Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12202 tópicos neste fórum
-
A new public company with a big Bitcoin stash is pitching a bold claim. Twenty One Capital, which listed on the New York Stock Exchange on December 9, arrived with close to $4 billion Bitcoin treasury and now holds the third-largest BTC reserve among public firms. According to the firm’s CEO, Jack Mallers, Bitcoin’s role could expand far beyond a speculative holding. CEO Sees Bitcoin As A Reserve Asset Mallers told viewers on theCUBE+NYSE Wired that Bitcoin has compounded holders’ portfolios at roughly 50% a year over the past five to 10 years. Based on reports, he expects that the current $2 trillion market for Bitcoin could grow to between $20 trillion and $200 trilli…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Final Full Trading Week of the Year Until Christmas As markets enter the last full trading week of the year, many traders treat it like business as usual. But seasoned professionals know that the pre-Christmas period follows its own playbook. Liquidity thins as the week winds on, real-money flows dominate, and market behavior becomes anything but predictable. Understanding these dynamics can help traders avoid unnecessary risks—and capitalize on unique year-end opportunities. A Pre-Christmas Market Driven by Real-Money Flows Unlike typical trading weeks where speculation and new positioning drive price action, the final trading stretch before Christmas is shaped by a d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A recent technical analysis shared on X by crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader presents Ethereum’s price action on the 2-day candlestick chart as a textbook example of Wyckoff accumulation. In his assessment, Ethereum has already moved through several key stages of the model and is now approaching a powerful expansion phase, provided the structure stays intact. Wyckoff Accumulation Structure Taking Shape On Ethereum Chart Over the past several days, Ethereum has traded between roughly $3,050 and $3,400, repeatedly failing to secure a sustained move beyond either boundary. At the time of writing, Ethereum’s price action is trading around $3,100. This prolonged standoff ha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A mining company based in Utah says it has discovered a massive deposit of rare earths and several other critical minerals — one that could become one of North America’s most significant shovel-ready projects. Ionic Mineral Technologies — also known as Ionic MT — revealed last week that assays from its fully permitted Silicon Ridge project in Utah confirmed it as a halloysite-hosted ion-adsorption clay (IAC) system, which, compared to the conventional “hard-rock” geological system, is easier to extract minerals from. According to the company, IAC represents the same geological formation that supplies approximately 35-40% of China’s total rare earth production and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Veteran market trader Peter Brandt has reignited debate around XRP after issuing sharp remarks about the token’s most loyal supporters. Drawing from a career that spans more than five decades, Brandt grouped XRP alongside silver when describing markets where bullish belief often holds firm despite repeated price swings and long periods of disappointment. According to people familiar with his comments, Brandt grounded his criticism in personal trading history. He said he has handled thousands of contracts across commodities, equity benchmarks, and digital assets, and argued that the “perma bulls who I find most uneducated and biased are those who trumpet Silver and XRP,”…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Many retirees assume that enrolling in Medicare means the majority of their healthcare expenses will be fully covered. Unfortunately, that misconception leads to unwanted surprises and major financial strain at a time when medical needs usually rise. Understanding what Medicare covers, what it does not, and how those gaps affect long term retirement planning is essential for anyone who wants to protect their savings and maintain financial independence. What Medicare Actually Covers, And Where the Biggest Gaps Lie Medicare is divided into multiple parts, each addressing specific categories of care. Part A covers hospital stays, skilled nursing for short periods, and some h…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Equinox Gold (TSX, NYSE-A: EQX) has sold its Brazilian operations to China’s CMOC Group in a deal worth over $1 billion, the company announced in a press release on Sunday. The assets included in the sale are Equinox’s 100% interest in the Aurizona mine in Maranhão, the RDM mine in Minas Gerais, and the Bahia complex, consisting of the Fazenda and Santa Luz mines. Together, they are expected to deliver 250,000–270,000 oz. of gold production this year, according to company guidance. The total consideration comprises an upfront cash payment $900 million due on closing, plus a contingent cash payment of up to $115 million linked to the mines’ production, due one year…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Practically all participants in the currency market watched the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday evening. However, the market mainly focused on the FOMC's interest rate decision, the "dot plot" graph, and Jerome Powell's speech. In doing so, it completely overlooked another event that was perhaps less significant but still interesting. On Wednesday evening, the FOMC committee decided to reappoint all 11 presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks for a second term. What could be so important about this event? Quite a lot. Recall that in 2025, a full-blown war broke out