Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Friday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD pair traded again on Friday with minimal volatility, not exceeding 40 pips. In principle, we have been discussing weak volatility for several consecutive months, and unfortunately, there is little we can do about it. The market remains in a state of stagnation, and for the sixth consecutive month, a flat trend persists between 1.1400 and 1.1830 on the daily timeframe. Therefore, novice traders can currently only expect weak movements within the sideways channel. On Friday, the macroeconomic backdrop offered some hope of more interesting movement. The Eurozone released the final GDP report for the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Friday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair showed a disappointing performance on Friday, a reminder of the excellent first half of 2025, when high-volatility trending moves occurred almost every day. The same reports from across the ocean triggered a similar meager market reaction in the GBP/USD pair—a strengthening of the dollar by 25-30 pips. The events calendar in the UK was empty, resulting in virtually no movements during the first half of the day. Overall, the upward trend remains relevant, and novice traders can expect further growth. Support for the British pound comes from the support area of 1.3319-1.3331 (the updated area), …
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XRP price started a recovery wave above $2.050. The price is now showing positive signs but might struggle to clear the $2.10 resistance. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $2.050 zone. The price is now trading above $2.060 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.090 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.160. XRP Price Faces Uphill Task XRP price remained supported above $2.00 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $2.020 and $2.050 to enter a positive …
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,000. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $3,150. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,000 and $3,020 levels. The price is trading above $3,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,140 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,150 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes Additional Gains Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,920 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,000 and $3,020 resistance levels.…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above $90,500. BTC is now consolidating gains and might attempt an upside break above $91,650. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $90,500 zone. The price is trading above $91,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $90,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $91,650 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $90,500 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC gained strength for a move above the $91,500 and $92,500 levels. There was a…
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The GBP/USD pair showed no interesting movements on Friday. While the euro saw trading activity for two days this week, the British pound only saw movement on Wednesday. Interestingly, it is still unclear what triggered the strong movement of 150 pips that the market hadn't seen in over a month and a half. Recall that the rise of the British currency began during the night on Wednesday, continued throughout the European session, and ended during the American session. The most important report of the day and the week—the ADP report on the US labor market—was published precisely during the American trading session. Next week, there will be several important events in the UK…
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The EUR/USD pair showed only one thing on Friday—a complete reluctance to move in any direction. Overall, there were no significant movements last week, despite numerous important macroeconomic reports. However, the market essentially traded only on Monday and Wednesday, and even then, it seemed like a favor was being done for someone. Throughout the week, we only saw two relatively interesting price movements. As depicted in the illustration below, these two "good movements" were around 60 pips in size, which cannot even be considered strong. In fact, the situation was even worse on the other days. At first glance at the events calendar, one might describe the upcoming w…
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Analysis of GBP/USD (5M) The GBP/USD pair continued to correct on Friday with minimal volatility, staying within the upward trend. Macroeconomic data from the US triggered a market reaction of only 25 pips, and the day's overall volatility was again minimal. In the UK, the macroeconomic and fundamental backdrop was absent. While we would like to say that the upcoming week will be defining for the market and that traders will wake up to strong trending movements, the likelihood of this is low. Yes, the FOMC meeting is indeed a significant event. However, the market is already mentally prepared for a third consecutive rate cut. Therefore, the primary intrigue remains Jerome…
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Analysis of EUR/USD (5M) The EUR/USD pair struggled on Friday, with volatility not exceeding 40 pips. For the second consecutive day, the pair corrected within a weak upward trend. The ascending trendline remains relevant, suggesting the euro retains upside potential. However, next week, movements and the trend will certainly depend on the FOMC meeting, Jerome Powell's speech, and possibly the JOLTs report, which will be significant simply because there are no other labor market data from the US. The pair could easily consolidate below the trendline and below the critical line, which would cancel the upward trend again. On Friday, the Eurozone released a GDP report, a…
