Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Asia Market Wrap - US Rate Cut Bets Boost Equities Asian markets got a boost on Monday as hopes for lower interest rates eased worries about the US economy, though doubts about the long-term reliability of US policies lingered. Wall Street dropped on Friday due to higher US unemployment and slower job growth, increasing hopes for a Fed rate cut to help the economy. While the weak data raised concerns about stock prices, it also strengthened belief that the Fed might step in to keep the recovery going after three months of rising stocks, fueled by confidence in the economy handling President Trump's tariffs. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index (excluding Japan) rose 0.7%, helpe…
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Asia Market Wrap - Alibaba on a Roll as Nikkei Slips Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Eyes Weekly Close Above $3400/oz on Renewed Haven Demand and DXY Weakness Stock markets in Asia generally went down after technology stocks fell in the US on Friday. Companies that make computer chips were hit the hardest, causing Japan's stock market to drop. Hong Kong's market, however, did the opposite and went up. This was because the stock price for the company Alibaba jumped dramatically, which also helped boost the value of other artificial intelligence companies like Baidu and Tencent. The drop for other major chipmakers, such as Samsung and SK Hynix, happened after the United States…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stock Rally Takes a Breath Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says Asian stock markets took a pause on Thursday after their recent surge, as investors waited for new reasons to buy. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen faced significant selling pressure, especially against the euro and Swiss franc. The broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan) slipped by 0.1%, coming after a very strong period of rallying over 5% this month and 9% this quarter. Japan's Nikkei index was up slightly by 0.2%, having jumped 7% this month and 13% this quarter. Chinese stocks were the best performers: the CSI300 ind…
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Asia Market Wrap - Softbank Surges 11%, Nikkel Rallies 1.8% Most Read: USD/JPY: Current JPY weakness is driven by short-term sentiment as it disconnects from US-Japan yields The Japanese stock market, particularly the tech-focused Nikkei index, soared to record highs on Thursday, largely fueled by excitement over robotics and Artificial Intelligence (AI). The main driver of the rally was SoftBank Group, an index heavyweight, whose stock jumped over 11%. This surge came after the investment giant announced it had purchased the robotics business of Switzerland's ABB, reinforcing its strategy to combine robotics and AI. Although the initial announcement was overlooked, in…
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Asia Market Wrap - OpenAI Boosts Asian Tech Sector Asian stock markets moved significantly higher on Thursday, fueled by a major rally in technology shares. Japan's Nikkei index gained more than 1%, led by chip sector companies, despite facing headwinds from a stronger yen against the dollar. Elsewhere, the tech-heavy stock market in Taiwan jumped 1.8%, and South Korea's KOSPI index shot up an impressive 2.8%. The boost in South Korea came after chip giants Samsung and Hynix announced new partnerships to supply data centers for OpenAI. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index also added 1.6%. This widespread enthusiasm drove the broader MSCI Emerging Markets Asia Index up by as muc…
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Asia Market Wrap - Tariffs Bite Asian shares are on track for their worst week since April after the U.S. imposed heavy tariffs on a number of trading partners. On Thursday, President Donald Trump signed an order imposing tariffs of 10% to 41% on U.S. imports from other countries. Key rates include 25% on India’s exports, 20% on Taiwan’s, 19% on Thailand’s, and 15% on South Korea’s. Tariffs on Canadian goods rose to 35% from 25%, except for items under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade deal. Mexico was given 90 days to negotiate a broader trade agreement before higher tariffs take effect. Global markets reacted, with the MSCI All Country World Index dropping 0.1%. Asian…
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Asian Market Wrap Asian stock markets dipped after reaching a nearly four-year high on Tuesday, as investors awaited corporate earnings and monitored US tariff talks. MSCI's broad Asia-Pacific index (excluding Japan) hit its highest level since October 2021 earlier in the day but later fell by 0.4%. The index has gained almost 16% this year. close Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) …
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Market participants were expecting an upbeat start to the week on the hope that trade deals might finally be announced as the Trump administration deadline of July 9 approaches. However, President Trump adopted a confrontational stance once more by announcing that the US will begin issuing tariff letters to countries as early as Monday. Most Read: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns There has been some mixed comments from the Trump administration though, with Commerce Secretary Lutnick saying tariffs are to take effect from August 1. Is this another case where the Trump administration will delay the implementation of tariffs or just mi…