between the Fed and Donald Trump. The President desperately demands a reduction in interest rates to lev…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bank of England may implement another round of monetary policy easing in 2025, following the Federal Reserve's lead. However, this will mark the fourth rate cut for the BoE this year (the FOMC has reduced rates three times). It is worth noting that at the beginning of the year, Andrew Bailey repeatedly stated that the central bank planned four rate cuts, so there is little left to fulfill this "plan." The British central bank could have cut rates at its last meeting in early November. However, the "hawks" prevailed in the vote, 5-4. Market participants expected more "hawks" to vote on the MPC, so immediately after the November meeting, expectations of a December rate …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Many market participants viewed the week as an important test for the dollar. Essentially, it was a test. However, it did not hinge solely on the Federal Reserve meeting and the easily predictable interest rate decision. Instead, it was about the market's reaction itself. Recall that after the last two rounds of monetary policy easing, new downward waves followed. A downward wave in instruments like EUR/USD (or GBP/USD) means a strengthening of the U.S. currency. Therefore, if we had observed a new decline in both instruments on Wednesday and Thursday, it would have been clear that the market continues to play by its own rules. This time, however, demand for the U.S. doll…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The best times for the European currency are ahead. Since 2008, the euro has depreciated against the US dollar and concluded this process only in 2022, briefly falling below the price parity. Thus, the decline of the euro lasted a long 14 years. During this period, the European currency lost about 1.5 times its value. While this may seem modest, it is significant given the 14-year duration. However, it is believed that the upward trend began in 2022 and could also last a decade. Consequently, the long-term prospects for the euro appear bright. As traders, we are more interested in short-term trends. Over the past five months, we have witnessed the construction of correcti…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound remains in a far more vulnerable position compared to the euro. If you compare any two charts of the euro and the pound over the past few months, you will see that the British pound has fallen more sharply than the euro. We will not discuss the reasons for this disparity now, as that is history. Instead, let's talk about the chances of the pound continuing to rise against the US dollar. In the euro currency outlook, I mentioned that the European Central Bank meeting should not be taken lightly. While it is possible that no significant decisions will be made and Christine Lagarde may refrain from issuing forecasts for 2026, the likelihood of a rate cut fo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US dollar and upcoming US reports will be the market's primary focus. However, this time, significant events also take place in the EU and the UK. In most cases, the market trades the dollar, while the euro and pound remain spectators in the theater, but there are important events everywhere. The Federal Reserve has lowered the interest rate three times at the end of 2025, but demand for the currency has weakened only slightly in response. In my opinion, the market has not yet fully absorbed these three monetary policy easings, and it seems to have forgotten about the potential "shutdown" and its possible resumption in February 2026. Therefore, I believe that the news…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The new week will be significant for traders of the EUR/USD pair. While the overall economic calendar is not packed with significant events, the market's focus will be on two reports capable of shaping the medium-term trend: the US NFP and the CPI growth report. Typically, these reports are not released in the same week. Nonfarm Payrolls are published at the beginning of each month, while inflation data comes about 14 days later. However, the 2025 shutdown has muddled the timelines. Due to the 40-day US government shutdown, the BLS is releasing statistics with delays. For instance, we'll only learn the October data on labor and inflation. Nonetheless, these reports hav…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair showed no notable movements on Friday, with overall volatility for the day at just 31 pips. The only macroeconomic event of note on Friday was German inflation, but we had already warned that market reactions to the report could be minimal. The reason is that inflation in many countries is published in two estimates. The market reacts to the first, while the second rarely differs from the first and is typically ignored. Thus, it can be concluded that there were no significant events on Friday, and the pair's movement throughout the day fully aligned with the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop. From a technical stand…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair saw a slight downward correction on Friday, as shown on the hourly chart. The upward trend remains intact, as the British pound actively rose on Wednesday and Thursday. Thus, a small correction on the last day of the week was expected. Additionally, the British macroeconomic backdrop, as is often the case, left much to be desired. While industrial production volumes in October increased more than expected (by 1.1% instead of 0.7%), GDP for the same month came in at -0.1% against forecasts of +0.1%. Therefore, this set of reports cannot be regarded as entirely positive for the