Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12304 tópicos neste fórum
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The GBP/JPY pair opened the new trading week with a bullish gap, reaching the July 2024 high near 200.35 during the Asian session. However, after hitting the daily high, the pair pulled back and is now trading below the psychological level of 200.00. The broad weakening of the Japanese yen is linked to news of the unexpected resignation of Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, which acted as a catalyst for GBP/JPY's rise. At the same time, domestic political turmoil outweighs the impact of the U.S.–Japan trade agreement, which provides for tariff reductions and higher GDP growth forecasts for Japan in Q2. On Monday, the Japanese government reported that the economy grew …
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Crypto markets are starting the day strongly. Bitcoin is jumping above $113,000, and Ethereum isn’t far behind, slowly working its way toward $4,400. Everyone is feeling bullish once again today, as crypto is making a lot of news. Tokens like MYX Finance and HYPE by Hyperliquid drew a lot of attention. With traders feeling more optimistic, many shifted into these high-momentum projects. The overall market cap nudged up to around $3.96 trillion—about a 1% jump in 24 hours—as some are betting that a Fed rate cut could boost liquidity. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.24T24h7d30d1yAll time DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 MYX Crypto…
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Tom Lee, the Managing Partner of Fundstrat Global Advisors, CNBC, stated that Bitcoin could reach $200K by the end of this year. Known for making bold financial predictions in the past, Lee anticipates that the U.S. central bank’s upcoming interest rate cut on September 17, 2025, will trigger a surge in $BTC prices. Lee added that assets like Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum can be very sensitive to changes in monetary policy, and the upcoming interest rate cut could serve as a major catalyst for driving the price increase. According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin has risen by 1.37% in the past 24 hours, rounding off the price of one token to $112,510.63. The co…
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ECB likely on hold; markets fully priced for no move.Headline inflation path could edge up; expectations ticked to 2.5%.Activity improving (PMI > 50); base case remains status quo at a 2% deposit rate.Baseline for Thursday: hold The European Central Bank will likely keep interest rates unchanged this Thursday and leave them at their current levels. The setup is favorable: inflation now appears closer to the 2% target than the ECB’s earlier assumptions suggested, and growth prospects are gradually improving. In such conditions, policymakers can feel comfortable with the deposit rate at 2%. Market pricing and messaging Markets do not expect a cut on Thursday. In a …
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There's no defense against a crowbar—except another crowbar. The return of financial markets to a world ruled by raw power has pushed EUR/USD below 1.17. Geopolitical risks continue to plague the Eurozone economy. They create uncertainty, and rising oil prices are particularly unwelcome for a region that imports most of its "black gold." Add to this the threat of snap elections in France, and the drop in the main currency pair ahead of US inflation data seemed logical. However, the US PPI data dampened the mood for the US dollar. If Moscow is not prepared to sit down at the negotiation table with Kyiv, Washington is ready for economic war. For this, it needs the support o…
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Avalanche (AVAX) has reclaimed a crucial level as support after its recent rally, fueled by multiple bullish developments for the ecosystem. Some analysts forecast a massive rally toward the start-of-year highs if the momentum holds. Avalanche Eyes 35%-40% Rally On Thursday, Avalanche hit a seven-month high of $29.99 after breaking out of its multi-month accumulation range and turning the $26.50 resistance into support for the first time since February. The cryptocurrency has been rallying over the past few days, currently printing five consecutive green candles in the daily timeframe. Analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted that AVAX had been pushing on the key resista…
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[Chainlink] – [Friday, 12 September 2025] With the EMA(50) positioned above the EMA(200) which indicating a Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area, Chainlink is likely to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 24.84456 2. Resistance. 1 : 24.51180 3. Pivot : 23.91681 4. Support. 1 : 23.58405 5. Support. 2 : 22.98906 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price successfully breaks and closes above 23.91681, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 24.51180. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24.51180 is broken and closed above, the price could test the 24.84456 level. Invaldation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weaken…
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Raoul Pal’s latest “Journey Man” episode brings back Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, for a sweeping tour of the liquidity landscape that has propelled risk assets like crypto for nearly three years. Both agree the global liquidity cycle is “late,” still advancing but increasingly mature, with its eventual peak most likely pushed into 2026 by policy engineering, bill-heavy issuance, and rising use of private-sector conduits. The investment implication running through the conversation is unambiguous: long-duration assets—crypto and technology equities—remain the primary beneficiaries of ongoing currency debasement, yet the endgame is now visible on the horizon …
