Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12199 tópicos neste fórum
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1735 with a slight technical correction after reaching its weekly high around 1.1765. Over the last few days, we have mentioned in our articles that the EUR/USD pair had upside potential based on our observation of the gap formed on September 25, which was covered yesterday during the US session. Technically, the euro is reaching overbought levels, so it is more likely that in the coming days there will be a technical correction towards the key 3/8 Murray support around 1.1657. According to the H4 chart, we can see that the euro has been testing the uptrend channel and is likely to fall in the coming days to reach the bottom of this channel aro…
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ETH/USD is trading around $3,235, consolidating above the 200 EMA and around the 21 SMA, which means we could expect an upward movement in the coming days, reaching 3/8 Murray around $3,437 and even returning to the top of the upward trend channel around $3,500. After reaching $3,440, ETH/USD underwent a technical correction and could extend its downward movement. However, it is showing positive signs, so we must be careful when selling. Short positions could only make sense if the price of Ether falls below the 200 EMA and $3,190. In this case, we could expect it to reach the 2/8 Murray at 3,125 and could even reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around $3,070. Techni…
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Deal Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart for EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday following the Federal Reserve's meeting on Wednesday evening. Recall that the results of the last Fed meeting of the year cannot be considered unequivocally "dovish," as the central bank lowered the rate but essentially announced a prolonged pause for the following year. Only one easing of monetary policy is planned for the entire next year, which is positive news for the dollar. However, this time the market traded as if the Fed announced plans for 4-5 more cuts. It's also worth noting that the last two Fed meetings ended with a rate cut, after which…
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Deal Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart for GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Thursday amid the Federal Reserve meeting. In previous articles, we mentioned that the market could react to such an important event for up to 24 hours. This time, there were no drastic fluctuations, but overall, the market reaction to the US central bank's meeting was not extraordinarily tumultuous. Rather, the GBP/USD pair resumed its upward trend, which has been forming for three weeks. As we warned, the British pound is expected to rise after a long five-month correction on the daily timeframe. Therefore, regardless of the Fed meeting, we only anticipate growth. The…
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Cardano has picked up a new wave of visibility after Bitwise shifted its Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF (BITW) to NYSE Arca. The move places ADA inside a regulated Wall Street product with national exchange reach, putting it beside the ten largest cryptocurrencies. This change opens the door for more traditional investors. It gives Cardano a stronger place in institutional portfolios at a time when interest in digital assets is spreading across financial markets. ADA holds a 0.65% share of the index. It’s a small slice, but its inclusion next to Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP means investors can now gain exposure to ADA through a regular brokerage account. They don…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Stellar has just seen a TD Sequential buy signal. Here’s what happened the last time the pattern surfaced. Stellar Shot Up The Last Time A TD Buy Signal Appeared At Current Prices In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a Tom Demark (TD) Sequential signal that has appeared in the 1-week price of Stellar. The TD Sequential is a technical analysis (TA) indicator that’s used for pinpointing locations of probable reversal in an asset’s price. The indicator involves two phases. In both of them, it works by counting up candles of the same polarity (that is, whether red or green) in the asset’s chart. These candle…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, but some deserve traders' attention. In particular, reports on GDP and industrial production will be released in the UK. The GDP will be published in monthly figures, which hold much weaker significance than quarterly or yearly data. Industrial production is an important report, and a strong value may provoke additional strengthening of the British currency. In Germany, inflation data will be released, but this will be the second estimate for November. Therefore, this report attracts little interest. Analysis of Fundamental Events: Several fundamental events are s…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1420 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1440. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1420 level. The price is trading below the $0.1420 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1440 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1420 and $0.1440. Dogecoin Price Faces Resistance Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.1465, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1440 and $0.140 sup…
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[Litecoin] The EMA(50) which positioned below the EMA(200) forming a Death Cross, along with the appearance of a Bearish Divergence on the RSI(14), confirms that today Litecoin has the potential to continue its bearish bias. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 88.05 2. Resistance. 1 : 85.64 3. Pivot : 82.97 4. Support. 1 : 80.56 5. Support. 2 : 77.89 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Litecoin breaks down below 80.56, it has the potential to test the 77.89 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 77.89 is broken, there is potential for it to move to 75.48. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if the price of Litecoin …
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[Uniswap] Although the RSI(14) is in the Neutral-Bullish level, but with the appearance of a Bearish Divergence and the two EMAs still forming a Death Cross, it indicates a significant likelihood for Uniswap to weaken. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 5.938 2. Resistance. 1 : 5.754 3. Pivot : 5.521 4. Support. 1 : 5.337 5. Support. 2 : 5.104 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down below 5.337, Uniswap may head toward 5.104. Momentum Extension Bias: If 5.104 is broken, there is potential for this cryptocurrency to test the level at 4.920. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price of Uniswap stren…
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On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) once again fell below the critical $90,000 mark, even after what many had anticipated to be a bullish event stemming from the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to cut rates by a quarter point. Analysts from Bull Theory note several factors contributing to this unexpected downturn. Bitcoin Sell-Off Amid Market Unease The analysts pointed out that the rate cut itself was largely anticipated by investors weeks prior, with a 95% probability already priced into the market. Ahead of the announcement, they identified that many positioned themselves in expectation of some form of liquidity support from the Fed, leading to a rally in Bitcoin prices.…
