Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Nuclear startup Hadron Energy has announced it will go public on the Nasdaq via a $1.2 billion business combination with GigCapital7 Corp, a Private-to-Public Equity firm. The deal will provide approximately $200 million in net proceeds, which will be used to accelerate product development and commercial deployment of Hadron’s technology, it said. The deal is expected to close in Q1 2026. The Redwood City, California-based company said it has designed a micro modular reactor (MMR) built on light water reactor technology with an operationally efficient 10-year fueling cycle. MMRs are miniaturized nuclear power plants being increasingly used in AI data center …
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Bitcoin is holding up relatively well after the recent sell-off, although there are few willing buyers above the $116,000 level. Most market participants are waiting for a deeper correction toward the $106,000 area before making a move — and there are fair reasons for that. The market needs time to recover after losing nearly $20 billion in less than a week. This is reflected in the ongoing consolidation observed across many cryptocurrencies. Meanwhile, in Q3 of this year, a record number of companies increased their exposure by investing in Bitcoin. The number of public companies holding Bitcoin rose to 172, which is almost a 40% surge compared to three months earlier…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 22 Markets started the week on the back foot today, but shook off early concerns as US tech shares continued their impressive rise. This was fueled by a promise from Nvidia to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, boosting excitement around artificial intelligence. The S&P 500 saw gains primarily in the technology sector, marking a new record high for the 28th time this year. Nvidia's stock rose by about 4%, as its investment is meant to help OpenAI build data centers with its advanced AI chips. Other tech stocks also did well: Apple's shares went up 4.3% after an analyst firm, Wedbush, raised its price…
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Most Read: WTI Oil Retreats From Near Three-Week Highs as Pessimism Grows Around Russia/Ukraine Deal NVIDIA Corporation's (NASDAQ: NVDA) upcoming financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, scheduled for release on August 27, 2025, represent more than a standard earnings report; they are a critical litmus test for the entire Artificial Intelligence (AI) investment narrative that has propelled technology markets to new heights. What to Expect? The market enters this earnings season with a wide and telling gap between NVIDIA's official guidance and the Street's expectations, a dynamic that has come to define the company's reporting cycle. For the second…
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Nvidia hit a $4 trillion market value on Wednesday, becoming the first public company to do so. Its stock rose 2.4% to $164, driven by strong demand for AI technology. Nvidia first passed the $2 trillion mark in February 2024, and first passed the $3 trillion mark in June, now at $4 trillion in Early July. Nvidia is now up about 74% from its April lows, when global markets were jolted from U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff volley. close Source: TradingView.com…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for August 27 One of the main subjects around (muted) Markets in this end of August is the challenge of the FED's Independence, supporting metals and leaving a sense of uncertainty all around. I suggest you to read this very nice piece on the subject. Our most recent article on Silver and metals also explore these views in detail. Nvidia have released their earnings with a $1.05 EPS beating expectations, however Nasdaq futures have corrected further since the release – pretty surprising, Markets might have expected even more. Sell the news on earnings beats are not very good signs for future outlooks so keep an eye …
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NVDA Buy the Dip by investingLive.com (*at your own risk) NVIDIA (NVDA) is back on everyone’s radar this week, trading around $169.76 after a big earnings-driven run and pullback. For context, we recently warned traders and investors not to get carried away with over-enthusiasm around earnings — and that call aged well. If you missed it, check the analysis here: NVDA Earnings Analysis – This Shows Trader Over-Enthusiasm. That’s the point of these updates: not hype, not “to the moon” charts, but structured trade plans that give you clear entry points, stops, and targets. You can use them as a roadmap, do your own research, and trade at your own risk. The bigger picture on …
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Artificial intelligence (AI) juggernaut Nvidia will report its second-quarter earnings after the close of the US session on Wednesday, 27 August. Its ex-post share price actions, earnings results, and guidance are likely to trigger a significant feedback loop back into the broader US stock market and globally as well. The medium- to long-term bullish momentum in global stock markets has been sustained largely by optimism surrounding the transformative potential of emerging AI technologies. Investors anticipate that these innovations could deliver significant productivity gains across industries, even though such benefits have yet to be fully realized or empirically pr…
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Wall Street’s biggest exchange owner is betting $2Bn that prediction markets are going mainstream. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, announced on Tuesday that it will invest up to $2Bn in crypto prediction platform Polymarket. The deal makes ICE a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data and opens the door for future tokenization projects between the two firms. The investment values Polymarket at about $8Bn before the deal and $9Bn after, according to company statements. ICE shares rose in pre-market trading following the announcement. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October…
