Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On Monday, the euro failed to hold above the MACD line—the day closed with a black candlestick below this line, although there has been no firm consolidation yet. Tuesday began with upward momentum. The Marlin oscillator is rising, reflecting the current state of uncertainty. If the price starts to drift along the indicator line, the sideways uncertainty may persist up until the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. To avoid a confirmed consolidation below the MACD line—which would reinforce the bearish scenario—the price must close today above this line. Such price action would support a continuation of the neutral sideways trend, with the price caught between the MACD lin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, trading volume in the British pound was below average. While the price did not rise, it also showed no eagerness to decline. It is clear that the market is awaiting Wednesday's release of the U.K. inflation data before making any decisive moves. On the daily timeframe, the MACD line has moved even closer to the key support level at 1.3369, thereby reinforcing it. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has been moving sideways for four days. If the price tests the support at 1.3369, there is a high probability of a rebound upward within the ongoing consolidation. On the four-hour timeframe, the 1.3369 level is also reinforced by the MACD line, this time fro…
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Following a three-day upward correction, Bitcoin failed to reach the target resistance at 111,904—likely due to the increase in strength of this level provided by the daily MACD indicator line. Today began with a confident decline. The Marlin oscillator, remaining in negative territory, has turned downward. This likely marks the beginning of a new bearish phase, with the nearest target at 102,698. A consolidation below this level would further extend the decline toward the second target at 98,124. On the four-hour chart, the MACD line prevented the price from fulfilling the target level. Now, the price is attempting to move further away from it to the downside. The Marl…
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The GBP/USD currency pair showed no meaningful movements on Monday. In this article, we focus on upcoming events that could (theoretically) influence the pair's direction. "Theoretically," because for the past three weeks, the market has been actively ignoring many factors that typically work against the U.S. dollar. Simply put, if the dollar had been falling these last three weeks, we would consider it entirely justified. However, the British pound, like the euro, remains stuck in a flat range on the daily timeframe. From its current levels, GBP/USD could still fall another 250 pips and stay within the bounds of this flat market. And once the flat range is over, a new tr…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded with weak volatility on Monday, which came as no surprise given the complete absence of macroeconomic and fundamental events throughout the day. As forecasted, volatility was low. Therefore, there is essentially nothing new to add to previously published analyses. Any kind of U.S. dollar strength at this point seems illogical—especially on a Monday lacking any justification for USD gains, with ongoing protests and unrest across the United States aimed at Donald Trump. Given this, the only logical step today is to look ahead at upcoming events for the rest of the week and attempt to assess what to expect. First, let's clarify our technical …
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Analysis of GBP/USD – 5M Timeframe On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair remained stagnant throughout the day. There were absolutely no macroeconomic or fundamental events, and, even under such quiet conditions, volatility remained extremely low. Over recent months, volatility has been steadily declining, signaling reduced trader activity—something quite typical during flat market phases. It's worth noting that both the euro and the pound are in a sideways trend on the daily timeframes. Within such a flat range, price movements can be completely unpredictable. This week may bring notable events for both the pound and the dollar, but traders will have to wait. While inf…
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Analysis of EUR/USD – 5M Timeframe The EUR/USD currency pair exhibited virtually no trading activity on Monday—literally. There are days when the market is sideways, and then there are days when the market is completely inert. Yesterday was one of those days. No macroeconomic reports were published, no fundamental events occurred, and even the latest rhetorical jabs from Donald Trump directed at China failed to revive trading activity. Traders have become increasingly indifferent to statements from the U.S. President, having realized that Trump changes his stance as often as the wind. As a result, there was no reason for traders to enter the market. Technically, the n…
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The Ethereum network was built to democratize a finance platform where anyone, anywhere, could deploy code and create value. With no centralized oversight, ETH has become a stage where builders and grifters coexist, each leveraging the same tools of decentralization to vastly different ends. Can Ethereum Evolve Beyond Its Culture Of Exploitation? Ethereum has always been more than just a cryptocurrency. It’s a programmable, open finance framework that allows anyone to build and exploit ETH. According to AdrianoFeria’s post on X, this openness has enabled innovation and also allowed countless grifters to accumulate vast amounts of ETH by selling low-quality tokens and NF…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum rose after US President Donald Trump confirmed a meeting with China’s leader during the APEC summit on October 31. Based on reports, Bitcoin climbed nearly 4% while Ethereum gained about 5% and traded around $4,030. The whole market added roughly $100 billion in value in a short window, according to market watchers. Insider Whale Bets And Mixed Positions Reports have disclosed that an insider whale opened $255 million in long positions across Bitcoin and Ethereum. At the same time, the same trader put on a $76 million short on Bitcoin with 10x leverage. The moves look like a bet on swings in price rather than a single directional stake. Observers n…
