Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12304 tópicos neste fórum
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A positive risk sentiment is undermining demand for the safe-haven CHF and helping to limit losses for the pair. However, expectations of Fed rate cuts, renewed U.S.–China trade tensions, and the ongoing U.S. government shutdown continue to put pressure on the dollar. The USD/CHF pair is attempting to halt its decline today. U.S. dollar selling has continued for the third consecutive day amid growing concerns about economic risks linked to the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and renewed trade tensions with China. Additional downward pressure comes from dovish expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy — a key factor weighing on the dollar's exchange rate. On Wednesd…
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Today highlights Bitcoin and crypto price dips following Trump news on trade policies. Our prediction warned of Bitcoin price volatility last week, and it hit the mark as markets reacted to US and China tensions. Crypto bros are now watching, monitoring, and hoping for Trump 3pm speech for clues on easing pressures. Read the original piece here. The post Crypto News Today, October 16: Last Week’s Bitcoin Price Prediction Came True, Another Pain Came | Trump Announcement to Revive Crypto? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Advance Most Read: EUR/JPY Forecast: Support at 175.00 Holds the Key to Immediate Bullish Continuation Stock markets were mostly up across Asia on Thursday, driven by a strong rebound in the chip sector and a good start to the US earnings season. Japan’s Nikkei index climbed 1.2%, heavily boosted by chip and Artificial Intelligence (AI) related stocks. This momentum increased after Taiwanese chip giant TSMC announced record earnings, and also because political developments raised the chances that pro-stimulus lawmaker Sanae Takaichi would become Japan's next Prime Minister. Even though the announcement came after its market closed, Taiwa…
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A BNB Coinbase deal has officially been reached, rewriting crypto’s rivalry map. It’s the first real bridge between the two giants. People are going ride or die with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { bo…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement after consolidating above the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594 and closed above the 1.1645–1.1656 resistance level. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the next 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718. A consolidation below 1.1645–1.1656 would favor the U.S. dollar and lead to a decline toward the 1.1594 corrective level. The wave pattern on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave broke the high of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Therefore, the trend is now turning bullish. Recent labor market data, the Fed's shifting…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday and reached the new resistance level of 1.3425–1.3431. A rebound of quotes from this zone will favor the U.S. dollar and lead to a moderate decline toward the support level of 1.3357–1.3360. A firm breakout above 1.3425–1.3431 would increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next 50.0% retracement level at 1.3487. The wave structure turned "bullish" in almost a single day. The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, but the most recent upward wave broke the previous high. The news background in recent weeks has been negative for the U.S. dollar, yet bullish traders h…
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The U.S. dollar continues to lose ground against a number of risk assets as more Federal Reserve officials voice support for cutting interest rates at the upcoming meeting scheduled for the end of October this year. Steven Miran, a so-called Trump appointee, stated in an interview yesterday that recent trade tensions have heightened uncertainty about growth prospects, making it more important for policymakers to cut interest rates quickly. "There are now more downside risks than there were a week ago, and I think we, as policymakers, have to acknowledge that," Miran said on Wednesday. According to him, the increased uncertainty surrounding trade policy between China and …
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Yesterday, the European currency continued to strengthen against the U.S. dollar. Traders are now focusing primarily on the divergence between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve's policy paths: the former has no plans to change its stance anytime soon, while the American regulator, on the contrary, intends to actively cut rates by the end of the year. Yesterday, European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel stated that there are currently no grounds for changing interest rates and warned that certain components of inflation require ongoing attention. Although it is still too early to say what will happen with borrowing costs in the coming mon…
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On-chain data shows the short-term holder Bitcoin whales have recently increased their Realized Cap share to the highest level ever. Bitcoin Is Currently Being Dominated By New Capital In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the share of the Bitcoin whale Realized Cap held by the short-term holders. The Realized Cap here is an on-chain indicator that measures, in short, the total amount of capital that the BTC investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. Changes in this metric reflect the incoming or outgoing of capital. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Cap of only a portion of holders …
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The crypto crash continued on Wednesday as selling pressure intensified across most sectors. The total crypto market cap fell another 1.2% to $3.78 trillion, with fear levels climbing as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped to 32 (Fear). Amid growing uncertainty, traders are already looking for the next crypto to explode once the market stabilizes. Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } …
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Quantum computing could break Bitcoin’s encryption and send the digital asset to zero far sooner than many people believe, according to Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards. Speaking at TOKEN2049 earlier this month, Edwards shocked crypto enthusiasts by stating that he believes Bitcoin is under a huge threat from quantum computing, and that developers have a limited amount of time to address quantum concerns. Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.40%, and the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.46%. The industrial Dow Jones edged down by 0.04%. Asian indices advanced as investors shifted their attention back to technology sector plays following a week largely dominated by the threat of a US-China trade war. The MSCI regional index climbed by 1.1%, supported by solid gains in South Korea, Japan, and Australia. This was partly driven by renewed interest in tech stocks after Dutch chipmaker ASML Holding NV reported earnings on Wednesday. The report added optimism that the artificial intelligence boom can still have a lasting impact on corporate profitability. Gol…
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Upbeat corporate earnings from U.S. banks and Washington's attempts to de-escalate the trade conflict with China allowed the S&P 500 to extend its rally. The broad market index has recovered most of the losses suffered during the sell-off triggered by the White House's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. The current pullback looks more like a rational recalibration than a reversal. The six largest U.S. banks earned $41 billion in profit in the third quarter, 19% more than during the same period in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley and Bank of America jumped by 4.4% and 4.7%, respectively. A positive signal for the S&P 500 came from banking executives' stat…