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The UK labor market report came out in line with expectations, and in some aspects even exceeded forecasts. Employment increased, the number of jobless claims decreased—an indirect sign of economic revival—and wage growth remains strong, which supports inflation expectations. On Wednesday, the August inflation report will be published. After inflation rose to 3.8% y/y in July, the likelihood of the Bank of England continuing to cut rates has dropped significantly, and August is unlikely to change the bigger picture. Core inflation is expected to decrease from 3.8% to 3.6% y/y, while headline inflation is expected to rise to 3.9%, which, of course, does nothing to alleviat…
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Angola’s state diamond company Endiama has formally submitted a bid for a minority stake in De Beers, intensifying the scramble for influence over the world’s largest diamond producer as parent company Anglo American (LON: AAL) prepares to sell. The mineral resources ministry confirmed Wednesday that Endiama lodged a “fully financed offer.” Minister Diamantino Pedro Azevedo said the proposal aims to build a pan-African ownership model that prevents any single country from dominating De Beers while safeguarding its independence and competitiveness. “Our bid is designed to foster a partnership in which Botswana, Namibia, South Africa and Angola all participate mean…
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Gold is once again attracting buyers, despite the release of positive U.S. economic data, against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical risks. Earlier this week, comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pushed the U.S. dollar to a two-week high, putting pressure on gold prices. Powell sought to temper expectations of significant rate cuts, noting that overly sharp easing could leave the fight against inflation unfinished and require policy adjustments. Nevertheless, traders still expect the Fed to cut rates in October and December, following this month's 25 basis point reduction prompted by labor market concerns. This "dovish" outlook limits further dollar gain…
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Despite recent fluctuations that saw the Bitcoin price retrace nearly 6% on a weekly basis, market expert Timothy Peterson remains bullish on the leading cryptocurrency’s future. The expert, also a Bitcoin author and economist, predicts that there is at least a 50% chance that the Bitcoin price could reach a new all-time high of $200,000 by June 2026, a forecast he shared on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) on Thursday. Optimistic Projections For The Bitcoin Price Peterson’s optimistic outlook is grounded in his analysis of the Median Bitcoin Yearly Price Path chart, which suggests that October typically marks the beginning of a new upward trend for the Bitco…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rebounded from the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357 and turned in favor of the pound. Today, consolidation above the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.3524 – was recorded, which allows for expectations of further growth toward 1.3482 and 1.3528. A close below 1.3425 would once again favor the U.S. dollar and a return to the 1.3332–1.3357 zone. The wave situation remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe traders have already fully priced this in. This w…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on the first trading day of the week, which had begun on Friday. What is especially notable is the euro's rise during the Asian and European trading sessions, despite the absence of macroeconomic reports. By 2025 standards, the dollar's decline was minor—just a few dozen points. However, given the fundamental backdrop, we expect the U.S. currency to plunge at the same pace seen in the first half of this year soon. As the saying goes, trouble comes quietly. Over the past one and a half to two weeks, the U.S. dollar has been resting on its laurels. The stock market was rising, the U.S. economy was growing, Donald Trump…
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EUR/USD Yesterday's bullish impulse in the single currency proved to be weak. The price tried to move further away from the MACD line after breaking above it, but by the end of the day, the upper shadow was larger than the candle body. The Marlin oscillator stalled at the neutral zero line, and this morning even hinted at a reversal downward. The price is likely to remain in a sideways trend until the U.S. employment data is released on Friday. Even a consolidation below the MACD line (1.1708) would not be a signal for a decline toward the target of 1.1605; the market is simply waiting for Friday's data. A similar situation occurred a month ago, when the euro began to mo…
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A shutdown of the US federal government is becoming practically unavoidable as Congress is unable to reach a budget agreement. In the coming hours, a halt in federal operations may destabilize the economy, delay the release of key macroeconomic data, and increase volatility in financial markets. We analyze the causes of the standoff, potential crisis scenarios, and possible consequences for the dollar, markets, and the US economy as a whole. Latest news: talks deadlocked and political tensions rise In the final day before a potential shutdown, the situation in Washington has taken on all the signs of a major crisis. Negotiations between President Donald Trump and congre…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday. The rebound from the 50.0% retracement level at 1.3528 worked in favor of the U.S. dollar, leading to a slight decline with a close below the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. Thus, today the pair's decline may continue toward 1.3425 and even the support level of 1.3332–1.3357. A consolidation above 1.3482 would allow expectations of renewed growth toward 1.3528 and 1.3574. The wave pattern remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last high. The news background for the pound over the past two weeks has been ne…
