Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12199 tópicos neste fórum
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The NZD/USD pair is confidently holding above the round 0.5800 level, having surpassed the weekly high set the day before. Furthermore, the current fundamental factors create favorable conditions for bullish sentiments, indicating that the path of least resistance for spot prices is upward. The U.S. dollar plummeted after the Federal Reserve made a moderate decision to lower interest rates and fell further after Thursday's release of negative news in the country. This step is seen as a key factor supporting the NZD/USD pair. The Fed lowered rates as expected, noting that the easing cycle will likely conclude in January. Additionally, it is projected that rates will decrea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After three rounds of monetary policy easing, it is still impossible to say for certain whether the "cooling" of the U.S. labor market has stopped. There is still no economic data regarding unemployment and payrolls, and the ADP and JOLTs reports are far from the most accurate, relevant, and timely. Therefore, the first conclusions cannot be drawn until next week. However, even those conclusions will not impact the situation. Let me explain what I mean. For example, the next Nonfarm Payrolls report will show an average figure of around 70,000-80,000 new jobs. Consequently, it can be concluded that the labor market has begun to recover and that further monetary policy easi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
But in all the assumptions and conclusions made in the previous two reviews, there is one big "BUT." And that "BUT" is Donald Trump. Despite three consecutive rounds of interest rate cuts, the rate is still far from Trump's dream. Currently, the Federal Reserve's interest rate stands at 3.75%, while the occupant of the White House dreams of 2% or slightly higher. Or slightly lower... Therefore, we can also draw another highly probable conclusion: Trump will not back off from the Fed in 2026. However, starting in May, the pressure on the "stubborn hawks" will come from two directions. On one side will be Trump attacking, and on the other, the new Fed president, likely to b…
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The intraday drop below the round level of 156.00 and the 100-hour and 200-hour simple moving averages (SMA) confirms the possibility of further declines amid negative oscillators on the hourly chart. However, on the daily chart, the oscillators remain in positive territory, suggesting that a further decline may attract buyers near the round level of 155.00. It is also important to note that the relative strength index is close to neutral, indicating weakness among bulls. Further selling below the psychological level of 155.00 would shift the short-term trend in favor of the USD/JPY bears. On the other hand, sustained momentum above the round level of 156.00 could lift sp…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 11 The session following an FOMC rate decision is always a fascinating one. FOMC days tend to be truly chaotic, due to the flurry of incoming orders, algorithms driving markets up and down, and a general sense of confusion over whether events were already priced in, and if so, whether they were priced in enough. The best example of this is the spectacular squeeze in Silver. Up above 10% since the beginning of the week, the COMEX decided to coincidentally up margins in Silver... by 10%. The flows are getting interesting in this most confusing rate cutting cycle from the Fed and confirms that 2025 has bee…
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Solana has slipped into a crucial demand zone between $118 and $138, a region where buyers must prove they’re still in the game. Early reactions are emerging, but momentum remains weak, raising the big question: Is SOL preparing for one more leg down, or could a surprise bottom quietly be forming beneath the surface? Solana Slides Into A Critical Support Zone Crypto analyst More Crypto Online, in an update shared on X, revealed that SOL has recently dropped into a major support band. This crucial zone stretches from $118 up to roughly $138.30. The analyst emphasizes that this is the exact region where the market must definitively prove that robust demand is still present…
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On Thursday, starting in the European session, the Australian dollar sharply bounced against the U.S. dollar from the 100-hour simple moving average (SMA) — this favors the bulls. By overcoming previous weakness caused by weaker-than-expected employment data in Australia, selling pressure on the dollar intensified following weaker initial jobless claims data from the U.S. Oscillators on the same chart are positive. The nearest resistance is around 0.6680; breaching this level will allow the pair to target the round number of 0.6700, and beyond that, the yearly high. A decisive breakout above the annual high around 0.6707 will open the psychological level of 0.6800 as the …
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Titan Mining (TSX:TI, NYSE-A:TII) announced Thursday that ore feeding has commenced at its Kilbourne graphite demonstration facility in New York, advancing the project toward first graphite concentrate production. Located within Titan’s Empire State Mine infrastructure in St. Lawrence County about 300 km northwest of state capital Albany, the fully permitted 1,200-tonnes-per-year of concentrate demonstration plant is now in start-up operations. Output from the facility will enable qualification runs and offtake discussions, accelerating the project’s progression toward commercial scale-up, it said. The company, which also produces zinc, said this marks a histo…
