Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
-
Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair moved in various directions on Thursday, but it was not particularly volatile. Overall, this week has been more disappointing than rewarding, in many respects. First, the market movements leave much to be desired. Many traders likely expected to see a trend and high volatility, but what they got instead was more of a flat market. Secondly, the macroeconomic background clarified some issues but failed to answer key questions. Notably, this week saw the release of the long-awaited reports on U.S. unemployment and the labor market, as well as an inflation report. Inflation has started t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair traded mixed on Thursday, reflecting a mixed fundamental backdrop. It was a complex day, especially for novice traders. The difficulty lay in interpreting all the information received. For instance, the Bank of England lowered the key interest rate, prompting many to expect a decline in the British currency. However, the market had already anticipated monetary policy easing since Wednesday, when the UK inflation report was published. Inflation sharply declined, opening the door for the BoE to lower the key rate. Therefore, it can be said that this decision was priced in beforehand. At the same…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Data shows Bitcoin and Ethereum have formed a divergence in the Funding Rate indicator, with traders going long on BTC, short on ETH. Bitcoin & Ethereum Funding Rates Are Showing Opposite Values In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about how the Funding Rate has developed for Bitcoin and Ethereum amid the latest market volatility. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies saw some sudden price swings during the past day, with BTC’s price first rallying to $90,300 in a blink, but then crashing back toward $86,000 just as quickly. The coin’s decline later extended to $85,300. While BTC returned to about the same levels as before the flash surge,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price failed to gain pace above $1.920 and trimmed gains. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $1.820 level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $1.850 zone. The price is now trading below $1.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.920 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $1.780. XRP Price Dips To New Weekly Lows XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $1.90 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $1.880 and $1.850. There was …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday, but none of them are particularly significant. It should be noted that yesterday saw meetings of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, along with the release of U.S. inflation data. These three important events did not provoke any substantial volatility or trending movements. Therefore, today's consumer confidence index in Germany, retail sales in the UK, and new home sales in the U.S. are unlikely to elicit a noticeable market reaction. In our opinion, the most interesting item appears to be the consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan in the U.S. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1250 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1235. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1250 level. The price is trading below the $0.1220 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1300 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1280 and $0.1300. Dogecoin Price Dips Further Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.1300, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1280 and $0.1250 suppor…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Bitcoin] With the technical conditions indicating weakness in Bitcoin, then the potential for a decline which will occur in the near term is quite significant. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 91545.30 2. Resistance. 1 : 88568.39 3. Pivot : 86518.22 4. Support. 1 : 83559.31 5. Support. 2 : 81491.14 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Bitcoin breaks down below 86,518.22, it may continue its decline to 83,559.31. Momentum Extension Bias: If 83,559.31 is broken, there is a possibility that Bitcoin will continue to decline to 81,491.14. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price of Bitcoin strengthens a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Chainlink] With the EMA position forming a Death Cross on the 30-minute chart, it indicates that sellers are still dominating, suggesting that Chainlink will continue its decline toward the nearest support level in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 13.32951 2. Resistance. 1 : 12.67507 3. Pivot : 12.20532 4. Support. 1 : 11.55088 5. Support. 2 : 11.08113 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Chainlink breaks down below 11.55088, it has the potential to continue its decline to 11.08113. Momentum Extension Bias: If 11.08113 is broken, Chainlink may continue its decline down to 10.42669. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The do…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto payment platform MoonPay is poised to receive a significant fundraising boost as recent reports suggest that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), is exploring an investment in the company. According to a Bloomberg report, which cited sources familiar with the discussions, MoonPay is close to finalizing this fundraising round and is targeting a valuation around $5 billion. New Regulatory Approval And Investment Talks Based in New York, MoonPay specializes in simplifying the trading of cryptocurrencies through various payment methods, including PayPal, Apple Pay, and Venmo. The platform also offers tools for users to se…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As the market volatility continues, Bitcoin (BTC) has failed to hold its short-lived momentum and reclaim a key resistance level for the second time this week. Some market watchers have affirmed that the flagship crypto may continue to have a disappointing end-of-year rally and potentially reach new lows before the pain is over. New Lows Before A 2026 Recovery? On Thursday, Bitcoin attempted to break past a crucial level after surging 2.9% from its daily opening. The cryptocurrency has been unable to reclaim $89,000-$90,000 area since the start-of-week correction, which sent the price to a two-week low of $85,145. Notably, the flagship crypto retested the crucial resis…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro and British pound rose sharply against the U.S. dollar; however, dollar buyers took advantage of attractive prices and quickly restored market equilibrium. Yesterday, the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged, clearly indicating that the current cycle of monetary policy easing has concluded. This step, as expected by most analysts, marked the end of a period in which the ECB actively stimulated the economy by lowering interest rates. Now that inflation is stabilizing and economic growth is showing signs of resilience, the ECB is shifting to a more conservative strategy. The Bank of England lowered interest rates to 3.75%, warning that further steps …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key takeaways BoJ policy supportive for equities: The BoJ’s expected 25bp hike to 0.75% and guidance for a gradual, data-dependent tightening path into 2026 signal policy normalization without destabilising financial conditions, reducing downside risks for Japanese equities. Stronger JPY no longer a headwind: Domestic-oriented Nikkei 225 stocks are outperforming export-heavy names, indicating that modest JPY strength and improving consumer confidence can coexist with a sustained equity uptrend. Technical backdrop constructive: The Nikkei 225 is showing signs of a minor bullish reversal after a shallow pullback, with momentum indicators improving and key supports holdin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The cryptocurrency market continues to swing back and forth. Yesterday, Bitcoin's sharp rise to around $89,800 was quickly retraced, sending it to approximately $84,700. Ethereum is also trading below $3,000. This surge in volatility was the market's reaction to yesterday's news that U.S. inflation slowed more than expected. This allows the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates and increase the volume of its bond-buying program to stimulate the economy and revitalize the labor market. The more cheap money available in the market, the better Bitcoin will feel. However, it is essential to remember that cryptocurrencies are a high-risk market. High volatility,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1717 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero line, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1717 triggered Buy Scenario #2, as the MACD was already in oversold territory, driving the pair up by more than 40 pips. Yesterday, the European Central Bank decided not to change interest rates, clearly signaling the end of the easing phase of monetary policy. The upward revision of forecasts and positive changes in policymakers' plans indicate greater resilience in the eurozone economy than previously thought. However, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3365 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 40 pips. The pound increased yesterday after the Bank of England lowered interest rates but warned that the speed and scale of future cuts are now in question. This decision, made against a backdrop of conflicting economic signals, left markets in uncertainty and increased volatility in the British currency. On one hand, the rate cut is intended to stimulate economic activity by easing the burden of borrowing for businesse…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 155.79 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair decreased by 40 pips. Today, the Japanese yen weakened against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates but provided no clear guidance on the timeline for future monetary policy tightening. Although the central bank, as expected, raised its benchmark interest rate to its highest level since 1995, the focus is now on Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference. The market expects more definitive statements from Ueda regardin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
World Liberty Financial has put forward a proposal to tap a portion of its token treasury to grow USD1, the dollar-pegged stablecoin linked with the project. The plan would free up about $120 million to back listings, liquidity programs and partner incentives. Treasury Move Could Add Firepower To USD1 Based on reports, WLFI’s proposal would unlock roughly 5% of its unlocked treasury — a fund slice drawn from a multi-billion dollar reserve — for strategic use to expand USD1’s reach. The move has split the community, with some holders supporting rapid expansion and others warning about tokenomics and governance risks. According to the stablecoin’s custodial partners, USD…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, stock indices closed in positive territory. The S&P 500 increased by 0.79%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 