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Asia Market Wrap - India Tariffs Kick In, Australia CPI Surge Most Read: NVIDIA (NVDA) Earnings: Navigating the Blackwell Supercycle Amid Geopolitical Crosscurrents Asian stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday as investors awaited an earnings report from AI giant Nvidia, which could influence market sentiment in the short term. There were gains for Asian tech shares with China's AI leader Cambricon jumped 8.2% to a record high after posting its best-ever profit. Nikon shares surged 21% as Ray-Ban maker EssilorLuxottica considered boosting its investment. Overall, Asian tech stocks rose by up to 0.7%. In China, new data showed that industrial companies' profits droppe…
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Most Read: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns Asian stock markets remained steady despite the latest update on US President Donald Trump's tariff plans. On Tuesday, the dollar stayed strong, and oil prices dropped. In the US, stock prices fell after Trump sent letters to 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, announcing much higher tariffs on imports. However, the start of these tariffs has been delayed until August 1. close …
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Asia Market Wrap - Trump and FED Battle Heats Up The Asian session saw a shaky start as US President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social account that Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook will be removed effective immediately. The immediate reaction saw a gauge of the US dollar retreat as much as 0.3% and gold rose as much as 0.6% to around $3385/oz. The US dollar recovered some losses, and gold gave up some gains after Cook announced she wouldn’t resign. Asian stocks dropped 0.7%, and futures for US and European stock markets also declined. Short-term Treasury yields fell, signaling increased expectations of a Fed rate cut next month. Meanwhile, 30-year yields ro…
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Asia Market Wrap - China, Hong Kong Shares Slide Most Read: Nikkei 225: Bullish reversal above 45,000, no negative impact from BoJ’s ETF unwind Following a technology-fueled surge on Wall Street, Asian stocks were trading near a record high, although shares in Hong Kong and mainland China declined. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index pulled back from its earlier highs to trade mostly flat. Stocks in Hong Kong fell 1% as the city was dealing with its most severe typhoon since 2018. However, shares of Asian companies that are involved in making computer chips rose, which was a reaction to the news that Nvidia has invested in OpenAI. There was no cash trading of U.S. government b…
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Markets are back on edge this morning thanks in part to rising tension between the US-Iran. Safe havens are once again experiencing inflows with Gold hitting an Asian session high around $3377/oz. For more, read Asia mid-session: Safe haven resurgence with Gold resuming bullish move close Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) …
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Asia Market Wrap - Tech Stocks Drag Indexes Lower Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Hovers at $3350/oz, Russia-Ukraine Developments in Focus Global stocks took a break after a record run, as a big drop in major tech companies pulled markets down. Futures suggest more losses ahead. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index (excluding Japan) fell over 1%, Japan's Nikkei dropped 1.7%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Tech Index lost 1.3%. Big names like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing and SoftBank were among the biggest losers. Market participants pulled back from tech stocks, which have been leading the market, worried that the rally since April has gone too far, too fast. RBNZ Deliver Dovish Rat…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Take a Breath After Record Rally Most Read: Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500 Asian stocks had a mixed day, moving between small gains and losses. This happened as investors waited for the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, with many expecting the central bank to cut interest rates for the first time this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index initially fell but then recovered to gain 0.1%. In Hong Kong, Chinese technology stocks soared to their highest level in four years, driven by growing excitement and demand related to artificial intell…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Extends Gains, President Trump Signs Executive Order on Japan Deal Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Cable Recovers but the Outlook Remains Murky. WIll NFP Data Serve as a Catalyst? On Friday morning, the positive feeling from a strong day on Wall Street carried over to Asian stock markets. This happened because new information continues to show that the U.S. job market is slowing down, which makes investors more confident that the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates this month. As a result, Asian stocks rose by 0.7%, and stock markets in mainland China also bounced back after they had dropped on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.9% a…