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Donald Trump attempted to exert control over the Federal Reserve even during his first term as president. I do not doubt that he appointed Jerome Powell to the position of Fed Chair with some "ulterior motive," aiming to gain control over the central bank. This is precisely what Trump is trying to do now. However, with Powell, it turned out to be a miscalculation. Legally, the president has no influence over the Fed chair; therefore, Powell has operated independently since taking his position. I don't know if there were any arrangements between Powell and Trump before his first appointment eight years ago. This mystery will likely remain unsolved. However, it can be said …
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The economic calendar for the upcoming week is not packed with significant events for the EUR/USD pair. Among the minor releases, only the JOLTS data for October and the weekly jobless claims data stand out. However, this does not mean the week will be quiet and uneventful. On the contrary, we are about to enter a phase of heightened price volatility, as the Federal Reserve's December meeting results will be announced on Wednesday. Therefore, the upcoming week can be divided into two parts: before and after the meeting. In the first half of the week, the market will focus on expectations regarding the meeting, while in the second half, it will react to its outcomes. All o…
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At the end of the week, the Japanese yen attempted to maintain its bullish stance, but profit-taking ahead of the weekend prompted a slight rise in USD/JPY. However, reports released this week by the Japanese Ministry of Internal Affairs indicate that household spending in October 2025 decreased by 2.9% year-on-year. This result fell short of market expectations for a 1.0% increase and completely offset the 1.8% growth from the previous month. This marked the first decrease since April and the fastest decline since January 2024, raising new concerns about economic development. Despite this, the Japanese yen tried to hold its ground in the USD/JPY pair, supported by potent…
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The American dollar will set the tone for the entire currency market in the coming week. However, if my readers have just entertained the thought of a busy economic calendar, I must burst that bubble. The "shutdown" continues in effect in the US. While the shutdown itself has ended, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and other government agencies have not yet been able to gather all the necessary information or fill the statistical gaps. For example, the next reports on the labor market, unemployment, and inflation will only be released next week, on December 16 and 18. This means they will come after the FOMC meeting. I have often discussed the impact of the lack of statisti…
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The British pound has been trading similarly to the euro in recent months (as it often does), constructing identical or very similar wave structures. However, the wave structure for the pound appears more convincing overall. We observed a long, complex corrective wave 4 that took the form of an A-B-C. Inside wave C, a corrective structure a-b-c-d-e was also formed. Following this, an upward wave set began to develop, which could signify the start of a new global wave 5 or it could simply be wave D in 4. Unfortunately, corrective structures tend to take on more complex forms and elongate. The news backdrop for the pound in recent weeks has only created problems. The econom…
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The European currency has seen demand over the past two weeks; however, while this phrase sounds promising, in reality, we have observed very weak growth in the euro. Even on the EUR/USD chart, it's clear that we witnessed nothing more than yet another corrective wave within countless other corrective waves and structures. The formal targets of the proposed wave 3 or C have been reached, so the instrument may begin a new decline as early as next week. This could occur as part of wave 4 of the same upward corrective structure or within a new downward structure. The essence remains unchanged: the euro still cannot resume the formation of an upward trend. The news backdrop l…
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The IMF also believes that increasing government investments in 2026 will boost economic growth, while low public debt will allow for the attraction of additional funds. Germany's public debt stands at only 68% of GDP, the lowest figure among EU countries. As the saying goes, Germany has room to grow, provided there is the will to do so. However, Germany epitomizes the well-fed and measured pace of the European Union. While in many other countries workers are willing to do overtime, actively seek new jobs in case of layoffs, and do not allow themselves to have idle time—where all adult family members work—many EU countries (including Germany) experience the opposite situa…
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The German economy has been in a dire state for almost five years now. While "dire" may not be the most precise term, the reality is that the economy experiences periods of growth and decline. This is not what one expects from the "locomotive of the Eurozone." As the richest country in the bloc, Germany faces high expectations, and the last time its GDP grew by more than 1% year-on-year was three years ago—in the third quarter of 2022. New Chancellor Friedrich Merz has taken steps to accelerate Germany's economic growth, notably by significantly increasing investments in defense and the military. These investments are being funded through increased public debt. However, t…