1.38%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average strengthened by 0.14%. Asian stock markets followed Wall Street's lead, as the slowdown in US inflation reinforced the need for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The euphoria that swept through US exchanges extended to the Asian region, where investors viewed the prospect of a more accommodative monetary policy from the Fed with optimism. Technology companies became the focal point, as their shares are traditionally sensitive to changes in interest rates. Lower rates translate to a reduced cost of capita…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) finally pulled the trigger, and as usual, the Bitcoin angle shows up in market conversations. The central bank raised its benchmark rate to 0.75%, a level Japan hasn’t seen since 1995. That sounds dramatic, but the size of the hike is probably what matters more than the FUD headlines some news outlets are making. Pricewise, Bitcoin hasn’t really changed its behavior. It’s still moving inside a kind of wide $84,000 to $94,000 range. Holders and believers continue to defend the lower end, and that area lines up with several key moving averages. On the upside, the $88,000–$90,000 zone remains the level to beat. Apart from the US regulatory news …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold and silver prices have remained near record highs after lower-than-expected inflation in the U.S. supported forecasts for further interest rate cuts. Platinum has approached its 17-year peak. On Thursday, the spot price of gold reached approximately $4372 per ounce, signaling growth for the second consecutive week. According to data published on Thursday, the core Consumer Price Index in the U.S. increased at its slowest pace since early 2021, confirming the need for lowering borrowing costs—a factor that favors the price rise of non-yielding precious metals. Against this backdrop, investors are once again focusing on signals from the Federal Reserve regarding futur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The S&P 500 has successfully navigated the recent release of US inflation data, despite not capitalizing on the slowdown in consumer prices to 2.7% and the core index to 2.6%. Investors remain skeptical of the figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics following the prolonged government shutdown. However, according to Wells Fargo, the disinflationary trend is ongoing, even if the latest statistics may exaggerate the extent of the CPI decline. The US economy maintains a remarkable balance of resilience. It is not overheating enough to trigger rising inflation and provoke a tightening of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Consequently, a Goldilocks environment has…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Following a recent interview with Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz, where he shared his forecasts—details of which I covered yesterday—there is another significant interview with Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino that deserves attention. According to Ardoino, the AI bubble is the primary risk for Bitcoin in 2026. Given the strong correlation of BTC with traditional capital markets, this makes Bitcoin vulnerable to shocks from a potential burst in the AI bubble. The company believes that if sentiments around AI turn negative in 2026, it will trigger turmoil in the US stock market, resulting in Bitcoin dropping alongside it. However, regarding optimistic views, sharp corrections …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound would seemingly have been expected to collapse after the Bank of England cut interest rates yesterday. Instead, it rose—and quite solidly against the dollar. On Thursday, the committee voted 5–4 to lower interest rates to a nearly three-year low of 3.75%. It is clear that the British regulator's direct hints that the pace and scale of future rate cuts are now in question influenced market sentiment. Yesterday's rate cut had already been priced in, but the policymakers' cautious stance had not. Governor Andrew Bailey warned of limited room for maneuver in 2026. The Monetary Policy Committee will have to make decisions in a more challenging environment. T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, the euro barely reacted to news that the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged for the fourth meeting in a row. The deposit rate remained at 2%—exactly as many economists had forecast. Policymakers gave no guidance on their next steps, emphasizing that decisions will be made meeting by meeting, based on incoming data. They also said they are inclined to announce the end of the current interest-rate cutting cycle, which has lasted for more than a year and a half. The ECB's decision was also accompanied by new forecasts pointing to more confident economic growth and a return of inflation to 2% in 2028. These projections inspire cautious optimism, s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana (SOL) is currently one of the poorest performers among the top ten largest cryptocurrencies in the market, experiencing a sharp 13% decline over the past week. Bearish Patterns Emerge For Solana This downturn comes as the cryptocurrency has broken below the critical support level of $120, which had acted as a pivotal floor since the start of the month and previously prevented further drops. The situation appears even more dire for investors with bullish sentiments, as recent data from CoinGecko indicates that Solana has retraced nearly 60% from its all-time high of $293, reached back in January of this year. Year-to-date, the token has experienced a significan…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