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NZD was the strongest G10 currency last week, supported by USD weakness, improved global risk sentiment, and stronger-than-expected Chinese PMI dataMarkets expect the RBNZ to cut rates by 25 bp on October 8, though some investors are pricing in a deeper 50 bp move after weak Q2 GDP (-0.9%) and declining PMI readingsNZD/USD rebounded to 0.582–0.584 after a weak Q3 This week, the New Zealand dollar was the strongest currency among the G10 against the US dollar. This move was not accidental – NZD benefited from the broad weakness of the USD, improved investor sentiment on global markets, and positive signals from both the domestic economy and China, New Zealand’s key trad…
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New Zealand’s central bank (RBNZ) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) as expected by 25 basis points (bps) to a three-year low of 3% today. The major surprise was the RBNZ’s monetary policy guidance that skewed towards a more dovish stance than expected. Its latest forward guidance shows that the average OCR is projected to fall to 2.71% by the end of 2025, lower than the earlier projection of 2.92% made in May. Two more potential interest rate cuts by the RBNZ Also, it forecasts the OCR to drop further to a low of 2.55% in early 2026, versus 2.85% projected in May. Hence, based on this set of latest dovish projections, the RBNZ has indicated that it is likely not done wi…
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Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Rate Decision Traders are closely monitoring the RBNZ meeting scheduled for Tuesday, May 27, 2025. Market consensus, based on Bloomberg analyst surveys, strongly anticipates a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut, bringing the official cash rate to 3.25%. This follows a previous 25 bps cut in April. Further RBNZ rate cuts are possible in 2025 due to global trade uncertainties and potential economic slowdowns. The recent New Zealand Employment Change Q/Q showed a 0.1% increase, as expected, though the previous quarter's data was revised downward. The New Zealand Unemployment Rate remained steady at 5.1%, better than the 5.3% forecast. …
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The New Zealand dollar recently hit a six-month low against the U.S. dollar, sliding to 0.5731. The intraday decline was triggered by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) October monetary policy decision to cut the official cash rate by 50 basis points — a much more aggressive move than the widely anticipated 25-basis-point cut. So the actual result surprised market participants. Moreover, the central bank has made it clear that it is open to further steps to ease monetary policy. This "ultra-dovish" move took the market by surprise and reminded traders that the RBNZ is not afraid to act boldly when needed. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand really does know how to s…
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The NZD/USD pair has encountered resistance at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), around the 0.5845 level. The U.S. dollar is showing positive momentum for the second consecutive day, supported by broad weakness in the Japanese yen. Additionally, cautious sentiment regarding U.S. equity futures strengthens the dollar's role as a safe-haven currency and is seen as a key factor exerting some downside pressure on the risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar. However, dollar strength does not appear overly optimistic against the backdrop of expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve policy, which in turn could lend support to the NZD/USD pair. According to the CME FedWatch Tool…
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Today, the NZD/USD pair is attracting new buyers. The U.S. dollar attempted to extend its rebound from the weekly low reached the day before, which became the main factor limiting the pair's upside. However, the rebound attempt was unsuccessful. In addition, growing expectations of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) are restraining traders from actively buying the New Zealand dollar. In this context, it is worth exercising caution before relying on a continued recovery of the pair, which began from the 0.5750 level — the September low, also seen back in April.That said, significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar now seems unlikely due to fore…
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The NZD/USD pair is struggling to extend its recent two-day rally that set a new monthly high. Sellers are now appearing near the psychological level of 0.6000, but the decline remains limited as traders await the key decision of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Fed is expected to announce at least a 25-basis-point rate cut. Market focus is on updated economic projections and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference, which should provide guidance on the future rate path. These signals will have a direct impact on the short-term dynamics of the U.S. dollar and may set a new impulse for the NZD/USD pair. Ahead of this important event, position adjustments ar…
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On Wednesday, October 8, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will hold its next monetary policy meeting — the second-to-last meeting of the year. The central bank is widely expected to cut the official cash rate by 25 basis points. This base-case scenario has already been priced into the market, meaning the decision itself is unlikely to cause meaningful volatility in NZD/USD. Instead, attention will shift to the bank's guidance on future policy steps. Back in August, during its previous meeting, there were widespread rumours that the RBNZ might be ready to end its rate-cut cycle following an acceleration in inflation during the second quarter. Analysts were divide…
