Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
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EUR/GBP Despite the pair's desperate attempt on Friday to break above the MACD line, the day closed with a black candlestick, confirming the consolidation that occurred the day before. Additionally, the oscillator line of the Marlin indicator on the daily timeframe has returned to the territory of a downtrend. There are all the initial signs of a further price decline toward the lower boundary of the price channel, in the area of the 0.8592 mark. The duration of such a move could equal half the distance between Fibonacci time lines No. 9 and No. 10, which, accounting for the weekend, points to the beginning of November. On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated…
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The GBP/USD pair experienced a moderate decline on Friday by the end of the day, though it was significantly weaker than the drop observed in EUR/USD. It's important to note that no macroeconomic reports were released in either the U.K. or the U.S. during the final trading day of the week. Market movement was primarily driven by politics, and there is no shortage of that at the moment. Donald Trump remains committed to ending the war in Ukraine, recently calling it "the ninth war he will resolve." While some may struggle to count the prior eight, this theme fits within Trump's recurring narrative that, had he been in office, events such as the Russia–Ukraine war wouldn't …
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The EUR/USD currency pair experienced a relatively unexpected decline toward the moving average on Friday. From a technical standpoint, there was nothing extraordinary about this move—it was a routine correction. If sellers manage to hold the price below the moving average, the trend may shift back to bearish, though even that would likely have no long-term implications. This is all about the daily timeframe. The "Trump Trend" began earlier this year, placing us firmly in a medium-term outlook. It's on higher timeframes like the 24-hour chart that the picture becomes clear: we are in a strong uptrend that has, over time, transitioned into a broad sideways range—or flat ma…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Friday, the GBP/USD pair experienced a minor pullback, but by the end of the day, it had recovered most of its losses. While the euro appears on the verge of canceling a barely-started bullish reversal, the pound remains confidently within its emerging upward trend. Late on Friday, the price bounced off the Senkou Span B line—a critical signal that the market is ready to continue buying. There were no notable macroeconomic events on Friday. Therefore, we continue to expect more upward movement from the British pound. None of the global fundamentals support the U.S. dollar at this point. The situation for the greenback continues to de…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Friday, EUR/USD posted a relatively strong downward movement—something that would not be expected from a single macroeconomic report like euro area inflation data. In the previous analysis, we stated that the market was unlikely to react significantly to this release, as the second estimate of inflation rarely moves markets. However, this time the data surprised: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September came in at 2.4% year-over-year, instead of the 2.3% previously reported. What does this mean? Inflation is accelerating, and the European Central Bank clearly won't lower interest rates any time soon. If inflation keeps climbing, …
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Bitcoin is trading around $107,000 after its recent flash crash, maintaining stability to prevent further decline but is yet to return to trading above $110,000. Notably, popular crypto analyst Titan of Crypto shared a detailed Gaussian Channel analysis on X that points to Bitcoin’s macro bull structure remaining intact despite short-term volatility. His post, which was accompanied by a Bitcoin price chart, shows how Bitcoin’s position relative to the Gaussian Channel offers a clear view of the ongoing cycle. Bull Market Intact Above Gaussian Channel Titan of Crypto noted that Bitcoin’s placement above the Gaussian Channel represents strength in the long-term trend. As …
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The price performance of Bitcoin over the past two weeks has been a major source of concern, as the coin’s value continues to drift away (about 15% down now) from its all-time high. As the flagship cryptocurrency slows down, the latest on-chain data suggests that a group of investors is exiting the market en masse. More Short-Term Holders Are Giving Up Their Holdings In an October 18 post on the X platform, on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed that a significant number of Bitcoin’s short-term investors have started to close their positions and realize their losses. Darkfost’s analysis was hinged on the Net Realized Profit/Loss metric, which tracks the net amount (in USD)…
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The EUR/USD pair finds itself at a crossroads amid conflicting fundamental signals. For the past two weeks, buyers have repeatedly attempted to settle the price in the 1.17 area, while sellers have defended the 1.15 zone. However, the pair has finished the past two Fridays near the middle of this range—levels like 1.1622 and 1.1653—essentially hovering within a broad channel, reacting only to strong news impulses without committing to a clear directional move. The cause? A contradictory flow of information—a bearish one offsets every bullish factor. For example, last week Jerome Powell pressured the dollar with dovish rhetoric, while Donald Trump supported the greenback…