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Current Interest Rates How the 2026 FOMC Shake-Up Could Reshape Federal Reserve Policy Current Interest Rates Just weeks ago, money markets were pricing in a 70% chance the Federal Reserve would not cut rates on December 10. In an abrupt shift, markets flipped, and rate-cut odds surged to 84%, strongly favoring a 25-basis-point reduction. If the FOMC follows the market’s lead, investors will be watching not only the policy statement but also how many voting members dissent—a key signal for the path of rate cuts in 2026. But there’s another major wild card: the 2026 makeup of FOMC voting members, which could significantly alter the policy balance. Current Inter…
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Dogecoin has just celebrated its 12th anniversary, a milestone that arrives during a period of shaky price action. The meme coin has spent the majority of recent days trading with a bearish tone, but its anniversary places into perspective how much the crypto environment has changed since the token’s joke-related launch in 2013. The celebration comes as analysts continue to debate whether Dogecoin’s long accumulation structure is nearing a turning point, and its next breakout might define its 13th year. A Milestone That Shows How Far Dogecoin Has Come Dogecoin began as a lighthearted project by developer Billy Markus and Adobe sales employee Jackson Palmer in order to…
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Prominent market analyst Michael Van de Poppe has shared four market conditions that would confirm an altcoin market rally. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market continues to experience a widespread correction, weighing down the price growth of several assets. Ethereum Outperforms Bitcoin: A Positive Sign For Altcoins? Ethereum has shown more resilience in the last month than Bitcoin, which is largely interpreted as a bullish signal for altcoin enthusiasts. In the last week alone, the prominent altcoin reported a slight market gain of 0.86% compared to Bitcoin’s loss of 1.95%. When Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin, it encourages increased altcoin activity, as investor confid…
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In the last couple of days, the crypto space has been just going through the motions. SpaceX moved 1,083 Bitcoin (BTC), roughly $100 million, to new wallets. At the time, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before {…
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What place holds the highest probability for a new world-class discovery? As an Australia-based geologist and investor, I tend to look in my own backyard first, which is the home bias effect. But the thing is, thanks to decades of a supportive mining environment, well-trained staff, and advanced exploration methods, the prospect of discovering another giant deposit in Australia is fading. Don’t get me wrong, there could still be potential in remote outback locations, like the Tanami. But compared to places like West Africa, where high-grade gold can still be found close to surface, Australia’s giant discovery potential is diminishing. Then there’s Ca…
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It’s time for Africa Crypto News Week in Review! This is my first time doing this, so don’t be mad if I’m not as great as 99Bitcoins writers Dalmas Ngetich or editor Sam Cooling. This week, crypto adoption in Sub-Saharan Africa is accelerating at one of the fastest rates in the world, driven by currency instability, retail demand, and the region’s growing adoption of digital settlement rails. Here’s what you need to know: “Crypto products are structurally designed to outperform traditional finance.” – Christo de Wit, Luno South Africa DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Kenya Crypto Positioning Strengthens: Kenya’s Directorate of C…
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Bitcoin’s (BTC) ongoing price correction has been accompanied by several other negative developments that continue to grab investors’ attention. Most recently, market analyst Darkfost has observed a significant crash in Bitcoin spot trading volume, while highlighting potential long-term implications of such an event. Binance Records $40B Loss In BTC Monthly Spot Trading The spot trading volume refers to the total amount of Bitcoin that is bought and sold for immediate delivery on exchanges within a specific time period. It is a key market indicator used to gauge participation, liquidity, and investor interest. According to Darkfost in an X post on December 6, the Bitc…
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Another week, another crypto Asia roundup. In this week’s update, we will focus on key developments in the crypto Asia landscape, with a keen emphasis on India, Japan, and South Korea. These four markets never seem to sleep and always have something going on. Here are the biggest headlines from this past week. Crypto Asia Win: Bitget To Expand Investment Platform In India Post 2026 FIU Approval Bitget is all in on India and, as such, wants to expand beyond being just an exchange platform to offer wider investment options in the future. According to a local publication, the exchange is currently registering with the Indian Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU). According to…
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