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Solana (SOL) is back on the front foot after a choppy week, trading near $194 and holding a critical support band at $175–$186 that has repeatedly attracted dip buyers since August. Price reclaimed the $190–$193 area after a sharp bounce from trendline support, with traders now eyeing a clean break over $200 to flip momentum. On the charts, Solana remains inside a descending channel of lower highs and lows, but a sustained move above $202–$211 (a confluence of the 20/50-day EMAs and key Fibonacci levels) would mark a structure shift and open upside targets at $221–$222, then $235 and $250. Volume Pops, Open Interest Climbs, Institutions Accumulate Bullish undercurr…
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A single glitch in Amazon’s cloud sent shock waves across the internet and reignited questions about whether decentralized Web3 systems could hold up better. Amazon Web Services (AWS) suffered a major outage on Monday, knocking offline a wide range of apps and websites around the world. The disruption hit platforms such as Reddit, Roblox, and Coinbase, as well as several UK government and banking services. According to Amazon’s service update, the problem began in AWS’s US-East-1 region in Northern Virginia and was linked to a Domain Name System (DNS) issue affecting DynamoDB endpoints. AWS said engineers fixed the core problem early Monday morning Pacific time but c…
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TradFi just put a $110M bet on Berachain putting BERA crypto squarely on institutional radar. Greenlane Holdings (Nasdaq: GNLN) has announced a $110M private placement to launch “BeraStrategy,” a new digital-asset treasury that will make BERA the native token of the Berachain network its main reserve asset. The PIPE deal, led by Polychain Capital and joined by Blockchain.com, Kraken, North Rock Digital, CitizenX, and dao5, is expected to close around October 23. Once complete, it will mark the first time a US public company establishes a Berachain-backed treasury. The structure includes about $50M in cash and another $60M in BERA tokens, contributed by investors thr…
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A rare signal from a legendary market analyst has caught traders’ attention as the Ethereum and Solana price begins to show potential reversal signs. With the broader crypto market still in a slump, a subtle alert from the inventor of one of the most respected technical indicators has analysts wondering whether a major shift is about to unfold in ETH and SOL. Bollinger Inventor Signals Ethereum And Solana Price Explosion John Bollinger, technical analyst and inventor of the world-famous Bollinger Bands indicator, has shocked the broader crypto community after identifying potential “W” bottoms forming on the Ethereum and Solana charts. In his market commentary on X socia…
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Buyers fully absorbed Thursday's modest correction, reversing the previous pullback and resuming the upward trend. Persistent uncertainty surrounding global trade, rising geopolitical risks, and growing concerns over the prolonged U.S. government shutdown—which may impact key economic indicators—are all providing a bullish foundation for gold. Additionally, market participants have fully priced in two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, which has limited the U.S. dollar's ability to capitalize on Friday's modest gains. This, along with global fiscal concerns, central bank gold purchases, and strong inflows into gold-backed ETFs, continues to support the metal's ra…
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Throughout the day, the yen failed to meet expectations for intraday gains relative to a softer U.S. dollar, as market participants focused on Japan's evolving political landscape. According to the Kyodo news agency, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Innovation Party (Ishin) are planning to form a coalition. As part of this new alliance, a parliamentary vote will be held on Tuesday to confirm Sanae Takaichi as Japan's first female prime minister. Takaichi supports the economic policies of her predecessor, Shinzo Abe, which include large-scale fiscal spending and monetary stimulus to support economic growth. She is expected to oppose further tightening by the Bank…
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The topic of a fresh round of confrontation between China and the United States has been discussed endlessly—yet there's simply no other issue commanding more attention in the market at the moment. As I've said numerous times before, the biggest problem is the lack of clarity. Market participants have no idea what kind of developments to expect. The "trade truce" between China and the U.S. is set to expire on November 10. I use quotation marks intentionally, because in reality, there is no truce. Journalists were quick to label the reciprocal reduction in tariffs a "ceasefire." But by late October, can anyone honestly speak of peace between Beijing and Washington? This tr…
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The USD/CAD pair has been trading within a clearly defined upward trend for five consecutive weeks. Key drivers include the dovish stance of the Bank of Canada, softness in the oil market, decelerating inflation, and a mixed labor market landscape in Canada. The start of the pair's current upward momentum can be traced back to the Bank of Canada's September meeting, where the central bank cut the interest rate by 25 basis points. Policymakers expressed concern over the slowing economy: GDP decreased by 1.6% year-over-year (vs. a forecasted 0.6% contraction). This marks the weakest reading in four years, since Q2 2021, when Canada's economy shrank by 3.2%. Multiple macr…
