Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
-
XRP has continued to trade lower as crypto prices weaken across the board, with the total market shedding more than $1.3 trillion since October. During the past three months, XRP has dropped more than 30%, keeping pressure on sentiment even as some commentators argue the token’s purpose goes far beyond short-term price moves. Retail Vs. Institutional Viewpoint According to health and finance commentator Dr. Camila Stevenson, much of the debate around XRP misses how large financial players judge settlement tools. Everyday traders tend to focus on charts and quick exits. Banks do not. They look at whether a system can handle stress, move large sums, and keep working whe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum’s derivatives market is showing signs of a decisive shift beneath the surface, and price action is about to return above the $3,000 mark. On-chain data suggests trader behavior on major exchanges is shifting into a more accumulative phase. Even as ETH continues to linger below the psychologically important $3,000 price level, this metric indicates that market participants are already preparing for a bullish move and a test of direction in the days ahead. Ethereum Leverage Ratio Prints New All-Time High Data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that Ethereum’s Estimated Leverage Ratio on Binance has climbed to 0.611, the highest level ever recorde…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A crypto trader reportedly sent $50 million in USDT to a scammer after an address poisoning scam attack, turning one lazy copy‑paste into one of the most expensive mistakes in crypto. Stablecoins, such as USDT, stayed pegged, so markets did not really move in the aftermath of the attack, which makes this loss even more dangerous for everyday users. While big headlines focus on massive exchange hacks, quiet wallet scams like this hit regular people right where it hurts: their balance. (Hack vs Scam) With me, Akiyama Felix, let’s dive deep into this filthy scam. I will be using my expertise from my years in crypto to help you understand the dos and don’ts. What I…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has slipped into standby mode as the weekend unfolds, with price action remaining compressed inside a familiar range. Volatility is muted, momentum is lacking, and traders are largely focused on well-defined scalp levels rather than expecting a decisive move. With the holiday period approaching, patience and precision are taking center stage as the market waits for its next real catalyst. Bitcoin Slips Back Into Weekend Range Mode According to a recent update, analyst Lennaert Snyder noted that Bitcoin has once again entered a period of “weekend chop.” While he does not expect any major trending moves during this time, he has outlined several specific scalp scena…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) investors may need to temper their expectations as the cryptocurrency heads into its final bull run. Analysts indicate that the bull rally could unfold slowly, suggesting a gradual climb to new highs. Traders are being urged to prepare for heightened volatility and plan their strategies carefully to protect gains while staying positioned for potential upside. Slow Climb Expected In Bitcoin’s Final Bull Run A market expert who calls himself Crypto Waterman has shared his latest outlook on Bitcoin’s final bull run. He expects the last leg of the rally to be a slow and deliberate process rather than a sudden spike. According to him, the parabolic move could …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to CryptoWzrd’s daily update, Litecoin (LTC) closed the day on a bullish note, closely tracking Bitcoin’s overall market sentiment. While holding above $75.20 keeps the outlook positive, a break below this level would signal bearish pressure. Conversely, a retest of the $79.60 resistance coupled with signs of weakness could present a potential shorting opportunity. Litecoin Mirrors Bitcoin’s Momentum In Daily Close Based on CryptoWzrd analysis, both the daily candles for Litecoin and the LTC/BTC ratio closed in a bullish orientation today, largely mirroring the positive sentiment set by Bitcoin. However, the analyst cautioned that for the LTC/BTC pair to confir…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum traders, holders, maxis, just cranked their risk to the max as the leverage ratio on major exchanges hit fresh records, making the market hypersensitive to even small price moves. ETH still trades with heavy derivatives activity while spot buyers watch from the sidelines, forming a market that looks calm on the surface but shakes violently underneath. This comes after months of rate cuts, whale buying, and a refreshed appetite for risk across crypto. I’m Akiyama Felix, and I’ve been an Ethereum maxi since 2020, but let’s break this down and adjust our risk management accordingly. Market Cap …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse pushed back hard against a fresh XRP manipulation claim after the token slid to $1.77 before rebounding toward $1.88 during a choppy December. The move capped a 5% weekly drop. Even though XRP still trades in a higher range since Ripple’s courtroom win over the SEC. The comments arrive in a market where new XRP futures, ETFs, and a Ripple-backed stablecoin are all reshaping how money flows around the beloved community asset. