Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12212 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price test at 1.1570 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair rose by more than 25 pips. Today, important data will be released regarding the business activity index in the manufacturing sectors of Germany, France, and the Eurozone. Weak PMI data could heighten concerns about an economic slowdown in the Eurozone, especially given recent economic indicators pointing to slowing growth. The European Central Bank is closely monitoring these indicators to determine its future monetary policy. If the PMI figures come i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1635 coincided with the MACD indicator being significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1635 shortly after occurred when the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing for the realization of Scenario 2 for a buy, but it did not lead to a significant increase in the pair. Strong private-sector employment data from ADP and figures on job openings and labor turnover in the US supported the dollar against the euro in the afternoon. Investors interpreted this data as a signal that the US labor market is not …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1645 came at a moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 60 pips. The day before, the Federal Open Market Committee voted, with a majority (9 to 3), to lower the key interest rate by 0.25%, establishing a target range of 3.5%-3.75%. This action resulted in a weakening of the US dollar and a strengthening of the euro. Proponents of monetary policy easing insisted on the need to stimulate the economy amid a slowdown in labor-market growth. However, the long-term effects …
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price level at 1.1715 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Contrary to analysts' expectations, the number of new jobless claims in the United States exceeded forecasted figures. This situation led to a decline in the value of the US currency and a strengthening of the euro's position. Today, market participants will focus on the consumer price index reports from leading Eurozone countries. Special attention will be paid to the German inflation data release. Unexpected deviations from fo…
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Deal Analysis and Tips for Trading the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price level at 1.1736 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair rose by 15 pips. Statements from Federal Reserve officials at the end of last week did not support the US dollar, leaving the euro well-positioned for further gains. Overcoming significant resistance levels will allow the upward trend to continue today, as the overall picture suggests favorable conditions for further strengthening of risk assets. Today, fresh data on the German wholesale price index and information on changes in industrial produ…
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Analysis of Trades and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1752 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy euros. As a result, the pair rose by 15 pips. Yesterday marked further strengthening of the euro against the US dollar. The statement from Christopher Waller, a Federal Reserve representative, that the central bank is on the right track to support the economy, along with weak US data, exerted additional pressure on the dollar. However, caution is essential; there are many important reports ahead from both the Eurozone and the US, and everything could change at any moment. This mor…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1711 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell euros. The second test at 1.1711 triggered Scenario No. 2 to buy, as the MACD was already in the oversold area, resulting in a rise of more than 20 pips in the pair. After dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials on future interest rate dynamics, the dollar lost its morning momentum. However, the American economy, despite some weakening, remains more stable than those of many developed nations. The ongoing problem is unemployment, which has been r…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1717 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero line, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1717 triggered Buy Scenario #2, as the MACD was already in oversold territory, driving the pair up by more than 40 pips. Yesterday, the European Central Bank decided not to change interest rates, clearly signaling the end of the easing phase of monetary policy. The upward revision of forecasts and positive changes in policymakers' plans indicate greater resilience in the eurozone economy than previously thought. However, …
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1639 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The second test at 1.1639 shortly thereafter coincided with the MACD being in the overbought area, allowing the execution of Scenario #2 to sell euros, resulting in a decline of more than 20 pips in the pair. Pressure on the US dollar increased immediately after the release of the disappointing ISM Manufacturing Index. Contrary to expectations, the indicator characterizing the state of the manufacturing sector showed a decline, signalin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1613 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point to buy euros. As a result, the pair only rose by 10 pips before pressure returned. Positive news about a steady increase in the Economic Optimism Index from RCM/TIPP in the United States initially led to a temporary strengthening of the dollar against the euro, undermining any bullish potential and preventing the entry point for buying euros from fully materializing. However, after a slight strengthening of the dollar, market participants quickly reassessed their forecasts, taking int…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price at 1.1674 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had been in the overbought area for quite some time and was declining toward the zero mark, allowing for entering short positions on the euro. As a result, the pair dropped nearly 20 pips. Following the release of unexpected ADP data showing a decline in U.S. private-sector employment, the U.S. currency lost ground against the euro. The November figures showed a 32,000-job reduction, an unpleasant surprise for experts who had expected an increase. Traders, concerned about a potential worsening of the economic situation, began to shed dollar-denomi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price level of 1.1663 was tested when the MACD indicator was just beginning to turn down from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for selling euros. As a result, the pair declined toward the target at 1.1640. The dollar regained some ground against the euro after news that US jobless claims fell significantly last week. While this did not prompt investors to reassess the prospects for Federal Reserve monetary policy, it did offer some hope of a recovery in the labor market. The strengthening dollar pressured the euro, which had previously risen amid expectations of a more hawkish stance from the European Centra…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro CurrencyThe price test at 1.1646 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by nearly 30 pips. Yesterday, the dollar briefly strengthened against the euro, but it did not prompt any significant technical changes in the market. No one seems to be