Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12293 tópicos neste fórum
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Ethereum steadied on Thursday after the Federal Reserve trimmed rates and co-founder Vitalik Buterin addressed growing concerns over staking withdrawals. ETH traded near $4,618, holding a narrow band between $4,434 and $4,646 through the US session. The Fed’s 25-basis-point cut set the macro backdrop. Markets initially slipped as investors weighed the slower pace of easing, but later recovered. Bitcoin hovered around $117,700, while Ethereum kept to its range. Buterin’s remarks aimed to calm unease over the network’s staking exit queue. He argued that withdrawal delays are intentional safeguards, comparing instant exits to “a soldier deciding to quit the army.” Predicta…
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Today's renewed breakout above the 50-day SMA, as well as the move beyond horizontal resistance at 147.50 and the round level of 148.00, favors the bulls. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have just begun to gain positive momentum, confirming the potential for further growth. However, the advance encountered resistance at the round level of 148.00. A decisive break and consolidation above it would expose strong resistance near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), currently located around 148.70. Sustained strength above this level would allow spot prices to return to the round level of 149.00 and test the monthly high around 149.20. On the other hand, the 147.6…
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Dollar Strengthens, Stocks Slip On Wednesday, the MSCI global equity index declined, while the US dollar gained ground and gold prices fell. Investors were digesting cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell about the timing of the central bank's next potential rate cut. Powell on Balancing Risks In his first speech since last week's rate reduction, Powell stressed that policymakers must carefully weigh the risks of persistent inflation against the signs of a cooling labor market before making further monetary moves. Market Expectations Despite his careful tone, CME FedWatch data indicates that traders still anticipate a rate cut in October. Housing Mar…
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The Euro has been very tenacious throughout the year. It is currently the top two in major currency performance this year, with only its neighbor, the Swissie, keeping it in check (the difference in performance between the two is very small). Trends can be expected to continue, particularly when they reverse flows that have been seen in the past 10 years. So, what has been going on with the Euro since the 2010s? The Euro was in a secular downtrend against the US Dollar, for example, due to lower growth, a disadvantageous trade balance, companies fleeing the overregulated economic zone, generally lower rates (implying basis trade activity), and some not-so-nice events l…
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October is definitely going to be a defining month for the global cryptocurrency markets, driven by mounting expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and the much-anticipated decisions on 16 pending spot crypto ETF applications by the US Securities and Exchange Commission. You could go ahead and call October 2025 the “ETF month.” Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas calls the month “Cointober.” Macroeconomic turbulence? Yes. But breakthrough opportunities? Again Yes! The week starts with critical US economic indicators expected to shape investor sentiment across risk assets, including Bitcoin and leading altcoins. These include August’s JOLTS job openings, consumer co…
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Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has issued his starkest warning yet on quantum computing, arguing that Bitcoin must migrate to post-quantum signatures on an accelerated timeline or face existential risk later this decade. “We need to upgrade Bitcoin to be Quantum proof next year. 2026. Otherwise we are fucked,” Edwards wrote on X early Monday, escalating a series of posts in which he contends “Q-Day is this decade.” Could Bitcoin Crash To $0? Edwards’ thesis hinges on the rapid compression of resource estimates required to run Shor’s algorithm against Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve digital signatures (ECDSA/Schnorr on secp256k1). Pushing back at skept…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has explained how XRP could see a bounce to $3 or even $3.15 based on this technical support level holding. XRP Has Found Support At The Lower Level Of A Parallel Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where XRP could be heading next based on a technical analysis (TA) pattern forming in its 4-hour price chart. The pattern in question is a Parallel Channel, which forms whenever an asset observes consolidation between two parallel trendlines. The upper level of the pattern provides resistance, while the lower one supports. A breakout of either of these trendlines can imply a continuation of the trend in that direction. …
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3474 price level occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulting in a 40-pip rise. The sharp drop in U.S. employment data from ADP for August triggered a strong sell-off of the U.S. dollar and a strengthening of the British pound. Investors, concerned about a slowdown in the U.S. economic recovery, quickly moved away from dollar-denominated assets, while the pound, conversely, found support amid expectations of a more cautious monetary policy from the Bank of England. However, this out…