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The downgrade of France's credit rating by S&P Global Ratings came as a bolt from the blue for EUR/USD. Bulls believed the political drama had ended, but this event brought the euro back down to earth. Two of the three largest agencies have now stripped France of its double-A credit rating. Moody's is expected to release its verdict on October 24. As a result, some hedge funds with strict investment criteria are selling French bonds, causing the yield spread with their German counterparts to widen. Yield Spread Dynamics Between French and German Bonds The main indicator of risk in Europe has begun to widen again. Investors realized they had mistaken hope for rea…
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The XRP price rebounded above $2.40 to start the week as fresh fundamentals offset recent market turbulence. Ripple is widening its institutional footprint, acquiring GTreasury to plug XRP and tokenized assets into corporate cash, liquidity, and risk workflows. Similarly, reports point to a planned $1billion digital-asset treasury initiative centered on XRP accumulation and liquidity support, alongside new partnerships such as Absa Bank in South Africa and collaborative pilots with DBS Bank and Franklin Templeton. Even the policy backdrop is heating up as a formal petition filed with the SEC argues for a macro framework where XRP acts as a neutral, institutional settle…
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Dogecoin is regaining its spark as technical indicators flash signs of renewed bullish momentum. Following a prolonged consolidation and a notable correction to $0.095, the popular meme coin is now showing encouraging signs of recovery. A quiet yet steady breakout in its price structure, supported by an RSI breakout from an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, points toward strengthening market sentiment. Dogecoin’s Price Action Aligns With RSI Breakout Targets Trader Tardigrade, in his recent analysis of Dogecoin’s 4-hour chart posted on X, emphasized that the popular meme coin is maintaining a solid uptrend after a quiet but meaningful breakout. The move reflects growin…
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Most people are familiar with gold and silver as symbols of wealth, but fewer understand the science behind the metals that safeguard retirement portfolios. Alloys play a central role in the strength, durability, and purity of precious metals, especially those used in a Gold IRA. Understanding how metals are combined and refined helps retirees choose the highest quality bullion for long-term protection against inflation and market uncertainty. Understanding Alloys and Why They Matter for Precious Metals Investors An alloy is a mixture of two or more metals that are combined to enhance specific characteristics, such as hardness, color, or corrosion resistance. When metals …
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Gold set a new record on Monday, rebounding from Friday’s drop, as uncertainty over US-China trade talks as well as expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut fueled demand for the safe-haven metal. Spot gold rose as much as 2.9% to $4,380.89 an ounce, surpassing its all-time high from last week before the selloff. US gold futures jumped over 4% to nearly $4,400 an ounce, also a new high. Click on chart for live prices. Prices are now up more than 65% so far in 2025, underpinned by soaring demand for havens in the face of geopolitical and trade tensions, rising fiscal and debt levels, and threats to the Federal Reserve’s independence. The Monday rally comes …
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Forex Stop Hunts Explained What is the best way to trade If there’s one forex trading tip that can truly transform how you see the market, it’s this: The forex market is driven by a constant quest to run stops. That statement may sound bold, but for many experienced traders, it’s one of the most powerful truths about how price action really works. Understanding the role of stop runs or “stop hunting” can give you a clearer perspective on why markets behave the way they do and help you stay on the right side of the trade. The reason this article focuses on the forex market is because it has the most universal price feed, meaning anyone looking at a chart can agree more…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 20 US and global stocks rose sharply on Monday, driven by optimistic investor sentiment as they look forward to a week packed with earnings reports from major American companies. All three major US indexes, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq, gained more than 1%. The S&P 500 increased by 1.1%. Loop Capital, the latest business to cite strong iPhone demand patterns, raised Apple's shares to buy, helping the company set its first record in 2025. A barometer of technology megacaps rose 1.6%. The Russell 2000 index of small businesses rose 1.9% The mood among investors is very positive, despite two major risks: th…
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave structure (see second chart), but over the past few weeks, it has become more complex and ambiguous (see first chart). The pound has declined too sharply, so the trend segment that began on August 1 now looks uncertain. The first idea that comes to mind is the complication of the presumed wave 4, which is taking a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also consisting of three smaller waves. In that case, a decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels could be expected. However, the downward wave structure that began on September 17 has already taken a three-wave form. From here, two scenar…
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