Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Ethereum is edging closer to a major decision point as price action tightens between key support and resistance levels. Momentum is building, but the market now awaits to see whether bulls can force a breakout or if a deeper pullback ensues. Ethereum Holds The Line: $3,000 Support Ignites Fresh Upside According to a recent update by analyst Ted Pillows, Ethereum has demonstrated resilience in the face of recent market volatility. The asset successfully held up the crucial $3,000 level and is now showing signs of moving higher, suggesting that this level remains a strong foundation for the current price action. Ted highlighted a significant external factor contributing …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price struggled to stay above $92,000. BTC is now consolidating gains and might dip again if there is a clear move below $89,500. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $92,500 zone. The price is trading below $91,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a contracting triangle forming with support at $90,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $92,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $90,000 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC gained strength for a move above the $91,500 and $92,000 levels. However, the bears we…
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Dogecoin is trading directly on top of a long-term support band defined by its monthly Ichimoku cloud, according to a chart shared by crypto analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) via X. The analyst summed it up by saying DOGE is “licking the bottom of its monthly Ichimoku cloud.” Dogecoin Hovers At Key Monthly Ichimoku Support The 1-month DOGE/USDT chart on Binance, captured on 7 December 2025, shows Dogecoin at around $0.14050, down about 3.8% for the month so far. The monthly candle opened at $0.14599, reached a high of $0.15340 and a low of $0.13177, underlining relatively tight but clearly downward monthly price action. On the chart, the Ichimoku indicator uses stand…
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Michael Saylor’s hint about a fresh Bitcoin purchase has renewed talk among traders and investors, even as on-chain stress signals point to a tougher stretch for the network. The mix of heavy buying by public firms and signs of miner strain is drawing attention from both bulls and bears. Saylor’s Tracker Signals According to a StrategyTracker chart shared by Michael Saylor, Strategy holds about 650,000 BTC with a portfolio value near $58 billion. The chart lists an average purchase price of $74,436 and shows 88 confirmed buy events over time. Saylor captioned the image “Back to Orange Dots?” — a short, familiar cue that has often come before a new accumulation round. …
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded on Monday as if it were at a wake. Over the past two weeks, the British pound has risen nicely, aligning with our expectations, but this growth is insufficient to signal a resumption of the global trend for 2025. The current situation is best observed on the daily chart. Traders don't even need complex indicators or graphical analyses to understand what is happening. It is enough to open the 24-hour timeframe to see the entire year of 2025. We can observe that the pair has been rising for about six months and is now undergoing a correction. What follows from this? It follows that the correction on the daily timeframe may be nearing complet…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded on Monday exactly as it did on Friday, Thursday, and so on. Regardless of which timeframe you look at, the picture is roughly the same. If there is any trending movement, it is extremely weak, "choppy," and is part of a larger flat. Recall that on the daily timeframe (i.e., in the medium term), the flat has persisted for six consecutive months. This is not a flat that formed after the main trend and several corrections. It is a flat that formed in the middle of a trend. In simple terms, the euro rose significantly in the first half of the year, and then the growth simply ceased. In the medium term, we have not seen any growth for the dolla…
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GBP/USD Analysis 5M The GBP/USD currency pair traded very calmly on Monday, even weaker than the EUR/USD pair, which is quite rare. Throughout the day, the British pound fell to 1.3307 in the absence of any fundamental or macroeconomic events. Thus, the pair is now positioned near the trend line and close to the Kijun-sen line. The upward trend persists, but the European currency has already shown an inexplicable decline this week. Recall that the results of the Federal Reserve meeting will be known tomorrow evening, and they are likely to be "dovish." Thus, the dollar's initial strengthening this week (albeit weak) looks surprising. However, the dollar has repeatedly…
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EUR/USD Analysis 5M The EUR/USD currency pair fell on Monday. This is yet another instance highlighting "How logically the market is trading right now." On Monday, the only macroeconomic report of the day was Germany's industrial production, which finally beat expectations, posting solid month-on-month growth of 1.8%. However, traders did not react to this report during either the European or American trading sessions. Instead, in the afternoon, the pair began to fall, while GBP/USD remained stable and traded with even lower volatility. Overall, movements continue to stay outside the thresholds of this pathetic three-dimensional universe. As a result of the price decl…
