Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12202 tópicos neste fórum
-
Trade Breakdown and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen The test of the 155.28 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for buying the dollar. However, losses were recorded on the trade, as the dollar failed to rise. Given the current macroeconomic environment, investors and traders will continue to closely monitor every economic indicator that can shed light on the state of the U.S. economy. The Empire Manufacturing Index, which reflects manufacturing activity in New York State, is one such indicator. A drop in this index below the expected level may indicate a slowd…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Fortuna Mining (TSX: FVI) (NYSE: FSM) is hunting mid-tier gold assets and pushing ahead with new projects to restore its 500,000-ounce annual output target after divesting mines in Burkina Faso and Mexico The Canadian precious metals miner sold its Yaramoko mine in Burkina Faso and the San Jose operation in Mexico this year, exiting short-life, high-cost assets but cutting production in the process. It has since moved to rebuild its pipeline through new partnerships, including a joint venture with DeSoto for exploration in Guinea and a larger stake in Awalé Resources, a West Africa-focused explorer operating in Ivory Coast, as rising gold prices spur dealmaking ac…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Strategy chair Michael Saylor signaled that his firm may add to its Bitcoin holdings just as the market slid again on Sunday, a move that kept traders on edge and fed fresh debate over what is driving the declines. Back To More Orange Dots According to a post on X, Saylor shared a chart with the phrase “Back to More Orange Dots,” a shorthand that investors interpret as fresh buying. Based on reports tracked by SaylorTracker, Strategy bought 10,624 BTC on Dec. 12 — its biggest single purchase since late July. The firm now holds about 660,624 BTC, which at current prices is worth roughly $58.5 billion, and its average cost per coin stands at $74,696. Sunday Wick, Low…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
How’re my Aave Crypto ghosties doing? I was thinking of selling my AAVE (been holding since like $50) and using the proceeds to max out on .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
US stocks end week with losses The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices posted notable declines over the past trading week, falling by 1.07% and 0.69%, respectively. Market pressure intensified amid heightened concerns about the future path of US interest rates. Investors are becoming more sensitive to macroeconomic data that could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions. Any signals pointing to a prolonged period of tight monetary policy are perceived negatively, particularly against the backdrop of slowing global economic growth. Additional uncertainty stems from expectations surrounding upcoming macroeconomic releases, including inflation and labor market data. Investors…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What’s next for Trump’s crypto, and is the US economy in trouble? Kevin Warsh’s name shot to the front of the Fed race in a single trading session, catching markets mid-stride. Polymarket odds vaulted from 13% to 36% after reports that President Trump has narrowed the field to two men: Kevin Hassett and Warsh. The market still gives Hassett the edge at 56%, but the swing toward Warsh signals that traders believe Trump may prefer a more aggressive rate-cut advocat, “Warsh was at the top of my list,” Trump told the Wall Street Journal, adding that the next chair must cut rates immediately. (Source: Polymarket) So who the heck is this Warsh guy? And how will all of this i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US mining sector enters 2026 at a pivotal moment as geopolitical pressures and 2025 policy shifts begin to reshape permitting, investment and national security priorities. While some expect a rapid rebound, Debra W. Struhsacker, consultant to the Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration (SME), cautions that decades of restrictive policy will slow the pace of recovery. More than 30 years of legislation and land-use limits, she says, have hollowed out the industry, making progress incremental rather than explosive. Momentum is building, but rebuilding foundations will take time. The effects of President Trump’s executive actions this year are expect…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Young Hoon Kim — a social-media personality who describes himself on X as the “IQ 276” holder — said XRP could rise to $100 over the next five years, offering a fresh bullish target that drew a mix of enthusiasm and criticism across Crypto Twitter. Kim Doubles Down On XRP “Based on my personal view, XRP could potentially reach $100 over the next 5 years. (NFA/DYOR),” the superbrain posted via X on Dec. 14. The post showed roughly 133,300 views. Notably, Kim didn’t stop at the five-year call, either. In an earlier post on Saturday, he said: “In my view, XRP has a strong possibility of reaching a new ATH by the end of this year.” Neither post included a detailed metho…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Silver futures price has torn through every major resistance level this year, delivering one of its strongest annual performances in more than a decade. And it sucks, because the only time silver got a headline that I saw is when they called it the “Devil’s metal”. Meanwhile, every ATH for .