top miners gave a conservative production outlook, adding to the metal’s supply concerns in a year marred by global disruptions. Prices surged as much as 1.7% to above $10,800 per tonne on the London Metal Exchange, while three-month contracts on the COMEX gained 1.9% to $5.10 per lb., equivalent to $11,250/t. The metal used in wiring for renewable energy, electronics and construction has rallied more than 20% this year, supported by a series of major global mine outages and production setbacks. Prices have been on the rise since August following major incidents at Chile’s El Teniente, the world’s larg…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin is back in a familiar posture on multiple timeframes, according to crypto analyst Osemka (@Osemka8), who argues that price action is tracking the “OTHERS” index almost one-for-one and is now deep inside a textbook Wyckoff accumulation. His latest charts—one a decade-long view, the other a daily structure map—frame the current chop as the classic test phase that tends to exhaust both sides before trend continuation. Dogecoin’s Perfect Wyckoff Trap On the long-horizon chart, Dogecoin’s history resolves into a sequence of rounded basing formations that preceded its two vertical advances. The first arc matured from 2014 into 2017 before the initial markup; the secon…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $108,972, below the 21-SMA and below the 4/8 Murray pivot, undergoing a technical correction after reaching a high around $114,000. Bitcoin attempted to break out of the uptrend channel formed since early October. However, BTC encountered strong resistance at the top of this channel, which in turn coincided with the 200 EMA, a key level that acts as a barrier preventing the price from continuing upward. Technically, we could expect Bitcoin to fall below $110,000 and could reach the 6/8 Murray pivot around 106,250, and could even reach the psychological level of $100,000. On the other hand, if Bitcoin sharply breaks the downtrend channel and conso…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After two decades of markets exalting belief over balance sheets, the pendulum is swinging back toward the ground, underground, in fact. Until now, we’ve lived in an era where belief and vision routinely outperform reality. It was the triumph of ideology. Markets rewarded charisma over cash flow, tokens over tonnage, software over substance. Crypto, SPACs, Web3, WeWork – each iteration more untethered than the last. But as an invisible hand, the gravitational pull of the real world is providing unavoidable headwinds. From belief systems to balance sheets Ideology is not the enemy. It’s necessary. Every major technological or political movement begins with belie…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Alpha Arena experiment on Nof1.ai turned out to be way bigger than anyone expected. In our last piece, we talked about how it first caught the attention of big names like CZ from Binance. Well, it looks like the hype isn’t slowing down — the whole thing just keeps growing. CZ even jumped in himself, launching Trading Arena on Aster. Then Gajesh, an engineer from Eigen Labs, rolled out a trading agent on Hyperliquid that anyone can fork, run locally, or deploy on EigenCloud. It all sounds great, but looking at how these trading agents are actually performing right now, it doesn’t exactly scream “the future” just yet. China’s AI Bots Take the Lead, ChatGPT Can’t …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It’s hard to talk about crypto AI without mentioning the NEAR Protocol. Last year, the NEAR Protocol really took off because of Nvidia and everything the chipset manufacturer planned to do. That momentum was supposed to sustain the NEAR USDT upside for the better part of this year, but the market had other plans. So far, the NEAR price is being battered. Price-wise, there is nothing to smile about. The NEAR USDT is down -52% year-to-date, while sellers are unrelenting. In the last month alone, NEAR crypto is down nearly -30%, pushing prices to critical support levels. Market Cap 24h 7d …
Last reply by Ben Graham,