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Ethereum has reclaimed the $3,150 level after a volatile stretch, offering a rare sign of strength in an otherwise uncertain market. The broader crypto landscape remains sharply divided: some analysts argue that ETH and the rest of the market still face downward continuation, potentially setting new local lows, while others believe this correction is simply a reset before a much larger bull cycle—possibly extending into 2026. Yet one signal stands out clearly amid the noise: smart whales are unanimously going long on ETH. On-chain data shows that several of the most profitable and consistent whale traders—each with tens of millions in realized gains—have opened substant…
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The Solana price is entering a decisive phase as its action tightens below the $140 barrier, a level that has repeatedly capped attempts at recovery. After months of sustained selling pressure and increased whale activity, the market is now watching whether Solana can hold its recent gains or slip back toward lower support zones. Related Reading: What’s Happening With XRP And Why Did Its Spot ETF Crash 20%? This comes at a time when analysts, on-chain trackers, and market participants are also assessing the broader influence of KOL (Key Opinion Leader) predictions, many of which have dramatically misaligned with Solana’s actual price trajectory over the past two months.…
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On Monday, the GBP/USD pair was confidently holding around 1.3325, slightly below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.3329. This positioning is linked to investor expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's decision following its two-day meeting concerning interest rates. This situation has allowed the U.S. dollar to maintain stability in the G10 currency markets. The pair is currently testing an important resistance zone as market participants await the central bank's decision. On Wednesday, the Fed is set to announce its final monetary policy decision of the year. Traders are pricing in an 86% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut. Many analysts suggest t…
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The AUD/USD pair starts the new trading week in a bullish consolidation phase, fluctuating within a narrow range near the monthly high set on Friday, awaiting momentum from central bank actions this week. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to announce its interest rate decision on Tuesday. The central bank is expected to keep rates at their current level while focusing on inflation control. Moreover, last week, RBA Governor Michelle Bullock acknowledged that inflation has not yet reached the target range of 2–3% annually. Australia's economy is exhibiting the fastest growth in two years, and a stable labor market adds confidence in the potential for rate increases…
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So what decisions will the Federal Reserve make, and what rhetoric will it use? In my opinion, the decision has already been made – a 25-basis-point cut to the key interest rate. It is likely that the market has already priced in this decision, but it should be understood that new policy easing may be the last for some time. Why? Because the Fed continues to act in the dark. The latest data on the labor market and unemployment pertains to September. We have not seen data for October or November. These will only be released next week. Therefore, no one knows whether the "cooling" of the American labor market has stopped. I wouldn't count on the ADP report too much, as it i…
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This week, an event could be the "turning point of the second half of 2025" or "the main disappointment of December." As a reminder, on September 17, the Federal Reserve resumed its monetary policy easing cycle and lowered the interest rate again at the October meeting. Let's turn to history to see how the market reacted to the U.S. central bank's "dovish" decisions. On September 17, the rate was lowered, and the EUR/USD instrument began forming a new downward wave set. On October 28, the rate was lowered by 25 basis points again, and the EUR/USD instrument began building a new downward wave. The next meeting will take place on December 10, and the Fed is likely to lower …
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XAU/USD started the week in a consolidation phase, holding above the 4200.00 level but not showing a clear upward momentum. Investors are refraining from taking action ahead of Wednesday, when the Federal Reserve will announce its key interest rate decision. In the first half of Monday's U.S. trading session, XAU/USD was trading near 4200.00, remaining within a narrow range of 4218.00–4190.00, while markets await the Fed's interest rate decision. The dollar's stabilization and the rise in Treasury yields are curtailing XAU/USD's growth potential. Main Factors Pressuring the Gold Market Strengthening of the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX)Rise in Treasury yieldsCaution among mark…
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The RBA will hold its final meeting on Tuesday, December 9. The market has already priced in this final act. Following the release of the latest labor market and inflation data, there is no doubt that the central bank will keep all monetary policy parameters unchanged. The GDP and trade balance reports published last week only confirmed these assumptions. However, this does not mean that the December meeting of the RBA members will be a "formality." Traders are interested in the central bank's future decisions. Previously, the market considered only two possible scenarios—rate cuts and maintaining the status quo. Now, some experts are not ruling out a third scenario that …
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The euro seems to be in a state of flux, swinging from highs to lows. The rollercoaster ride for EUR/USD is driven not by expectations for the upcoming FOMC meeting but by events in Europe. The split within the Christian Democratic Union has cooled the bulls' fervor in the main currency pair, while the 1.8% increase in German industrial production in November has allowed buyers to mount a new offensive. The same applies to comments from European Central Bank officials. Dynamics of German Industrial Production The struggle between the "hawks" and "doves" of the Federal Reserve has so impressed the Governing Council members that they have recalled the varying opinions…
