Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12214 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the European Currency The price test of 1.1626 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the euro. However, the pair failed to grow afterward, resulting in a loss. The euro then moved downward, updating the 1.1611 level. This update happened as the MACD began moving down from the zero line, leading to a sell scenario with a normal 30-point move. The interest in the euro seen at the end of last week has not recovered. The easing of U.S. pressure on China has increased the chances of a new trade agreement, which has positively affected th…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro The price test of 1.1578 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move down from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell toward the target level of 1.1558. Weak data from eurozone countries triggered a drop in the euro. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for Germany and the eurozone turned out worse than economists' forecasts, which became a trigger for new short positions. Recession risks in the eurozone, reinforced by the ZEW data, caused a chain reaction in the financial world. The European Central Bank faces a difficult dilemma: on one hand, i…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the European Currency The price test of 1.1630 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The decline in industrial output in the eurozone countries, though expected, turned out to be less significant than analysts had predicted, allowing the European currency to maintain a positive trend against the U.S. dollar. However, the pair also did not see any major growth. The euro's rate was influenced in two ways: on the one hand, industrial figures that were better than expected supported the currency; on the oth…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the European Currency The price test at 1.1653 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The Producer Price Index (PPI) in Germany fell by 0.1%, which was worse than economists' forecasts, prompting a decline in the euro. This seemingly minor figure conceals a complex set of problems, signaling a slowdown in economic activity in Europe's largest economy. A drop in producer prices, though potentially beneficial for consumers in the short term, may indicate weaker demand and fewer production orders—heralding…
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Trade analysis and advice on trading the European currency The price test of 1.1619 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1619 led to the implementation of buy scenario #2, since at that moment the MACD was already in the oversold area. However, the pair failed to show a strong upward movement afterward. The decline in the euro's exchange rate against the U.S. dollar is quite logical, given the lack of economic indicators supporting the euro recently. Against this backdrop, investors who are concerned about the region'…
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Trade Review and Recommendations for the Euro The price test of 1.1603 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by 15 points. The decline of the euro against the U.S. dollar continues. With little fresh information to assess the state of the EU economy, investors are logically opting for a more reliable and predictable asset. The U.S. dollar, supported by a resilient economy, looks more attractive amid global instability. However, the lack of data is not the only reason behind the current trend. Market sentiment is shaped not on…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the European CurrencyThe price test at 1.1615 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair rose by only 15 points. Euro buyers reacted positively to the return of the Eurozone manufacturing PMI to a neutral level. The recovery of the manufacturing PMI to 50 points indicates positive shifts in the dynamics of the economy. In the second half of the day, investors' focus will inevitably shift to important U.S. inflation data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and its core version, which excludes volatile components …
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Trade Analysis and Guidance on Trading the Euro The price test at 1.1653 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1653 happened when MACD was in the oversold area, allowing the buy scenario No. 2 to play out. As a result, the pair rose by only about 10 points. The euro lost value, but the decline was short-lived following news that the German consumer climate index came in below analysts' expectations. This unexpected outcome caused concern among investors, who began to suspect a potential slowdown in economic growth in t…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the European CurrencyThe price test of 1.1640 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero line — confirming a correct entry point for buying the euro. Since this setup has only recently formed, we'll observe how it develops further. In the second half of the day, we await an important decision from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). The prevailing market forecasts lean toward a likely interest rate cut. It's important to understand that the impact on the currency market will depend not only on the rate cut itself but also on the tone of the accompanying statement. Market participants will closely analyze …
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the European CurrencyThe price test of 1.1620 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by 12 points, after which the pressure subsided. The European currency showed a moderate reaction to German employment data, which exceeded analysts' expectations. The released figures undoubtedly added positivity to the overall outlook, indicating the resilience of the German economy despite external pressures. However, this favorable trend did not lead to active euro buying, as market participants are focus…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the European currency The test of the 1.1697 price level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero mark, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the euro and resulted in a 30-point drop in the pair. The resignation of yet another French prime minister and weak eurozone data led to a decline in the euro in the first half of the day. The current political situation raises many questions about the ability of politicians to agree on next year's budget, which is an additional concern for an already weak pace of economic growth in the country. At the moment, France's …