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Dogecoin rose 4% to trade at $0.14 Thursday, according to market reports. Market capitalization was about $21 billion while 24-hour trading volume hovered near $1.6 billion. The move followed renewed on-chain activity that has drawn attention from traders and analysts. Spike In Active Wallets Based on reports from BitInfoCharts, the number of daily active addresses on the Dogecoin network jumped to over 67,500 on December 3, marking the second-highest reading in the past three months. That earlier spike on September 15 came as DOGE briefly approached a local top near $0.30. At that time, network activity rose as prices climbed; today, rising wallet activity is being wa…
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XRP’s price has tested market patience for weeks. It is down about -18% over the past month and nearly -4% in the past 24 hours. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time The coin has spent most of this stretch stuck in a tight range, which has kept trading quiet and sentiment low. Buyers and sellers are still moving within the same band, and that has kept momentum from building. A meaningful bounce, if it comes, also needs less selling. Long-term holders, who usually act as the steady base of the market, have pulled back sharply on their distribution. DISCOV…
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Ethereum has retraced to the $3,160 level following the highly anticipated FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points. While rate cuts typically support risk assets, Jerome Powell’s comments added a new layer of uncertainty to the market. By openly acknowledging the risks of weaker growth paired with persistent inflation, Powell introduced the possibility of stagflation—a scenario that historically challenges both equities and crypto. As a result, sentiment across the market remains fragile, and investors are struggling to interpret what this macro shift could mean for Ethereum’s next move. Despite the volatility surrounding the decis…
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JPMorgan Chase, the country’s largest bank, has issued a US commercial paper instrument on the Solana blockchain. It marks one of the first major debt deals to move onto a public chain, and it’s already being viewed as a notable step for the sector. The transaction was completed for Galaxy Digital Holdings LP. Coinbase and Franklin Templeton bought the issuance, adding more weight to the shift toward public blockchain rails. For many in the industry, the move shows how quickly institutional adoption is widening. The decision also represents a change inside JPMorgan. The bank has spent years building and testing blockchain tools through Onyx, its private network,…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum are holding steady, but derivatives data shows traders quietly raising their exposure. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the two largest cryptocurrencies by market value, traded in a narrow range on Friday. Prices barely moved, but activity in futures and perpetual markets suggests traders are taking on more risk. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Hold Its Weekly Structure if Volatility Picks Up? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time According to CoinGecko. BTC is trading near $93,00…
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As the start-of-week momentum slows, Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped 5.5% on the daily timeframe, falling to the recent lows once again. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a massive short-term and mid-term rally if the retests of current levels hold. Dogecoin Prepares For $1 Milestone On Thursday, Dogecoin followed the rest of the crypto market and retraced to the $0.136-$0.138 levels. The cryptocurrency has retraced around 50% following the Q4 market downturn, trading within the $0.130-$0.155 price range over the past few weeks. Amid this week’s recovery, DOGE’s price briefly tested the local range highs, trying to break out of this …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair surged on Wednesday and continued its rally on Thursday. Recall that in yesterday's articles, we did not discuss the FOMC meeting, its results, and Jerome Powell's speech. We believe that enough time should pass after the meeting for the market's passions to settle. It often happens that the pair moves in one direction immediately after the FOMC meeting, only to return to its original position by morning. However, this time was different. This time, the market reacted exactly as it should have. The key interest rate was cut, so the dollar's decline was entirely reasonable. It is important to note that the market often loves to price in the Federa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair resumed its upward movement on Wednesday and Thursday. This marks the market's almost first logical reaction to an important fundamental event in recent months. Remember that on Wednesday evening, the Federal Reserve announced its decision to lower the key interest rate by another 0.25%, which, naturally, was expected to provoke a decline in the US dollar. However, starting from September, the market had been engaged in various activities, excluding a logical response to macroeconomics and fundamentals. The explanation for this is quite simple — the sideways movement on the daily timeframe. Based on this same sideways trend, we have predicted a r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair moved only in one direction – upwards – during Wednesday and Thursday. The volatility was quite high this time, unlike what we have been accustomed to in recent months. In principle, it is clear to all traders where this movement is coming from. On Wednesday evening, the Federal Reserve held a meeting, announcing its decision to lower the key interest rate (which was quite expected) and outlining "neutral" prospects for monetary policy for the upcoming year. We do not consider the Fed's meeting results to be definitively "dovish," as the decision to reduce the key interest rate in December was known a few weeks earlier.