Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Tuesday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.1640 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1597 – the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly rebound upward to test the historical support level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1640 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue moving downward tow…
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The European Central Bank (ECB) was previously believed to have completed its interest rate-cutting cycle, but recent developments have introduced some doubt to that assumption. On Monday, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel commented, "We can remain in a wait-and-see mode on interest rates." No one was truly expecting further ECB cuts in the near term, as the market already believed the central bank had paused its policy tightening until at least mid-2026. So why the need for additional reassurance? Possibly because internal uncertainty has begun to grow, prompting Nagel to calm markets preemptively. While the concerns remain indirect, they are accumulating. First, t…
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When options are limited, decision-making becomes easier. In the absence of key macroeconomic statistics due to the US government shutdown, investors are forced to react to official statements and corporate earnings. While White House representatives go out of their way to cheer up the stock market, and the start of the corporate reporting season turns out to be favorable, the S&P 500 has little choice but to continue its rally. In the first week, 76% of reporting companies posted earnings that exceeded forecasts. The average beat rate is 68%, and in the previous quarter it was 73%. S&P 500 constituents are starting strong, and the surge in Apple's stock followin…
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Anatoly Yakovenko, co-founder CEO of Solana Labs, has unveiled plans for a new decentralized exchange (DEX) named Percolator, designed as a sharded perpetuals protocol built directly on the Solana blockchain. The platform aims to provide a self-custodial and high-speed solution for perpetual futures trading, allowing crypto traders to speculate on price movements without the limitation of expiry dates. Solana’s Percolator Documentation Released The documentation for Percolator was released on GitHub, where it is described as “implementation-ready.” It introduces two primary components: a Router and a Slab program. The Router manages collateral, portfolio margins, and…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 1.07%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 1.37%. The industrial Dow Jones strengthened by 1.12%. Wall Street traders continue to buy stocks amid positive signals from corporate America and hopes for easing tensions between the world's two largest economies. The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds fell by three basis points to 3.98%. Gold prices surged. Optimism in the stock market is fueled not only by quarterly earnings reports exceeding expectations, but also by growing speculation over a possible resolution to trade disagreements. The easing of tensions between the United States and China provides significan…
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Trade Review and Strategy for the Japanese Yen The test of the 150.56 level occurred while the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. Shortly after, another test of 150.56 coincided with the MACD entering oversold territory, which enabled the execution of Buy Scenario 2, resulting in a 25-pip upward move in the pair. The U.S. dollar continues to recover its losses against the Japanese yen, following last week's decline that was triggered by the Federal Reserve's extraordinarily dovish tone and escalating U.S.-China trade tensions. Investors are now reassessing the outlook for U.S. interest rates, r…
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Trade Review and Strategy for the British Pound The test of the 1.3421 level occurred while the MACD indicator was just beginning to rise from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the pound. However, the anticipated strong upward movement failed to materialize. The easing of U.S.–China trade tensions has helped the U.S. dollar strengthen, placing renewed pressure on the British pound. Investors who were previously concerned about further escalation in the trade conflict are now feeling some relief, which has led to capital flows in favor of more stable assets like the U.S. dollar. Improving global trade sentiment has also contributed to the greenback'…
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Trade Review and Strategy for the EuroOn Monday, the test of the 1.1664 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero line, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I chose not to buy the euro. The euro came under pressure earlier in the day following weak German Producer Price Index data and failed to recover during the U.S. session. Market participants responded to the negative data, leading to U.S. dollar strength and euro weakness. The absence of significant economic reports from the U.S. meant the euro had no support, and attention has now shifted to the upcoming central bank meetings, which are expected to clarify t…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum resumed their decline. After breaking the $109,500 support level during the Asian session, Bitcoin faced heavy selling pressure. Ethereum also dropped back below the $4,000 mark, raising concerns about a potential extended sell-off. Adding to bearish sentiment, a report from Glassnode revealed that long-term holders (LTHs) are still actively selling BTC. This exerts additional downward pressure on the price, signaling waning long-term confidence from experienced investors—traditionally viewed as more resilient to market volatility. The increased supply could trigger a chain reaction of further sell-offs, accelerating the bearish trend. The only fact…