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A crypto analyst has revisited long-term charts from 2012-2015, noting that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle shows striking similarities to this timeline, in terms of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and price action. During the 2017-2015 bull run, BTC experienced one of the strongest multi-year advances before bottoming out. The market expert claims that the same sequence of peaks and pullbacks observed in that timeline is now unfolding again in this cycle. Bitcoin RSI Comparison Signals Bottoming Structure Bitcoin’s latest momentum study by crypto analyst Tony Severino has drawn significant attention from market watchers. In his X post on December 6, Severino highligh…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 8 Today's session was victim of classic pre-FOMC trading: Volatile but low magnitude moves due to some traders cutting their positions at the last minuteSome assets and/or currencies just seem dead. There hasn't been much data to help volatility today and the same can be said tomorrow. In terms of economics, the Trump Administration seems to be moving towards a new TACO with tariffs on Canadian fertilizers. But more importantly for Stocks, particularly Nvidia, the US just pulled the restrictions on H200 Chips, essential for AI Models. On Ukraine, Zelenskyy communicated some positive words about recent Eur…
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Gold Royalty (NYSE-A: GROY) has agreed to buy an existing royalty on the Pedra Branca mine held by BlackRock World Mining Trust for $70 million cash. The copper-gold mine, located in the Carajás region of Brazil, is currently operated by BHP Group (ASX: BHP). The acquisition further enhances Gold Royalty’s already-strong gold exposure from both a revenue and asset value perspective, and offers further exposure to copper exposure at a time when long-term fundamentals are strong, the company said in a statement on Monday. The royalty includes a 25% net smelter return (NSR) royalty on gold and 2% NSR royalty on copper and other products produced from Pedra Branca, co…
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Ethereum has reclaimed the $3,150 level after a volatile Sunday session that left traders divided on what comes next. Some analysts warn that ETH’s recent bounce is nothing more than a temporary pause before the downtrend resumes, while others see signs of a potential bullish reversal forming at current levels. Fresh data from Binance reveals that Ethereum is now entering a delicate phase. Price momentum has clearly weakened, yet open interest remains relatively high despite the decline from the $3,900 region. This disconnect highlights a major shift in futures market behavior: traders are holding positions, but not aggressively increasing them. The 30-day open interes…
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The outlook for XRP is becoming increasingly polarized as traders, analysts, and industry critics weigh in on its price trajectory, governance model, and growing institutional interest. Recent market activity reflects a complex environment where both technical signals and structural concerns are shaping sentiment. As whale sell-offs, ETF inflows, and a revived decentralization debate collide, XRP finds itself at a critical moment that is testing assumptions about its long-term viability. New Participation Models and Market Volatility A wave of alternative yield platforms, including BlackchainMining, has entered the market offering “XRP mining” rewards, despite XRP n…
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High Expectations How Markets Really React to News High Expectations Navigating financial markets around major news events can feel unpredictable even for experienced traders. Many hope for a simple formula: if this news happens, the market will do that. Unfortunately, trading doesn’t work that way. While news releases often spark quick volatility, the follow-through is rarely straightforward. In this article, we break down how markets react to news, what “consensus expectations” really mean, and why price action can often defy logic. Why You Can’t Trade Every News Event the Same Way There is no guaranteed strategy for “playing” news events. While economic data, centra…
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It’s no secret that the Trump Administration has been looking to expand America’s critical mineral supply, with a specific focus on reducing reliance on imports and strengthening domestic production. One of the top among multiple administrative initiatives is the “One Big Beautiful Bill” (OBBB), which allocated $7.5 billion to the industry. This bill presents an unprecedented opportunity for companies seeking to contribute to the country’s domestic supply chain of critical minerals – a positive move for grid infrastructure, storage solutions and electrification projects that rely on the availability of critical minerals downstream. However, what’s outlined in the bill…
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After breaking below $90,000 again, the next direction of the Bitcoin price is being hotly debated once again. This comes with the added burden of a number of major events coming around this week, as well as investor sentiment being stuck in the negative territory for an extended period of time. Crypto analyst, MarcPMarkets, shares his thoughts on the current state of the market and what investors should be looking out for as the next direction is determined. The Bearish And Bullish Scenarios In the analysis shared on the TradingView website, MarcPMarkets highlights the different scenarios that could determine where the Bitcoin price could be headed next. Cautioning inve…
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