Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Risk-on sentiment was on full display since the start of this week, as optimism around the US technology boom driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) once again overshadowed more worrisome global developments on tariffs and growth. AI optimism triggered another bullish impulsive move on US equities On Wednesday, 6 August, U.S. equities rallied on news that OpenAI—the creator of ChatGPT and a leading force in the ongoing AI boom—is considering a stock sale that could value the company at $500 billion, a significant leap from its current $300 billion valuation. Meanwhile, President Trump’s announcement of a proposed 100% tariff on semiconductor imports was largely shrugge…
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This is a follow-up analysis and update of our prior report, Nasdaq 100 Technical: Eyeing a new fresh all-time high, supported by momentum and flattening US Treasury yield curve, published on 7 August 2025. The price actions of the US Nasdaq 100 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nasdaq 100 futures) have staged the expected bullish move, hit the first medium-term resistance level of 23,890, and printed a fresh all-time high of 23,986 on last Wednesday, 13 August. Thereafter, it staged a decline of -4.2% over five trading sessions to record an intraday low of 22,970 on Wednesday, 20 August, due to overvaluation risk as the Nasdaq 100 has surged the most by 38% among the benchma…
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Key takeaways Nasdaq 100 hits record high: The index rallied 1.2% on 8 October 2025, reaching a new all-time closing high of 25,137, supported by continued tech sector strength.AI bubble concerns rise: Market chatter grows around US$1 trillion in “AI circular deals” among OpenAI, Nvidia, AMD, and Oracle, sparking valuation worries.Technical outlook remains bullish: The Nasdaq 100 stays within its ascending channel, above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages.Market breadth improves: A rising share of Nasdaq 100 stocks now trades above short- and medium-term moving averages, reinforcing bullish momentum. The Nasdaq 100 rallied by 1.2% on Wednesday, 8 October 2025, an…
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Key takeaways Bullish momentum intact above 24,535 key support despite recent profit-taking in mega-cap tech stocks.AI-driven optimism continues to fuel upside, supported by massive investments from Nvidia and Oracle into OpenAI.Positive market breadth as more Nasdaq 100 stocks are trading above 20- and 50-day moving averages.Next resistance zones at 24,890, 25,010/25,100, and 25,160/25,270. The price actions of the US Nasdaq 100 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nasdaq 100 futures) have continued to soar and have printed three consecutive fresh all-time high closing highs since 18 September 2025. The recent bout of risk-on behaviour has been attributed to the AI-driven pro…
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Tech was in focus in today's session, particularly throughout the last few hours as NVIDIA just hit the $4 trillion market cap and Bitcoin, Ethereum rallied consequently. Sentiment still shows a few signs of hesitation, particularly with disappointing Prime Day numbers dragging Consumer defensive stocks down relative to other sectors. European stocks are to be monitored as they have had consecutive positive days above 1.50%, led by the German DAX. In terms of Commodities, softs had a decent performance led by Cocoa, Sugar and Lumber – in terms of more commonly traded commodities though, US Oil and Gold are almost completely unchanged. Read More: Trump tarif…
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Nasdaq and the broader tech sector are starting the week more cautiously, with overnight futures showing the Dow holding up relatively well against the more risk-sensitive Nasdaq. (An informal invitation to consult our most recent analysis on the Dow) After weeks of steady outperformance from tech compared to other sectors, the latest dip could be simple profit-taking—but in the bigger picture, it looks like flows are shifting as the appetite for risk begins to cool. Markets are still waiting to learn more from the post Trump-Putin meeting developments, with EU leaders showing up to the White House today to discuss on the future path of action for the Ukraine-Russia on…
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Following our Monday article on the ongoing profit-taking currently happening in Tech related assets, access our updated analysis on the Nasdaq. The current open continues the bloodshed in the Nasdaq, down 1.33% after yesterday’s 1.50% performance. The upward channel reaching its top had appeared as a technical hurdle to pursuing an upside, but this down move looks like more is happening. Positioning had attained an extreme on the long side, as evidenced by the put-call ratios. This is typical when such a relentless uptrend bulls through multiple All-time highs, elevating tech-related stocks to some overbought levels. A bigger theme might be into play here: With the …
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Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for…
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US Indices are rising but in an unassertive fashion, and the same has happened throughout the whole week. The dovish interpretation from last Friday's Powell speech definitely helped to sustain bullish momentum, with the S&P 500 timidly breaking new highs in yesterday's session and the Dow Jones breaking through its previous record (Current all-time highs at 45,757). However, it seems that Markets are awaiting for the most influential piece of data, releasing on the 5th of September – The infamous Non-Farm Payrolls report. This week's undecisive trading is typical of a last week of August due to many participants being off their screens and not much key data to kee…