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Asia Market Wrap - Positive Sentiment Wanes A seven-day global stock rally slowed down in Asia as uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rate cuts made investors more cautious. The MSCI All Country World Index dropped 0.2% as Asian stocks ended their longest winning streak since January. Hong Kong shares fell 1.1%, and Japan’s Topix index slipped 0.8% after hitting a record high on Thursday. Strong US jobs data on Thursday weakened the argument for Fed rate cuts. While no rate cut is expected at next week’s Fed meeting, expectations for further cuts this year have dropped to less than two after jobless claims fell for the sixth week in a row. Fi…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Cautious Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Asian stock markets showed mixed results on Tuesday, ultimately struggling to gain ground as optimism about potential US-China trade talks was offset by doubts about whether the two nations could reach a lasting agreement. Initially, broader Asian indexes saw some gains, but those quickly faded to trade flat. A new front in the trade war opened as the US and China began imposing port fees on shipping firms. Consequently, markets like Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropped 0.4%, and mainland Chinese blue-chip stocks slipped 0.1%. However, some markets were booste…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks on Course for Solid Week Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? Asian stock markets were heading for solid weekly gains on Friday, largely because of growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut US interest rates soon. This positive outlook helped calm market nerves surrounding the US government shutdown, which has simultaneously pushed gold prices to record highs and caused the US dollar to weaken. Investors have mostly ignored the shutdown, which is the 15th since 1981, even though it has resulted in the suspension of financial oversight and delayed the release of crucial economic data, inc…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Advance Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Asian stocks advanced as tech stocks continue to drive the rally. It seems the deal between Advanced Micro Devices and OpenAI gave investors a boost. The MSCI Asian‑Pacific Index was up about 0.3 percent, touching a record level. Japanese shares kept climbing, while worldwide markets also nudged toward peaks. Yet worries about a US government shutdown and turmoil in France seemed to push some people toward safe assets. Gold and Bitcoin both hit fresh highs. A sign that concerns still linger? Tech firms still anchor the global rise. The AMD‑OpenAI partnership c…
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Asia Market Wrap - Tech Shares Lead the Way, SoftBank Up 9% Most Read: US CPI Preview: Implications for the DXY & Federal Reserve Major benchmarks for Japan, South Korea, and mainland China increased, while those for Australia and Hong Kong decreased. MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index was unchanged following five straight days of increases. Japan's Nikkei .N225 gained 1.2% to hit a record as tech, energy and utilities firms jumped. South Korean shares .KS11 rose 0.6%. Asian technology stocks had a strong day, thanks to a huge surge in Oracle's stock. This boosted stock markets in Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea to new record highs, even though the session was expected t…
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Friday's ecstatic trading brought all risk-assets including Equity indices, cryptocurrencies and FX currencies higher. But Participants, having time to digest the switch of tone from Powell's Jackson Hole speech over the week-end, have backed up on their euphoric pricing. Nonetheless, US Indices have made quite a move, particularly the Dow Jones making new all-time highs. The Nasdaq is trying to re-enter its longer-run upward channel, the S&P 500 retests its record highs and the US 30 made a break-retest pattern which could potentially lead to a further technical rebound. For other news, US President Trump fired FED's Cook yesterday amid mortgage fraud allegation…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for August 29 Today's session brought some extra volatility to complement a fairly dull trading week – Forex Markets had no idea of where to go, with all major pairs rangebound since the weekly open. Some month-end flows brought Silver and Gold to their highs, and since the end of the London session, Equities have sold off. Month-end profit-taking is nothing to be afraid off particularly amid ever-growing stock indices, but after a few months of (relative) calm in geopolitics, it seems that tensions are on the rise again. European powerhouses (France, Germany and the UK) are mad at Iran for not respecting atomic dea…
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Week in review Wall Street's main indexes surged on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at a possible interest rate cut during his speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The Dow Jones rose 887.83 points (1.99%) to a record high of 45,680.14. The S&P 500 gained 102.14 points (1.61%) to 6,472.31, and the Nasdaq climbed 421.85 points (2.00%) to 21,520.79. Ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were up, with consumer discretionary stocks jumping nearly 3% and communication services rising 2.3%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index soared 3.3%, while major growth stocks also saw gains, led by Tesla, which rose 5.7%. The Russell 2000 Index, which is sensiti…
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Week in review: Sentiment jumps around between positive CPI & PPI reports and major geopolitical turmoil The week began quietly across most asset classes, except for cryptocurrencies—Bitcoin surged to the $110,000 level before pulling back. Forex markets remained subdued as participants awaited key US inflation data, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. One recurring theme was the underwhelming progress in US-China talks, which yielded few concrete outcomes beyond commitments to continue discussions. We got two consecutive Inflation reports that were welcomed news for markets wi…
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