Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on December 10, 2025, is a highly important final decision of the year that will determine the immediate direction of interest rates and set expectations for next year's monetary policy. This event is unusually difficult to predict because the policymakers are facing conflicting economic reports such as a softening job market versus still-elevated inflation and are significantly divided over what action to take. In short, it is the year's last major rate decision, and the mixed signals and internal disagreements among the committee members make the outcome exceptionally unpredictable. Interest Rate Probabilities Ahea…
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Crypto markets head into this week’s Federal Reserve meeting focused less on rate cut and more on whether Jerome Powell quietly declares the start of quantitative easing (QE). The key question on Wednesday for macro-sensitive traders is whether the Fed shifts into a bill-heavy “reserve management” regime that starts rebuilding dollar liquidity, even if it refuses to call it QE. Futures markets suggest the rate decision itself is largely a foregone conclusion. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are assigning roughly 87.2% odds to a 0.25 percentage point cut, underscoring that the real uncertainty is not about the size of the move, but about what the Fed signals o…
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Welcome to the follow-up piece to our individual Stock Market leaders analysis. Apart from the tragic news of a severe earthquake in Japan, there hasn’t been much to affect Markets ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC Rate Decision. Stock Indexes have on a muted, red note, sending out profit-taking vibes into the Market. The same could be said for most actively traded assets – The calm before the FOMC storm; a great occasion to dive into individual Stock names. Towards the end of last week, we published two in-depth analyses for the four leaders of the Stock Market rally: Meta, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google. If you missed them, you can get access right here: Read More: AI …
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The Era Dorada project marks the expansion of Aura’s operations in Central America. Credit: Aura Minerals Aura Minerals (NASDAQ: AUGO) has raised its future production outlook after releasing a new feasibility study for its Era Dorada project in Guatemala and integrating the results into its portfolio. In the coming years, the Florida-based miner said it envisions several development scenarios that could take its annualized gold-equivalent production to 600,000 oz., which is a third higher than its previous projection of 450,000 oz. “Since 2020 our strategy has been very clear: grow production with greenfield projects and expansions, extend mine life with explo…
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Recent high-grade drill results at Omai Gold Mines’ (TSXV: OMG) namesake project in Guyana point to the potential for expanding the Wenot target east beyond the historical pit area. Highlight hole 25ODD-142 at East Wenot cut 14.7 metres grading 11.07 grams gold per tonne from 304 metres depth, including 4.3 metres at 34.31 grams gold, Omai said in a release on Monday. The project is about 165 km southwest of the capital Georgetown. “We are excited to see a very significant new zone at the east end of Wenot, where there has been limited drilling in the past,” Omai CEO Elaine Ellingham said in a release. “[Drilling at Wenot] has multiple purposes: it is expected to …
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The wave pattern of the EUR/USD 4-hour chart has transformed, but overall it remains quite clear. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex since July 1 and has taken a more extended form. In my view, the pair has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took a very unconventional shape. Inside this wave, we observe exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets stretch all the way into the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e wave series looks…
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Bitcoin Price has been nothing but steady over the past two weeks. That is no surprise, but the question is: What comes next? This month will be very interesting as the FED flies blind when it comes to a rate cut decision. It has been a week since the end of Quantitative Tightening, yet the markets are neutral. in full conviction of his thesis. Some might wonder what will happen with $MSTR if BTC drops below $70,000. It looks like he might just buy more. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Bitcoin Price Could Drop To $60,000 Or Jump To New ATH (Source – Tradingview, BTCUSD) Starting our analysis with the Weekly char…
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The Dogecoin price has been drifting through a subdued stretch over the past few days, holding around the mid-$0.13 to $0.14. The recent decline has slowed down in the past 48 hours, and the chart now shows the meme coin attempting to steady itself after weeks of persistent selling pressure. Trader Tardigrade, a well-known crypto analyst on X, shared a new three-day chart suggesting that an important MACD signal is on the verge of forming, and historical performance shows that Dogecoin tends to move bullish once this signal appears. Approaching The MACD Bullish Cross Dogecoin’s quiet phase in the past 48 hours has become increasingly important because one of Dogecoin’s …