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What Exactly Did Ripple’s CEO Say About XRP Price Control? Garlingho…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, called Donald Trump’s new crypto reserve plans “frustrating” after the president’s team listed ADA as part of a proposed US “Crypto Strategic Reserve.” ADA barely moved on the news, trading in line with a flat large-cap market, while BTC held its range near prior highs as traders waited for real policy details instead of headlines. This clash occurs amid a significant U.S. regulatory shift, where the SEC has eased some enforcement pressure and the Trump administration has relaxed bank restrictions for crypto firms, according to Reuters. Market Cap …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana AI crypto Ava (AVA) crashed more than 96% from its January high after on‑chain analysts reportedly linked around 40% of the supply to coordinated “insider” wallets at launch. AVA now trades near $0.01 after peaking around $0.33, erasing almost all of its AI-meme-fueled rally. The drama hits right in the middle of an AI token boom on Solana and Ethereum, where fast launches and hype often outrun basic checks on who actually holds the coins. (source – Gecko Terminal) What happened with AVA, and why should small investors care? Today, a new token launch is like a concert ticket sale. A small group scripts the website and quietly buys almost half the tickets in t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
President Trump says there are trade talks with China. Beijing denies it. Around the time the US reports that the world's largest economy contracted slightly in Q1 (0.3% annualized), US Treasury Secretary Bessent said that the effective embargo was shutting down the China's economy. The week ended with China's Commerce Ministry statement that it was evaluating US overtures for trade talks, which implies the US caved, as the psych-ops continue. Trump and Bessent's call for lower interest rates will get little attention for the Federal Reserve. With a decent jobs report in hand, the Fed has no incentive to either cut rates or signal that it is preparing to cut. The uncertai…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The dollar has begun the new week under pressure, though many financial centers are closed today. The upside pressure on Asia Pacific currencies remains notable. The offshore yuan, the Taiwanese dollar, and Malaysian ringgit, the Japanese yen, and Australian dollar are among the strongest currencies today. The ostensible trigger is speculation of US semiconductor tariffs to be announced Wednesday and continued speculation of a "Mar-a-Lago" currency agreement modeled as it were on the 1985 Plaza Accord that drove the dollar lower. Less fanciful is the idea that the US will seek local currency revaluation in trade talks. Many local markets will re-open tomorrow. T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: China's mainland markets re-opened after the extended holiday, and the by setting the dollar's reference rate little changed from its last fix helped inject a note of stability into the local Asian currencies. Indeed, most of them pulled back today, including the Taiwan dollar and the Malaysian ringgit. The yuan and yen are firmer. In fact, the yen's roughly 0.35% gain puts it atop the G10 scoreboard today, though more broadly, the greenback is mixed. There has been much speculation that the US could announce tariffs on semiconductors as early as tomorrow. While they are coming, we are skeptical about tomorrow. As we note below, the period for public commentary …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: There are five developments to note. First, the US and China will have initial trade talks this weekend in Switzerland. Second, the PBOC cut its key rate by 10 bp and cut reserve requirements by 0.5%. It also announced several other measures to boost lending/relending. Third, German factory orders were stronger than expected, perhaps bolstered by attempts to move ahead of US tariffs. Fourth, after last week’s ruction, most Asian emerging market currencies continued to pullback. The exceptions today were the South Korean won and Philippine peso. Fifth, there has been little market impact from India and Pakistan exchanging strikes. The Indian rupee is weaker (~0.5…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
If trade imbalances truly drive protectionist backlash, as many claim, we should have witnessed comparable anti-trade sentiment during the 1980s when America's deficit with Japan reached historic proportions. Yet history reveals a critical distinction: Japan was offered—and wisely seized—an economic escape valve that today's geopolitical climate threatens to deny China. This asymmetry not only betrays a fundamental misunderstanding of how global trade evolved but risks triggering an unprecedented economic disruption. Japan's solution came through a direct investment revolution. Faced with mounting trade barriers and the Plaza Accord's dramatic yen appreciation, Japanese…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: A couple days away from the US-China talks, the two are sitting disputing who sought out the talks. Given the egos, the risk is that the talks are downgraded if not canceled. Expectations ought to be low in any event. On the other hand, the first US trade agreement is expected to be announced with the UK today, though it has not prevented sterling from falling ahead of the Bank of England meeting, which will most likely result in a dovish quarter-point cut. For its part, the greenback is building on yesterday's gains, encouraged by the Federal Reserve's hawkish hold. It is higher against the G10 currencies, and most emerging market currencies. Equities are most…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: After recovering impressively yesterday, the US dollar saw some follow-through buying initially but has reversed lower and is paring yesterday's gains against the G10 and most emerging market currencies. East Asian emerging market currencies that had surged have now traded lower for the past three sessions. The main talking point today is tomorrow's trade talk between the US and China. The mutual tariffs are so high that even if they were halved, they would still be prohibitive. China's April trade figures show it was able to more than replace the loss of exports to