Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12208 tópicos neste fórum
-
Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the 1.1666 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already climbed significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's bullish potential. For this reason, I did not open long positions on the euro. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve officials confirmed market expectations of a key rate cut at the end of the month. Most analysts agree that such a move by the Fed is justified against the backdrop of slowing economic growth and continued labor market weakness. Today's upward momentum in the euro may face resistance due to the release of eurozone inflation data. Forecasts suggest the annual inflation …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum (ETH) may be nearing the end of its price correction, as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap continues to trade slightly above $4,000, following a strong sell-off last week when it almost crashed to $3,400. Ethereum Price Correction May Be Over According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum funding rates on Binance crypto exchange have remained positive, despite being in a narrow range. This shows that long positions on ETH still dominate the market. ETH funding rates fluctuating normally on Binance – despite the digital asset’s recent extraordinary price appreciation – implies that futures traders are not exhibiting …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
BNB price is consolidating losses below the $1,200 zone. The price is now facing hurdles near $1,250 and might start another decline in the near term. BNB price is correcting gains and traded below the $1,200 support zone. The price is now trading below $1,180 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,180 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $1,120 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Dips Below Support After a steady increase, BNB price failed to clear the $1,375 zone. There was a downside correction below the $1,300…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A Coinbase-linked wallet sent 140,033,123 Shiba Inu tokens to a burn address on October 15, removing those coins from circulation in a single on-chain move. According to records published by community burn tracker Shibburn, the wallet that carried out the transfer was newly created and had only that one visible SHIB transaction. Etherscan data shows the address was funded by a wallet tied to Coinbase, and it currently holds 0.002 ETH, worth roughly $9. Largest Single Burn In Months The 140 million SHIB moved on Wednesday stands out as the largest one-off burn in nearly three months. Reports show the last big single send happened on July 28, when an anonymous actor des…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On October 10, the crypto market experienced its largest liquidation event in history, prompting experts like MartyParty to predict a surge in lawsuits and class action claims against what he describes as “market manipulators.” Expert Claims Manipulation Led To October 10 Crypto Crash The aftermath of this crash has seen Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies continue their downward trend this week, with BTC recently falling below the critical $110,000 threshold. Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Binance Coin (BNB), the largest altcoins, recorded losses of 10%, 17%, and 7%, respectively, in the weekly time frame. The events of October 10 led to total crypto liquidations…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.50. The price is now showing bearish signs and might extend losses below $2.280. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.40 zone. The price is now trading below $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.40 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.50 resistance. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price remained below the $2.60 barrier and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below $2.420 and $2.40 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even spike…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Macroeconomic Report Overview: Once again, Friday's calendar contains very few macroeconomic reports. In earlier reports, we mentioned that there were no releases scheduled at all, but that isn't entirely accurate. Today, the eurozone will publish its second estimate for September inflation. However, this is a secondary report: second estimates almost always match the initial reading and are not marked as "high-impact." Beyond that, there are no notable releases scheduled in the U.K., Germany, or the U.S. Fundamental Event Overview: A number of fundamental events are scheduled again for Friday, but nearly all of them are insignificant in terms of market im…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Thursday Trade Review:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair continued moving upward after breaking through the descending trendline. As we can see, the market is now in an upward trend, and we continue to expect further growth in the British pound. Yesterday, the U.K. published reports on industrial production and GDP for August, both of which returned better-than-forecast results. However, as before, British data had little impact on traders. Market attention remains focused on the U.S. dollar, U.S. politics, Donald Trump, the Federal Reserve, and the escalating trade war. From our perspective, none of the major global fundamental factors favor the U.S. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Thursday Trade Review:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Thursday, EUR/USD continued its upward movement, which was clearly visible on the hourly timeframe. On the 5-minute chart, however, the pair was completely flat. It was a tranquil day in terms of macroeconomic and fundamental events. More accurately, the pair has entered a stagnation phase that requires major catalysts to spur renewed volatility. Due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, many key October reports were never released. As a result, traders still don't fully understand how the Federal Reserve will approach its rate decision at the end of the month. The market is pricing in a near-100% probability of another rat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) is once again testing critical support above $111,000, with traders debating whether the recent pullback marks the start of a deeper correction or a healthy consolidation before the next leg higher. After touching an all-time high above $126,000, the world’s largest crypto asset has shed nearly 9% on the weekly charts, reflecting waning momentum amid broader market uncertainty and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions. Bitcoin Tests Key Support as Momentum Fades Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $111,300, down roughly 1% in 24 hours, after briefly dipping to an intraday low of $110,292. Technical indicators show the asset under pressure, with the 20-day…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD The euro is rising for the fourth consecutive day. The gap at 1.1741 is close to being filled, and slightly above it lies the key target level at 1.1779. On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator's signal line is breaking into the territory of an uptrend. The current outlook appears optimistic, but correlated markets are signaling a possible reversal: yesterday, the S&P 500 declined by 0.63%, oil dropped by 1.48%, and the yield on 5-year U.S. Treasuries fell from 3.61% to 3.53%. If this trend continues, even at a slower pace, the euro is unlikely to reach 1.1908 (the upper boundary of the price channel). Today, eurozone inflation data for September will be re…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Silver On the monthly chart, two hyperchannel price lines converge at a single point—at the psychological level of 56.000. This convergence is expected to occur either in the final days of October (possibly coinciding with the next Federal Reserve meeting) or in the first days of November. At this price level, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator will reach the Fibonacci reaction level of 361.8%. After attaining the projected target, a correction is likely, with a pullback toward the nearest line of the green channel in the 43.545 area. On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator's signal line has twice attempted to break above the upper boundary of its own channel. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD On Thursday, the British pound gained over 30 pips on a rebound from the MACD line support. This morning, the pound remains in a positive mood; however, the Marlin oscillator is now approaching the zero line. If no profit-taking occurs today, the pound has every chance to continue its advance toward the 1.3525 target. If the day ends with a bearish (black) candle, the technical picture may become muddled within the psychological cycle of market anticipation ahead of the Fed meeting on October 29. It is also worth noting that the support level of 1.3369 and the MACD line at 1.3393 currently form a support range of 24 pips. Breaking below this zone will be difficul…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price struggled to stay above $4,020 and dipped further. ETH is now consolidating in a range and might decline further if there is a move below $3,820. Ethereum started a fresh decline below $4,020 and $4,000. The price is trading below $4,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,070 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,820. Ethereum Price Dips Below Support Ethereum price struggled to settle above $4,120 and corrected most gains, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $4,020 and $4,000 levels. It even tested th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana is taking a breather after a strong rally, now testing the crucial $195 support zone. Traders are watching closely to see if the bulls can defend this level and set the stage for a potential comeback. Solana Begins A Healthy Pullback After Recent Rally In a recent update, BitGuru highlighted that Solana (SOL) appears to be entering a healthy pullback phase following a sharp rally and partial recovery. This retracement is part of a natural market rhythm, allowing the asset to cool off after its recent burst of bullish momentum. Such pauses often serve as a foundation for more sustainable future growth, rather than signaling weakness. While SOL’s price is hovering…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ripple has just bought GTreasury, a long-established treasury management firm, in a deal worth $1 billion. This is Ripple’s third major acquisition in 2025, and it sends a clear signal that the company wants to move deeper into the world of corporate finance. The move is aimed at giving businesses better tools to manage cash flow, track liquidity, handle risk, and stay on top of compliance. As more finance teams start dealing with stablecoins, tokenized deposits, and other crypto assets, Ripple sees an opportunity to meet that demand with infrastructure that bridges the gap between digital and traditional finance. Inside GTreasury and What Ripple Is Getting GTreasury is…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price is struggling to settle above $112,500 and $113,000. BTC is now moving lower and might start another decline below $108,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $113,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $110,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $110,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $107,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to