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Contango Ore (NYSE-A: CTGO) agreed to buy Canada’s Dolly Varden Silver (TSX-V: DV; NYSE-A: DVS) to create a mid-tier silver and gold producer by adding one of the largest high-grade undeveloped precious metals assets in British Columbia’s Golden Triangle. Dolly Varden stockholders will receive 0.1652 of a Contango share for each Dolly Varden share, according to a joint statement issued Monday. The transaction, which is expected to close in late February or early March, implies an equity value of $812 million for the resulting entity. Called Contango Silver & Gold, the company will have $100 million in combined cash on hand, $15 million in debt and annual cash …
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Copper continued its record-breaking rally on Monday amid stockpiling of the metal in the US, while China set domestic growth as its top economic priority for next year, boosting the demand outlook. Futures on the London Metal Exchange climbed as much as 1.3% to $11,771 a ton, surpassing the all-time high set in the previous session. Click on chart for live prices. Copper has been ratcheting higher in recent weeks amid a mass exodus of the metal into the US in anticipation of expanded tariffs, raising concerns of a global supply squeeze. The latest spike came after China — the world’s top consumer — announced it will stick with a “proactive” fiscal approach …
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Another week grinding above $3,000, another “is this it?” moment. Most of us are running on coffee and hopium at this point, quietly wondering if we’ll ever get a clean breakout again. Yet while the timeline stays stuck in cautious mode, one legendary whale that perfectly timed the short right before Trump’s tariffs announcement, just said “enough” of this bearish sentiment and dropped $100 million on an .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; ba…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1652 within the uptrend channel formed since November 21 and testing this channel. So, it is likely that the euro will continue its rise in the coming days and could reach the 4/8 Murray around 1.1718. The instrument could even cover the gap left around 1.1740. If, in the coming hours, EUR/USD consolidates above 3/8 Murray located at 1.1657, this could be seen as a clear signal to continue buying with a target at 4/8 Murray around 1.1718. On the contrary, a sharp break of the uptrend channel and a consolidation below 1.1610 suggest that the price could consolidate below two 200 EMAs, which would mean a break of the uptrend channel and, therefor…
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Binance just secured three fresh licenses from the Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) in ADGM (Abu Dhabi Global Markets). The largest crypto exchange is now the first crypto exchange to secure a global license under its framework. FSRA, for those who don’t know, is the financial watchdog that oversees financial activities within ADGM, Abu Dhabi’s international financial hub. The announcement came through a press release shared by ADGM on 8 December 2025. It confirms FSRA’s approval of licenses for Binance’s Nest Exchange Limited, Nest Clearing and Custody Limited, and Nest Trading Limited. Meanwhile, Binance says that compliance with ADGM’s rules will g…
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Gold is trading around 4,206 with consolidation over the last few days. In December, volume could be low, and we could expect strong and unexpected movements, so we should be very careful, as there could be high volatility due to low liquidity. If gold consolidates below the 7/8 Murray located at 4,212, we could expect a technical correction to continue, and it could reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around 4,135 in the coming days. The Eagle indicator is showing a negative signal, so it is likely that gold will continue its bearish cycle in the coming days and could reach the bottom of the trend channel around 4,135. If the bearish pressure prevails, it could even …
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Bitcoin has been trading around $91,666 within the uptrend channel formed since November 21, but it is now showing signs of exhaustion. BTC managed to recover over the weekend after falling to $87,500. Bitcoin could continue its rise over the next few days and could reach the 200 EMA around $94,000. It could even reach the top of the uptrend channel around $96,200. Given that Bitcoin is showing positive signs, we could expect any pullback as long as the price consolidates above the 2/8 Murray. This could be seen as an opportunity to continue buying. On the other hand, if Bitcoin reaches the strong resistance of $96,000 in the coming days, it could be seen as an opportunit…
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Ethereum (ETH/USD) is trading around $3,141, below the 200 EMA, and within the uptrend channel formed since November 21, with a slight recovery but showing signs of exhaustion. Over the weekend, ETH reached the key support level of $2,900, which served as a good support, giving momentum to the cryptocurrency. The price is now above the 2/8 Murray, which is likely to continue rising in the coming days until it reaches the top of the uptrend channel around $3,310. Conversely, if Ether falls below the 2/8 Murray and consolidates below the 21 SMA, we could expect a resumption of the bearish cycle, which could push the price down to 1/8 Murray around $2,812. In the coming days…
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Bitcoin’s recent movement has left many traders waiting for signs of an altcoin season, and a post shared by crypto analyst Crypto Nova offers a different way to understand when this will actually begin. The explanation, supported by charts from 2017 and 2021, shows that altcoins have historically performed their best while Bitcoin’s price action was already climbing, not after it had reached its peak. The charts she shared show how those earlier cycles unfolded and why the timing of Bitcoin’s surge has been the important factor each time. Altseasons Form During Bitcoin’s Strongest Surges This outlook goes against the projection of many crypto analysts, who have been w…