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement initiated a few weeks ago on Wednesday and Thursday. We do not associate the new rise of the British currency with the Federal Reserve's meeting, as we believe its results are not definitively "dovish." Yes, the rate was lowered for the third consecutive time, but traders were aware of this a month ago and were openly expecting this decision. For 2026, Jerome Powell announced a pause, and the FOMC committee indicated a maximum of one easing of monetary policy. It is probably unnecessary to say that this is not the most "dovish" outcome of a meeting possible. Thus, this time, the U.S. dollar…
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Bitcoin price stayed above the $90,000 support zone. BTC is now rising and might soon aim for an upside break above the $94,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $94,500 zone. The price is trading above $92,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $92,950 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $93,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Aims Upside Break Bitcoin price failed to gain strength for a move above the $94,000 and $94,500 levels. BTC started a downside correction and traded below the $92,500 support. Ther…
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Bitcoin has retraced below the $91,000 level following the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, a move that initially generated volatility across risk assets. While the market’s reaction has leaned bearish in the short term, on-chain data tells a very different story beneath the surface. According to new insights from CryptoQuant, one of the most striking signals comes from the Exchange Inflow Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric on Binance, which has fallen sharply to 380, its lowest reading since September 2017. CDD is one of the most important indicators for understanding long-term holder behavior because it assigns greater weight to olde…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,150. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim for a clear upside break above $3,350. Ethereum started a downside correction from the $3,450 zone. The price is trading above $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a new connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $3,180 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,150 zone. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum price managed to stay above $3,150 and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,300 and $3,320 resistance le…
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A recent report from BitcoinTreasuries.Net highlights significant challenges faced by Bitcoin-focused treasury companies since November. The findings revealed that the vast majority of these firms are now grappling with substantial unrealized losses, prompting many to sell off considerable amounts of their Bitcoin holdings. Market Struggles Continue In a sample analysis of 100 companies with reliable cost basis measurements, approximately 65% purchased Bitcoin at prices that now exceed the current market value, leaving a considerable number of these treasuries with substantial unrealized losses. Bitcoin’s market downturn in late November pushed spot prices down towards…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.080. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.040 resistance level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.050 zone. The price is now trading below $2.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.040 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.00. XRP Price Struggles Near Resistance XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.150 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.080 and $2.050. There was a…
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Bitcoin is trading around $92,506 below the 200 EMA and below the 3/8 Murray, showing signs of exhaustion. BTC has been consolidating around this area for more than three weeks. Bitcoin could continue its rise in the coming hours and could reach the top of the uptrend channel around $95,000. If this scenario occurs, we could expect it to be a strong barrier and could be seen as a signal to open short positions. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $93,713, we could look for opportunities to sell, as it is expected to reach the 2/8 Murray around $87,500 in the coming days. A consolidation below $90,000 could change the Bitcoin scenario, and we could expect it to reach the bo…
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Gold is trading around $4,271 after consolidating above $4,218. XAU/USD made a strong upward move yesterday during the US session, reaching a high of around $4,287. Gold tested the top of the uptrend channel formed since early December, which also coincided with the top of the uptrend channel formed since November 7. Both levels act as strong barriers to gold, so we believe a technical correction could occur below $4,286 in the coming days. Gold could undergo a technical correction in the coming hours and could reach the key 7/8 Murray support around $4,218. Even if the bearish force prevails, we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around $4,125. If gold breaks and conso…
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