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Trade breakdown and guidance on trading the Japanese yen The test of the 147.04 price level in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 146.66. Today's U.S. session is rich in macroeconomic reports that are the focus of investors seeking a clearer understanding of both the labor market and manufacturing. Particular attention will be given to the release of weekly initial jobless claims. Traders will carefully compare actual data with forecasts to assess the labor market's resilience and si…
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Winning Consortium Simandou (WCS), the mining company that’s developing Blocks 1 and 2 of the massive Simandou iron ore project in Guinea, has halted operations after a fatal accident killed three foreign workers. WCS, a Singapore-based firm developing Blocks 1 and 2 of the project in the Kérouané province, confirmed the incident and halted activity to review safety protocols. “Emergency procedures were immediately activated, and medical teams at the local hospital made every effort,” the company said in a statement, without providing details about the cause of the accident. The incident brings the total number of fatalities at Simandou to 14 since November 2023.…
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Bitcoin has reclaimed key levels above the $118,000 mark, shifting momentum back in favor of the bulls after weeks of uncertainty. The breakout has reinvigorated sentiment across the market, with traders increasingly confident that BTC could be on the verge of a major move. Historically, October has been one of the strongest months for Bitcoin performance, and some analysts are already calling for a massive impulse that could carry the asset toward new highs. What makes this rally especially notable is the underlying stability reflected in market data. Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights showing that Bitcoin currently sits in equilibrium, where buying and selling pre…
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Investors looking to ride the artificial intelligence wave should combine traditional tech exposure with commodities, according to Bank of America Corp. (BofA) strategists. The bank highlights that the rapid buildout of AI-driven data centers is fueling demand for energy and raw materials, particularly copper. AI’s growing appetite for copper “Artificial intelligence devours commodities,” wrote BofA’s team led by Michael Hartnett. The strategists argue that owning commodities stocks offers a cheaper, more diversified way to gain exposure to the AI boom compared to expensive mega-cap tech names. With miners already outperforming big tech benchmarks, BofA sees t…
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As the market recovers, Bitcoin (BTC) is kicking off the weekend on a positive note by reclaiming another crucial support level. Some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a new price discovery rally, which could start sooner than expected. Bitcoin Eyes Third Price Discovery Uptrend On Friday, Bitcoin jumped nearly 3% to hit a two-month high of $123,894. The flagship crypto has seen a massive recovery from last week’s correction, surging 14% from the local lows. Earlier this week, BTC reclaimed the $115,000-$117,000 area, which served as a key support zone during the early Q3 rally, before surging to the crucial $120,000 barrier on Thursday.…
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Is Mike Novogratz set to kill Robinhood market dominance? Galaxy stock price pumps high as Novogratz reveals new Robinhood rival app. Galaxy Digital launched a retail trading app that combines cash yields, crypto access, and commission-free stock trading, sending its shares higher and putting the firm in direct competition with Robinhood. Mike Novogratz’s company announced GalaxyOne, a US platform offering 4% annual yield on cash accounts, crypto trading, and fee-free access to over 2,000 US stocks and ETFs. The transition signals Galaxy changing its institutional crypto services to consumer finance. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Mike Novogratz Big Play: Ho…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.1709 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1655 – the 50% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly rebound upward toward the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1709 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue movi…
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Today, the GBP/JPY pair is retreating from a new yearly high — just above the round 203.00 level, reached earlier on Tuesday. Spot quotes show no signs of bearish pressure and are currently holding slightly above 202.50, down less than 0.10% on the day. The Japanese yen continues to show relative weakness following the unexpected outcome of Japan's leadership elections on Saturday, which brought Sanae Takaichi to power as the country's first female prime minister. Takaichi supports a "dovish" fiscal stance and is therefore expected to oppose further monetary tightening by the Bank of Japan. Alongside the overall bullish sentiment, this undermines the safe-haven yen and pr…
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