Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12202 tópicos neste fórum
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The euro and the British pound maintain their prospects for further gains against the US dollar. The Japanese yen appreciated significantly today, as traders believe the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates this week. Meanwhile, statements from Federal Reserve officials at the end of last week did not help the US dollar, so the chances of further growth in risk assets remain quite good. Traders are closely monitoring any signals that may indicate a change in the Fed's monetary policy, and in the absence of convincing arguments for maintaining a tight stance, the strengthening of risk assets may continue. Technical analysis also indicates potential for growth. The break…
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Bitcoin fell back to around $87,500, but it once again saw strong buying interest, keeping the chances of a bullish BTC rally alive for the end of this year. Ethereum also remained above $3,000, which allows for hopeful sentiment, though these hopes are fading day by day. Meanwhile, Strategy is expected to report new BTC purchases today. Yesterday, Michael Saylor published a BTC purchase tracker, after which Strategy typically reports BTC purchases the following day. It's worth noting that publicly traded companies that are actively buying Bitcoin now hold over 5% of its total supply on their balance sheets, with Strategy alone holding 3%. Against the backdrop of a decli…
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On Friday, stock indices closed sharply lower. The S&P 500 fell by 1.07%, while the Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.69%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged by 1.51%. Futures on US stock indices have risen slightly with the start of a new week after concerns about tech company profits and significant investments in AI prompted another sell-off on Wall Street last Friday. However, this rebound should be viewed with caution given the ongoing uncertainty regarding interest rates and the economic outlook. Investors remain concerned that the Federal Reserve may be slow to lower rates, especially if inflation does not continue to decrease steadily toward the target level. …
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Deal Analysis and Tips for Trading the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price level at 1.1736 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair rose by 15 pips. Statements from Federal Reserve officials at the end of last week did not support the US dollar, leaving the euro well-positioned for further gains. Overcoming significant resistance levels will allow the upward trend to continue today, as the overall picture suggests favorable conditions for further strengthening of risk assets. Today, fresh data on the German wholesale price index and information on changes in industrial produ…
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Deal Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3362 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the pound. As a result, the pair decreased by more than 17 pips. Long positions on the bounce from 1.3345 allowed for an additional profit of about 20 pips from the market. The pound only slightly declined against the US dollar. This relative stability of the British currency can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the market has already partially priced in expectations regarding a further pause in the Bank of England's rate-cutting cycle, as high inflation in the UK…
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Deal Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 155.85 coincided with the MACD indicator beginning to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the dollar. However, after a decline of 10 pips, the pressure eased at the end of the week. The US dollar showed resilience against the Japanese yen at the end of last week amid cautious remarks from Federal Reserve officials. These statements essentially kept the possibility of further monetary policy easing open, although the timing of the next easing has become unclear. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains in demand, as was evident during today's Asian session. The …
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[XPD/USD] With all technical conditions supporting the strengthening of XPD/USD, then the probability of strengthening will dominate the movement of XPD/USD throughout today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1603.40 2. Resistance. 1 : 1561.36 3. Pivot : 1526.29 4. Support. 1 : 1484.25 5. Support. 2 : 1449.18 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If XPD/USD breaks above 1526.29, it has the potential to test the level at 1561.36. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1561.36 is surpassed, there is an opportunity for XPD/USD to reach 1603.40. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of XPD/USD declines and closes below 1449.18.…
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[Platinum] With all technical conditions supporting the strengthening of Platinum, there is a wide opportunity for #PLF to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1856.0 2. Resistance. 1 : 1809.5 3. Pivot : 1755.5 4. Support. 1 : 1709.0 5. Support. 2 : 1655.0 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #PLF breaks above 1755.5, it has the potential to test the level at 1809.5. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1809.5 is also breached, then there is potential to move toward 1856.0. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Platinum declines and breaks below 1655.0. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 1758…