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The dollar continues to face issues. As statistics indicate, the number of initial jobless claims in the US has sharply increased, exceeding economists' forecasts, leading to another decline of the dollar against several risk assets. Although this news was not particularly new to the Federal Reserve or market participants, who are well aware of the challenges currently facing the US labor market, it has negatively impacted those betting on a short-term rise in the dollar. Economists link the increase in unemployment benefit claims to a slowdown in the American economy's growth rate, which, in turn, puts pressure on the Fed. Conversely, Europe is experiencing relative stab…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price level at 1.1715 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Contrary to analysts' expectations, the number of new jobless claims in the United States exceeded forecasted figures. This situation led to a decline in the value of the US currency and a strengthening of the euro's position. Today, market participants will focus on the consumer price index reports from leading Eurozone countries. Special attention will be paid to the German inflation data release. Unexpected deviations from fo…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3385 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and missed out on all the upward movement. News that the weekly number of initial jobless claims in the United States was higher than expected led to a decline in the dollar and a rise in the British pound in the afternoon. The US labor market continues to show signs of cooling, which increases investors' expectations regarding further easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. This factor puts pressure on the dollar, mak…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 155.74 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar and missed out on all the downward movement. The Japanese yen strengthened against the US dollar yesterday after data showed that the weekly number of initial jobless claims in the United States exceeded economists' forecasts. The released data caused the dollar to weaken, as investors interpreted this as yet another signal of cooling in the US labor market. This, in turn, may affect the Federal Reserve's future interest rate d…
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Bitcoin faced some challenges around $89,000 yesterday but recovered well to the $93,000 level, around which trading is currently taking place. Ethereum also showed growth in the afternoon, firmly establishing itself above the $3,200 mark. At the same time, according to CoinGecko data, publicly traded companies that are actively buying Bitcoin now hold over 5% of its total supply on their balance sheets. Notably, the company Strategy holds a full 3%. This trend, gaining momentum over the past few years, indicates increasing recognition of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and a means of storing value. The significant increase in the share of Bitcoin controlled by publi…
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Meanwhile, the European currency is rising, and more economists are predicting that the next move in the eurozone will indeed be an interest rate increase by the European Central Bank. This aligns with the views of influential board member Isabel Schnabel. According to a survey, over 60% of respondents believe that officials are more likely to raise borrowing costs rather than lower them. However, they do not expect this to happen anytime soon; it is projected that the deposit rate will remain at 2% for the next two years. On the one hand, rising rates may help contain inflation—which the ECB currently seems to have under control—but on the other hand, they pose risks of…
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In finance, there's a saying that a sacred place is never empty. The rotation of securities in investment portfolios is leading to mixed dynamics in stock indices. The Nasdaq Composite is declining, the S&P 500 is inching towards record highs, while the Dow Jones is exhibiting its best performance relative to the S&P 500 since January. Interest in yesterday's leaders is rapidly dwindling, and laggards are transforming from ugly ducklings into beautiful swans. While women are fighting, it's best not to get involved in the brawl. This is also true for technology companies. In November, Google announced its powerful AI model, Gemini 3, which outperformed the latest …
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Yesterday, stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.21%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.25%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by 1.34%. Global stock indices reached new records as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this week and its optimistic assessment of the US economy boosted investor sentiment. The MSCI All Country World Index, one of the broadest indicators of the stock market, increased by 0.2% after closing at a historic high in the previous session. The S&P 500 also hit a new weekly peak, while the volatility index (VIX) declined to a three-month low. The MSCI Asian stock index surged by 1.3%, nearing its highest level in a month. …
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According to the data, in September of this year, the U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly fell to its lowest level since mid-2020. This happened thanks to a sharp increase in exports. The Commerce Department report states that the trade deficit in goods and services shrank by nearly 11% compared to the previous month, reaching $52.8 billion. Economists' average estimate had projected a deficit of $63.1 billion. U.S. exports rose by 3%, reaching the second-highest level on record, driven by shipments of gold and pharmaceuticals. Imports increased more modestly—by 0.6%. Taking into account the data for all three months, net exports likely made a fairly strong contribution to G…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1719 — the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line). When this level is tested, a corrective upward move may occur with a target of 1.1762 — the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario:Today, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin …
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The crypto market started the day with three stories dominating the headlines: Do Kwon 15 years sentence, the new YouTube PayPal stablecoin payout option, and the bullish Bitcoin price after a depressing few weeks. These tidings intersect more than people think. Sentiment, regulation, and tech adoption all move markets. Do Kwon’s confirmed 15 years sentence closes a long chapter that began with the 2022 Terra Luna collapse, a $40 billion meltdown many still consider the black swan event of that cycle. His punishment is somehow lighter than Sam Bankman-Fried’s 25-year term, and there are reasons for it. This follows Google Cloud’s earlier acceptance of PYUSD, a good …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, from the 1.3383 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward with a target of 1.3451 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). When this level is tested, a corrective downward move is possible with a target of 1.3437 — the upper fractal (daily candle from December 11, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3383 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the …
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Anthony Scaramucci showed up to Solana Breakpoint in Abu Dhabi wearing a tie — a small act of rebellion in a sea of hoodies — and then proceeded to make a much bigger one on stage: Solana is going to “flip” Ethereum. Scaramucci’s Solana Prediction Not in the Twitter-war, zero-sum, “ETH is dead” kind of way. More like: same league, different growth curve, and Solana ends up with the bigger market cap. “I think it will flip Ethereum, but that doesn’t mean Ethereum’s going down or anything like that. I think there’s going to be market share for Ethereum. I think they could both grow, but I think from a market capitalization perspective, I think Solana will end up growing fa…
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Bitcoin continues to demonstrate stability, bouncing back excellently from the $90,000 level and returning to the vicinity of $93,000. Ethereum also remains above $3,000, maintaining fairly positive upward prospects. Meanwhile, a positive development for the market has come from SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, who announced that US financial markets are actively transitioning to on-chain systems. Against this backdrop, the regulator is prioritizing innovation and the implementation of new technologies to ensure an on-chain future. This statement is undoubtedly seen as a sign of support from the regulator, which could attract more institutional investors who were previously …
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