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The euphoric mood in markets has not failed to surprise any players as we approach the upcoming G7 meeting. Index futures complete their contango transition from the June to the September contracts. For a quick reminder, a contango happens when futures pricing is above spot pricing, the more typical pricing for futures, as markets always price a time premium. This is considered positive, as markets have been trending upwards in the past 18 years. However, the roll of futures contracts is far from the only component allowing Equities to rise: Iran's freshly announced demands for a ceasefire with Israel are taken as a optimistic development to what could have been a much m…
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US Indices continued their recovery throughout May with another decent start to the trading week. The Nasdaq 100 is up 2.15% since Friday’s close. They are up through broadly unchanged on the day. Sentiment for this trading week has been broadly positive throughout the globe. Even as US cash markets were closed on Monday for Memorial Day, Equity Futures posted a rise without much retracement. A swift move up was made in the index after Nvidia beat high expectations on its earnings after the session close with an EPS coming at $0.96 vs $0.93 expected. Revenues came in at $44.1B vs $43.3B expected. More news came in with the "Taco Trump" headlines, as President Trump's i…
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US indices post another fantastic week in ever-ecstastic trading. Participants have been looking away from a now-priced-in slowing Labor market in the US that is still at historically great levels, as inflation came back to grab the most-watched seat. The consecutive CPI and PPI releases have boosted bullish spirits, pushing all indices to new all-time highs in yesterday's session. The Dow Jones saw the heaviest inflows, concluding the session up a staggering 1.38% compared to the 0.63% and 0.82% rises for the Nasdaq and S&P 500, respectively. Nasdaq is taking back its throne in today's action, breaking new records yet again. Some analysts mention that odds for a 5…
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Global equity indices are rallying over 1% on the session following news that a US-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Iran is now in effect, bringing a temporary end to nearly two weeks of military conflict. To recap, the Israel-Iran escalation began on Thursday, June 13, after the breakdown of US-Iran nuclear negotiations. In response, Israel launched preemptive strikes targeting Iranian nuclear infrastructure, aiming to prevent further development of a potential nuclear weapon. The US subsequently stepped in to contain the situation, and Iran’s retaliation was largely symbolic—paving the way for the current ceasefire agreement. Despite elevated geopolitical tensio…
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Cardano’s ADA has joined the Nasdaq Crypto Index, moving from the sidelines into the institutional spotlight. According to Nasdaq filings, this shift brings ADA alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum in one of the main benchmarks watched by big investors. It’s a sign that regulators and asset managers see Cardano as more than just another blockchain token. Index Broadens To Nine Assets Based on reports from TapTools and Nasdaq’s Form 8-K, the index grew from five to nine assets. It now lists Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Chainlink, Uniswap, and adds Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), and Stellar (XLM). The change gives these newcomers a seat at the table. It also means…
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Trading around the earnings season is always a particular task as all participants have to incorporate expectations, past results, and options into a single data release (especially as most earnings are reported out of the trading hours). This morning's open saw a huge correction in the Nasdaq particularly, showing down 1.02% in the first 30m Candle and some dip buyers are currently stepping in. The Tech-focused index had marked another all-time high record in yesterday's morning session at 23,288 (CFD price – actual index ATH at 23,264) before retracting in the afternoon. Equity traders are eyeing Earnings reports from SAP after the close today, but more importantly p…
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Crypto treasury stocks slid Thursday after The Information reported that Nasdaq is tightening oversight on companies raising capital to stockpile crypto. We suspect that the main gamble on the “treasury company” LARPing was the hope that we’d see “strategic crypto reserves” by relevant nation states by now. Could you imagine Vietnam hodling XRP, or Ghana Bitcoin? This, of course, hasn’t materialized yet and might not materialize any time soon. Meanwhile, Nasdaq is making it harder on crypto treasury companies, telling certain listed firms that shareholder approval may be required before issuing new shares to buy digital assets. According to filings and people famil…
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Log in to today's North American session recap for the July 14, 2025. Today's flows have been a bit erratic, between a slow start in Forex that turned into another US Dollar rally, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin hitting new highs before retracting decently and Commodities taking a hit. About the latter, it seems that some geopolitics are into play with Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin concluding another round of talks after the US President announced the conclusion of a major NATO deal promising new rounds of weapons for Ukraine to defend itself. The G20 meeting is also ongoing in Johannesburg, SA. There has been some increased tensions in the Kursk Region around the headline…