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The Australian dollar started the new trading week on a negative note. This time, it was let down by China, which published relatively weak macroeconomic data today. It's worth noting that last week, the Aussie came under pressure following a disappointing employment report. The total number of employed people in Australia unexpectedly decreased by more than 20,000, contrary to optimistic forecasts (most analysts had predicted a gain of 20,000 jobs). The structure of this component only exacerbated the situation: the full-time employment indicator plummeted to -56,500, while part-time employment increased by 35,000. This is a negative signal, as full-time positions of…
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If anyone believes in symbols, now is the time to sell the S&P 500. Shares of Cisco, a leader among Internet companies in the 1990s, have returned to their record levels. Its collapse became emblematic of the dot-com bubble. Since then, the stock has struggled to recover, and only in 2025 did it find its moment again. The fundamental valuation of today's tech companies is as high as that of their predecessors. Will history repeat itself, causing the broad stock index to plunge into another wave of sell-offs? S&P 500 Price-to-Forward Earnings Dynamics Disappointing earnings reports from Broadcom and Oracle continue to stir investor sentiments and prompt exits fr…
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Last week, there were some intriguing developments regarding several cryptocurrency companies. It was revealed that the US banking regulator (OCC) has conditionally approved applications from Ripple, Circle, BitGo, Paxos, and Fidelity Digital Assets to obtain the status of national trust banks. This decision could significantly alter the landscape of the crypto industry in the US. Achieving national trust bank status opens up a range of advantages for these companies, including the ability to interact directly with the Federal Reserve and reduced regulatory costs. Additionally, it greatly enhances their credibility with both institutional and retail investors. One key …
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Recent days have presented a true test for traders and investors, as global financial and technological markets have been engulfed in instability, reflecting a wide array of economic, political, and technological trends. Bitcoin is undergoing a sharp correction, losing almost a third of its value and triggering a wave of liquidations, despite ongoing interest from institutional players. At the same time, gold is hitting multi-week highs amid the Fed's easing policies, raising concerns about overheating in the precious metals market. In the technology sector, a new confrontation is rapidly unfolding as China reduces its lag behind the US in the race for leadership in art…
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Last Friday, the dollar continued to face difficulties in pairs with risk assets, as buyers were not very convinced by the statements made by representatives of the U.S. Federal Reserve. According to comments by Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Beth Hammack, it is clear that she would prefer somewhat tighter interest rates to further put pressure on inflation, which remains too high. "Right now our policy is close to neutral," Hammack said on Friday during an event in Cincinnati. "I would prefer to take a somewhat more restrictive stance in order to continue exerting pressure on the inflation component of the central bank's mandate," she added. However, despite s…
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The U.S. dollar continues to face difficulties that are entirely related to the Federal Reserve's dovish stance at the end of this year. However, not all of its representatives share this approach. Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee said late last week that he expects more interest rate cuts in 2026 than many of his colleagues, but expressed disagreement with a possible rate cut in December, as he would like to wait for additional inflation data. "I am not hawkish on interest rates for next year," Goolsbee said on Friday. "I'm one of the more optimistic people about how much rates could come down next year." Such statements, even if they still sound i…
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As we edge closer to the holiday season, the crypto market is once again painting the charts red: a pattern many traders have come to recognize in recent years. On December 15, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::be…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday pulled back to the support level of 1.3352–1.3362 after rebounding from the 1.3425 level on Thursday evening. Today, a consolidation of quotes below this level would increase the likelihood of a continued decline toward the next corrective level of 61.8% – 1.3294. A rebound of the pair from the 1.3352–1.3362 level would favor the British pound and the resumption of the bullish trend toward the 1.3425 level. The wave picture turned bullish two weeks ago. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, while the most recent downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thus, the trend currently remains bullish. Th…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Weighed Down by Softbanks 6% Drop Most Read: The Bank of Japan's FX Intervention: Mechanism, Impact, and Historical Precedent The Nikkei dropped by more than 1% on Monday as its technology stocks fell, following a similar decline on Wall Street due to ongoing concerns that tech company valuations are too high (an "AI bubble"). The two largest companies dragging the index down were SoftBank Group and the chip-testing-tool maker Advantest (a key supplier to Nvidia). These two stocks alone accounted for the majority of Nikkei's total decline, with SoftBank falling 6% and Advantest tumbling 6.4%. However, the broader index, the Topix, actually ros…
