Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair showed low activity and consolidated below the 1.1645–1.1656 level. However, the upward movement did not continue, and today the bulls have already managed to counterattack and close above this level. Thus, the euro may continue rising toward the next 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. A consolidation below the 1.1645–1.1656 level will once again work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the support level of 1.1594–1.1607. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous wave's low, while the most recent upward wave (still forming) has broken the previous …
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair made a second rebound on Friday from the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362, which allows us to expect some decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. Last week, the bulls attacked more aggressively, and Monday may become a day of a slight pause. A consolidation of the price above the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362 would work in favor of continued growth toward the level of 1.3425. The wave situation has transformed into a "bullish" one. The last completed wave downward did not break the previous low, and the new upward wave easily broke the previous peak. Thus, the current trend is "bullish." The news background for the …
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Overview: The US dollar is mostly consolidating in quiet turnover against the G10 currencies to start the new week, which is widely expected to see the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets tomorrow and there is speculation that it may signal its next move is a hike. The Bank of Canada is on hold. The Swiss National Bank is reluctant to take its deposit rate, which is now at zero, back into negative territory. Emerging market currencies are mixed. Both the Mexican peso and Chinese yuan, which made new highs for the year last week, are consolidating at slightly lower levels. Of note, the Thai baht is the strongest among …
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Trend Analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3329 (the close of the latest weekly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3270 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back upward toward 1.3348 – the resistance line (thick red line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downMonthly chart – downConclusion of comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall weekly forecast for the GBP/USD weekly candle:The price will most likely show a downward trend during the we…
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Imagine if you could be a fly on the wall at the next Federal Reserve meeting. From a new round of job losses in November to a lengthy contraction in the U.S. manufacturing sector, when the Fed meets Dec. 9-10, there will be plenty for the Fed governors to talk about. Gold in A Holding Pattern Since notching a fresh record high in October, gold trade has turned consolidative and sideways as the market takes a breather after its 50%+ gain this year. The long-term uptrend in gold remains intact and these latest signs of renewed economic weakness are positive for the precious metal. Dips toward the $4,000 level have been quickly bought by long-term investors and any weaknes…
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Imagine if you could be a fly on the wall at the next Federal Reserve meeting. From a new round of job losses in November to a lengthy contraction in the U.S. manufacturing sector, when the Fed meets Dec. 9-10, there will be plenty for the Fed governors to talk about. Gold in A Holding Pattern Since notching a fresh record high in October, gold trade has turned consolidative and sideways as the market takes a breather after its 50%+ gain this year. The long-term uptrend in gold remains intact and these latest signs of renewed economic weakness are positive for the precious metal. Dips toward the $4,000 level have been quickly bought by long-term investors and any weaknes…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP’s price has continued to chop, trading sideways, which has impacted the price of the U.S. spot ETFs that provide exposure to the altcoin. Canary Capital’s XRP fund has crashed 20% since its launch, although this fund remains the largest by assets under management (AuM). XRP’s Sideways Price Action Leads To Spot ETF Crash The XRP price has continued to trade within a tight range, just above the psychological $2 level, sparking bearish sentiment among investors. The altcoin is down over 10% in the last month, around the time the first spot XRP ETF, Canary’s fund, launched. This bearish price action has notably contributed to a price crash for Canary’s XRPC fund. Tr…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). This week, from the level of 1.1641 (the close of the latest weekly candle), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.1792 – the 14.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back downward toward 1.1716 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upFibonacci levels – upVolumes – upCandlestick analysis – upTrend analysis – upBollinger Bands – upMonthly chart – upConclusion of comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall weekly forecast for the EUR/USD candle: The price will most likely show an upward trend during the week, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.3329 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.3367 – the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3352 – the upper fractal (daily candle of December 3, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upFibonacci levels – upVolumes – upCandlestick analysis – upTrend analysis – upBollinger Bands – upWeekly chart – upOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3329 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the price may continue moving upward toward 1…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1641 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the market may begin moving upward toward 1.1689 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward movement of the price is possible with a target of 1.1685 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upFibonacci levels – upVolumes – upCandlestick analysis – upTrend analysis – upBollinger Bands – upWeekly chart – upOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1641 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the price may begin moving upwa…
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The POL price debate is entering a new chapter as analysts question whether Polygon’s long-anticipated “stablecoin supercycle” could be the catalyst that reverses its sluggish market performance. With stablecoin adoption exploding across banks, fintech platforms, sovereign issuers, and commerce networks, Polygon finds itself positioned at the center of a trillion-dollar transformation. The question now is simple: can this supercycle drive enough demand, liquidity, and real-world utility to reignite POL’s long-term value? Early signals suggest that the answer may depend on how fast (and how widely) global institutions issue tokenized money over the following years. …
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The Solana price prediction narrative is heating up again as traders wait for the upcoming FOMC meeting, betting it could be the spark that sends SOL USD back to $200. With Solana defending the key $130 support level, momentum indicators turning bullish, and macro liquidity potentially returning to the market. With that, the Solana crypto setup looks stronger than at any point since mid-2024. Add in Solana’s growing adoption, institutional inflows, and cultural meme moments pushing retail sentiment, and suddenly the path to $200 doesn’t look so far-fetched. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d …
