Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for August 29 Today's session brought some extra volatility to complement a fairly dull trading week – Forex Markets had no idea of where to go, with all major pairs rangebound since the weekly open. Some month-end flows brought Silver and Gold to their highs, and since the end of the London session, Equities have sold off. Month-end profit-taking is nothing to be afraid off particularly amid ever-growing stock indices, but after a few months of (relative) calm in geopolitics, it seems that tensions are on the rise again. European powerhouses (France, Germany and the UK) are mad at Iran for not respecting atomic dea…
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Spot silver surged above $40 an ounce for the first time since 2011 as mounting expectations for US Federal Reserve rate cuts gave fresh momentum to a multi-year bull run in precious metals. Prices jumped 2.7% to $40.72/oz, the highest since September 2011 on Monday morning. Gold also advanced, up as much as 1.2% to trade just below its April record above $3,500/oz. The US dollar traded near its lowest since July 28 against major peers, making greenback-priced bullion cheaper for overseas buyers and amplifying the move. “Gold, and especially silver, extended Friday’s strong gains, supported by sticky US inflation, weakening consumer sentiment, (expected) r…
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XRP price is attempting to recover from the $2.70 zone. The price is now moving higher and might gain pace if it clears the $2.850 resistance. XRP price is attempting to recover above the $2.750 resistance. The price is now trading below $2.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.820 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to decline if it stays below the $2.850 zone. XRP Price Eyes Recovery XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.880, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price traded below the $2.850 and $2.820 levels to enter a bearish zone. The bears we…
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Ecuador-focused SolGold (LON: SOLG) has moved its tax domicile to Switzerland as it pushes its flagship Cascabel copper-gold project into development. The shift, effective August 28, includes the relocation of chief executive Dan Vujcic to Europe. SolGold delisted from the Toronto Stock Exchange in June, but kept its primary listing in London and is weighing an additional listing as part of its corporate overhaul. A key element of the restructuring is the consolidation of full ownership of Cascabel under SolGold Finance AG, its Swiss subsidiary. The move brings the project in line with existing royalty and stream agreements, placing 100% ownership under one entity…
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Shiba Inu’s active addresses have crashed over 50% in three months, providing a bearish outlook for the top meme coin. This development has also coincided with the SHIB price crash during this period. Shiba Inu’s Active Addresses Crash Over 50% Santiment data shows that Shiba Inu’s active addresses have crashed by over 50% since they peaked on May 2 at around 7,800. Since then, this metric has been on a downtrend, dropping to as low as 2,500 earlier in June. Now, the number of active SHIB addresses is currently at an average of 3,000. The drop in Shiba Inu’s active addresses has followed the crash in the SHIB price. Notably, the meme coin reached a peak of around $0.…
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The Japanese yen is sharply lower on Tuesday and has fallen to a two-week low. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.62, up 1.0% on the day. BoJ Deputy Governor says rate hike coming Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on Tuesday that the central bank would raise rates if conditions were appropriate. Himino said there were "upside and downside risks for economy and inflation", citing the tight labor market and global economic uncertainty as upside inflation risks and tariffs and commodity prices as downward price risks. Himino said that the impact of US tariffs could be "smaller or larger than expected" and the BoJ woul have to carefully ass…
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The crypto market closed August with its most active month since January, as spot trading volumes climbed across major exchanges. Data from The Block shows that monthly spot volume reached $1.86 trillion in August, a 5% rise from July’s $1.77 trillion. Binance maintained its lead with $737.1 billion in spot trades, its highest since January, followed by Bybit with $126.5 billion and Bitget with $126.1 billion. (Source: Exchange Volume) This renewed activity comes alongside shifting investor preferences around the best altcoin to buy. U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $3.87 billion in August inflows, while Bitcoin ETFs saw $751.1 million in outflows during the same mon…
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British Columbia’s Environmental Appeal Board has upheld a ruling that handed Peace River Coal Inc. an C$800,000 ($580,000) fine after it repeatedly failed to comply with its environmental permit at its Trend Roman coal mine near Tumbler Ridge, Business in Vancouver reported. The Peace River coal mine was a metallurgical coal mine in northeastern BC, that was owned by Anglo American and suspended production in 2014 due to low coal prices. In February 2025, the idled mine was sold to Conuma Resources, a coal miner with operations in northeastern BC. The penalty was the largest ever issued by the B.C. Ministry of the Environment under the Environmental Management …
