Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
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The Bank of Japan raised its key interest rate this morning from 0.50% to 0.75%, marking the highest level in 30 years. As a result, the yield on 10-year government bonds crossed 2% for the first time since 1999, leading to a sell-off in bonds. The Bank of Japan adopted a relatively hawkish tone, indicating its readiness to continue tightening monetary policy as part of normalization efforts. Meanwhile, data released just before the BoJ meeting showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November indicated that annual inflation remained nearly unchanged from October, decreasing from +3.0% to +2.9% for the core index, while the base index (excluding fresh food) remain…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday bounced off the support level of 1.3352–1.3362, rose to the 1.3425 level, rebounded from it, and began a new decline toward 1.3352–1.3362. Another rebound of quotes from this zone would again work in favor of the pound and lead to some growth toward the 1.3425 and 1.3470 levels. A firm break below the zone would allow traders to expect a continuation of the decline toward the 1.3294 and 1.3240 levels. The wave picture turned "bullish" several weeks ago, but this week it shifted back to "bearish." The last completed upward wave broke the previous peak by only a few points, while the most recent downward wave managed to b…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair once again bounced off the 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718, posted a modest rise, and then returned to this level. I had expected a more confident move during the day given the news background. However, traders found nothing particularly important for themselves in the ECB and Bank of England meetings, nor in the U.S. inflation report. Today, another rebound from the 1.1718 level would again work in favor of the European currency and a modest rise toward the resistance level of 1.1795–1.1802. A firm consolidation of the pair below 1.1718 would increase the likelihood of a continued decline toward the support level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wav…
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Bitcoin’s options market has a new obsession: Christmas week. In a post Thursday, energy-sector managing partner David Eng argued the next eight days (December 19 through December 26) could define the near-term cycle for BTC, not because of a macro headline or some sudden ETF stampede, but because a large chunk of dealer gamma exposure is scheduled to roll off the board in two shots. At press time, bitcoin traded around $86,928, after swinging between roughly $84,461 and $89,230 intraday. Eng’s framing is blunt and very “options people”: the market is being mechanically pinned, and the pin has an expiry date The Hidden Force Holding Back Bitcoin Price? “The narrative is…
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Is crypto in a bear market? Is the four-year cycle broken? Will Bitcoin reclaim $100,000 before year-end? Could 2026 bring about a supercycle? These are all questions being asked by traders and investors as we close out the year, following an ongoing period of bearish price action throughout the crypto market. Following surprisingly bullish US CPI data yesterday, coupled with an interest rate cut from the Bank of England, investors responded cautiously optimistically, with Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coi…
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On the last trading day of the week, the GBP/USD pair is halting yesterday's correction from the area around 1.3440. However, it is still struggling to attract significant buying interest. The pound is being supported by the Bank of England's recently adopted measures, which have boosted expectations regarding its future policy. Despite the split vote (5–4), the 25-basis-point rate cut to 3.75% is being perceived by the market as a signal of a dovish approach, especially after the unexpected drop in inflation earlier this week. These factors reduce pressure on monetary policy expectations in the UK and trigger a positive reaction from investors. At the same time, U.S. dat…
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Asia Market Wrap - BoJ Hikes Rates, Nikkei Rises 1% Most Read: Bank of England (BoE) Preview: A Hawkish Cut in a Stagnating Economy? Implications for the GBP & FTSE 100 Japan's stock market rose significantly on Friday, with the main Nikkei index climbing more than 1% to reach a level of 49,629. This rally occurred after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.75%, the highest level in thirty years and warned that more increases are likely on the way. Investors were also in a good mood because of a strong performance by US technology stocks the night before. The central bank's decision had a major impact on the bond market as well. For the first time since 200…
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Today, only the Australian dollar and the euro were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I traded the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. As the data showed, German producer prices were unchanged compared with the previous month, which put slight pressure on the EUR/USD pair in the first half of the day. The impact of this factor on the currency market was limited, as traders continue to bet on a slowdown in price pressures in the region. The lack of growth in German producer prices may indicate easing inflation in the eurozone, which in turn could influence ECB decisions. The pound also reacted with only a slight decline to weak UK retail sales data, which kee…
