Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12313 tópicos neste fórum
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1655 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1608 — a historical resistance level (light-blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1655 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue downward tow…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin traded just above $121,000 on Wednesday, holding onto gains after a drop from a recent peak above $126,000. According to analyst Egrag Crypto, a small market move could trigger a much larger rally, building on a pattern he says has repeated across past cycles. Historic Channel Breakouts Egrag’s view is based on a three-month look at price channels that, he argues, have preceded major rallies. Based on reports, similar channel breakouts were visible before the 2013 surge to about $1,163, the 2017 rise past $19,000, and the 2020–2021 rally that pushed prices above $69,000. He says the current channel began forming in April 2022, and that a modest “blip” upward co…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $4,600 and $4,500. ETH is now moving lower and might extend losses below $4,250 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,550 and $4,500. The price is trading below $4,450 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,385 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,250. Ethereum Price Dips Further Ethereum price failed to stay above $4,550 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $4,500 and $4,450 levels to enter a bearish zone. The price test…
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On-chain data shows the 30-day netflow of the XRP whales has remained deep negative recently, a sign that the asset is under persistent selling pressure. XRP Whale Flow Is At A Negative $50 Million Per Day At The Moment As explained by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, XRP whales have been offloading coins recently. “Whales” refer to the big-money investors who hold significant amounts in their wallets and carry some influence in the market. The behavior of these key investors can often be worth keeping an eye on, as even if it may not always directly correlate with the asset’s trajectory, it can still be revealing about how the influential enti…
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair also traded with gains on Friday, which seemed somewhat contradictory given the macroeconomic background, though it was perfectly in line with the broader context. The global fundamental backdrop remains sharply negative for the U.S. dollar, making any dollar strength appear as nothing more than a technical correction. On the daily timeframe (where the core correction unfolds), corrections lasting several weeks or even months are absolutely standard. On the hourly chart, such a correction or sideways movement often appears as a series of alternating trends. From a technical standpoint, the downtrend remains intact. The pri…
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It is also noted that Chinese companies are not only actively seeking alternative markets but are also using third countries to route their goods into the United States. I wrote about this back in the summer. The practice of bypassing sanctions through intermediary countries is widely used worldwide. For example, if China cannot export goods directly to the U.S. due to high tariffs, those same goods can be shipped first to South Korea or Japan and then re-exported to the United States under the guise of Korean or Japanese origin. The added costs for logistics and reprocessing are far less than the draconian tariffs imposed by Trump. It's well understood in financial marke…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has transformed. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend segment has been canceled, but the recent decline of the European currency has made it necessary to clarify the wave count. Thus, we now see a series of three-wave structures labeled a-b-c. It can be assumed that they are part of the global wave 4 of the upward trend. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unnaturally extended form, but overall the wave structure remains coherent. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background remains generally unfavorable for the dollar. The trade war started by Donald Trump continues. The co…
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The price of Bitcoin has been in a good recovery form since succumbing to the bearish pressure from the ongoing feud between United States President Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The premier cryptocurrency climbed above the $105,000 mark in the early hours of Saturday, June 7. According to the latest on-chain data, the Bitcoin price looks set to continue its upward trajectory over the next few days. What Negative Leveraged Traders’ Sentiment Means For Price In a new post on the X platform, data analytics firm Alphractal shared fresh on-chain insights into the recent movement of the Bitcoin price. According to the market intelligence firm, the major catalyst of BTC’s latest…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh decline and tested the $103,200 zone. BTC is now recovering and might aim for a move above the $106,800 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $106,800 and $105,500 levels. The price is trading near $105,800 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $105,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $106,800 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Recovers Bitcoin price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $110,000 resistance zone. BTC declined below the $107,000 and $106,00…