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Several factors are driving today’s price movements but the sentiment is still very cautious. Analysts at 10x Research highlight that Bitcoin’s current trading range may break soon, with market structure lacking support despite positive macro signals. This view comes as .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px so…
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According to former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes, battles over the US debt ceiling create clear cash swings that move markets. When the Treasury spends down its main checking account — the Treasury General Account, or TGA — new dollars enter the system and lift risky assets. Later, when the Treasury refills the TGA by selling debt, cash is pulled back out and pressure returns to stocks and crypto, he said. Hayes points to 2023 as a clear example, when a large pool of funds at the Fed’s reverse repo facility — about $2.5 trillion — was available to be drawn back into markets. Market Metrics And Recent Moves Traders can see the effects in price action. Bitcoin’s recent fall …
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GBP/USDBrief Analysis: The trend direction for the British pound major has been an upward wave since the beginning of the year. The wave level in the current section allows categorization at the daily time frame. A month ago, the quotes bounced off the lower edge of a wide potential reversal zone, beginning the formation of a bullish segment. The price is approaching another cluster of resistance levels across various timeframes. Weekly Forecast: At the beginning of the upcoming week, the GBP/USD pair is likely to show "sideways" movement. A decline towards the calculated support levels is possible, with a brief spike below the lower boundary not excluded. An increase in …
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EMJ Capital CEO Eric Jackson has laid out one of the most aggressive long-term bitcoin targets in the space yet, arguing in an interview with reporter Phil Rosen that the cryptocurrency could reach $50 million per coin by 2041. His projection is tied to a thesis that bitcoin will evolve from “digital gold” into the core collateral layer of the global financial system. Jackson said his thinking grows out of the same “hundred bagger” framework he used when buying beaten-down equities like Carvana. He recalled entering Carvana after its share price collapsed from around $400 to roughly $3.50 in 2022, at a time when sentiment was almost universally hostile. “You would hear t…
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EUR/USDAnalysis: The analysis of the European currency chart indicates that the corrective bearish wave that started in April of this year continues its formation. The wave level of all price movements lacks reversal potential, continuing the development of the current structure. The unfinished wave segment dates back to September 16 and has formed a counterpullback over the last month. Forecast: This week, the likelihood of the euro major continuing its sideways movement remains. In the early days, a price decline toward the calculated support is expected. A brief spike below its lower boundary is not ruled out. Increased volatility and a return to a bullish trend can be…
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Ethereum continues to correct and may soon reach the only area of interest (POI) on the daily timeframe. In recent days, the technical picture has been somewhat confusing, primarily due to Bitcoin. It is primarily the patterns formed on Bitcoin across different timeframes that contradict each other. However, for Ethereum, the situation is clear. The target area for selling on the daily timeframe has not yet been worked off, and there are no signs that the correction is ending or that the trend is concluding. On the 4-hour timeframe, a reaction was received yesterday from the nearest bullish IFVG, with liquidity being cleared for buying. Thus, traders can observe a situati…
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Bitcoin continues to correct. The technical picture at this time is clear, but yesterday's pattern somewhat complicates the situation. This refers to the "bearish" FVG on the daily timeframe, which contradicts the technical picture on the 4-hour timeframe and all existing patterns. Therefore, I had to refer to Bitcoin's "closest relative" – Ethereum, to clarify the situation. No similar pattern emerged for Ethereum, and on the 4-hour Bitcoin chart, the picture is more than telling. Thus, we conclude that the 4-hour chart is more relevant at this time, considering the corrective status of the movement. On the 4-hour timeframe, the pair worked off the nearest "bullish" IFVG…
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It's hard not to be optimistic when the S&P 500 enters a seasonally strong period and the Fed is set to lower interest rates. The broad stock index has risen to its highest level since the end of October. However, profit-taking ahead of the FOMC meeting prevented it from maintaining the local peak. Nonetheless, the outlook for the US stock market remains bullish. More than three-quarters of asset managers surveyed by Bloomberg are positioning their portfolios for a risk-on market environment. They believe that sustained global growth, ongoing developments in artificial intelligence technology, easing monetary policy from the Fed, and fiscal stimulus will support the …
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[XPD/USD] Although the XPD/USD is currently in a sideways condition, but the position of EMA(50) is still above EMA(200), indicating potential upward movement in the near future. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1512.33 2. Resistance. 1 : 1493.30 3. Pivot : 1470.99 4. Support. 1 : 1451.96 5. Support. 2 : 1429.65 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If XPD/USD breaks above 1493.30, it may continue to strengthen up to 1512.33. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1512.33 is broken, there is potential to test the level at 1534.64. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of XPD/USD declines and closes below 1429.65. Technical…
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[Gold] Although the RSI(14) is in the Neutral-Bearish level, the Golden Cross condition of both EMAs indicates that there is potential for strengthening in the near future. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4283.11 2. Resistance. 1 : 4240.23 3. Pivot : 4215.89 4. Support. 1 : 4173.01 5. Support. 2 : 4148.67 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Gold breaks above 4215.89, it may have the potential to reach 4240.23. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4240.23 is breached and closes above, there is a potential for Gold to test 4283.11. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines below 4148.67. Technical Summa…
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $132 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $138 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $130 and $132 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $138 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $132 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $138 and $140. Solana Price Eyes Upside Break Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $128, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $130 level. There was a …
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Monday. It can confidently be stated that macroeconomic factors will have a very weak influence on market sentiment today. Germany will release its industrial production report for October, which is not among the most important reports. Later in the week, the FOMC meeting will undoubtedly stir the market, but increased activity may only be observed for a very brief period. Recall that the market is almost certain that the Federal Reserve will lower the key rate for the third consecutive time. This means that this decision may already be priced in. Nevertheless, the overall funda…
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