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The U.S. economic calendar remains limited due to the ongoing government shutdown. As a result, political developments will take center stage in the coming week. Chief among them is the ongoing budget standoff between Democrats and Republicans—though at the moment, it's clear that there are no real negotiations taking place. Donald Trump's team shows no desire to reach a compromise with the opposition, instead applying pressure by threatening mass layoffs of government employees and shutting down key programs initiated by Democrats. In essence, Trump remains true to form—avoiding compromise and continuing to issue ultimatums. Over the weekend, new mass protests erupted ac…
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The upcoming U.K. economic data will be relatively scarce, but one report in particular could lend significant support to the British pound. On Wednesday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September will be published. As highlighted in recent commentary, inflation in the U.K. has been running nearly double the Bank of England's (BoE) target for some time now—and next week it could officially surpass that benchmark twofold. Annual CPI is expected to rise by another 0.2%, reaching 4.0% year-over-year. Core inflation may increase to 3.7%. This single report could lead the BoE to abandon any remaining plans for a rate cut before year-end. Though some economists still expect …
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The upcoming week is unlikely to be notable or significant for the euro. Throughout 2025, the euro has simply been drifting with the tide. The dominant driver of the market remains the U.S. dollar—it's the dollar that rises or falls, while other currencies largely move in response. At present, there is a great deal of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market. Wave structure analysis continues to show nothing more than corrective three-wave patterns that provide little clarity, as any corrective structure can extend or evolve at any moment. Currently, a downward three-wave pattern has formed, which could indicate the beginning of an upward mirror structure. However, conf…
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Saturday, October 18, a new wave of protests swept across the United States. Millions of Americans took to the streets in cities across the country under the slogan "No kings," demonstrating against the policies of President Donald Trump. In the ninth month of what Trump calls "the greatest presidency in history"—the one that has supposedly "ended nine wars" and "restored the U.S. economy"—many Americans believe democracy has been destroyed, and that Trump is laying the foundations of a new autocratic regime. Protesters voiced opposition to the political persecution of Trump's opponents, as well as the militarization of immigration enforcement, an effort that increasingly…
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At times, it feels as though Donald Trump is acting like a foreign agent with one objective—to accelerate the collapse of the United States from within. Of course, such a claim sounds absurd, given that Trump is an American citizen and owns numerous businesses across the country. But then one is left to conclude only one thing: Trump truly sees himself as the King of the United States and believes he can rule the nation unilaterally—rendering irrelevant the democratic norms that once defined American governance. American democracy, many now argue, died with Trump's second term. The Democratic Party suffered a resounding loss in the last election and no longer controls eit…
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XRP has shown some signs of recovery over the past 48 hours, climbing about 5.3 % from its recent low, according to on-chain analytics platform Santiment. The rebound comes as investor confidence appears to be returning, as it coincides with a steady rise in mid to large-sized XRP holders. Particularly, on-chain data shows that the XRP ecosystem now has more than 317,500 wallets holding at least 10,000 XRP tokens for the first time in its history. Mid To Large XRP Holders Reach Record 317,500 Wallets Despite XRP’s recent price woes alongside the rest of the crypto market, on-chain data shows that XRP’s holder base is increasing among crypto investors. Notably, Santiment…
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For retirement savers who want to stretch every dollar when converting an IRA or 401(k) into physical gold, choosing coins with lower premiums can significantly increase the total ounces acquired. Premiums influence how much actual metal goes into a self-directed Gold IRA, which affects long-term purchasing power and the ability to weather inflation or market turmoil. Understanding which coins typically cost less relative to spot can help pre-retirees and retirees build a stronger, more resilient precious metals position inside their retirement accounts. Why Premiums Matter for Gold IRA Investors Premiums represent the amount paid above the market price of gold. Even mode…
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The price of Ethereum appears to be recovering nicely over the weekend after a period of investor uncertainty. The “king of altcoins”, following what looked like an aggressive return above the $4,200 level earlier this week, is now lagging under the psychological $4,000 mark. While the Ethereum price has been building some positive momentum over the past day, the shadows of the October 10 downturn still seem to be weighing on investor sentiment. A market phenomenon known as the “Kimchi Premium” suggests a few tedious weeks ahead for the second-largest cryptocurrency. What Happened Last Time Kimchi Premium Saw A Similar Surge In a recent post on the social media platform…
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A well-known crypto analyst is urging investors to rethink the old trade of gold for Bitcoin, calling current market signals a rare buying window. According to CryptoQuant author Joao Wedson, a set of bottom signals in the BTC/Gold ratio are flashing, and that could mark a turning point in how the two assets move against each other. Rare Signals Point Toward Bitcoin Wedson’s chart shows two tags — one blue and one green — that line up with a normalized oscillator he says is at a low. According to him, the blue tag marks a bottom in the BTC/Gold ratio while the green tag appears when both indicators reach lows together. When that has happened before, it often came a…