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The U.S. dollar continues to recover the losses sustained last week after dovish commentary from Federal Reserve officials and a worsening of U.S.-China trade tensions. On the other hand, the euro faced pressure on Monday following the release of weak German Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Although a decline in producer inflation could theoretically support economic growth, the market instead interpreted it as a sign of slowing business activity in Europe's largest economy. This prompted a risk-off reaction, leading to U.S. dollar strengthening and euro depreciation. The absence of significant economic data from the United States further weakened the euro's position and …
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Bitcoin (BTC) started the week recovering 6% from Friday’s drop and attempting to reclaim a crucial area that could set the stage for a trend continuation. However, some analysts have advised caution as BTC’s next leg up could be delayed until December. Bitcoin To Move Sideways Until December? After the end-of-week market downturn, Bitcoin has bounced to the $110,000 level and is attempting to turn this area into support again. Notably, the flagship crypto has been trading within the $108,000-$120,000 price range since July. Last week, BTC recorded its second drop below the range lows, falling to the $103,500 mark on Friday. Over the weekend, the cryptocurrency’s price…
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[Crude Oil] – [Tuesday, October 21, 2025] Although both EMAs are still forming a Death Cross, which indicates that the bias is still weakening, the appearance of Hidden Divergence on the RSI indicates the potential for strengthening momentum to emerge in the near future. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 58.63 2. Resistance. 1 : 58.02 3. Pivot : 57.18 4. Support. 1 : 56.57 5. Support. 2 : 55.73 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If #CL breaks down and closes below 57.18, it may continue its decline toward 56.57. Momentum Extension Bias: If 56.57 is breached and closes below, #CL could attempt to test the next support level at 55.73. Invalidation Level / Bi…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, October 21, 2025] Although there is the potential for a weakening correction with the appearance of Bearish Divergence in the RSI, the condition of the EMA(50) & EMA(200) which are Golden Crosses provides an opportunity to continue strengthening. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.620 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.520 3. Pivot : 3.329 4. Support. 1 : 3.229 5. Support. 2 : 3.038 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If #NG strengthens and breaks through and closes above 3.520, it may attempt to test 3.620. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.620 is broken and closes above, Natural Gas could continue to 3.811. Invalidation Level / Bi…
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Solana started a fresh decline from the $208 zone. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $200 and might decline further below $182. SOL price started a fresh decline below $212 and $200 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a key rising channel with support at $188 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another increase if the bulls defend $182 or $175. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price extended gains above $200 and $202, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL even surpassed $210 before the bears appeared. A high was formed near $208…
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Solana’s co-founder, Anatoly Yakovenko, has quietly started building a new perpetual futures decentralized exchange, with early documentation now live on his GitHub page. The project has not been formally announced, but the public code already outlines the framework for what looks like a fully on-chain perps protocol. Under the GitHub handle “aeyakovenko,” the repository includes early design files, showing that Solana could soon expand deeper into the world of derivatives trading. The structure and language in the documentation make it clear that this DEX is being tailored specifically for Solana’s fast and scalable architecture. Inside the Code: A Peek at the Moving P…
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On October 20, 2025, VanEck submitted an S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for a new product called the VanEck Lido Staked ETH ETF. This would be the first exchange-traded fund in the U.S. to give investors exposure to stETH, which is the liquid staking token issued by Lido Finance. That token represents ether staked through the Lido protocol. The ETF is designed to mirror the economics of Ethereum staking. It would give investors access to staking rewards while still allowing daily liquidity, all without the hassle of operating validator nodes. The Mechanics Behind the Filing VanEck’s proposal outlines a fund that would track the…
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XRP price started a recovery wave above $2.40. The price is now facing resistance near $2.5350 and at risk of a fresh decline. XRP price is moving lower from the $2.5350 zone. The price is now trading above $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.420 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.5350 resistance. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price formed a base above $2.20 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.350 and $2.40 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push …