the US and overall Chinese exports rose. While China has replaced US demand, at least initially, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Many seemed optimistic that the weekend trade talks between the US and China will de-escalate the tension. We are less sanguine. Even if the tariffs on both sides were halved, there would still be an effective bilateral embargo. In the larger picture we are concerned that blocking PRC's exports and denying it a direct investment strategy as an alternative will ultimately not lead to significant reforms in Beijing but will strengthen nationalism and create a more determined and aggressive adversary. It was not out of affection for Berlin that Keynes warned against the bleeding of Germany after WWI. It is in a similar realpolitik vein that we encourage caution of what cou…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US and China struck an agreement that would lower tariffs for a 90-day cooling off period. The US tariff on China falls to 30% from 145%, while China's tariff on the US falls to 10% from 125%. A new forum was established to allow recurring discussions on economics and trade. The dollar spiked sharply higher on the news but was quickly sold into the rally, and while it remains sharply higher on the day, it is well off its peak. The Japanese yen is weakest of the G10 currencies, and it is off about in late European morning turnover. The Australian dollar, sometimes treated as a G10 proxy for China, is down the least, less than 0.15%. Most emerging markets in …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The capital markets are continuing to digest the implications of the US-China 90-day cooling off period. There were dramatic moves yesterday, and with a few exceptions, a consolidative tone has emerged today. The domestic US political focus is shifting to the budget, while the May CPI is due today, and it is expected to be little changed. The dollar is softer against the G10 currencies but the Canadian dollar. While there was no follow-through dollar buying after yesterday's surge, the pullback has been rather shallow. Against emerging market currencies, the dollar is mixed. Most of the Asian currencies weakened, though not the Chinese yuan, central European cu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US dollar is extending yesterday's pullback after Monday's sharp rally. Monday's rally had met or approached several technical targets, but the momentum and news stream, including the downgrading of US recession forecasts, the pushing out of the next Fed rate cut into Q4 seemed to favor further dollar gains. Against many pairs, the greenback has given back all of Monday's gains or nearly so. The dollar is weaker against nearly all the world's currencies. The South Korean won has strengthened the most following talk that the currency was discussed in bilateral trade talks with the US. It is up nearly 1.8%, followed by the Japanese yen, which is up almost 1.2%…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Are Tariffs a de facto tax hike that raises prices for consumers? Are Tariffs 1 Bad Hidden Tax Hike on Consumers? Since President Trump brought tariffs back into the spotlight, a heated debate has emerged: Are these import taxes truly about protecting American jobs, correcting trade imbalances, or are they simply a way to raise government revenue? While the political messaging varies, the economic impact remains clear. tariffs function as a hidden tax hike on consumers. What Are Tariffs and How Do Tariffs Work? A tariff is a government-imposed tax on imported goods, typically calculated as a percentage of the item’s value. While the tax is officially paid by the impo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: There has been little follow-through dollar buying today after its recovery in North America yesterday. The greenback is softer against most of the G10 currencies. The Antipodeans are lagging alongside the Norwegian krone, perhaps weighed down by the sharp drop in oil prices following President Trump's indication and a deal with Iran may be near. Switzerland reported stronger-than-expected Q1 GDP, and the franc is the strongest of the G10 currencies followed by the Japanese yen. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. The handful of exceptions in China, India, Thailand, and Russia. Equities are struggling today. Most of the large bourses in the Asia Pacific…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: While the US dollar is a little softer today against the G10 currencies, it remains mostly within Wednesday's range. The yen is a notable exception. It made a new high for the week despite the contraction in Q1 25 GDP. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. The markets have not reacted to a statement from President Trump that his administration lacks the capacity to negotiate with all the parties so in the next 2-3 weeks, the US will simply set the tariff rates. Asia Pacific equities ended the week on a mixed note. Europe's Stoxx 600 is up about 0.6%, the fourth daily advance this week. US index futures are up about 0.25%. European bonds are rallying. The …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Highlights include UK-EU Summit, China Activity Data, PBoC LPR, RBA, Global PMI Data, Inflation from Japan, Canada and the UK Newsquawk Week Ahead Highlights : 19th-23rd May 2025 MON: Canadian Holiday (Victoria Day), EU-UK Summit; Chinese Industrial Output (Apr), Retail Sales (Apr), House Prices (Apr), EZ HICP Final (Apr) TUE: PBoC LPR, RBA Policy Announcement, Norges Bank Financial Stability Report; EZ Current Account (Mar), Consumer Confidence Flash (May), Canadian CPI (Apr), German PPI (Apr), New Zealand Trade (Apr) WED: Japanese Trade Balance (Apr),UK CPI (Apr), US MBA (w/e 12th May) THU: ECB Minutes (Apr), CBRT Inflation Report; Australian Flash PMIs (May), Jap…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