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The euro and the British pound today followed a Mean Reversion scenario, but there were no major or reverse movements. Using Momentum, I traded the Japanese yen, where it was possible to capture a decent move. A sharp rise in German industrial production helped the euro maintain its positions against the U.S. dollar during the first half of the day, but it did not lead to fundamental changes in the market balance. The published data exceeded even the most optimistic forecasts, restoring investors' confidence in the stability of the German economy. A 1.8% rise in Germany's manufacturing sector traditionally has a significant impact on the euro's dynamics. Increased orders,…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the Japanese Yen The test of the 154.17 price occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly upward from the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and skipped the move. In the second half of the day, we will only see U.S. factory orders data, which is unlikely to significantly help the dollar rise against the Japanese yen. Investors' attention is currently focused on other factors that determine currency-pair dynamics. The key factor is the anticipation of signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy. The market is pri…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3336 price occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero mark, which confirmed a proper entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by 30 points. Given the lack of important statistics from the UK, the pound performed rather poorly during the European session, losing part of the advantage gained at the end of last week. The absence of domestic drivers allowed other, predominantly external, factors to put pressure on the GBP/USD currency pair. However, it is clear that many market participants are gradually taking a wait-and-s…
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Investor optimism rises amid S&P 500 growth and expectations of Fed policy easing Investor sentiment remains confidently optimistic, bolstered by the strong growth season for the S&P 500 index, which is supported by expectations of an imminent reduction in Federal Reserve interest rates. Positive forecasts for corporate earnings provide a foundation for a continued upward trend in the stock market. Despite lingering recession risks, market participants note an improvement in macroeconomic conditions and reduced inflationary pressure, increasing the likelihood of the regulator shifting to a softer policy in the coming months. However, the index's further growth ha…
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While Bitcoin is currently trading steadily above $91,000, fully recovering from the correction observed at the end of last week, Strategy is braced for a bear market. Fong Le, the CEO of Strategy, recently stated that the company has raised $1.44 billion in reserves to demonstrate its ability to provide funding during a market downturn and significant corrections in BTC. This move is also intended to alleviate any concerns from investors and the community regarding the future of the company. This step is undoubtedly aimed at strengthening trust in the company during a challenging period for the crypto market. Ensuring a substantial amount of reserves allows the comp…
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Trade review and guidance for trading the euro The price test of 1.1662 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Today's surge in German industrial production became a factor allowing the euro to maintain its leading position against the U.S. dollar. Actual figures far exceeded even the boldest analyst expectations, strengthening investor confidence in the stability of the European economy. According to the data, growth reached 1.8%, compared with a forecast of only 0.3%. At the same time, despite today's success, specialists view the new data with caution. Many …
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According to reports, a well-known crypto commentator/investor who goes by the handle Crypto X AiMan has sold all his Bitcoin and moved the proceeds into XRP. He says four reasons drove his decision, and the move has stirred debate across trading circles. Investor Dumps Bitcoin For XRP AiMan, who says he first bought Bitcoin when it traded at $3,000, told followers that legal clarity is the main reason for his shift. He pointed to a July 2023 court ruling by Judge Torres that found certain programmatic XRP sales were not securities. According to him, that court decision gives XRP a different standing from many other tokens. He also noted that US regulators often treat …
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BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions, expects most mineral and metal prices to edge higher in 2026 as net-zero demand, tighter supply and an intensifying global race for critical minerals offset persistent weakness in Mainland China’s property sector. In its newly released outlook for mining and metals, BMI describes a “cautiously optimistic” price environment next year, with easing tariff uncertainties and robust demand from sectors tied to decarbonization underpinning the market. The researchers add that China’s property slump will continue to weigh on base metals, limiting price gains even as supply remains tight. For precious metals, BMI forecasts that gold wil…
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