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The Bitcoin price showed some signs of recovery at the start of the week, trading above the $110,000 mark. This uptick follows two consecutive Fridays of major drops, igniting fears and uncertainty among investors. These concerns have been compounded by predictions from experts about a potential bear market on the horizon. Looming Bear Market Threat Market analyst Doctor Profit, known for his accurate forecasts regarding the recent Bitcoin price trajectory, has recently cast doubt on whether market makers will allow both retail and institutional investors to exit at more favorable prices after incurring losses. In a social media post on X (previously Twitter), he sugg…
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Macroeconomic Report Overview: No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. As such, traders are once again left to monitor comments from Donald Trump. However, the market has recently been largely indifferent to the U.S. President's remarks. Even speeches by central bank officials are currently having little impact, as markets already have a clear understanding of what to expect from monetary policymakers in the near future. The only moderate area of uncertainty lies in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook, but even that remains relatively limited. Fundamental Event Overview: Very few fundamental events are scheduled for Tuesday, and nearly…
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Monday Trade Review:1-Hour Chart of GBP/USD On Monday, GBP/USD also traded with minimal volatility and slowly declined throughout the session. In fact, this kind of movement is not surprising—and we'd even say it was expected. There were no macroeconomic or fundamental events at all on Monday. The pair had been rising for about three days as part of a new uptrend, so a minor downward correction was completely logical. On the daily timeframe, a flat range remains firmly in place, so strong volatility and clear trend-based movements are not to be expected right now. It's also worth noting that the market has been ignoring many news events—especially those that are negat…
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Monday Trade Review: 1-Hour Chart of EUR/USD On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair posted 37 pips of volatility. In short, there is little to analyze from the previous session. There were no significant or even mildly interesting macroeconomic or fundamental events throughout the day. As such, price movement was also limited. The uptrend on the 1-hour timeframe remains intact after breaking through another descending trendline, but once again, we observe a lack of enthusiasm from traders to buy the euro or take any decisive action. This suggests that while the upward movement may continue, it is likely to be extremely sluggish. On the daily timeframe, price remains l…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $3,950. ETH failed to clear $4,050 and recently started a fresh decline below $4,000. Ethereum started a fresh recovery above $3,880 and $3,980. The price is trading below $3,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $3,960 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,840. Ethereum Price Fails Again Ethereum price started a decent recovery wave above the $3,800 resistance, like Bitcoin. ETH price surpassed the $3,880 and $3,980 levels to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even cleare…
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Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $108,000 and $108,500. BTC tested $111,800 and is currently trimming recent gains. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $108,000 resistance level. The price is trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line with support at $108,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $110,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Trims Some Gains Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $105,500 resistance. BTC was able to surpass the $107,500 and $108,500 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above …
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After the massive crash on October 10 – which saw Bitcoin (BTC) touch $102,000 before recovering some losses – some analysts now predict that the top cryptocurrency may be on the verge of another bullish rally as it enters the ‘disbelief phase.’ Bitcoin In Disbelief Phase – Trouble For Bears? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, Bitcoin appears to be entering the disbelief phase, which increases the possibility of a rebound to the upside. The contributor emphasized the slightly negative funding rate to support their analysis. For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin disbelief phase occurs when a new uptrend begins, but most investors remain skepti…
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On-chain data shows the Ethereum MVRV Ratio has just given a signal that last took the cryptocurrency’s price from $3,300 to $1,400. Ethereum MVRV Ratio Has Formed A Death Cross In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has appeared for Ethereum in the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio. This on-chain indicator measures the ratio between the ETH Market Cap and Realized Cap. The Realized Cap here is a capitalization model for the cryptocurrency that calculates its total value by assuming the ‘real’ value of each token in circulation is equal to the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain. Since the last transaction…
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