Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12211 tópicos neste fórum
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair showed low activity and consolidated below the 1.1645–1.1656 level. However, the upward movement did not continue, and today the bulls have already managed to counterattack and close above this level. Thus, the euro may continue rising toward the next 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. A consolidation below the 1.1645–1.1656 level will once again work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the support level of 1.1594–1.1607. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous wave's low, while the most recent upward wave (still forming) has broken the previous …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated again below the 1.1645–1.1656 level, which allowed for expectations of a small decline. The bears managed to deliver a slight drop, but by Tuesday morning the euro had returned to the 1.1645–1.1656 level. Thus, today another rebound from this zone will again favor the U.S. dollar and a moderate decline toward the support level of 1.1594–1.1607. A consolidation of the pair above 1.1645–1.1656 will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and straightforward. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous wave's low, whi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Friday, the EUR/USD pair rose to the 61.8% Fibonacci corrective level at 1.1594, rebounded from it, and turned in favor of the U.S. dollar. Thus, the decline may continue today toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level — 1.1517. If the price consolidates above 1.1594, we can expect further growth toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave has not yet broken the previous high, while the last downward wave broke the previous low — meaning the trend still remains bearish. Bullish traders are not taking advantage of the opportunities to advance, while bears are often attacking purely on enth…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the EUR/USD pair traded sideways after rebounding from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1594. Thus, the decline in quotes may continue today toward the next retracement level at 76.4% – 1.1517. A rebound from this level would favor the euro and signal a new rise toward 1.1594, while a close above 1.1594 would increase the likelihood of further growth toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak, while the last downward wave did break the previous low. Thus, the trend is still bearish. The bulls are not using the opportunities f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair made another upward move toward the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594, then rebounded from that level. Thus, the downward movement may continue today toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. Consolidation of the pair's rate above 1.1594 will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The new upward wave has not yet broken the previous wave's peak, while the last downward wave broke the previous low. Therefore, the trend currently remains bearish. Bullish traders are not taking advantage of the opportunities to advance, while bea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair made its third return to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. This third consecutive rebound from the level once again favored the U.S. dollar, leading to a slight decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. A consolidation of the pair above 1.1594 will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next resistance level at 1.1645–1.1656. The wave pattern on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak, while the last downward wave broke the prior low — meaning the trend still remains bearish. Bullish traders are not taking advantage of the opportunities for an advan…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated above the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594 and rose toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656, as forecast. A rebound from this zone on Friday will favor the US dollar and a slight decline toward 1.1594. A consolidation above this zone will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The new upward wave has not yet broken the peak of the previous wave, while the last downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bearish at this time. Bullish traders have launched an offensive, but they need to …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Friday, the EUR/USD pair formed a new rebound from the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656, reversed in favor of the US dollar, and fell to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. Thus, today a rebound from this level will work in favor of the euro and a return to the 1.1645–1.1656 level. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1594 will increase the likelihood of further decline toward the next Fibonacci level of 76.4% at 1.1517. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The new upward wave has not yet broken the peak of the previous wave, and the latest downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, at this time the trend remains bearish. Bullish trad…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline after rebounding from the 1.1645–1.1656 resistance zone on Friday. The 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594 was reached. A rebound from this level would work in favor of the European currency, and I believe the probability of this is quite high. In this case, the pair will return to the 1.1645–1.1656 level. A consolidation below 1.1594 would allow us to expect a continuation of the decline toward the next 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The new upward wave has not yet broken the peak of the previous wave, while the latest downward wave broke the previous low.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued a weak downward movement and consolidated below the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. Thus, the decline in quotes may continue toward the next 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. A consolidation of the pair above 1.1594 would work in favor of the euro and a resumption of growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave did not break the peak of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish." Bullish traders have moved into offense, but they must maintain momentum for the "bulli…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair turned in favor of the U.S. dollar after rebounding from the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594. After that, the pair fell to the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517. A rebound from this level today will work in favor of the euro and lead to some growth toward 1.1594. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1517 will increase the likelihood of a continued decline toward the next corrective level of 100.0% at 1.1392. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave failed to break the peak of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bearish at this…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Friday, the EUR/USD pair performed a false breakout of the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517 and failed to continue the downward movement. Thus, the trend remains bearish, but the bulls have not yet lost all chances for their own trend. If they resume their advance this week, the bullish trend will still have a chance to form. At the moment, the quotes have consolidated above the 1.1517 level, which allows us to expect continued growth toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave did not break the previous peak, while the most recent completed downward wave broke the previous low. Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1517, which allowed it to continue its upward movement. However, by the end of the day, the quotes returned to the 76.4% level. Today, a rebound from this level will again work in favor of the European currency and a slight rise toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1517 will allow us to expect a slight decline in the euro. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave did not break the high of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, at this time the trend remain…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair formed a clear rebound from the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517, reversed in favor of the euro, and rose toward the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594. A rebound from the 61.8% level will work in favor of the US dollar and lead to a new decline toward 1.1517. Consolidation above 1.1594 will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the peak of the previous one, and the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bearish for now. The bulls have la…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair first bounced from the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594, and then consolidated above this level. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1594 will work in favor of the US currency and a slight decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous peak, and the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish" for now. The bullish traders have moved into attack mode, but their efforts are st…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair rose toward the resistance level of 1.1594–1.1607 but failed to perform either a rebound or consolidation above it. Today, a rebound of quotes from this level will work in favor of the U.S. currency and a slight decline toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517. Consolidation of the pair above the level will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next resistance level at 1.1645–1.1656. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the peak of the previous wave, and the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend at this time rem…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline after consolidating below the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594, moving toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517. A rebound from this level would favor the euro and a rise toward 1.1594, while consolidation below 1.1517 would increase the chances of further decline toward the next corrective level — 100.0% at 1.1392. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The most recent upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the latest downward wave broke the prior low. Thus, the trend has once again turned bearish. Bullish traders once more failed to capitalize on available opportunities, while…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline — one that no longer follows any "rules." Yesterday, we saw that the information background was once again ignored, and now even chart-based factors such as Fibonacci retracement levels are being disregarded. The price pays no attention to key support and resistance levels — and that's what traders need to understand right now. Therefore, today's close above the 76.4% Fibonacci level (1.1517) could be used as a signal to open buy positions, though traders should exercise caution. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the high of the previous wave, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated below the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1517 and continued to decline toward the 100.0% Fibonacci level at 1.1392. Bears continue to attack without any resistance from the bulls. A consolidation above 1.1517 would favor the euro and lead to some growth toward the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the peak of the previous wave, while the latest downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend has once again turned bearish. Bullish traders once again failed to take advantage of opportunities to advance, while bears …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD pair came to a halt on Wednesday. For more than a week, the euro had been falling, but on Wednesday the decline stopped — and no upward movement began either. Since earlier the pair consolidated below the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517, a rebound from this level today would allow traders to expect a continued decline toward the next corrective level of 100.0% – 1.1392. A consolidation of the pair's rate above 1.1517 would work in favor of the euro and lead to moderate growth toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous high, while the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the European currency, began to rise, and consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1517. Thus, the upward movement may continue toward the next Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8% – 1.1594. A close below 1.1517 would favor the U.S. dollar and signal a renewed decline toward the 100.0% Fibonacci level at 1.1392. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous peak, while the last downward wave broke the previous low. Therefore, the trend currently remains bearish. Bullish traders are not taking advantage of the opportunities to advanc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the resistance level of 1.1645 – 1.1666, reversed in favor of the US dollar, and continued the downward move that has been observed in recent weeks. Consolidation below the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594 allows us to expect further decline toward the next corrective level at 76.4% – 1.1517. A consolidation above 1.1594 would favor the euro and open the way for growth toward the 1.1645 – 1.1656 level. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the peak of the previous wave, while the new downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend currently remains …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Friday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the euro and consolidated above the Fibonacci level 61.8%– 1.1594. Thus, the upward movement may continue toward the resistance level 1.1645 – 1.1656. A rebound from this zone will favor the U.S. dollar and the resumption of a decline toward the corrective level 76.4% – 1.1517. Consolidation above the zone will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous wave's peak, while the new downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish" for no…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the EUR/USD pair made another reversal in favor of the US dollar, consolidating below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1594. Thus, today the decline may continue toward the next retracement level of 76.4% — 1.1517. A consolidation above 1.1594 would favor the euro and open the way for further growth toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to surpass the previous peak, while the new downward wave broke the prior low — meaning the trend is still bearish. Recent labor market data and the shifting outlook for the Fed's monetary policy support bu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 61.8% Fibonacci corrective level at 1.1594 and showed a slight decline. However, by evening, the pair reversed in favor of the euro and consolidated above 1.1594. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the resistance level at 1.1645–1.1656. A rebound from this zone would favor the U.S. dollar and a resumption of the decline toward 1.1594 and 1.1517. A firm close above the level would increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next Fibonacci corrective level at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous high, wh…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
