Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Gold prices continue to rise, directly linked to expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve. However, many other factors are also providing strong support for the metal. As the data shows, in August, the People's Bank of China increased its gold reserves for the tenth consecutive month, continuing to diversify its holdings by reducing the share of US dollars. This strategic decision is part of a broader dedollarization trend seen in several countries seeking greater financial independence and protection against dollar exchange rate fluctuations. The data indicate that China is not alone in its pursuit of gold. Many central banks worl…
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Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.3506 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward with a target of 1.3469 – the 21-day EMA (black thin line). Upon testing this line, the price may begin moving upward with a target of 1.3486 – the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downtrend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3506 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward with a …
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The USD/CHF pair is trying to rebound from the 0.7950 level but so far without success. The U.S. dollar has been attempting to find support from buyers since the start of the new week, partly offsetting losses after the disappointing U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report, which came in weaker than expected and pushed the currency to its lowest level in more than a month. In addition, the generally optimistic risk sentiment in markets typically reduces demand for the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency, creating favorable conditions for USD/CHF growth. However, the dollar's strengthening potential is limited by expectations of more decisive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.…
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Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) may be forced to make expensive downstream investments in Guinea as the military-led government pushes for local refining tied to the giant Simandou iron ore project. Authorities in the West African nation, which seized power in 2021, have demanded that miners present firm plans to build domestic processing facilities. Officials argue that smelters and refineries are essential for Guinea to capture more value from its resources and to drive broader economic development. The policy echoes a broader resource-nationalism trend across Africa, where governments are pressing companies to process minerals locally. In Guinea, the world’s second-larges…
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Most Read: Markets Today: Japan PM Resigns, Gold Above $3600/oz, China Exports Miss Forecasts, FTSE 100 Holds at Support Oil prices have risen as much as 1.8% at the start of the week as Oil pares last week's losses. The rally this morning has come as a surprise to some quarters after eight OPEC + members agreed to lift output by 137,000 bpd from October. However, the move by OPEC + was seen as more modest than expected and thus saw market participants shrug off the potential consequences. On top of that, markets are focused on the possibility of more sanctions on Russian crude.after Russia hit Ukraine with its biggest air attack since the start of the war. For now, conce…
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The EURUSD is seeing a modest bounce from Friday’s closing levels. Recall that the pair surged sharply on Friday but gave back some of those gains into the close. That late-session correction dipped to the top of a key swing area between 1.16920 and 1.17028, where buyers stepped in. In early trading today, the low once again held against that support before rotating higher. On the hourly chart, the European morning rally extended toward another important resistance zone—defined by swing highs from August between 1.1730 and 1.17419. Sellers leaned against the upper edge of that area, with the session high stalling at 1.17421. The pair is now trading back within the zone ne…
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Most Read: WTI Oil Rallies 1.8% as Russian Supply Concerns Outweigh Modest OPEC + Output Hike Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been moving higher at a grind since the beginning of September and is up nearly 2% over the last two days. Friday saw a significant spike for Bitcoin in a similar manner to Gold and other US Dollar denominated assets, but in the case of Bitcoin, the gains were surrendered before the end of the day. Whales are Offloading Coins at the Fastest Pace Since 2022 According to @caueconomy on X and on-chain data, in the last thirty days, whale reserves have fallen by more than 100,000 BTC, signaling intense risk aversion among large investors. This selling pressur…
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As Ethereum (ETH) trades slightly above $4,300, some crypto analysts opine that the cryptocurrency’s current trend shows enough structural health. However, they also caution that a lack of funding rates across exchanges means low demand for ETH, which may limit its breakout momentum. Ethereum’s Latest Rally Shows Structural Strength According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, Ethereum’s funding rates across exchanges are relatively muted when compared to the digital asset’s last three major highs. For instance, during the first major high in early 2024, ETH funding rates across crypto exchanges had surged to 0.8, suggesting excessive long po…