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APAC currencies have struggled over the past month, with NZD among the laggards amid a strong US Dollar comeback. The FOMC kept rates unchanged at its latest meeting yesterday, and FX Markets are now preparing for the upcoming RBNZ decision, slated for August 14. NZDUSD has been relatively rangebound within a 2-handle zone since May, following a sharp April down-move sparked by volatility around Trump's infamous Liberation Day. Before attacking the multi-timeframe technical analysis of NZDUSD, here is a small reminder that this morning, the reports for the Core PCE—which came slightly above expectations (2.8% y/y vs 2.7% estimate)—and an as-expected Canadian GDP (-0.1%…
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The Kiwi’s slide has been one that hasn't been seen in a while, with NZDUSD dropping 2% in just two sessions. The pair had initially climbed ahead of the FOMC, driven by dovish concerns around the Fed and sudden Dollar-hedging that briefly pressured the DXY (sending the US Dollar down, hence the pair shooting upwards). However, Powell’s balanced tone quickly flipped that narrative, erasing the priced-in dovishness observed in the SEP, dot plot, and FOMC statement. “You can think of this, in a way, as a risk management cut,” Powell noted, striking a cautious stance around future cuts that steadied the USD. There are still 25 bps of cuts priced at each of the two meet…
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Longtime mining industry executive W. R. “Bob” Dengler, an engineer who built Canadian startup Dynatec into one of the country’s biggest mine contractors and operators, has died. He was 84. Dengler passed away peacefully on May 15 in Aurora, Ontario, his family said in an emailed statement. No cause of death was disclosed. “Bob Dengler is undoubtedly a mining legend,” former Iamgold CEO Stephen Letwin wrote in a 2018 letter of recommendation for an award. “He stands out for his entrepreneurial mindset, the strategic vision he has brought to the industry and the lasting value his efforts have generated for Canada’s economy.” Early mining exposure Born in the…
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OceanaGold (TSX: OGC) set a new all-time high on Thursday after the company turned in strong quarterly results that were marked by record revenue and profit. During the second quarter of 2025, the Vancouver-headquartered gold miner saw revenue jump to a record $432 million, compared with $359.9 million the previous quarter and $251.2 million the same period last year. Net profit also hit a record $117.6 million, up from $101.2 million in Q1 and just $34 million a year ago, as did adjusted earnings per share ($0.51), which beat analyst estimates. BMO Capital Markets had forecasted an adjusted EPS of $0.41. Shares of OceanaGold soared by double digits on the Q2 …
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A newly ratified treaty to safeguard life at sea is expected to intensify opposition to deep-sea mining at a United Nations climate summit this week in New York, United States, running alongside the leaders’ general assembly. The High Seas Treaty, officially known as the Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ) agreement, will enter into force in January next year. This was made possible after Morocco became the 60th nation to ratify it on Friday, crossing the threshold required for UN treaties. Two decades in the making, the pact allows the creation of vast conservation zones in international waters, with the goal of protecting 30% of the ocean and halti…
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As soon as Wednesday, October 1, the U.S. government and all federal institutions may go on leave. No, this isn't the start of vacation season. This is Donald Trump, once again, failing to reach an agreement with the Democrats — and lacking the political leverage to bypass the opposition. This time, U.S. legislation stands in Trump's way: the law requires 60 votes in the Senate to pass the budget for the next fiscal year. Whether Trump forgot about this or anticipated it and prepared accordingly is unclear. Most likely, it's the latter. Either way, whether he forgot or not doesn't really matter. What matters is the shutdown, which could become the first in the past six ye…
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Since everything Trump does is "Great," the shutdown will likely be Great as well — albeit with a negative side. This time, Trump has decided not to simply send federal workers home while he and his team attempt to negotiate with the Democrats. Instead, he's opted for a more dramatic move: to fire government employees — and blame the Democrats for it. It may look and sound absurd, but let's not forget that Trump is a gambler. And gamblers love to bluff. I believe this is just that — a bluff — and no one is actually going to be fired. However, Trump will play this card as a trump (no pun intended) in his standoff with the Democrats. Without a doubt, he will announce loudly…
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How will the dollar react to the shutdown? So far, the market isn't jumping the gun—it's not rushing ahead of the train. However, economists have reviewed historical price data and found that during the last three government shutdowns, the dollar has inevitably declined. The decline didn't start immediately—it kicked in over time and even continued after the shutdowns ended. In simpler terms, a shutdown is like a time-delayed landmine for the U.S. dollar. Take the previous shutdown, for example, which ironically happened under Trump's first term in 2018–2019. It was the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, lasting 35 days. During that time, the dollar lost about 2…
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