Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12313 tópicos neste fórum
-
Closing at $45,675, up +0.32%, the Dow Jones 30 has renewed recent highs in today’s session, breaking above previously held consolidation at around $45,642. Dow Jones 30 (DJIA): Key takeaways from today’s session Up around 7.00% year-to-date, recent developments suggesting the Fed will cut in their upcoming decision are benefiting US equity pricingWhile interest rate cuts stand to benefit Dow Jones pricing, weak jobs data and a potential for infamous ‘stagflation’ could limit upside in the medium termDow Jones 30 (DJIA): Interest rate cut predictions boost Dow Jones pricing Although playing second fiddle to the tech-dominant Nasdaq-100 for much of 2025, the Dow Jone…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana started a fresh increase above the $215 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $212 and might aim for more gains above the $220 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $205 and $212 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $212 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $216 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $220 resistance zone. Solana Price Eyes Upside Break Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $202 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $208…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Stock market rallies on Fed rate cut expectationsThe US stock market is rising amid worsening conditions in the labor market, which is fueling expectations of Fed rate cuts. The S&P 500 reached its 24th record this year, supported by increased share buybacks. Investors continue to bet that the regulator's dovish policy will support corporate earnings. Follow the link for more details. S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new records, Dow Jones dipsOn September 12, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit news historical highs, while the Dow Jones fell. Moderate inflation and rising jobless claims create conditions for a potential Fed rate cut at the next meeting. Analysts note tha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Macroeconomic Report Analysis: No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday—not in Germany, the UK, the EU, or the US. Recall that during the first two weeks of September, traders had a fairly rich flow of macroeconomic data at their disposal. Almost all of them showed that the US economy continues to deteriorate. Only GDP is rising, and that's artificially. How much longer it will keep growing on the back of Trump's trade war is unknown. In any case, market participants have a low opinion of the results delivered by the new US administration. Fundamental Events Analysis: The only fundamental event on Monday is a speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde. H…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Savannah Resources (LON: SAV) has boosted the reserve estimate for its Barroso lithium project in northern Portugal by 40% after completing additional prospecting work, further cementing its status as Europe’s largest spodumene deposit. The London-listed company now pegs reserves at more than 39 million tonnes, up from a previous estimate of 28 million tonnes. Shares in Savannah rose 2.4% on the news, giving the company a market capitalization of £104 million ($141.5 million). Strategic role for Europe’s EV supply chain Savannah plans to develop four open-pit mines at Barroso, with the capacity to produce enough lithium each year to supply batteries for ab…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound failed to fully benefit from the positive UK statistics. According to official data, the UK labour market continued to cool over the summer as companies prepared for further tax increases, which will weigh on the economy. The Office for National Statistics reported that the number of employees fell by another 8,000 in August, marking the seventh consecutive decline. This was only slightly better than economists' forecasts. Wage growth excluding bonuses over three months slowed to 4.8%, the lowest in three years. Private sector wage growth, closely watched by the Bank of England, slowed to 4.7%. The unemployment rate remained at a four-year high of 4.7%, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday's latest failed attempt by Bitcoin to break above $118,000 could present significant challenges for its near-term growth prospects. The third consecutive failure to push beyond this range signals that bullish sentiment for a run to all-time highs in the near-term is quickly dwindling. Meanwhile, the crypto market continues to evolve. Yesterday, trading began in the US for the first spot XRP ETF and Dogecoin ETF from REX-Osprey. This step marks an important milestone in the legitimization of cryptocurrencies as an asset class, expanding access for a broader range of investors and traders. The launch of the XRP ETF and Dogecoin ETF triggered mixed reactions in t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Over the last week, Bitcoin (BTC) investors witnessed a heavy market decline as prices crashed by over 5%. This negative performance has moved Bitcoin below $110, 00, pushing the asset near price lows seen in August. As expected, there are also growing implications of this price drop as analysts speculate it could be either another correction or the start of a bearish market. Notably, the X analysis platform, Swissblock, has shared some important market insights that support the steadiness of the present bullish market. Risk Off Signal Indicates No Danger As Bitcoin May Be Ready For Final Round In an X post on September 26, Swissblock provides a vital on-chain analys…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The dollar began an eventful week on a weaker note. The Dollar Index fell 0.2% on Monday, marking its second consecutive day