Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12315 tópicos neste fórum
-
Today, Thursday, the EUR/GBP pair nearly reached the round level of 0.8700. The euro strengthened against the British pound amid expectations that French President Emmanuel Macron will appoint a new prime minister within the next 48 hours. Later in the day, the European Central Bank will release its monetary policy meeting report, and ECB member Philip Lane is scheduled to speak. The political crisis in France, triggered by the unexpected resignation of Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu and his cabinet, pressured the euro during the previous session. On Wednesday, President Emmanuel Macron stated that within the next 48 hours he would once again attempt to appoint a new pr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD The British pound has settled below the support level of 1.3369. There is little remaining to reach the target level of 1.3253, which may be achieved today. A consolidation below this level will open the next target at 1.3140 — the low of August 1. The pound has no unclosed gap from the beginning of the week, unlike the euro, which allows it more freedom in its downward movement. On the four-hour chart, the price is slightly correcting from yesterday's low. The situation with the Marlin oscillator indicates that the correction will soon end, as the oscillator's signal line is about to encounter resistance from the forming line and the consolidation range. We are…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold set another all-time high, moving toward the next psychological level of $4,100, supported by a strong fundamental backdrop. Investor sentiment toward risk assets deteriorated sharply late last week after President Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods and tighten export controls on key software starting November 1. Beijing responded by criticizing Washington for its "double standards" and hinted at unspecified countermeasures should the U.S. threats be implemented, stressing that it is not afraid of a potential trade war. However, over the weekend, Trump softened his rhetoric, stating on Truth Social that the U.S. is not interested in harmi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
JPMorgan Chase on Monday launched its Security and Resiliency Initiative, committing up to $1.5 trillion over 10 years to strengthen US supply chains, with chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon emphasising critical minerals essential for national security. Expanding from a prior $1 trillion goal, the plan addresses vulnerabilities exposed by geopolitical risks and overreliance on foreign sources. Central to the effort is a $10 billion direct investment pool for equity and venture capital in US-based firms. Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon said: “It has become painfully clear that the United States has allowed itself to become too reliant on unreliable sources of critical mi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Monday Trade Review: 1H Chart of GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair showed absolutely no interesting movement on Monday. While the euro (for unknown reasons) declined during the first half of the day, the British pound remained stationary throughout the day. However, overnight into Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair managed to break through a descending trendline, indicating a logical and long-awaited end to the descending trend. Let us recall that in the past two weeks, the British currency had very few reasons to fall, while the U.S. dollar had few reasons to rise. We do not deny the necessity of occasional corrections—and on the daily timeframe, we do acknowledge the presence o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Early in the American session, gold is trading around 4,254, reaching a new all-time high and approaching daily resistance at around 4,266. In the coming hours, gold could continue its rise to reach 4,270, a strong resistance level where the weekly resistance level 3 and the daily resistance level 2 are located. If gold encounters a barrier in this area, it could be seen as an opportunity to enter short positions, as we could expect a technical correction to reach the 21SMA, located at 4,223. If gold falls and sharply breaks the uptrend channel, which has been underway on the H1 chart since October 10, and consolidates below the 7/8 Murray and below the 21SMA, we could ex…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Look up the gold price on three different websites and you’ll likely see slightly different figures. Unlike stocks with a single exchange price, gold trades continuously across global markets through a network of banks, exchanges, and data providers. Each site is quoting the spot price, i.e. the current market value of gold for immediate delivery, though small variations appear because different platforms pull data from different sources. This article explains how gold spot price actually works, who sets it, and why understanding these mechanisms helps investors make smarter decisions. Watch this educational video for additional context on the key market forces that driv…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