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.pos…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It couldn't get worse. Bitcoin's consolidation is dragging on, and time is not working in favor of the bulls in BTC/USD. According to Glassnode, unrealized losses have jumped from an average of 2% to 4.4%. This indicates that the cryptocurrency's rally is being exploited by trapped buyers near record highs to liquidate losing positions. The potential for a rebound in this digital asset is limited, while the likelihood of continued downward movement appears much more probable. Bitcoin's dynamics and unrealized losses The bulls' desire to get rid of losing long positions in BTC/USD can explain why Bitcoin is ignoring positive news. This includes Michael Saylor's record p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum (ETH) has entered another period of tight price compression, a phase that has left traders split between expectations of a renewed rally and concerns about a deeper correction. As of December 15, the Ethereum price trades near the $3,100 level, drifting sideways after several failed attempts to reclaim higher resistance zones. The narrowing range reflects hesitation across the market, with declining volumes, mixed technical signals, and contrasting institutional activity. Despite modest intraday fluctuations, Ethereum’s broader structure shows a market waiting for direction. Trading activity has slowed compared to earlier in the year, suggesting reduced specul…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Market Insights Podcast (15/12/2025): Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they discuss the latest in central bank monetary policy, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, Friday's sell-off in US equities, the US dollar, and more. Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto pundit Crypto Wimar has explained why the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices crashed, highlighting the continuous selling pressure. The crypto market is also at risk of further downward pressure due to macro factors such as the impending Japan rate hike. Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Crashed In an X post, Crypto Wimar revealed that Wintermute has dumped 40% of its holdings over the last three weeks, which has contributed to the crash in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices. The crypto pundit further noted that the market maker is still dumping millions in BTC and ETH on Binance, which puts these coins at risk of further declines. The Bitcoin, Ethereum,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The interest rate cut expected from the Bank of England this week is limiting the British pound's further upward potential and is also prompting investors and traders to consider whether the monetary policy easing cycle may be nearing its end, almost a year and a half after it began. The 25-basis-point rate cut expected on Thursday, which would bring the Bank of England's base rate down to 3.75%, could negatively affect the pound in the short term. However, the rate would already be one to two cuts below the level that a number of experts—including Governor Andrew Bailey—consider to be the UK's neutral interest rate. For this reason, attention will shift to the Bank of E…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The yen strengthened again against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of Japan pointed to further progress on wages, a key factor that effectively confirms the need for an interest rate hike at the meeting scheduled for this week. The report shows that, despite U.S. tariffs, the trend toward rising wages remains intact. "In most reports from the head office and regional branches, it was noted that companies expect wage increases in fiscal year 2026 at roughly the same pace as in fiscal year 2025, when strong wage growth was recorded," the Bank of Japan said in a report published on Monday. The market reacted swiftly to these signals, interpreting them as a harbinger of furth…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
ETHEREUM is trading around $3,125 above the 21 SMA around the 2/8 Murray support, with a slight recovery after reaching the psychological level of $3,000. In the coming hours, Ethereum could continue its rise and could reach $3,200. It could even gain bullish momentum and could reach the 3/8 of Murray around $3,437. If Ethereum reaches the strong resistance zone around $3,437, which also coincides with the top of the uptrend channel around $3,500. If the price settles below the zone of the 200 EMA, it could be seen as an opportunity to open short positions. On the other hand, if ETH trades below the 21 SMA and below the 2/8 Murray, we could expect it to continue its bear…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $89,797 within the uptrend channel formed since November 24, rebounding after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel at the 2/8 Murray line located at $87,500. Bitcoin could