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The Forex currency board is showing some undoing of yesterday’s action that had given a decent rebound in the US Dollar versus other currencies. However, that correction was insufficient for GBP bulls to push the Sterling back to its weekly highs. The Pound has dropped as UK Inflation data comes in line, shy of a slight miss on the Core Inflation. Markets were moved by some major geopolitical shifts and that hasn't led to much appreciation for the GBP. As a reminder, Markets will see the release of the Bank of England rate decision at 7:00 A.M. with close to 10% chance of a cut priced in – BoE Speakers haven't hinted towards more cuts until the latter part of Summer 202…
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The spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) have been in good form over the past few weeks, receiving renewed interest from investors in the United States. This recent spurt of momentum has been a rare bright spark in the crypto market, which has been overwhelmed with investor uncertainty lately. Interestingly, the typically straight line between the spot Bitcoin ETFs’ performance and the BTC price action has not been particularly straight in the past few weeks. While the crypto-linked financial products have shone in the past few days, the underlying premier cryptocurrency has seen better days. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Record $1 Billion In The Past Week According to the lat…
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The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted the $97,000 to $98,000 zone as an important one for Bitcoin. Here’s why. Bitcoin CBD Suggests Build Up Of Supply In This Range In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about a potentially significant zone for Bitcoin based on the Cost Basis Distribution. The Cost Basis Distribution (CBD) is an indicator that measures the amount of the BTC supply that investors last purchased or transferred at the various price levels. As is visible in the above graph, there is a dense supply zone located between $97,000 to $98,000. Generally, investors are quite sensitive to retests of their cost basis, so a large amount of them …
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If Jerry Seinfeld invested in the Ethereum price, it would go like this: “You ever buy Ethereum?” *audience chuckles* “You spend all weekend reading whitepapers, learning about gas fees, and you’re like: This is it. This is the future. We’re going to flip Bitcoin any minute now!” *audience bursts out in uncontrollable laughing* [Cue Seinfeld Music] Ethereum’s early lead over Bitcoin this quarter has faded. Now trading under $2,500, ETH faces a key inflection point; here’s where the price is going next: EthereumPriceMarket CapETH$292.25B24h7d30d1yAll time Ethereum’s MVRV Ratio Signals Modest Optimism Ethereum’s market-value-to-realized-value (MVRV) ratio stands at 1.…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,485 zone. ETH is now consolidating gains and might soon aim for a move above the $2,520 resistance. Ethereum started a fresh upward move above the $2,465 level. The price is trading above $2,460 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,450 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains stable above the $2,400 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Eyes Fresh Gains Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,440 support level, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to clear the $2,460 and $2,480 …
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The past weekend was favorable for Bitcoin as the price was able to rebound from last week’s lows and go on to reclaim $108,000 ahead of the new week. This has boosted market sentiment once again, prompting investors to return to the table. However, as the price continues to sit in the green, one crypto analyst has sounded the alarm that the Bitcoin price may be headed for another crash toward the support area close to $100,000. Why A Bitcoin Price Crash Is Imminent In the TradingView analysis, the crypto analyst reveals the reason why the Bitcoin price could dump back downwards is because of mounting resistance. This is because, as the leading cryptocurrency moves towar…
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Plume crypto is up 22% in the past 24 hours following the integration of USD1. The stablecoin by World Liberty Financial, a DeFi platform linked to the Trump family, now has a market cap of over $2.2 billion. The past 24 hours have been highly bullish for the crypto markets. After days of sideways movement following the surge on June 23, BTC ▲1.61% broke above $108,000 and is inching closer to all-time highs. Presently, the total crypto market cap is up 2%, rising to $3.4 trillion, with more room for growth, especially for some of the best cryptos to buy. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Plume Crypto Surges 22%, Will The Rally Last? While the market expa…
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Ethereum has regained strong bullish momentum over the past few days, rising more than 23% since June 22 and reclaiming the critical $2,600 level. After weeks of uncertainty and sideways movement, ETH is showing signs of strength, with bulls now eyeing a push toward the $2,700 resistance zone. A successful reclaim of this level could open the doors for a broader rally, potentially reigniting hopes for the long-awaited altseason. While volatility remains in the broader market, Ethereum’s recovery has been notable, especially as macroeconomic sentiment improves and risk appetite increases across both equities and crypto. The surge in price has brought renewed attention to…