European Central Bank officials kept a clear target this week: launch the digital euro in 2029. That goal was described as realistic by senior ECB figures, even as the bank said it will carry on with preparation work beyond the formal end of its current phase in October 2025. According to Bloomberg and ECB statements, the timetable depends on new EU laws and technical readiness. Preparation Phase Continues After October 2025 Based on reports, the ECB started the preparation phase in November 2023 and has been building rules and testing options since then. The formal stretch of that phase was due to finish in October 2025, but officials said work will not stop. Tasks le…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP is showing signs of hesitation after a strong rebound, struggling to push past key resistance levels. The recent price action fits neatly within an Elliott Wave pattern, suggesting the market may be entering its final consolidation phase before the next major move unfolds. Market Pauses After The Storm CasiTrades, in a recent market update, explained that following last Friday’s sharp wipeout, prices managed to rebound impressively, but that momentum now appears to be losing steam. According to the analyst, such pauses are natural after strong moves. In Elliott Wave Theory (EWT), this type of slowdown aligns with Wave 4, a stage where the market consolidates before p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As of the previous Friday's close, major US equity indices posted gains: the S&P 500 rose by 0.53%, the Nasdaq 100 advanced by 0.52%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by 0.52%. The upward momentum continued into Monday, supported by easing trade concerns and improved market sentiment following recent volatility tied to US regional banking worries. European and Asian markets followed suit, with the Stoxx Europe 600 gaining 0.6%—led by banking stocks—and the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index jumping by 1.8%. The emerging markets stock index added 1.4%. French sovereign bonds declined after S&P Global Ratings downgraded the country's credit rating. US Treasuries…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As Bitcoin (BTC) reels amidst escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran – dropping from $110,530 on June 9 to just above $106,900 today – concerns are mounting that BTC’s upward momentum may have stalled. However, on-chain data suggests that both Bitcoin whales and retail investors still anticipate further upside for the leading cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Whale And Retail Inflows To Binance Tumble According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, Bitcoin inflows to Binance crypto exchange from two distinct cohorts – whales and retail investors – have fallen to their lowest levels in the current market cycle. Darkfost shared the follo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Macro investor Jordi Visser has published a Substack essay arguing that Bitcoin is “the purest AI trade,” a claim he says has followed him “in nearly every one of my videos, Substack posts, and conversations with Anthony Pompliano.” The piece, released yesterday under the title You Don’t Find Bitcoin, Bitcoin Finds You: Why It’s the Purest AI Trade, sets out a personal and macro-economic narrative that Visser believes binds artificial-intelligence disruption to the rise of the world’s first decentralised digital asset. Visser, who now heads AI Macro Nexus Research at 22V Research after three decades trading derivatives at Morgan Stanley, running a global-macro hedge fund…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold has bounced throughout the past week supported by war headlines in the Middle-East, however flows seem to change as the precious metal has failed to hold and break its intermediate $3,450 highs. Gold is now trading below the key $3,400 level. Quick reminder that US Markets are closed today for Juneteenth, which leads to some movements and flows being subdued. Positioning had already been quite heavy on the long side with many investors trying to capture the negative market sentiment. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto analyst Colin has highlighted the Bitcoin price’s deviation from the Global M2 money supply, raising concerns that the bull run may be over. The analyst quickly addressed concerns, noting how such deviations usually happen at some point but don’t invalidate the macro trend. Analyst Highlights Bitcoin Price’s Deviation From Global M2 Money Supply In an X post, Colin revealed that the Bitcoin price has deviated from the global M2 money supply. He noted that this deviation was short-term in an otherwise broad correlation. The analyst added that this current deviation is similar to the position that BTC was in February 2025. Colin remarked that this development do…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin hash rate falls after United States struck nuclear facilities inside Iran. Will computing power recover or more slides expected if the Iran versus Israel war continues? On June 22, two events took place, one of which was unexpected. When the United States struck Iranian nuclear facilities, Bitcoin prices dropped as anticipated, but the accompanying collapse in the Bitcoin hash rate was unforeseen. DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now Bitcoin Hash Rate Drops Price trackers showed that BTC ▼-1.19% fell to as low as $98,500 before recovering yesterday. As with past events, whenever the world’s most valuable crypto asset declines, it drag…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bitcoin price surge above $106,000 this week has reignited bullish sentiment across the market, with analysts suggesting that the stars are aligning for a rally to a new all-time high. From shifting geopolitical tensions to a major regulatory pivot in the United States (US), multiple macroeconomic factors appear to be setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next explosive move. Ceasefire And Rate Cut Buzz Fuel Bitcoin Price Optimism Over the weekend, the Bitcoin price briefly slipped, triggering over $200 million in