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Ethereum (ETH) has just made history with a development that could reshape its market trajectory. For the first time, the Ethereum exchange balance has turned negative, meaning more tokens are being withdrawn from trading platforms than deposited. This structural shift in supply dynamics has analysts labeling it a key bullish signal for the market’s next rally. Ethereum Exchange Balance = Negative Crypto market expert Cas Abbe shared a new report showing that Ethereum’s exchange flux has slipped into the negative territory for the first time on record. He suggests that the latest development could be bullish for ETH, as it signals reduced selling pressure and growing in…
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The Canadian dollar is showing little movement at the start of the week. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3820, down 0.06% on the day. Canada's employment sinks Canada's labor market is deteriorating quickly. In August, employment slipped by 65.5 thousand, the sharpest decline since January 2022. This was well off the market estimate of a 7.5 thousand gain and following the July reading of -40.8 thousand. That's the loss of over 100 thousand jobs in just two months. The massive loss of jobs has been driven by the US-Canada trade war, as many Canadian products have been slapped with 35% tariffs. There was more bad news, as the unemployment rate jumped…
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Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
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Polkadot crypto might be out of the top 30, slipping below Toncoin (TON crypto) and Cronos (CRO) in the market cap ranking. However, this does not mean DOT USD is not being watched. DOT USD is firm at spot rates, and the candlestick arrangement suggests that the Polkadot price is primed for major gains that could propel it to new H2 2025 highs in the coming sessions. Coingecko data shows that Polkadot crypto has been stable in the past day and week, adding roughly +5%. At this pace, DOT USD is shaking off the weakness seen from mid-August 2025, finding a solid footing for possible gains. Still, DOT crypto has not completely reversed losses of the past year, and is down…
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Markets had been desperately awaiting the Non-Farm Payrolls report before making their next move. Yet even after the release, uncertainty remains. Non-Farm Payrolls and their impact on the upcoming weeks Markets had been waiting for today for a while. This Friday brought us the all-important Non-Farm Payrolls report for August, and the numbers were certainly a surprise. The consequential miss—with just 22K new jobs vs 75K exp, and further downward revisions—paints a degrading picture for the labor market. While this would have spurred an immediate risk-off reaction, stocks opened slightly higher, but the reaction quickly shifted when the US equity markets opened, and…
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It is necessary to use what works. The market is convinced that the Fed will cut the federal funds rate. Even a hawkish surprise from US inflation in August will not stop the central bank from easing monetary policy. Combined with strong corporate earnings and investor confidence in consumers, this provides grounds to keep buying the dips in the S&P 500, even in the seasonally weak month of September for the broad stock index. In fact, the first month of autumn may not be so bad for equities. According to Bloomberg research, since 1971, the S&P 500 has often risen in September if the Fed cut rates outside of a recession. A typical example was September of last ye…
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USD/CAD The USD/CAD pair has reached the target resistance at 1.3860. A pullback is possible, as the price is essentially within the sideways range observed in the second half of April. However, the Marlin oscillator is confidently starting to rise in positive territory, so the probability of the price consolidating above the 1.3860 level is more than 50%. After such consolidation, growth toward the next target resistance at 1.3958 is possible. It's also worth noting the price's attempt to pull away from the balance line after unsuccessful attempts to drop below it from September 5–9. This signals the price's desire to accelerate its rise. On the H4 chart, the price beg…
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Rumors linking Apple to a massive XRP purchase are circulating rapidly through the cryptocurrency community. A post on X claims that Apple is about to announce a billion-dollar buy of the digital asset, and the claim immediately captures attention online. But while some traders show excitement, one well-known XRP supporter pushes back against the story. XRP Influencer Dismisses Apple’s $1.5 Billion Buy Claim The claim about Apple spending billions on XRP gets a sharp response from XRP influencer Cobb, who is very active on X. Quoting the rumor, Cobb writes, “Are the ‘rumors’ in the room with us right now?” His comment mocks the story, comparing it to seeing ghosts, and …
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Beaver Creek, Colorado – The single biggest driver of returns now isn’t what’s in the rock, it’s what’s on the books, a panel heard on Tuesday at the Precious Metals Summit in Beaver Creek, Colorado. Permitting timelines, disclosure discipline and where the world’s metals are refined are set to be the gatekeepers to industry success. Moderator Anthony Vaccaro, president of The Northern Miner Group, framed the discussion against a backdrop of record bullion, fragile geopolitics and a scramble for “strategic” metals. The panel featuring hedge fund manager Warren Irwin, Bear Creek Mining (TSXV: BCM) chair Catherine McLeod-Seltzer, and CEO Jonathan Goodman of financier Du…