continue its rise in the coming days until it reaches the top of the uptrend channel around $98,700. The key would be to wait for the Bitcoin price to consolidate above $90,000 and above the 21 SMA located at 90,467. If this scenario occurs, we could look for opportunities to open long positions, with targets at $93,750 and finally at $98,000. On the contrary, if Bitcoin breaks sharply and consolidates below the uptrend channel and below $87,000, we could expect the price…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Li-FT Power (TSXV: LIFT) has significantly expanded its presence in Quebec with a proposed acquisition of Australia’s Winsome Resources (ASX: WR1) and a deal to grab a majority stake in a project held jointly by Azimut Exploration (TSXV: AZM) and SOQUEM. In a statement on Monday, the Canadian lithium developer said it has signed a binding scheme implementation deed to acquire all issued shares of Winsome, offering 0.107 of a common share for each Winsome share acquired. This exchange ratio implies a per-share value of A$0.501 for Winsome, calculated using a five-day volume-weighted average price for Li-FT shares on the TSX Venture Exchange. The per-share considera…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is trading around $4,329, forming a double top pattern after reaching last week's high of around $4,350. Gold could undergo a technical correction in the coming days and could reach the bottom of the bullish downtrend channel around $4,160. As long as the price remains below $4,350, it could be seen as an opportunity to open short positions with targets at $4,300 and the 21 SMA located at $4,270. Moreover, we could even expect gold to reach the strong support zone around $4,218. On the contrary, if gold breaks decisively above $4,350, it will be exposed to strong resistance around $4,375, where the 8/8 Murray is located. This zone could be seen as a signal to enter s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.1752, close to its high reached last Friday and showing signs of exhaustion. EUR/USD is trading around its high reached on Friday. EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion as it is close to the 5/8 Murray resistance level, which is acting as a barrier. If the euro continues to rise in the coming hours, it should attempt to break through the top of the uptrend channel around 1.1780 and also break above the 5/8 Murray level, which could be seen as a positive sign. Hence, EUR/USD could reach the 6/8 Murray level around 1.1840. On the contrary, if the euro falls below 1.1760, we could expect a technical correction, and…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP has spent the past several weeks moving sideways around the $2.00 level, even as headlines around Ripple and the broader XRP ecosystem continue to stack up. Related Reading: Dogecoin Holds Demand Zone Above $0.13, What A Bounce Would Do From a $300 million venture fund expansion into South Korea to nearly $1 billion in spot ETF inflows and fresh regulatory approvals, the backdrop appears supportive on paper. However, price action tells a different story. Instead of responding to institutional traction and regional growth, XRP remains locked in a tight range, reflecting a disconnect between developments and market behavior. Institutional Growth Isn’t Translating…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It is hard to believe that less than four years ago, AVAX USDT was trading in the triple digits, at an all-time high of $158. Since that day in early 2022, Avalanche crypto has fallen by -91%, with today’s -4.2% drop the latest bloodbath for the Layer-1 blockchain project. During its height, AVAX was also a top 15 token by market cap, but has since dropped to 32nd, with a valuation of $5.3Bn, a fall from grace as the token was once valued at over $30Bn. A recent alliance with the US SEC has the Avalanche crypto community hoping that favourable oversight could rescue their token from the depths of hell. Market Cap…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The week ahead is critical for shaping the dollar's next move. After the FOMC cut rates by 25 basis points last week, the dollar weakened against most major currencies, and markets are now waiting for the release of data that had been delayed by the shutdown. On Tuesday, labor market reports for both October and November will be published, followed by inflation data on Thursday. These releases will allow markets to reassess both the outlook for the dollar and the Federal Reserve's next steps. The rate has now been cut for the third consecutive time, which Powell describes as "risk management." But what risks are actually being referred to? Markets are currently pricing in…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave count continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but over the past few weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any global corrective wave, as it clearly has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. The downward wave structure that started on September 17 took the form of a five-wave pattern a–b–c–d–e and has been completed. The instrument is now in the process of forming a new upward wave sequence. Of course, any wave structure can become more complex and extended…
Last reply by Ben Graham,