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations on the European Currency The price test of 1.1629 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. A significant decline in German industrial production in August, amounting to 4.3%, triggered a drop in the euro exchange rate at the start of the trading day. Investors, worried about this data pointing to a potential recession in Europe's leading economy, immediately reacted by selling the euro against the U.S. dollar. The decrease in Germany's production output is not just a temporary phenomenon but a serio…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for the euro The price test of 1.1645 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The unexpected decline in industrial production in Italy has heightened concerns about the state of the eurozone economy. This alarming signal, following a series of mixed economic indicators, casts doubt on the prospects for a steady recovery of the region's manufacturing sector. The weakening of the euro triggered by the Italian data reflects increased risk aversion in financial markets. But this afternoon, the key event will be the publicat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the euro The first test of 1.1697 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1697 shortly afterward coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario No. 2 (selling the euro) to play out. As a result, the pair fell only about 10 points. After yesterday's rise triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, the euro today showed growth in the first half of the day but failed to break above the upper boundary of the weekly range. However, despite this consolid…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and guidance on trading the euro The first test of the 1.1730 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro — especially in such a bullish market. The fact that actual inflation in the eurozone matched analysts' expectations helped keep EUR/USD relatively stable. Despite the lack of surprises in macroeconomic data, market sentiment remains on the side of risk-asset buyers. During the U.S. trading session, no economic data releases are scheduled, so attention will shift to public speeches by FOMC members Beth M. Hammack and Austan D…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Breakdown and Tips for Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1745 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Eurozone industrial production volume data came out above economists' forecasts. However, the market seemed more focused on the upcoming meeting of the European Central Bank and expectations regarding the future course of monetary policy. Given the recent weak industrial indicators and high inflation in this sector, the report slightly reassured investors who are concerned about the future of the eurozone's manufacturi…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the Euro The price test at 1.1715 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The euro weakened in the first half of the day mainly due to disappointing IFO data from Germany and slowing inflation in the eurozone. The IFO index, an important barometer of the German economy, again failed to meet expectations, signaling a continued downturn in industry and restrained future expectations. Additional pressure came from eurozone inflation data, which showed a greater-than-expected slowdown in consumer price growth. Tog…
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Trade Review and Trading Tips for the European Currency The test of the 1.1737 price level occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined by 25 points. Ahead of the ECB's decision on key interest rates, the euro showed slight weakness. Traders are anxiously awaiting guidance on the future monetary policy strategy in the euro area, although changes are considered unlikely. It is widely expected that the ECB will keep rates unchanged, with the main focus shifting to the press conference led by Christine Lagarde. At the same time, a heavy flow …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Breakdown and Trading Tips for the European Currency The price test of 1.1715 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move down from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined by 10 points. German data had no impact on the pair's direction. Given that producer prices remained unchanged and the GfK report brought no surprises, this had no noticeable effect on the EUR/USD rate in the first half of the day. It is clear that a cautious sentiment currently prevails in the market. Next, we are awaiting figures on existing home sales. This indicator serves as a kind of barometer of th…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the Euro The price test at 1.1605 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 20 points, stopping just short of the target level at 1.1635. The euro seemed to completely ignore economic realities, showing resilience despite negative signals. Despite fairly weak data on the contraction in Eurozone manufacturing activity, the euro continued to rise. This behavior could be driven by speculative interest in the currency. Investors may be expecting the European Central Bank to maintain a wait-and-see approach …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Recommendations for Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1641 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the euro. However, a significant decline in the pair never materialized. Demand for the euro returned after the release of PMI data. The market reacted to the positive data as a sign of economic recovery in the eurozone. Positive dynamics in the services sector—an important component of the regional economy—indicate rising consumer spending and growing optimism in the business environment. Nonetheless, despite the encouraging impression…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1667 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Eurozone retail sales data matched economists' forecasts, showing zero growth in October. A more detailed analysis revealed that a decline in non-food and motor fuel sales was offset by increased demand for food, beverages, and tobacco products. This indicates a shift in consumer preferences toward essential goods, likely due to concerns about rising inflation. Zero growth demonstrates a certain instability in …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the EuroThe test of the price level at 1.1665 coincided with the MACD indicator already having moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The European currency strengthened its position, supported by positive economic news: a stable rise in German industry and encouraging GDP figures for the Eurozone instilled optimism in the investment environment. German industry reported a noticeable increase in orders, indicating a recovery in purchasing activity and strengthening in the manufacturing sector towards year-end. This factor had a significant positive impa…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Advice for the Euro The first test of the 1.1640 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For that reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1640 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, which triggered Scenario #2 for buying euros and resulted in a 15-point rise — nearly the entire intraday volatility. Positive German trade data supported the euro in the first half of the day, as the figures exceeded analysts' preliminary forecasts. According to Destatis, Germany's trade surplus increased in October, reflecting the stability of the G…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on the Euro A price test of 1.1583 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by only 15 points. Due to a lack of economic indicators from the Eurozone, the euro's decline against the US dollar was minimal. Market participants adopted a wait-and-see approach, analyzing possible future directions of monetary policy by the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. During the US trading session, particular attention will be paid to the release of weekly initial jobless claims, changes in durable goods orders, and …
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