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Michael Saylor’s Strategy Inc., formerly known as MicroStrategy, added 1,955 Bitcoin between September 2 and 7, spending $217.4M – but will this acquisition go long? According to new filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the latest purchase brings the firm’s total holdings to 638,460 BTC. The average price of the new batch was $111,196 per coin. Across all purchases, the company’s average cost stands at roughly $73,880 per Bitcoin. The episode underscored Strategy’s reliance on Bitcoin as a financial anchor, setting it apart from peers tied more closely to traditional equity benchmarks. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Bitcoi…
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SwissBorg has confirmed a serious breach that led to the loss of around $41 million worth of Solana. The issue came from its SOL Earn product, where users lock up their SOL to earn rewards. The funds were taken from the platform through a compromised API tied to a third-party staking provider. SwissBorg says about one percent of user accounts were directly impacted, but the total amount lost adds up to about two percent of the company’s overall assets. Breach Traced to Staking Partner Kiln The breach wasn’t due to any failure in SwissBorg’s core systems. Instead, the attackers found a way in through Kiln, a third-party provider responsible for staking infrastructure. The…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair resumed its upward movement on Monday, but volatility throughout the day was low, and the only more or less significant report on German industrial production provoked no market reaction at all. By the start of the US trading session, the price returned to the 1.1750–1.1760 area, which it had already traded around on Friday, but once again failed to break through it. Thus, the upward trend remains, but breaking through the 1.1750–1.1760 area is still needed for a further, quite logical strengthening of the European currency. In our view, the market still has enough reasons to keep selling off the dollar. However, we …
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The US dollar is under heavy pressure, as yet another set of extremely weak labor market data has led to a revision of Fed rate forecasts—now, it's expected that the rate will be cut three times before year-end. There are also growing concerns about whether the Fed can maintain its independence, as Trump is actively trying to reshape the Board of Governors to secure decisions from the Fed that align with his new economic policy. It goes without saying that if the Fed starts doing what Trump wants, this would automatically mean a sharp rise in the risk of losing control over inflation. The Fed is attempting to preserve financial stability even in the face of a looming rece…
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Meme coins rarely stay quiet for long, and the latest craze is happening around Little Pepe ($LILPEPE). The Little Pepe presale has already reached $25M, with over 98% of tokens sold and the price doubling from its initial level. That kind of momentum puts the project clearly on the radar of traders chasing the next 100x opportunity. Unlike many meme coins that rely solely on hype, Little Pepe incorporates utility into its design. The team has developed its own Layer 2 blockchain that offers near-instant transactions, no trading taxes, and security measures to prevent bots and rug pulls. With a CertiK audit and an ecosystem plan that features a meme launchpad named ‘Pep…
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The 12-hour Dogecoin chart shared by the analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) maps a textbook Adam and Eve double-bottom that has been forming since early August. The left trough (“Adam”) is a sharp V-shaped selloff into the swing low at $0.18864. The second trough (“Eve”) is a broader, rounded base carved through late August and early September, with price repeatedly defending the lower-mid range around the $0.20–$0.21 band that aligns with the 0.136 Fibonacci retracement at $0.19976 and the 0.236 level at $0.20836. How High Can Dogecoin Go Short-Term? In classical charting, an Adam and Eve is a two-stage reversal structure: a fast, vertical capitulation (Adam) followed …
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A Bitcoin farm in Missouri is cooking up a rare stew: ranching, Bitcoin, and a freedom-driven community. At the center of it is Ryan Cooper — a rancher, libertarian political candidate, and community builder who has become one of the key figures driving the orange signal forward in St. Francois County. I had the chance to sit down with Ryan for a full-length conversation, which turned into an hour-long YouTube interview. In it, he opens up about his path to Bitcoin, his faith, his family, and the vision he has for the ranch. It’s well worth a listen for anyone curious how grassroots sovereignty really works in practice. link to youtube From Politics to Pastures Ryan …
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There's no defense against a crowbar—except another crowbar. The return of financial markets to a world ruled by raw power has pushed EUR/USD below 1.17. Geopolitical risks continue to plague the Eurozone economy. They create uncertainty, and rising oil prices are particularly unwelcome for a region that imports most of its "black gold." Add to this the threat of snap elections in France, and the drop in the main currency pair ahead of US inflation data seemed logical. However, the US PPI data dampened the mood for the US dollar. If Moscow is not prepared to sit down at the negotiation table with Kyiv, Washington is ready for economic war. For this, it needs the support o…