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Hashdex is out with its 2026 crypto investment outlook, and the vibe is pretty clear: stop treating crypto like a weird side-bet and start treating it like… an allocation. The firm’s CIO Samir Kerbage says “most investors” should be thinking in the 5–10% range, framing it as a pragmatic response to a messier macro regime (sticky inflation risk, debt burdens, the 60/40 portfolio looking less like a law of nature and more like a historical artifact). Look, you can debate the exact number, but Hashdex’s point is that the underweight has become the active decision. Crypto is now “well above $3 trillion” in market cap and about 1% of the global investable market by its math—m…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued to trade above the 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718, while also rebounding from it. This rebound allows traders to expect a continuation of the rise toward the next Fibonacci level of 23.6% – 1.1795. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1718 would favor the U.S. dollar and a modest decline toward the support level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The most recently completed downward wave failed to break the low of the previous wave, while the latest upward wave (which is still forming) has broken the previous high. Thus, the trend has officially shifted to bullish. It would be hard t…
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As the new week begins, crypto news today continues to cause fear and uncertainty in the market, with Bitcoin dropping -0.8% overnight and losing its crucial $90,000 support level. The fear and greed index remains firmly in the ‘extreme fear’ zone at 16, as traders continue to lose hope amid this longstanding bearish price action. According to CoinGlass data, over $293M in leveraged positions has been wiped out over the last 24 hours, with $231M from long trades and $62M from short trades. This indicates bears are in control, but bulls remain optimistic and are still attempting to go long in the market. (SOURCE: CoinGlass) Many are left wondering whether this price a…
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As the eventful year of 2025 draws to an end, crypto analysts are looking into what the Dogecoin price could hold for investors going into the end of the year. One of these analysts is BitGuru, who shared an interest in the Dogecoin price chart, highlighting the next possible roadmap that the meme coin could take. With the possibility of a bounce rising, the next targets have become increasingly important to identify in order to maximize gains. Why The Dogecoin Price Could Recover Quickly BitGuru’s analysis focuses on the rising demand surrounding the meme coin after finding support from the recent crash. The Dogecoin price had stopped above $0.13, suggesting that the de…
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At the start of the new week today, the GBP/USD pair is attempting to attract buyers, although it lacks bullish confidence, despite holding above the key support levels of the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). The U.S. dollar failed to extend its modest rebound from a more-than-two-month low on Friday and remains the key factor supporting the GBP/USD pair. Dollar bulls have been reluctant to open new long positions amid expectations of further easing of U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy. Despite the Fed's cautious hints last week, traders continue to price in the possibility of two rate cuts next year, as signs of weakenin…
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Due to very low volatility, suitable entry points using the Mean Reversion strategy never materialized. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded only the Japanese yen. Eurozone industrial production data showed growth of 0.8%, while economists had expected an increase of just 0.1%. But who needs October data when it is already mid-December? As a result, the euro did not react to them at all. However, clear certainty regarding the future policy of the European Central Bank gives the euro an advantage against the U.S. dollar. Later today, U.S. figures for the Empire Manufacturing Index and the NAHB Housing Market Index are expected. A speech by FOMC member John Williams will a…
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Trade Breakdown and Tips for Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1745 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Eurozone industrial production volume data came out above economists' forecasts. However, the market seemed more focused on the upcoming meeting of the European Central Bank and expectations regarding the future course of monetary policy. Given the recent weak industrial indicators and high inflation in this sector, the report slightly reassured investors who are concerned about the future of the eurozone's manufacturi…
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Trade Breakdown and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3371 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 15 points. The absence of UK data supported the pound in the first half of the day. However, the euphoria was short-lived. The strengthening of the British currency encountered a number of restraining factors, including ongoing uncertainty regarding economic prospects and expectations of further steps from the Bank of England. Investors are also exercising caution while assessing the potential impa…
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