British pound, and it failed to support the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair traded much more calmly on Friday than on Wednesday and Thursday, as shown in the illustration below. The volatility on the last trading day of the previous week was a mere 31 pips. Essentially, we once again witnessed a complete lack of movement in the market. This is not surprising, as there were virtually no significant events on Friday, and traders had already fully adjusted to the Federal Reserve meeting results by Thursday. Moreover, it cannot be said that volatility was excessively high on Wednesday and Thursday; yes, it was above average, but not extraordinarily so. Hence, we reiterate that market activity is currently quite low. Can anyt…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair experienced a slight pullback on Friday after rising on Wednesday and Thursday, but overall, we can draw similar conclusions as for the EUR/USD pair. The defining moments will take place next week, not the previous one. Firstly, this is due to the macroeconomic data coming from the US. Secondly, it is related to the Bank of England meeting. Unlike the European Central Bank, the BoE has not succeeded in bringing inflation down to its target level, which is nearly the same across central banks at 2%. Inflation in the UK is almost double the target level, and assessing the trend based on a single report is considered inappropriate. Yes, last month t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price corrected gains and traded below the $90,000 support zone. BTC is now rising and might struggle to clear the $90,500 zone. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $92,500 zone. The price is trading below $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $90,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $90,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Aims Fresh Increase Bitcoin price failed to gain strength for a move above the $92,000 and $92,500 levels. BTC started a downside correction and traded below the $90,500 support. The p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,120. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to start a recovery wave above $3,200. Ethereum started a downside correction from the $3,250 zone. The price is trading below $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,175 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,050 zone. Ethereum Price Dips Toward Support Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,180 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,150 and $3,120 to enter a short-term bearish zone. T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.00. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.020 resistance level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.00 zone. The price is now trading below $2.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $1.950. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.120 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.050 and $2.020. There was a move below the $…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Deal Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart for EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility and exclusively sideways on Friday. This market behavior is not surprising, as we see a prolonged upward trend on the hourly timeframe, while the daily timeframe remains in a flat range. Consequently, movements in general remain weak. Last week, on Wednesday and Thursday, we witnessed a notable rise in the pair, which was driven by significant events such as the FOMC meeting and its subsequent implications. During those two days, volatility inevitably increased. However, on Friday, we observed a return to the previous state. Once again, there were no movements in …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Deal Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart for GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair experienced a slight correction on Friday, within an upward trend that has been developing for several weeks. The macroeconomic and fundamental backdrop was absent, as the market rested after the important Fed meeting and prepared for an even more significant week, during which the long-awaited reports on the labor market, unemployment, and inflation will be published in the US, along with the inflation report, unemployment report, and the Bank of England meeting in the UK. As we can see, this week will feature not just important, but super-important events, so there are good grounds to expect higher vol…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1400 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1400. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1400 level. The price is trading below the $0.1380 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1375 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1400 and $0.1420. Dogecoin Price Dips Further Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.1420, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1400 and $0.1380 suppor…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for today. Essentially, the only notable report is the Eurozone industrial production report. It is not the most secondary report, but it is certainly far from the most important. If the reaction to the Federal Reserve meeting last week resulted in movements of 60-80 pips, what can we expect from the Eurozone's industrial production? We believe that this report will not significantly impact the EUR/USD pair today. The calendars of macroeconomic and fundamental events in the UK, EU, and US are empty. Analysis of Fundamental Events: Several fundamental events are scheduled f…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