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Natural Gas (NG) Over the past two weeks, the price of natural gas has made two unsuccessful attempts to break above the weekly balance and MACD indicator lines. As of today, the price has returned below the key support level of 3.333. The Marlin oscillator has also failed to enter positive territory and is now indicating a potential downward reversal. The nearest target at 3.086 is open. With a high degree of probability, the decline could extend well below this initial target — toward 2.643. On the daily chart, the price held above the 3.333 level for six consecutive sessions, but all attempts to build upward momentum were thwarted by technical resistance from higher …
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Natural Gas (NG) Natural gas quotes are hovering around the 2.847 level (the April 28 low), with some risk of an upward move, as yesterday's daily candle closed above this level. However, this is just one sign of potential growth—and a weak one—since the candle body is small. This consolidation could turn out to be a false breakout. Stronger downward pressure on price comes from its development below the MACD line and the continued position of the Marlin oscillator in negative territory. A return and close below 2.847 will pave the way for a target support level at 2.643. Below that, price could head for the 2.145–2.223 range (the October 2024 low). On the four-hour cha…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, September 16, 2025] Although the EMA has not yet formed a Golden Cross, the RSI is in the Neutral Bullish area, so Natural Gas has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 3.135 2. Resistance 1: 3.089 3. Pivot: 3.002 4. Support 1: 2.956 5. Support 2: 2.869 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the #NG price successfully breaks through and closes above 3.089, it will potentially lead to #NG strengthening all the way to 3.135. Momentum Extension Bias: If the 3.135 level is successfully broken through and closes above it, 3.222 has the potential to be the next level to be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Upside…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, October 14, 2025] With technical conditions signaling a weakening in Natural Gas, such as the RSI being in the Neutral-Bearish zone and the EMA(50) & EMA(200) still forming a Death Cross, indicating that #NG has the potential to move lower today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.197 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.148 3. Pivot : 3.088 4. Support. 1 : 3.039 5. Support. 2 : 2.979 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If Natural Gas weakens and breaks through and closes below 3.039, it may continue its decline toward the 2.979 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.979 is broken and closes below, there is a possibility for Natural Gas to t…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, September 30, 2025] With all technical indicators in strengthening conditions, seems like Natural Gas has the potential to continue its upward movement today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.400 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.338 3. Pivot : 3.235 4. Support. 1 : 3.173 5. Support. 2 : 3.070 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks and closes above 3.338, it could bring #NG up to the 3.400 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.400 is broken and closes above it, #NG has the potential to continue strengthening up to 3.503. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Natural Gas declines and breaks below …
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Navoi Mining & Metallurgical Company (NMMC) has reported gold production of nearly 1.54 million oz. for the first six months of 2025, a slight increase on the 1.52 million oz. from a year ago. Its first-half production value, however, doubled over the comparable six-month period to around $4.7 billion, owing to the increase in gold prices over the past year. The Uzbek gold miner currently operates a dozen mines across the Navoi, Samarkand and Jizzakh regions. Its portfolio is headlined by Muruntau, the largest open-pit gold deposit with a resource base of over 100 milllion oz. To improve the efficiency at its mines, NMMC has been implementing multiple capi…
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The crypto market has been rocked by a wave of liquidations totaling nearly $808 million in the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin (BTC) dipping below the critical $110,000 threshold. This mass sell-off erased nearly all gains sparked by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish comments at Jackson Hole just days earlier, leaving investors questioning whether the dip signals opportunity, or danger. Bitcoin Flash Crash Triggers Massive Liquidations Data from CoinGlass shows that long positions accounted for $696 million of the $112 million liquidated, underscoring how overleveraged bullish traders were caught off guard. Bitcoin alone saw $272 million liquidated, while Ethe…
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The NEO blockchain, often dubbed the “Ethereum of China,” is among the biggest gainers in the last 48 hours. The coin is up nearly 15% in two days, reversing sharply from a key support level as buyers aim to break a local resistance level. At this pace, NEO crypto is not only on the cusp of adding to its two-day gains but also has a high possibility of soaring by triple-digit gains, trending at levels seen when the network dominated crypto. Based on Coingecko data, NEO crypto is firm. Although it is down nearly 3% in the last trading month, the surge of the past two days has reversed losses, pushing it back into green territory after two weeks. It is up 10% in the last …
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