Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
-
Solana failed to settle above $132 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $130 and might decline further below $120. SOL price started a fresh decline below $130 and $128 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $128 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $131 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $122 or $120. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to remain stable above $132 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $130 and $128 support levels.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, a bipartisan meeting of the Senate Banking Committee, led by Senator Tim Scott, offered a cautiously optimistic outlook for discussions surrounding the anticipated crypto market structure bill. Despite the absence of any markup hearings scheduled for this week, industry representatives and senators engaged in what many considered a productive dialogue regarding the evolving legislative landscape. Senators Collaborate With Industry Leaders Key figures from major crypto firms were among the attendees, including executives from Coinbase (COIN), Kraken, Chainlink, a16z, and Ripple, who have been increasingly involved in discussions aimed at fostering the posi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A cryptocurrency analyst has explained where Ethereum could go next based on a long-term Parallel Channel forming in its monthly price chart. Ethereum Has Been Trading Inside A Parallel Channel For The Last Few Years In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a long-term pattern that Ethereum has appeared to have been following for the last few years. The pattern in question is a “Parallel Channel” from technical analysis (TA), which forms whenever an asset’s price trades between two parallel trendlines. The upper level of a Parallel Channel is likely to facilitate top formations in the asset, while the lower one can act as a support boundary and allow t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro and British pound quickly recovered from losses incurred in the first half of the day; however, a bullish market has yet to develop, and there are objective reasons for this. The dollar lost ground following dovish statements from Federal Reserve officials on future interest rates. Traders reacted to hints of further monetary policy easing. However, such a reaction could be premature. Today, several important decisions are expected that could overturn the current market picture. A European Central Bank decision regarding the main interest rate is anticipated, as is a similar decision from the Bank of England. Attention will be closely focused on Christine Lagarde…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The cryptocurrency market remains volatile. The sharp rise of Bitcoin towards $90,000 was quickly reversed, with the trading instrument dropping back to around $85,500, where it feels more comfortable. Ethereum is also trading below $3,000, preparing for a potential move towards $2,700. While the bearish trend in the cryptocurrency market persists, attention was drawn to a statement made yesterday by Federal Reserve representative Christopher Waller. During his speech, he mentioned that, in his opinion, stablecoins will strengthen demand for the U.S. dollar in the near future. Traders and market participants had mixed reactions to this statement. On the one hand, the rec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 fell by 1.16%, and the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 1.41%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.87%. Asian stock indices followed suit, reacting to losses in the US market as investors sold shares of technology companies amid concerns that their valuations had become excessive. Oil prices decreased after President Donald Trump, in a televised address, avoided escalating geopolitical tensions with Venezuela. This week, Washington imposed a blockade on tankers under sanctions from the South American country, with Trump accusing Caracas of depriving the United States of its "energy rights." The regional MSCI index …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
With only two weeks left of 2025, market participants wonder whether the Bitcoin (BTC) and the rest of the crypto market will continue to struggle or begin recovering. An analyst discussed the current market sentiment and the impact it may have on market performance. The Four-Year Crypto Cycle Is ‘Like Faith In God’ As we approach the end of the year, concerns about the crypto market’s performance continue to mount. Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a 30% decline from its early October peak. As the volatility persist and the flagship crypto trades below its yearly opening price of $93,500, some investors questioned the four-year cyc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1711 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell euros. The second test at 1.1711 triggered Scenario No. 2 to buy, as the MACD was already in the oversold area, resulting in a rise of more than 20 pips in the pair. After dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials on future interest rate dynamics, the dollar lost its morning momentum. However, the American economy, despite some weakening, remains more stable than those of many developed nations. The ongoing problem is unemployment, which has been r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3336 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming an appropriate entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair increased by 20 pips. The sharp decline in UK inflation led to a decline in the British pound. However, bulls managed to reclaim their positions in the second half of the day. Several factors likely triggered the sudden reversal. Firstly, the decline in the pound reached critical levels, prompting stop-loss orders to trigger and attracting short-term buyers looking to capitalize on a rebound. Secondly, traders may have concluded t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 155.61 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming an appropriate entry point to buy the dollar. However, losses were recorded on this trade because the pair did not appreciate. The dollar managed to maintain its advantage against the Japanese yen, but a more vigorous upward trend in the USD/JPY pair has not materialized. The market appears to be pricing in a moderate tightening of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan, expecting any interest rate hikes to occur very gradually. Today's key focus will be on the U.S. inflation data, as no significant r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto market is moving in a way we don’t expect, as we focus on the price of Bitcoin and Ethereum, and steady inflows into XRP ETFs. Bitcoin is trading just above $86,000, while Ethereum price slipped under $2,900 after a sharp pullback in the last 24hours. At the same time, XRP ETFs pulled in $18.99 million in net inflows, pushing total assets above the $1 billion mark. Since these three assets have held up better than most of the market, which continues to struggle under tightening financial conditions, we are here to break them down. We are to read every sign and predict what comes next. According to the analyst, the speed and scale of the move made it a te…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The price of gold continues to hover near record highs as investors monitor the escalating tensions in Venezuela and await U.S. inflation data. Platinum also continued its rapid rally yesterday, increasing by 4%. The price of the precious metal rose to $4,330 per ounce, up 0.8% on Wednesday. This is approximately $50 below the historical peak reached in October. The inflation data to be released today will be closely watched as it may provide insight into the Federal Reserve's willingness to implement further interest rate cuts. The escalation of tensions between Venezuela and the U.S. is supporting gold prices. Geopolitical uncertainty is typically seen as a factor that…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Nasdaq 100 Index] Although a Bullish Divergence has appeared on the RSI(14), but the RSI is still in the Neutral-Bearish zone, and both EMAs are in a Death Cross configuration, suggesting that the Nasdaq 100 Index has the potential to weaken today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 25474.6 2. Resistance. 1 : 25083.8 3. Pivot : 24885.1 4. Support. 1 : 24464.3 5. Support. 2 : 24235.6 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down below 24464.3, there is potential for a continuation to 24235.6. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24235.6 is broken, there is an opportunity to test 23844.8. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias is restrai…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[#USDX] With all technical conditions indicating a strengthening bias, then #USDX has the potential to rise today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.64 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.60 3. Pivot : 98.38 4. Support. 1 : 98.14 5. Support. 2 : 97.92 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #USDX breaks above 98.38, there is potential to test the 98.60 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.60 is broken, then #USDX may move toward 98.64. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of #USDX declines and breaks below 97.92. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 98.35 EMA(200): 98.39 RSI(14) : 53.58 Economic News Release Agenda…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Following yesterday's inflation data, the British pound is preparing for another bout of volatility. Today, the Bank of England is likely to cut interest rates, as concerns are shifting from inflation toward problems in the UK economy and labor market. Traders and economists expect the central bank to lower its base interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.75%—the lowest level in nearly three years. Previously, it was assumed that the decisive vote would once again come from Committee Chair Andrew Bailey, but yesterday's sharp drop in inflation increased the likelihood that one of the four hawks on the Monetary Policy Committee will switch sides. UK inflatio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In its latest report, asset manager and exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuer, Bitwise, has shared an optimistic 2026 outlook for the crypto market, anticipating significant growth, while predicting new all-time highs for Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL). Megatrends In Crypto? Bitwise begins by asserting that Bitcoin is poised to break free from its traditional four-year price cycle, setting the stage for new records. Several factors contribute to this bullish forecast. The dynamics of past cycles, including the Bitcoin Halving, interest rate fluctuations, and market booms and busts fueled by leverage, are expected to be less impactful in the coming years. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A fresh wave of selling in technology stocks has sent the S&P 500 tumbling at the fastest pace in nearly a month. Even the dovish rhetoric from Christopher Waller, a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) governor, failed to provide relief. Waller stated that the federal funds rate could fall by 100 basis points. While he is among the candidates for the Fed chair position, he is not considered a favorite. The futures market has not adjusted its expectations concerning the timeline for resuming monetary expansion, with March being the most favored month for this potential shift. Dynamics of US Stock Indices The last shall be first. Investors are actively reallocating …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair first declined and then rose on Wednesday. At the moment, the pound has consolidated above the 1.3352–1.3362 level. A rebound from this area today would allow traders to anticipate renewed growth toward the 1.3425 level. A consolidation below the 1.3352–1.3362 level would favor the US dollar and a continuation of the decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. The wave structure shifted to a "bullish" one several weeks ago, but this week it has shifted back to "bearish." The most recently completed upward wave exceeded the previous peak by only a few points, while the latest downward wave managed to break the previous low. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair declined to the 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718, rebounded from it, reversed in favor of the European currency, and began a growth phase toward the resistance level at 1.1795–1.1802. A consolidation below the 1.1718 level would favor the US dollar and a resumption of the decline toward the support level at 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The most recent completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, while the latest upward wave broke the previous high. Thus, the trend officially remains "bullish." It would be an exaggeration to call it strong, but in recent weeks the b…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Veteran chartist Peter Brandt is flagging what he calls a “potential double top” on XRP’s weekly chart, a classic reversal setup that, if confirmed, would argue for materially lower prices — even as other traders point to a washed-out weekly RSI reading that has historically aligned with prior bottom zones. Peter Brandt Flags XRP Double Top Pattern Brandt posted the chart to X on Dec. 17 and didn’t bother softening the message for XRP’s online faithful. “I know in advance that all you Riplosts $XRP will forever remind me of this post — ask me if I care,” he wrote, before adding: “This is a potential double top. Sure, it may fail, and I will deal with this if it does. But…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The market showed mixed price action on December 18, with heightened volatility, especially during the late session. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Hits Three-Week Lows Most Read: Bank of England (BoE) Preview: A Hawkish Cut in a Stagnating Economy? Implications for the GBP & FTSE 100 Japan's Nikkei dropped to its lowest point in three weeks on Thursday. The decline was driven largely by falling prices in major technology companies, as investors grew worried about the future of artificial intelligence and data center businesses. Overall, the Nikkei index fell by roughly 1%, while the broader Topix index saw a smaller decline. SoftBank Group was hit particularly hard, losing nearly 4% of its value. This happened after its partner, Oracle, saw its own stock drop due to reports that a ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
BHP (ASX, LON, NYSE: BHP) faces a demand for at least £189 million ($253 million) in legal costs after a UK court found last month that the world’s largest miner was liable for Brazil’s 2015 Mariana dam collapse, which killed 19 people and caused the country’s worst environmental disaster. Lawyers for victims told the High Court in London on Wednesday that they were the “clear overall winner” in a November liability ruling and that BHP should make an immediate interim payment toward costs. The claim ranks among the largest cost demands in British legal history, according to Financial Times. The request includes legal fees and about £44 million (nearly $60 million)…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) has entered an extreme oversold phase, with momentum indicators dropping to levels that historically signal market exhaustion and a trend reversal. Researchers tracking macro conditions and long-term price behavior say that the current drawdown reflects a reset in positioning, not the end of the bull market. Based on past recovery patterns, the analyst believes that Bitcoin could soon forge a path toward a new all-time high. Bitcoin Enters Extreme Oversold Territory Thomas Lee, Co-founder and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Fundstrat Capital, has flagged Bitcoin’s latest market condition as a key technical development. He pointed to data from Bittel Jul…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
This morning is a blessing for volatility traders and economists – A triple slate of high-tier change just landed in the past hour and a half. Starting with the most recent releases, the US CPI (headline) for November landed at 2.7% vs 3.1% expectations – A sharp miss on high expectations and a very good sign for future cuts. The Core measure actually came lower (2.6% vs 3% exp), reflecting a cooling in the Services sector. zoom_out_map Morning US Data releas…
Last reply by Ben Graham,