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The results of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Tankan survey for September, released on October 1, showed an improvement in the business conditions index (DI) by 1 point compared to June for large manufacturers, reaching +14. The index for large non-manufacturing firms remained at a very high level of +34. Forecasts for capital investment and current profits also remained stable despite tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. This provides a solid basis for expecting another round of wage increases next year, which in turn supports concerns about persistent inflationary pressures. Overall, the Tankan report contributed to the arguments in favor of a rate hike at th…
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NioCorp Developments (NASDAQ: NB) has taken another step in its application for an US$800 million loan from the Export-Import Bank of the US (EXIM) as it looks to begin an independent review of its flagship project. The company, which is developing the shovel-ready Elk Creek critical minerals property in southeast Nebraska, announced it has engaged SLR Consulting to conduct the project’s environmental and social (E&S) review, a key part of EXIM’s due diligence process. SLR is the same company that the bank is using to conduct its own technical review of the project. “The SLR team is an outstanding selection and they are very familiar with our project, given th…
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Binance Coin (BNB) has kicked off October with impressive momentum. After climbing more than 6.5% in 24 hours, BNB surged past the $1,100 mark, setting a new all-time high of $1,111 before consolidating slightly lower. This milestone highlighted the token’s resilience amid a volatile macro environment, characterized by the U.S. government shutdown and changing monetary policy outlooks, and also highlights its growing influence in the broader crypto market. BNB Breaks $1,100 as Uptober Momentum Builds BNB’s latest rally saw prices climb to $1,111 before consolidating near $1,096, posting a 6% gain in 24 hours and more than 17% in the last week. Analysts note that the…
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Trade analysis and advice for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 150.58 in the first half of the day coincided with the MACD indicator having already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. In the second half of the day, market attention will shift to U.S. trade balance data and consumer credit figures. A reduction in the trade deficit could positively influence the dollar, especially if the actual value exceeds expectations. Consumer credit volumes, on the other hand, serve as an important barometer of consumer sentiment and spending willingness. An increase in consumer credit may indicate optimism and confidence in the…
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Ondo Finance has officially completed its acquisition of Oasis Pro, a major step that positions the company as one of the most regulated and strategically equipped players in the digital asset industry. The deal includes SEC-registered licenses for a broker-dealer, alternative trading system (ATS), and transfer agent (TA) — giving Ondo the most comprehensive regulatory framework among US digital asset firms. This acquisition comes at a pivotal time for the market. As altseason begins to take shape and investor appetite for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization grows, Ondo is quickly emerging as a dominant force. Analysts point to Ondo’s strategic partnerships with Chainli…
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A key theme of 2025 has been broad North American currency weakness — particularly against the Euro and other European majors. Both the US Dollar and the Canadian Dollar have struggled to attract sustained inflows as economic momentum has slowed on both sides of the border. This comes amid a generally weaker Canadian economy (Canada Trade balance data missed again today at -6.32B vs -5.55B exp), the US Main rate remaining elevated and projected to get reduced (we only just got the first 25 bps cut), and, more importantly, US Tariffs hurting trade and economic activity further, particularly between the two neighbors. Markets received some decent Canadian Ivey PMI result…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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A new wave of an unusual trade has been unfolding: A steep rally in Gold, coinciding with a steep rally in the US Dollar. Today’s piece will focus on the latter, but it is still an interesting subject that marks an essential functioning of markets: It’s all about what is priced in (and what is not). You have probably seen the headlines, but Gold officially breached the $4,000 milestone overnight, propelled by a larger RBNZ Rate cut, weakening the Kiwi dollar and trouble in Japanese and European (French) politics. A US Government Shutdown is also in the works. But wait, why is the Greenback also rallying? Mentioned after the FOMC September press conference, a less dovish…
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Two currencies are at the center of Forex movement in this volatile session: the Kiwi and the Yen — and not in a favorable spot. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a 50 bps rate cut, twice as large as many anticipated and only half priced in before the event. The decision followed a string of disappointing economic data that confirmed deeper cracks in New Zealand’s fragile economy — a trend that had pushed markets toward a dovish repricing earlier this summer. With the move from the central bank, the NZD took a large hit, particularly from the hesitant pre-meeting pricing (a smaller 25 bps was also 50% priced). But how much worse can it get? A larger cut today ma…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated below the support level of 1.1645–1.1656, then rebounded from this level, and this morning – another rebound. Thus, the decline in quotes may continue toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. A consolidation of the pair above the 1.1645–1.1656 level would favor the European currency and some growth toward the 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the peak of the previous one, while the new downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish" for now. The latest labor market data and the revised Fed …