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Good day, traders! On Wednesday, EUR/USD made several bounces from the 76.4% correction level at 1.1695, but as of Thursday morning, it has returned to test this level again. Another bounce from here would support the euro and renew the uptrend toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. Consolidation below 1.1695 would increase the chances for further decline toward the support zone at 1.1637–1.1645. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed wave up broke a previous top, while the latest down wave failed to break the prior low. This means the current trend is bullish—though not particularly strong or assured. Recent US labor …
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Japan has committed $7 billion to develop the Nacala Logistics Corridor, a project expected to boost Sovereign Metals’ (ASX: SVM) (LON: SVML) Kasiya rutile-graphite project in Malawi. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, working with the African Development Bank, will direct funds toward capacity expansion, refurbishment and resilience upgrades across Malawi, Zambia and Mozambique. The program, called Strengthening Global Supply Chain through Nacala Corridor Development, is designed to secure critical mineral supply chains, improve transport reliability and ease congestion. Kasiya, which already has access to Japanese titanium markets, stands to benefit directly. …
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase and climbed above $4,500. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $4,550. Ethereum is now eyeing an upside break above the $4,550 zone. The price is trading above $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,470 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,550 and $4,580. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,320 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,350 and $4,440 resistance levels. …
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As Ethereum (ETH) trades in the mid $4,000 range, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures open interest (OI) for the digital asset continues to hit new highs. Against that backdrop, analysts are now predicting a new all-time high (ATH) for ETH later this year. Ethereum New ATH By End Of 2025? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum’s CME futures OI is steadily moving towards new highs. The analyst brought attention to past data about Ethereum futures OI to predict its next move. Back in 2021-2022, Ethereum futures OI remained relatively low, largely dominated by 1-2 month contracts. At the time, although ETH gained bullish mom…
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Bitcoin, having reached a weekly high around $116,400, is currently undergoing a technical correction and is likely to find strong support around the 21SMA at $114,600 or around the bottom of the uptrend channel formed on September 9 at $114,500. If Bitcoin consolidates above $114,500, it will be seen as a signal to resume buying, with targets at the top of the uptrend channel around $117,448. Crypto could even reach the 6/8 Murray level at $118,750. Conversely, a break below $114,500 could be seen as a strong technical correction, and Bitcoin could drop to the 4/8 Murray level at $112,500. The eagle indicator on the H1 charts has reached overbought levels, and it's likel…
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Asia Market Wrap - Alibaba Surges Most Read: GBP/USD Rallies Ahead of UK GDP. Will Multi-Week Resistance Hold? Asian stock markets are on the rise, following a positive trend in the U.S. market. As a result, stock markets in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan have reached new or near-record highs, with Japan's main index climbing 1% and South Korea's jumping 1.3%. Meanwhile, Chinese stocks also hit their highest point in over three years, largely due to strong investor interest in companies related to artificial intelligence. Overall, a major index tracking Asian shares outside of Japan saw a significant 1.2% increase. Major players like SK Hynix, Samsung, and TSMC saw the…
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Dogecoin is approaching a familiar inflection on the monthly chart that previously preceded its most explosive advances, according to a new high-timeframe analysis from Kevin (Kev Capital TA) published on September 11. The analyst argues that a fresh stochastic RSI (stoch RSI) cross to the upside on the monthly timeframe—now forming but not yet above the 20 threshold—echoes the technical regime that fueled Dogecoin’s prior cycle blow-offs. Dogecoin Explosion Imminent? “Back in February 2017, Dogecoin got a V-shaped stock RSI cross above the 20 level and it went on another rally… 1,852%,” he said, adding that a subsequent monthly cross “produced a very nice 1,751% gain” b…
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Dogecoin has been steadily rallying, increasing nearly 20% to about $0.25, after a large purchase from CleanCore Solutions. The industry giant added over 500M DOGE (worth $125M) to its holdings, boosting the token’s use and helping establish it as a reserve asset. In other news, there is growing excitement about the launch of the ETF, the first U.S. exchange-traded fund for Dogecoin. The launch, expected around next Thursday, would enable traditional investors to buy DOGE indirectly. Traders anticipate that the launch will push Dogecoin’s price toward $0.30. The launch of the ETF (DOJE) is also exciting news for traditional investors, as it will offer easier and more re…
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