of losses. The looming U.S. government shutdown, with both political parties holding firm to their positions, could significantly affect the strength of the dollar in the short term. Several important U.S. economic releases are also expected this week, culminating in Friday's monthly employment report. The prospect of a government shutdown, hanging over the U.S. economy like a Damocles' sword, adds considerable uncertainty to the currency markets. Traders, who traditionally seek safety during turbulent periods, may begin shifting capital into more …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ripple’s XRP might be trending towards a short squeeze as new analysis suggested its available trading supply could shrink to levels comparable to Bitcoin’s 21 million cap. XRP commentator Chad Steingraber, in a post on social media platform X, argued that the amount of the altcoin actually available for retail trading is going to be a fraction of its total supply. His comments came in response to discussions about the role of institutional and network-led lockups, with projects such as Axelar and Flare Networks working to secure billions of XRP tokens. XRP Might Be Gearing Up For Short Squeeze The discussion began after a popular crypto commentator posted about Axelar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Tuesday, the market may continue moving upward from the 1.1725 level (closing of yesterday's daily candle), targeting 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may pull back downward to test the 38.2% retracement level again (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Volume – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Upward Trend Alternative Scenario: From the 1.1725 level (closing of yesterday's daily candle), the price may continue upward toward 1.1749 – the 38.2% retracement level (re…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Asia Market Wrap - Asian Equities Eye Six Straight Month of Gains Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Technical Breakdown & Key Levels Amidst Dollar Strength Gold hit a new record high, moving past $3,865 an ounce. That jump lifted the stock of Asian metal makers, and a Chinese miner called Zijin Gold International jumped roughly 66 % when it first traded in Hong Kong. The metal’s 47 % climb this year looks like the biggest yearly gain since 1979. Global trade fights, questions about America’s special role, and the likelihood of Fed rate cuts all seem to push investors to gold. The precious metal did fall around $60 after the European open to trade around $3815/oz at the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
I have no money left, I lost it all trading. Aster crypto looks interesting, though. I wonder if it would be worth taking out a huge personal loan and going all in on Aster? If it works out great, if it doesn’t, I go bankrupt. Thankfully, price action on .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Aster ASTER $1.78 4.91% Aster ASTER Price $1.78 4.91% /24h Volume in 24h $692.73M …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Circle, the company behind the popular stablecoin $USDC, has just expanded its tokenized U.S. Treasury fund ($USYC) to the Solana Blockchain. Why is this a big deal? Solana’s known for its speed and low transaction costs, making it a perfect match for expanding $USYC’s reach. Previously available on Ethereum, Near, Base, and Canton, USYC is now live on Solana, with BNB Chain integration planned next. $USYC is basically a tokenized slice of a short-term US government money market fund. With a market value of over $635M, up 13% from last month, it’s making a splash in the world of crypto finance. While we’re talking about making a splash, it’d be remiss not to mention …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair tried to continue its upward movement toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802, but the news background dampened bullish sentiment. No trading signals were generated yesterday. Today, a rebound from the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695 would favor the euro and a resumption of growth toward the 1.1789–1.1802 zone, while a close below this level would open the way to a decline toward the support zone of 1.1637–1.1645. The wave pattern on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the previous wave's low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. Thus, the trend is still "bearish" …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD On Thursday, for the fourth time since Monday, the pair attempted to rise but were pushed back down. This time, the pressure was stronger, with the lower shadow piercing both indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator has moved into negative territory. For the target level of 1.1605 to open, the price must consolidate below the MACD line (1.1700). Even if today's daily candle closes under it, such confirmation won't come until later. Despite mounting pressure on the euro, an upward move remains possible, as the price is still technically above the indicator lines. Sideways movement and uncertainty continue. On the H4 chart, the price continues to fluctuate between t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, USD/JPY unexpectedly breached the 150 range, shocking traders with a 200-pip upward gap. The pair continues to show bullish momentum, ascending into new price territories. The last time the pair reached the 150.50 level was in early August, when traders were reacting to the outcome of the Bank of Japan's July meeting. Back then, the meeting results disappointed yen bulls: the central bank remained overly cautious and failed to signal a clear timeline for the next interest rate hike. As a result, the yen weakened, and USD/JPY hit multi-month highs, peaking at 150.92. The rally is also indirectly linked to the BOJ's anticipated inaction. However, the catalyst…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