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The recent movement of the USD/JPY has been very choppy as it continues to trade within a four-month-plus “Ascending Wedge” range configuration since its 22 April 2025 low of 139.89. The initial 0.8% intraday rally of the US dollar against the Japanese yen at the start of this week’s Asia session on Monday, 8 September 2025, to hit an intraday high of 148,58 has evaporated as the USD/JPY is now trading almost unchanged week-to-date as of Thursday, 11 September, at 147.40. Market participants have largely looked beyond the political uncertainty stemming from Prime Minister Ishiba’s resignation, shifting their focus to factors that could shape the Bank of Japan’s ongoin…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1690 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. In the second half of the day, everyone will be closely watching the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, both including and excluding food and energy prices. An increase in these indicators will likely support the dollar while putting pressure on the euro. The data will influence the Fed's decision as it will shed light on price trends. It's worth noting that despite a recent slight decrease in inflationary pressure, it still significantly exceeds the target level.…
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Mantle (MNT) has emerged as the top gainer in the crypto market, soaring to a new all-time high of $1.65 on September 11. The token is up 18% in 24 hours, 46% over the past week, and an impressive 65% in the last month. With a market cap of $5.3 billion and fully diluted valuation at $10.1 billion, Mantle’s surge is being fueled by its deepening partnership with Bybit. The initiative, branded as “MNT x Bybit 2.0,” introduced 21 new trading pairs against top assets like ETH, SOL, ADA, and SUI. Bybit also launched a “HODL & Earn” campaign, rewarding Mantle holders with a share of a 60,000 XUSD pool. This has led to a sharp spike in activity, with spot volume climbin…
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[Ripple] – [Friday, 12 September 2025] The Golden Cross condition of the EMAs, along with the RSI being in the Neutral-Bullish area, means Ripple has the potential to strengthen throughout today. Although there is a possibility of a correction due to the appearance of Divergence on the RSI, as long as the price does not break and close below 2.9184, Ripple remains in a bullish bias. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.0800 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.0460 3. Pivot : 2.9992 4. Support. 1 : 2.9652 5. Support. 2 : 2.9184 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Ripple's price breaks out and closes above 3.0460, it will likely continue strengthening up to 3.0800. Mom…
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Stock market rallies on Fed rate cut expectationsThe US stock market is rising amid worsening conditions in the labor market, which is fueling expectations of Fed rate cuts. The S&P 500 reached its 24th record this year, supported by increased share buybacks. Investors continue to bet that the regulator's dovish policy will support corporate earnings. Follow the link for more details. S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new records, Dow Jones dipsOn September 12, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit news historical highs, while the Dow Jones fell. Moderate inflation and rising jobless claims create conditions for a potential Fed rate cut at the next meeting. Analysts note tha…
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Week in Review - Equities with Fresh All-Time Highs Another inflation print from the US and focus still remains on the labor market where unemployment claims saw a significant spike this week. This leaves the Fed in a position where anything but a rate cut next week could send markets spinning. Inflation data this week did flash some warning signs. Looking at the data, tariff driven price pressure leaks through the economy, though it looks different across categories. Food prices seem to climb a bit, while many non‑essential items are easing. Yet the worry for a typical Fed watcher is not the direct cost of imported goods. It is more about the rise in service costs tha…
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The EUR/USD currency pair is likely to continue its upward movement during the upcoming week. Making such a forecast is very easy, even for a beginner. Just open the daily chart and see where (and how fast) the pair is moving in 2025. After all, shouldn't trading follow the trend? So even if the euro dips a little next week, it won't change the overall outlook—there's simply no reason to expect dollar strength. Remember, there are several global reasons for the dollar's decline. The first is that the "dollar trend" lasted 16–17 years, and everyone knows that everything in the economy is cyclical. For example, from 2000 to 2008, there was an "euro trend," from 1992 to 2000…
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Overview: The US dollar begins the important week quietly but heavier against all the G10 currencies, led by sterling. It is pushing against the $1.36 cap that has blocked the upside over the past couple of months. All but a few emerging market currencies also enjoy a firmer tone today. The Mexican peso has recorded a new high for the year as the greenback slips toward MXN18.40. The appeals court ruling on President Trump's firing of Federal Reserve Governor Cook may come today ahead of the tomorrow's start of the FOMC meeting, which is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bp for the first time this year. Equities are mostly higher. There were a few exceptions in the Asia …
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