leveraged long liquidations. However, this dip proved short-lived as the flagship cryptocurrency rebounded swiftly above $100,000 following US President Donald …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,350 zone. ETH is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $2,550 zone. Ethereum started a fresh upward move above the $2,320 level. The price is trading above $2,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2,440 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above the $2,550 resistance zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,250 support level, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to clear the $2,320 and $2,35…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Pound wasn't the best performer in the beginning to this month, amid a weakening UK Economy and a still too-high inflation which is forcing the Bank of England to hold higher rates – Cuts are not expected until the end of Summer. Unemployment Rate in the UK ticked up, GDP and Retail Sales ticked down – Only PMIs released last week surprised to the upside. Markets are forward looking, and players are looking ahead at better prospects for the Country which separated from the European Union in 2016. Effectively, British Trade is expected to meet less barriers ahead with historic deals reached between the EU and the US. On the other hand, the US Dollar has found some m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US dollar is consolidating in mostly narrow ranges against the G10 currencies. It is trading mostly softer against emerging markets currencies. The news stream features further progress of the US budget bill, which dropped the onerous "revenge tax" (Section 899), and there is talk of as many as a dozen trade framework agreements in the pipeline, ahead of the July 9 deadline. Canada dropped its threat on collecting funds today from its digital service tax, and this seemed to have jump started talks with the US. A deal is hoped for by July 21. China's PMI showed marginal improvement, and the PBOC set the dollar's reference rate at a new low since last November…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is at a pivotal point, and the weekly close could define its next move. To confirm bullish continuation and strengthen market confidence, BTC needs to secure a solid weekly close above $107,720. Bitcoin Weekly Candle Could Set The Stage For A Run Bitcoin is approaching a make-or-break moment, but if BTC can secure a strong weekly close above $107,720, it could trigger a move toward the $130,000 to $135,000 range in Q3. This key level is acting as a resistance zone, and breaking it could unlock a new wave of bullish momentum. SatheMeme_Expert revealed on X that a similar setup had appeared in Q4 2024, when BTC posted its biggest weekly close of the year. The res…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $107,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to continue higher above the $110,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $108,500 zone. The price is trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $109,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $107,850 zone. Bitcoin Price Consolidates Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $105,500 resistance. BTC cleared many hurdles near $107,000 to start a dec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,450 zone. ETH is now back above $2,550 and might soon aim for more gains. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $2,550 level. The price is trading above $2,575 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $2,570 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains supported above the $2,520 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,450 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move above the $2,550 resistance zone and entered a pos…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Despite the Bitcoin price holding up quite nicely above $100,000 and remaining very close to its all-time high levels, there continues to be expectations of a massive crash that would rock the market. Pseudonymous crypto analyst FriendlyRox points to a number of indicators for this, going from volume to momentum, all pointing to a possible price crash. What is the expected result of this? Losing the $100,000 psychological level and then falling to previous peaks. Bitcoin Price At Risk With Dwindling Volume And Momentum In the analysis, FriendlyRox highlighted the decline in major metrics such as momentum and volume as the major driver of the forecasted price crash. This …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Most Read: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns Chinese stocks are set to hit their highest level in three years as investors hope for new steps to fight deflation and boost the economy. Meanwhile, copper prices dropped in London after President Donald Trump issued a new tariff warning. close Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
With one week already gone in the month of July, Ethereum has already begun to perform better than Bitcoin. While the gap is still very close, the outperformance of Ethereum over Bitcoin for only the second time this year could signal the entrance of better things for the altcoin market. If this continues, then an altcoin season might be on the horizon, as historical data shows it always begins with ETH outperforming BTC. So, let’s take a look at how both assets have been performing. Ethereum Barrels Ahead Of Bitcoin In July So far, in the month of July, the Ethereum price has been putting in more green candles, suggesting that bulls are making their move again. This has…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