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After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe. End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days? On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days. He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 day…
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Trade Analysis and Trading Advice for the Japanese YenThe test of the 151.52 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, limiting the pair's upward potential. A similar situation unfolded in reverse later in the day near the 151.30 level. As a result, I did not execute any trades. The dollar continues to lose ground against the yen, and there appear to be few, if any, drivers that could reverse this negative trend in the near future. The lack of meaningful macroeconomic data capable of supporting the U.S. currency, combined with dovish commentary from Federal Reserve officials, continues to put pressure on …
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Trade Analysis and Trading Advice for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3342 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. A second test of this price coincided with the MACD entering the oversold zone, which led to the realization of Buy Scenario No. 2. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The U.S. dollar continues to steadily lose ground against the British pound, and it seems unlikely that any events in the near future could reverse this trend. The lack of key macroeconomic data, due to the ongoing government shutdown in the U.S., has created an informational vacuum a…
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Trade Analysis and Euro Trading TipsThe test of the 1.1615 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had already moved significantly lower from the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The euro then rose, but at the moment the price reached 1.1641, MACD had also climbed well above the zero mark. Therefore, I opted not to buy and instead waited for the realization of Sell Scenario No. 2, which helped to extract about 10 pips of profit from the market. Hints from Federal Reserve officials about the need to ease interest rates triggered a wave of dollar selling, strengthening the euro's position. Market participants interpreted these signals as a sign …
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Bitcoin remains in the $110,000–$111,000 range—an area that is technically very significant. A breakout below this level could trigger a more active sell-off of the cryptocurrency down toward $106,000, bringing it dangerously close to the $100,000 range. A test of that range would represent a critical moment for the entire cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has also declined sharply, barely holding above the $4,000 level. A move below this mark could result in a significantly more aggressive sell-off. While traders continue to battle for direction, news has emerged that the Bank of England plans to introduce temporary limits on the size of holdings and transactions in stabl…
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The U.S. dollar continued to decline actively against the euro, the pound, and other assets. Statements from Federal Reserve representatives advocating for interest rate cuts led to a dollar sell-off. Traders interpreted these signals as confirmation of a likely shift toward more accommodative monetary policy in the near future, which traditionally puts pressure on the American currency. The euro, the pound, and other assets gained support as rate cuts in the U.S. reduced the attractiveness of American assets. However, it is worth noting that long-term prospects remain uncertain. Economic growth in Europe and the United Kingdom still lags behind that of the United States,…
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According to market charts and comments from well-known traders, XRP’s price action is drawing fresh attention as some investors say it could challenge Ethereum’s spot in the rankings. A decade-long chart was shared that traces moves from 2013 through 2025, and one commentator went as far as to call the next leg a potential “Ethereum killer.” That claim has reignited debate across crypto circles. Technical Patterns Signal Repeats Crypto analyst Peter Brandt pointed to a repeating set of shapes on XRP’s chart — symmetrical triangles and long consolidations that ended in sharp rallies. The timeline covers a decade and breaks down into three phases. The first run, from 2…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday, which began Tuesday evening when Donald Trump issued new threats toward China and Jerome Powell subtly hinted at a possible easing of monetary policy at the end of October. In reality, Powell made no such hints, but the market likely interpreted his statements that way. It is worth remembering that faith and expectations often influence market participants' trading decisions. Powell may state there is no expected monetary policy easing in the near future, yet the market may choose not to believe him. Thus, traders most likely read between the lines and found the desired phrase about lowering the key int…
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The EUR/USD currency pair began a new upward attempt on Tuesday and continued it with moderate success on Wednesday. It's difficult to definitively state whether Jerome Powell's remarks or Donald Trump's latest escalation toward China were the precise catalysts for the dollar's decline—but it's likely. Over recent weeks, the market has been deliberately ignoring virtually all fundamental and macroeconomic pressure weighing on the dollar. We've repeatedly highlighted how illogical the greenback's resilience has been, so it's not guaranteed that the market has suddenly started reacting to bearish U.S. data. This shift actually began back in the first week of October, when m…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair spent most of the day in low-volatility consolidation but eventually initiated an entirely logical upward movement by evening. As previously stated, the current fundamental and macroeconomic background does not favor the U.S. dollar, and the recent period of dollar strength has appeared illogical. Both major currency pairs recently broke above their trendlines, shifting short-term sentiment to bullish. On Wednesday, neither the UK nor the U.S. released any important or even notable economic events, making the pound's rise even more telling. The fact that the market began buying GBP/USD without any accompan…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair once again traded in a very lackluster fashion. The only notable event of the day was the Eurozone industrial production report, which—although still weak—came in slightly better than the most pessimistic market forecasts. As a result, the euro experienced a modest uptick. However, overall, we saw yet another day of extremely low volatility. In recent sessions, price action resembles a flat movement on both intraday and daily timeframes. It almost feels as though U.S. traders, along with government institutions shut down by the ongoing budget deadlock, have simply gone on vacation. Technically, the most re…
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Macroeconomic Report Review: There are a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday. The most noteworthy will come from the United Kingdom, although even these are not expected to have a major impact. In roughly an hour, the UK will release data on industrial production and gross domestic product. However, the GDP figure will be monthly rather than quarterly. Markets tend to place more weight on quarterly and annual data. As for industrial production, it is not seen as a top-tier indicator among traders. Nevertheless, both reports could trigger a market reaction simply because no other significant data is scheduled for the day. In the Eurozone and the United St…
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