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Concerns over quantum computing are weighing on Bitcoin’s price and slowing some investment flows, amid a sharp divide between developers and many investors. Developers Call Threat Distant According to Bitcoin developer Adam Back of Blockstream, quantum machines remain far from able to break Bitcoin’s protections. He said the tech is still “ridiculously early” and that research hurdles persist. Back expects no real threat within the next decade and argued that even if parts of Bitcoin’s cryptography were compromised, the network would not automatically be emptied. Security, he noted, does not rest solely on encryption in a way that would allow mass theft on the blockc…
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Lundin Mining (TSX: LUN) has agreed to sell its Eagle nickel-copper mine and Humboldt Mill in Michigan, US, to fellow Canadian miner Talon Metals (TSX: TLO) in a share-based deal valued at about $84 million. Lundin will transfer its US subsidiary, which owns the Eagle operation, to Talon in exchange for roughly 275 million Talon shares, valued at about $83.7 million based on recent prices. This would leave Lundin with a 20% non-diluted stake in Talon. Eagle is the only primary nickel mine currently operating in the US and has produced more than 194,000 tonnes of nickel and 185,000 tonnes of copper since starting production, Lundin said. The mine generated more…
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XRP holders could be facing another prolonged stretch of downside pressure as the cryptocurrency continues to lose ground in a weakening market. XRP’s performance this period has been underwhelming enough that analysts have seemingly given up hope of the price challenging higher resistance levels in the near term. They revealed that XRP has slipped below key support zones, leaving few technical barriers to slow further declines. XRP Faces Further Decline As All Support Fails A crypto market analyst who goes by the name ‘Guy on the Earth’ on X has shared a rather bleak outlook on XRP’s near-term prospects. In his post on Thursday, the analyst revealed that XRP looks set …
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Savannah Resources (LON: SAV) is closing in on full ownership of a high-grade lithium lease at its Barroso project in northern Portugal after the Aldeia Mining Lease vendor instructed the national regulator to transfer the C-190 licence to the company. The Aldeia lease sits next to Savannah’s C-100 concession and hosts a JORC-compliant resource of 3.5 million tonnes grading 1.30% Li₂O on Block A, representing about 11% of Barroso’s global resource and adding exploration upside across three blocks. Savannah plans to include the Indicated Resource in its upcoming definitive feasibility study. The €3.25 million ($3.8 million) acquisition is funded partly through a re…
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On-chain analytics platform Glassnode has revealed the number of Bitcoin supply that is currently sitting at a loss. This comes as the BTC price continues to trade below the psychological $90,000 level following its crash, which began last month. Here’s The Amount Of Bitcoin Supply At A Loss In a report, Glassnode revealed that the Bitcoin supply in loss has risen to 6.7 million BTC, marking the highest level of loss-bearing supply observed in this cycle. The analytics platform further noted that this represents 23.7% of the circulating supply, which is currently underwater. 10.2% of this supply is held by long-term holders and 13.5% by short-term holders. Glassnode …
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Ethereum is trading around $2,954 within the downtrend channel formed since December 8 and is showing signs of recovery after finding good support around 1/8 of the Murray level. A double bottom pattern is in progress. If the bullish force prevails, we could expect ETH/USD to break decisively through the downtrend channel in the coming hours. If ETH consolidates above the psychological level of $3,000, then we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around $3,134 and even return to the 3/8 Murray levels around $3,437. On the other hand, if ETH/USD falls below $2,906, where the 21 SMA is located, there is a chance that the bearish cycle will resume. If this scenario occurs, t…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1711, below 4/8 Murray and below the 21 SMA, under some downward pressure, which indicates that it could continue its fall in the coming hours. However, we can see on the H4 chart that the euro has found good support around 1.1700. This level could give EUR/USD a technical rebound, and the instrument could reach the top of the downtrend channel around 1.1737. If the euro recovers in the coming hours, it could face strong resistance from the top of the downtrend channel and, in turn, the 21 SMA, which could be seen as an opportunity to enter short positions. The target could be around 1.1740, and at Murray's 3/8 located at 1.1657. The euro could…
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Bitcoin is trading around $87,891 after a sharp drop to $84,323 yesterday during the US session. We are now seeing a recovery and consolidation above the 2/8 Murray and above the 21 SMA, indicating a possible breakout from the downtrend channel. According to the H4 chart, we can see that Bitcoin has formed a double bottom pattern, which could indicate that Bitcoin could rebound to $93,750 in the future and even return to the psychological level of $100,000. Meanwhile, we can see that the instrument is within the downtrend channel formed since December 8. So, if it reaches $88,700 and tries unsuccessfully to break this zone, it could be seen as an opportunity to open short…