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After achieving its highest weekly close to date, Bitcoin (BTC) is now attempting to confirm two crucial levels as support before continuing its rally to new highs. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency may be experiencing a “calm before the storm” phase. Bitcoin Set For Key Support Confirmations Bitcoin managed to close above two crucial levels over the past few days, recording its highest weekly close in history. Last week, the flagship crypto positioned itself for a reclaim of its final major weekly resistance around $109,000 after nearing this area for four days. On Sunday, BTC surged above the key barrier and closed the week around the $109,200 mark…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.30 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might climb above the $2.32 resistance. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.280 zone. The price is now trading above $2.280 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2.280 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $2.250 zone. XRP Price Eyes Fresh Increase XRP price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $2.2620 level, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.280 resistance …
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Despite a risk-off opening to this week, the latest tariff delay from the Trump administration brought back some risk appetite. The Nasdaq retested its all-time highs (22,945 on its CFD) and the S&P 500 came close to it. Only the Dow Jones is once again lagging on the positive sentiment, with deeper US productivity concerns due to the tariff menace still being real for Consumer Defensive stocks. Markets are still off an ecstatic mood which is starting to show a few cracks. The real main change to this week's flows is the US Dollar starting to show some signs of rebound, up around 1 full handle from its 96.50 lows. The FOMC Minutes are released about an hour ago, w…
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Tech was in focus in today's session, particularly throughout the last few hours as NVIDIA just hit the $4 trillion market cap and Bitcoin, Ethereum rallied consequently. Sentiment still shows a few signs of hesitation, particularly with disappointing Prime Day numbers dragging Consumer defensive stocks down relative to other sectors. European stocks are to be monitored as they have had consecutive positive days above 1.50%, led by the German DAX. In terms of Commodities, softs had a decent performance led by Cocoa, Sugar and Lumber – in terms of more commonly traded commodities though, US Oil and Gold are almost completely unchanged. Read More: Trump tarif…
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CA Unemployment Rate June, 6.9% vs 7.1% expected, beat of +0.2%CA Net Change in Employment June, +83.1k vs. +0k expected, beat of +83,100CA Average Hourly Wages June (YoY), +3.2% vs +3.0% expected, beat of 0.2%CA Building Permits May (MoM), 12% vs -0.8% expected, beat of +12.8%CA Participation Rate June, 65.4% vs 65.0% expected, beat of +0.4% CA Unemployment Rate (June 2025): close CA Unemployment Rate, Statistics Canada/Statistique Canada, 11/07/2025 …
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Major US stock indices extended their losses from last Friday into today’s Asian session. Both S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures dropped by 0.5% at the time of writing, weighed down by renewed tariff anxieties. US President Trump issued a surprise escalation, threatening the European Union with a 30% tariff—an increase from April’s proposed 20%, if no improved trade terms are reached before the 1 August deadline. This move follows a series of aggressive tariff demand letters sent to US trading partners over the past week. Hopes for a preliminary US-EU trade deal were dashed after recent media reports hinted at progress, only for negotiations to hit fresh roadblock…
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Most Read: Silver trades around 14 years high in a breakout GBPUSD has continued its recent struggles today with the pair on a 8-day losing streak. This comes after cable posted 5 consecutive months of gains, to rise from a 2025 low of 1.2099 to a high of 1.3788, last seen in October 2021. The rally in GBPUSD was largely facilitated by USD weakness following Donald Trump's inauguration and announcement of global tariffs. The move which saw the US Dollar lose its safe haven status and the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below the psychological 100.00 mark for the first time since a brief foray in July 2023. …
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Dogecoin started a fresh increase above the $0.20 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might aim for a move above $0.2120. DOGE price started a fresh increase above the $0.1880 and $0.20 levels. The price is trading above the $0.20 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.2060 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a fresh rally if it clears the $0.2120 and $0.2180 resistance levels. Dogecoin Price Eyes More Gains Dogecoin price started a fresh increase from the $0.1880 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE was able to climb above the …
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