seriously intervening in the market ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting starting today. The outcomes will be published tomorrow evening. Any signs of further policy easing will hurt the U.S. dollar, so serious purchases are not currently on anyone's mind. Today…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the EuroTesting the price at 1.1551 coincided with the MACD indicator advancing significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro and missed out on the pair's strong upward movement. In the U.S., a sharp decline in the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index weakened the American currency against the euro. Market participants interpreted this as a harbinger of slowing U.S. economic growth, negatively affecting the dollar's status as a safe haven. The downward trend of the dollar can be explained by expectations of further dovish actions from the U.S. Federal R…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro CurrencyThe price test at 1.1582 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros and missed the upward movement. Yesterday was marked by the euro's continued strengthening against the US dollar. The main reason for this was optimism among market participants, who are linking their hopes to a swift end to the U.S. government shutdown. After the shutdown ends, incoming economic data from the US will be crucial, as it may provide new guidelines for the dollar's further movement. Regarding today, Germany's inflation dat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for the Euro CurrencyThe price test at 1.1580 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move above the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 20 pips. As it was announced, the US government resumed operations yesterday after Donald Trump signed the H.R. 5371 bill. However, the US dollar's reaction to this event was minimal since the market had largely anticipated this outcome. The apparent stability of the currency, despite political turbulence, is explained by the good state of the US economy. Nevertheless, potential risks should not be ignored. Ongoing political conflicts and the risi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1633 coincided with the MACD indicator rising significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The lack of fundamental data from the U.S. and disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding further actions on the key interest rate negatively impact the dollar's position. Growing uncertainty regarding the monetary policy direction, exacerbated by conflicting statements from the Federal Open Market Committee members, is a key factor that leads traders to avoid long positions in the dollar. The ambiguity surrounding the cen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1631 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero mark, which confirmed a good entry point to buy euros. As a result, there was a gain of about 20 pips. Recent comments from officials at the U.S. Federal Reserve, indicating uncertainty regarding future policy on the key interest rate, triggered a strengthening of the dollar in the afternoon. Traders always respond keenly to every statement and signal from the Fed representatives, as a shift in tone can precede a change in monetary policy. Clearly, the current uncertainty regarding the future trajectory of interest rates contin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1597 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the decline was only about 10 pips. Yesterday's positive results for the Empire Manufacturing Index in the States, which exceeded economists' forecasts by more than two times, along with comments from Federal Reserve representatives regarding their further approach to monetary policy easing, supported the U.S. dollar. However, the future dynamics of the dollar will likely depend on U.S. macroeconomic data, which everyone is eagerly awaiting. The a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1597 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros, and it turned out to be the right decision. Improvement in durable goods orders in the U.S. and cautious comments from Federal Reserve officials supported the U.S. dollar in the second half of the day. The rise in manufacturing orders indicates a revival in industry and an increase in economic growth. This, in turn, reduces the likelihood of further Fed interest rate cuts. The Fed's conservative tone, emphasizing the dependence of future…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1565 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's bearish potential. For this reason, I did not sell euros and missed a good downward movement of the pair. Yesterday's publication of the FOMC minutes from the October meeting indicated that most Federal Reserve officials lean towards keeping interest rates unchanged by the end of this year. Overall, the divergence of opinions within the Fed suggests ongoing uncertainty regarding future monetary policy. It is essential to continue monitoring new statements from Fed representatives and incoming data…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1521 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair only fell by 10 pips. Demand for the euro returned, while the dollar plummeted after news that the US unemployment rate rose to 4.4% in September. Job loss, wage reductions, and loss of health insurance all significantly impact consumer purchasing power and, consequently, slow economic growth. Therefore, it is not surprising that average hourly earnings are also declining. Now, the Federal Reserve faces a tough decision, as there will be no n…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Euro The test of the 1.1547 price level came at a time when the MACD indicator had risen sharply from the zero mark, limiting the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I didn't buy the euro. A second test of 1.1547 shortly after led to the implementation of Sell Scenario #2, resulting in a drop of more than 25 pips for the pair. The lack of U.S. data negatively affected the dollar, providing only slight support for the euro in the afternoon. The lack of key data prevented traders from assessing the U.S. economy, creating uncertainty. The euro, in turn, gained some momentum but quickly faded. Although the euro has its own iss…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price test at 1.1547 occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly from the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. Selling at 1.1528 resulted in losses. Weak macroeconomic data from the United States is obviously putting pressure on the dollar, undermining its position as an attractive safe-haven asset. Traders fear that the Federal Reserve's tight stance, coupled with the recent shutdown, might severely slow economic growth. However, despite current difficulties, the dollar should not be written off. The American economy remains one of the largest a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the European CurrencyThe price test at 1.1565 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by 15 pips, and that was the end of it. The brief rise in the dollar, driven by news of a decline in new jobless claims in the United States, failed to reverse the overall downward trend in the American currency. The expectation of further monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve remains the main factor weighing on the dollar. Today, a rather interesting set of reports is expected in the first half of the day. Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