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Gold is trading around $4,325, following consolidation over the last few hours above the 21 SMA. The bullish momentum is being exhausted. According to the H4 chart, we can see that gold has been testing the downtrend channel, which means there is likely to be a technical rebound in the coming hours if the price consolidates above $4,320 (21 SMA). With the price being above the 21 SMA, there is an opportunity to open long positions, which could push the instrument towards $4,342. Gold could even return to its high reached around the 8/8 Murray located at $4,375. A decisive break and consolidation below $4,320 could be the start of a new bearish sequence. We could expect go…
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Oil has been falling continuously since the beginning of December, maintaining the broad downward trend that has characterized 2025—excluding, of course, the price spikes seen during the June 12-Day War. The typical fundamental reasoning for this relentless slide has been significantly higher supply from OPEC+, a result of coordinated geopolitical planning aimed at undercutting Russia's profits from its oil-sponsored war in Ukraine. Furthermore, Russia itself has flooded its purchasers with supply; despite sanctions raising barriers and counterparty risks for European markets, the competitive pricing of Slavic oil has kept global prices depressed. …
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Yen stayed weak despite a historic rate hike: The Bank of Japan raised rates to 0.75% (highest since 1995), but deeply negative real interest rates (about –2.15%) continue to erode yen purchasing power and discourage investment in the currency.Markets had fully priced in the hike: The decision was expected with near-100% probability, triggering a “buy the rumor, sell the news” reaction as investors took profits, adding selling pressure on the yen instead of supporting it.Global rate differentials favor the dollar over the yen: A large real interest rate gap dovish signals from BOJ Governor Ueda, and strong risk appetite for U.S. assets have revived carry trades and pushed…
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Dogecoin is showing resilience at key support, with buyers repeatedly stepping in to absorb downside pressure. However, momentum indicators and the broader structure continue to favor the bears, keeping the short-term trend under stress. This tug-of-war sets the stage for a decisive move, as the next reaction will determine whether DOGE stabilizes or slides deeper. DOGE Stuck In A Prolonged Corrective Phase According to a recent update by More Crypto Online, Dogecoin’s price action remains stuck in a corrective phase that has been in place since November 2024. The sharp flash crash on October 10 added complexity to the broader structure, making the chart harder to interp…
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Canada’s Erdene Resource Development (TSX: ERD) is working to turn its new Bayan Khundii open-pit gold mine in Mongolia into the anchor of a future minerals district that will one day produce several metals, CEO Peter Akerley says. Erdene poured first gold at Bayan Khundii in September – about 10 years after the first exploration hole was drilled – and expects to achieve nameplate production by the end of the month. The operation has been designed to process 650,000 tonnes of ore and produce 85,000 oz. of gold per year. “We see Bayan Khundii as a foundation to build out a new multi-mine, multi-commodity district,” Aekerley told MINING.COM’s sister publication, The…
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The US Export-Import Bank (EXIM) has increased potential funding to over $2 billion for Graphite One’s (TSXV: GPH) Alaska-to-Ohio supply chain. The bank on Thursday issued non-binding letters of interest tied to the Graphite Creek project near Nome for $670 million, up from $570 million. The prospective loan for an anode materials plant in northeastern Ohio jumped to $1.4 billion, up from $325 million, with a 15-year loan repayment period. EXIM indicated it could cover about 70% of total capital spending through first production, with the balance to come from commercial lenders and other US agencies. “There’s no reason the US should be dependent on foreign-sourced…
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Crypto analyst Quantum Ascend has published a weekly-chart “roadmap” for Shiba Inu (SHIB) in a new video, laying out three upside targets for a potential altcoin cycle, while warning that SHIB’s deep multi-year drawdown could cap the move if macro conditions deteriorate. The Base Case For Shiba Inu Price In his X post, Quantum Ascend listed “Altseason Targets” as a conservative level (“$0.47 e-8,” as written), a “Primary” target of $0.00014, and a “Blow-Off” target of $0.00035. In the video, the analyst anchored the roadmap to Elliott Wave-style structure and Fibonacci extensions, and emphasized that the bullish path is conditional, not guaranteed. Starting from SHIB’s …
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ioneer (ASX: INR) (NASDAQ: IONR) now expects to complete its partner search for the Rhyolite Ridge lithium-boron mine project in Nevada during the first half of 2026, the company said in a year-end update Friday. In July, the Australian mine developer launched a formal strategic partnering process after Sibanye-Stillwater (JSE: SSW)(NYSE: SBSW) pulled out of the project earlier in the year. At the time, ioneer said the partner search, which is being advised by Goldman Sachs, would take up to four months. However, the process has been dragged into the new year, which the company attributes to market and geopolitical factors. In its latest update, ioneer said it rem…
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