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Tron (TRX) is at a decisive moment after retracing to key demand levels that could determine its next major move. Bulls, who have been in control since late March, are now working to defend support and prepare for a possible breakout. However, to confirm a bullish continuation, Tron must overcome the current supply zone and regain strong upward momentum — a challenge that will test the strength of the recent rally. Adding context to Tron’s long-term growth, top analyst Maartunn shared striking on-chain data revealing that TRON’s USDT supply has surged 309x in just six years. What began as a modest 254 million USDT on the network has now expanded to a staggering $78.5 bi…
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Bitcoin and the general crypto market have witnessed another significant downturn this year, with prices falling by double digits in the late hours of Friday, October 10. This bearish pressure started when rumors of a trade war between the United States and China emerged in the early hours of Friday. The downward pressure intensified after US President Donald Trump declared that the US would impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. As a result of this announcement, over $5.5 billion was liquidated from the crypto market in less than an hour, with the Bitcoin price briefly falling to as low as $101,500. Is This BTC Whale Linked To The US Government? In a recent post on X, …
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To understand the essence of this renewed conflict, it is essential to note that China leads globally in the production of various rare-earth metals and materials, which are widely used in the automotive, aerospace, and technology industries. Previously, China conducted an antitrust investigation against Qualcomm, a U.S. technology firm, and also expressed intentions to impose port fees on American vessels. China, which was previously forced to return to the negotiating table with Trump in an attempt to restore trade blocked by triple-digit tariffs introduced by both sides, continues to push back, refusing to become a second European Union or Japan. It is worth recalling …
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Today, Monday, the pair is trading in a sideways consolidation with a slight bullish bias, supported by dovish expectations for Federal Reserve interest rates, which are keeping the U.S. dollar under pressure. Global risk appetite has increased notably after U.S. President Donald Trump backed away from his threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports starting November 1. This comes amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut lending rates two more times this year, as well as concerns over a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, which negatively affects the dollar's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In addition, expectations that the Bank of England will keep in…
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Bitcoin climbs back to $110,000, Ethereum pulls back to $3,890 It's evident that leveraged capital continues to exit the market. Despite the significance of last week's event — when over $20 billion in leveraged long positions were liquidated — the fundamental structure of the market remains unchanged. Spot trading volumes are still strong, investment inflows into ETFs continue, and on-chain activity remains high. It's important to understand that this type of liquidation serves as a painful but necessary cleansing process for the market. Excessive leverage has been flushed out, and speculative positions have been reduced. The market is now entering a consolidation pha…
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Traders are obsessed with trends. Yet history shows that markets only trend about 30% of the time — the remaining 70% is spent consolidating sideways. This is valid for almost every asset class since the dawn of time. But consolidation don't necessary translates to frustrating, choppy action. In 2025, the US Dollar has been at the center of global debate. After months of weakness driven by tariff fears, slower US growth, and fiscal uncertainty, a bottom seems to have formed since July — confirmed by the pre-FOMC retest in mid-September. But bottom doesn’t always mean reversal. The much-discussed de-dollarization trend, for now, looks overstated. Despite with less convi…
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Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to retest the local range highs following last week’s market shakeout. However, some analysts believe that the cryptocurrency will continue its sideways move for the coming weeks before its next big move. Ethereum Eyes Range High Resistance Last week, Ethereum attempted to reclaim the $2,800 barrier, hitting a three-month high of $2,879. However, the market shakeout, fueled by the Iran-Israel conflict, sent the cryptocurrency’s price to retest its local range’s lows before recovering over the weekend. Notably, ETH has been hovering between the $2,400-$2,680 range since the early May market recovery, which saw the King of Altcoins surge from…
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