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NextSource Materials’ (TSX: NEXT) graphite mining operations in southern Madagascar have not been impacted by the ongoing political situation, and shipments of its graphite products are proceeding as planned, the company confirmed. The East African nation is currently in political turmoil following a military takeover that ousted President Andry Rajoelina. The upheaval began with youth-led protests against economic hardship and corruption, which were then joined by an elite military unit, leading to Rajoelina’s impeachment and flight from the country. According to NextSource, mining and processing activities at its Molo mine are continuing under normal conditions,…
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A $450M plan to build a 450-foot statue of Prometheus on Alcatraz Island has been pitched by Ross Calvin, a Bitcoin mining entrepreneur, marking one of the most ambitious monument proposals in recent memory. According to Bloomberg, the concept formally titled The Great Colossus of Prometheus on Alcatraz would feature a towering nickel-bronze sculpture and a high-tech museum dedicated to innovation and entrepreneurship. The project’s estimated height would surpass that of the Statue of Liberty, standing as a symbol of “human triumph” and the spirit of self-sovereignty that crypto advocates often reference. Alcatraz, once a notorious federal prison and now part of the US…
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Is Keir Starmer coming for your crypto? UK crypto tax raid fears grow, as HMRC crypto tax letters are distributed to 65,000 British crypto traders. The UK crypto tax authority, HMRC, has doubled the number of crypto warning letters it sends, signaling a tougher approach to undeclared digital-asset gains under the new government. According to a Financial Times report, HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) has issued about 65,000 “nudge” letters to residents suspected of under-reporting crypto profits for the 2024–25 tax year, more than twice the 27,700 sent the year before. The campaign is meant to push more investors to voluntarily disclose their gains as HMRC gains deeper a…
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The Trump administration is ratcheting up government ownership in mining companies that are nominally Canadian, raising questions about whether Ottawa plans similar investments. Trump has ordered his Department of War to take a 10% stake in Trilogy Metals (TSX, NYSE American: TMQ) and help fund South32 (ASX, LSE, JSE: S32), joint partners of the Arctic copper-zinc project in Alaska. That follows a 5% US government stake announced this month in Lithium Americas (TSX, NYSE: LAC), which is developing the $3 billion Thacker Pass project in Nevada. Trilogy and Lithium Americas are based in Vancouver. “The funny part is, they’re not Canadian because all their assets are…
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Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoin stash lost more than $20 billion as markets pulled back this month, erasing a chunk of paper wealth tied to the anonymous founder’s early coins. The drop came after Bitcoin skimmed record highs and then tumbled in a fast, wide sell-off that hit many traders and funds. Satoshi’s Holdings And Recent Value Change According to on-chain tracking and Arkham-linked estimates, the set of addresses attributed to Satoshi contains about 1.096 million BTC. That pile of coins reached a peak valuation above $136 billion when Bitcoin traded at just over $126,000 in early October. Reports have disclosed that the same stash is now roughly $20 billion smaller i…
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In the last week, Bitcoin prices fell from around $115,000 to below $105,000 amid a widespread crypto market correction. According to prominent market analyst Burak Kesmeci, several on-chain developments unfolded during this price decline that are now indicative of the present market and potential price movements. Bitcoin Metrics Flash Extreme Fear, But Local Bottom May Be Near In an X post on October 18, Kesmeci reports that Bitcoin’s on-chain landscape has flashed a series of key signals that generally suggest heightened fear and potential accumulation opportunities in the market. The analyst shares recent developments from seven important on-chain metrics during Bit…
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One of the largest banks in Africa, ABSA Bank, is partnering with Ripple to provide custodial services on the Ripple blockchain. This announcement is another significant moment in mainstream financial institutions’ crypto adoption. The central bank intends to roll out crypto regulations in Ghana by December. Ghana is joining several major countries on the continent in enacting similar legislation. Meanwhile, Blockchain.com is seeking a crypto exchange license from Nigeria’s Securities and Exchange Commission. This decision comes weeks after the platform chose Nigeria as its regional hub. Let’s look at these stories making continental headlines this week: South Af…
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The Asian crypto landscape has shifted from a slow crawl to a full fledged freight train firing on all cylinders with many countries trying to outdo each other in their crypto adoption metrics. Investments are booming and new regulations are coming into focus as institutional inflows start creeping in. Here’s what transpired in the Asian crypto landscape this past week EXPLORE: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Coinbase Extends Footprint With CoinDCX Investment On 15 October 2025, Coinbase announced a strategic investment in the Indian crypto exchange CoinDCX to expand its footprint across the country. Although the exact financial terms were not disclosed, CoinDCX’s CEO, …
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