OpenAI has inked a multiyear deal with AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) for six gigawatts of GPU capacity to power its next generation of AI models. It’s a mic drop moment. The agreement, unveiled Monday, could deliver tens of billions in revenue over five years, marking AMD’s biggest step yet toward challenging Nvidia’s dominance in AI chips. AMD and Nvidia will never become the same. NVIDIA will likely make an x86 processor that might be ok, but AMD is crushing in CPUs and might forever after this deal. Intel will eventually be sold off to government mothballs since they can’t make new enterprise or consumer products. Learn more …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Most Read: EUR/USD Slides on French Political Turmoil and USD Rebound, Lagarde/Fed Speakers Up Next The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is scheduled to announce its latest interest rate decision, called the Monetary Policy Review (MPR), this Wednesday, October 8th (at 2:00 PM New Zealand time). The meeting comes against a backdrop of disappointing data which included a contraction in economic activity. As a result, market participants cannot agree on how much the RBNZ will cut the main interest rate. Some predict a small cut of 25 basis points (a 0.25% drop), while others are forecasting a large, aggressive cut of 50 basis points (a 0.50% drop) to try and quickly rever…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. On Monday, the pair dropped impulsively to the mid-1.16 range but failed to break through the key support level at 1.1650, which corresponds to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. The trading day ended at 1.1711, and on Tuesday, sellers tried to hold the pair within the 1.16 zone, driven by broad U.S. dollar strength and waning euro demand. With little to focus on in the economic calendar, traders have turned their attention to political and geopolitical news — particularly developments in France and the U.S. shutdown. The unexpected resignation of Fran…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Gold] – [Wednesday, October 8, 2025] With the condition of both EMAs crossing a Golden Cross and the RSI at Extreme-Bullish levels today, buyers still dominate XAU/USD. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 4021.88 2. Resistance 1: 4003.09 3. Pivot: 3971.76 4. Support 1: 3952.97 5. Support 2: 3921.64 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If XAU/USD successfully breaks above 3971.76, it has the potential to test its nearest resistance level of 4003.09. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4003.09 is successfully broken and closes above it, it has the potential to strengthen Gold to 4021.88. Level Invalidation/ Bias Revision Upside bias weakens when Gold weakens and closes below 3921.64…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin posted a notable decline yesterday, pulling back to more attractive buying levels around $121,000. Many traders are now wondering whether this drop will continue or if it's merely a temporary correction that could soon give way to a new bullish wave. Recent data shows that inflows into spot BTC and ETH ETFs continue to rise—most notably into BTC ETFs. This in itself suggests that the crypto bull rally is not over. As a reminder, inflows into spot BTC ETFs are one of the strongest bullish drivers in the crypto market. Rising inflows reflect growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies, as ETFs offer institutions a regulated and convenient way to gain exposur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold set another all-time high, moving toward the next psychological level of $4,100, supported by a strong fundamental backdrop. Investor sentiment toward risk assets deteriorated sharply late last week after President Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods and tighten export controls on key software starting November 1. Beijing responded by criticizing Washington for its "double standards" and hinted at unspecified countermeasures should the U.S. threats be implemented, stressing that it is not afraid of a potential trade war. However, over the weekend, Trump softened his rhetoric, stating on Truth Social that the U.S. is not interested in harmi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
JPMorgan Chase on Monday launched its Security and Resiliency Initiative, committing up to $1.5 trillion over 10 years to strengthen US supply chains, with chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon emphasising critical minerals essential for national security. Expanding from a prior $1 trillion goal, the plan addresses vulnerabilities exposed by geopolitical risks and overreliance on foreign sources. Central to the effort is a $10 billion direct investment pool for equity and venture capital in US-based firms. Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon said: “It has become painfully clear that the United States has allowed itself to become too reliant on unreliable sources of critical mi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Monday Trade Review: 1H Chart of GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair showed absolutely no interesting movement on Monday. While the euro (for unknown reasons) declined during the first half of the day, the British pound remained stationary throughout the day. However, overnight into Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair managed to break through a descending trendline, indicating a logical and long-awaited end to the descending trend. Let us recall that in the past two weeks, the British currency had very few reasons to fall, while the U.S. dollar had few reasons to rise. We do not deny the necessity of occasional corrections—and on the daily timeframe, we do acknowledge the presence o…
Last reply by Ben Graham,