surpass the $113,000 resistance level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below the $112,000 and $110,500 support…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Lawmakers in Florida are looking to give the state a new kind of financial tool. A new proposal would allow pension funds and other public investment pools to put money into bitcoin and crypto exchange-traded funds. If passed, the state’s Chief Financial Officer and the State Board of Administration would be able to allocate up to 10 percent of these funds into digital assets. It’s a notable shift for a state that has typically stuck to traditional investment strategies. Jimmy Patronis Makes the First Move The push is being led by Jimmy Patronis, Florida’s CFO and Fire Marshal. He sent a formal request asking the State Board of Administration to take a serious look at bi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain data shows key investors on the Bitcoin network have collectively participated in some selling recently, a potential reason behind the asset’s decline. Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Have Done Some Net Distribution According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, Bitcoin’s key investor tier is starting to show signs of slight profit-taking. The indicator of interest here is the “Supply Distribution,” which measures the total amount of the supply that investors belonging to a particular wallet segment are currently holding. Addresses or holders are divided into these groups based on the number of tokens present in their balance. The 1 to 10 coins cohort, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, as expected. At this point, discussing the fundamentals or macroeconomics doesn't hold much weight. First, the GBP/USD pair remains within a sideways channel on the daily timeframe. This means price can move hundreds of points in either direction without any specific catalyst, which is precisely what we've seen in recent weeks. Second, there's nothing new or positive happening globally for the U.S. dollar. Trump continues to issue threats, start conflicts, impose tariffs and sanctions, and try to force his views on the entire world. Third, the longer-term upward trend remains in place, and there are no c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair continued a moderate upward movement on Wednesday, as expected. Let us recall that the recent decline in the pair over the past few weeks seemed illogical, as the fundamental and macroeconomic background for the U.S. dollar has only worsened during this period. Of course, we're not suggesting everything is going perfectly in Europe or the U.K., but in 2025, the United States has been setting records for the number of negative developments. As such, even the dollar's recent strengthening defied the underlying fundamentals. On the daily timeframe, two clear things stand out: first, the upward trend is intact; second, the market has been in a sidewa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair also showed limited volatility on Thursday, though it continued to edge higher—slowly but steadily. Clearly, the British pound and market bulls still have energy to spare. Over recent weeks, buyers have been largely inactive despite having solid reasons to support the pound at least occasionally. Across the Atlantic, news from the U.S. continues to disappoint. Meanwhile, the U.K. has released a batch of macroeconomic data this week, some of which could have justified a GBP sell-off. From our perspective, the fact that the pound continued rising despite mediocre reports is a strong signal. From a technical stand…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair showed a volatility of about 40 pips. There were no movements throughout the day, offering nothing to trade. There were also no significant events in either the Eurozone or the U.S. As for Christine Lagarde's speeches, they no longer qualify as market-moving events. Over the last three weeks, Lagarde has spoken around ten times. Her message has been consistent: the European Central Bank sees no reason to change its monetary policy in the near future. Accordingly, traders had no reason to react, and no new impulses appeared. Still, the pair maintained its newly formed upward trend, did not retreat, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP is facing renewed pressure this week after the Oct. 10 flash crash triggered record liquidations across the crypto market. The token plunged nearly 40% intraday before rebounding, now hovering between $2.20 and $2.60 as traders assess what’s next. Despite heavy whale selling and lingering volatility, market analysts insist that “this week could change everything” for XRP, with key ETF decisions and regulatory milestones approaching that could redefine its long-term outlook. Flash-Crash Fallout: Liquidations, Whale Flows, and Key Support XRP was swept up in the Oct. 10 crypto “flash crash,” sliding intraday by 40% before rebounding to a monthly loss near 20%. The…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The 200-week moving average is one of the most critical macro indicators for Bitcoin, serving as the definitive divide between bear market capitulation and long-term accumulation. While BTC’s price movements are notorious for their sudden, dramatic swings, history shows that the 200 WMA technical indicator has stood out with remarkable consistency. How The 200 WMA Has Defined Every Bitcoin Cycle Luke Broyles, an observer of Bitcoin’s market cycles, has noted on X that BTC has been screaming buy all 5 times that it hit the 200 WMA. This track record leads many to ask if they should hold a lump sum on the sidelines until that hits. Broyles acknowledges that while BTC has…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
