Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12304 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review for Wednesday:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart The GBP/USD pair rose confidently throughout Wednesday, which is a very positive signal. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly pointed to the illogical nature of the pair's decline, so this latest rise appears to be a "debt repaid" to the British currency. While there have indeed been negative headlines for the pound in recent weeks, they pale in comparison to the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop weighing on the U.S. dollar. Yesterday, there were no significant events or economic releases in either the UK or the U.S. that could justify a rise in GBP/USD. This move is even more noteworthy, as it strongly suggests that…
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Trade Review for Wednesday: 1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement. Among notable events that day were the ongoing deterioration in U.S.–China relations and the Eurozone's industrial production report, which, despite coming in weak, still exceeded expectations—possibly contributing to minor euro strength. Overall, the market finally began buying the euro, which is a positive development. The descending trendline was breached again, suggesting the formation of at least a short-term bullish trend. As mentioned previously, we continue to expect the EUR/USD pair to rise and believe the 2025 uptrend will ultimately resu…
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Dogecoin struggled to rise above $0.2180 and corrected some gains against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline below $0.1920. DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.2050. The price is trading below the $0.240 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2025 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1880. Dogecoin Price Dips Again Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.20, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.2050 resistance to ent…
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Cardano (ADA) edged higher to $0.70 (+2.2%) on Wednesday as on-chain data showed large holders buying the dip. Whale and mid-tier wallets snapped up roughly 200 million ADA over 48 hours, about $140 million at recent prices, after last week’s volatility knocked the market lower. The build-up comes as the project readies the Cardano Summit in Berlin (Nov. 12–13), adding a fresh narrative tailwind into Q4. Whales Scoop ADA as Selling Pressure Cools Analytics platforms tracking address cohorts report renewed accumulation, with 10–100million ADA and over 1 billion ADA wallets expanding balances. Similarly, network “spent coin” metrics declined by 51%, suggesting fewer c…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, October 16, 2025] Technical indicators condition show strengthening momentum, including a Golden Cross between EMA(50) & EMA(200) and the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bullish zone. Therefore, #NDX has the potential to move higher today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 25180.4 2. Resistance. 1 : 24976.1 3. Pivot : 24730.3 4. Support. 1 : 24526.0 5. Support. 2 : 24280.2 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #NDX rises and breaks above 24976.1, it may continue its upward momentum toward 25180.4. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25,180.4 is breached, #NDX could continue higher to test 25426.2. Invalidation…
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[#USDX] – [Thursday, October 16, 2025] With all technical indicators showing the weakening trend, meaning that the #USDX is likely to come under pressure today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.19 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.92 3. Pivot : 98.77 4. Support. 1 : 98.50 5. Support. 2 : 98.35 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.77, there is potential to test the 98.50 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.50 is broken, #USDX may fall further to 98.35. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if #USDX strengthens and breaks above 99.19. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 98.78 EMA(200): 98.92 RSI(14…
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Key takeaways Euro weakness stabilizes: EUR/USD’s recent 3.25% drop from its September high has stalled at the key 1.1530 medium-term support level.French political uncertainty eases: The reappointment of Prime Minister Lecornu and reduced sovereign risk premiums have helped calm Eurozone markets.Technical setup remains bullish: Price action forms an “Ascending Triangle” pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the medium-term uptrend.Short-term breakout confirmed: A minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout above 1.1625 suggests upward momentum toward 1.1690 and 1.1760. The euro has suddenly lost its sparkle ex-post September’s FOMC, after it hit a four-year hig…
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EUR/USD The euro continues following a corrective upward path. This morning, the price reached resistance at the MACD line. However, one obstacle stands in the way—the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, slowing the euro's ability to decisively break through this resistance. If the market waits for the oscillator to turn upward, the breakout above 1.1663 is more likely to occur tomorrow. Overall, we expect the euro to continue rising toward the target level of 1.1779. On the four-hour chart, the price has secured its position above both the balance line and the MACD. The Marlin oscillator is signaling a release of tension, which likely precedes a consolida…
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AUD/USD As expected in the previous analysis on October 13, the Australian dollar managed to close the Monday gap and move toward the target support at 0.6450. Now, the price has returned to its initial position and faces the same dilemma: either continue rising toward the MACD line at 0.6555 or attempt to break below the 0.6450 level with firm settlement. At the moment, the overall trend remains bearish, but price and the oscillator are visually trying to break free from downward pressure. For this, support from correlated markets is needed—namely, a weakening of the U.S. dollar index and a rise in commodity prices. Oil, in particular, has remained in a range for four c…
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GBP/USD The British pound rose by 82 pips yesterday, reaching the MACD line. Today, the market opened above this line, and the upward movement continued. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has not yet crossed into positive territory, suggesting the price may pause temporarily to gather momentum for the next push toward the target level at 1.3525 (the high from October 1). Today, the UK releases a broad set of economic reports. Forecasts are moderately pessimistic: GDP (YoY) for August may decline from 1.4% to 1.3%.Construction output is expected at -0.1% (MoM).Industrial production may fall by -0.6% (YoY).The trade balance may slightly improve from -22.24 billion t…
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XRP price started a consolidation phase below $2.60. The price is now showing positive signs but faces a major resistance near $2.50 and $2.60. XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.420 zone. The price is now trading below $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.50 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh surge if it clears the $2.60 resistance. XRP Price Faces Key Resistance XRP price found support and started a strong recovery wave above $2.30, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.350 and $2.40 le…
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Ethereum’s high-timeframe structure exposes the fallout from the leverage massacre. Open Interest has cratered, reflecting widespread liquidation across futures markets. With leverage drained and traders shaken out, the path forward depends on whether spot demand can fill the vacuum left by the OI collapse. The recent market volatility has presented a critical opportunity to assess the underlying health of various crypto assets. In an X post, Daan Crypto Trades, a full-time crypto trader and investor, has offered a compelling analysis of Ethereum’s high-timeframe chart, specifically focusing on Open Interest (OI), which shows exactly how much speculative excess has been …
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Ethereum price is still struggling to settle above $4,220. ETH is now consolidating in a range and might decline sharply if there is a move below $3,880. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $4,000 and $4,020 levels. The price is trading below $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,075. Ethereum Price Dips To Support Ethereum price struggled to settle above $4,200 and corrected most gains, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $4,050 and $4,000 levels. It even test…
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Ethereum (ETH) is back in the spotlight after Fidelity clients purchased roughly 36,460 ETH ($154.6 million), signaling renewed institutional demand even as spot ETH ETFs logged heavy redemptions. Before stabilizing around $4,100, the second-largest cryptocurrency briefly dipped below $4,000 this week, but several analysts argue the pullback places ETH in a key “buy zone” ahead of a potential push toward new highs. Fidelity Steps In as ETFs See Redemptions Fidelity’s reported buy spotlights a growing trend as traditional finance is steadily increasing exposure to Ethereum’s smart-contract ecosystem, staking yields, and tokenization upside. The move contrasts wi…
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Bitcoin price is struggling to settle above $113,500 and $114,000. BTC is now consolidating and might start another decline below $110,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $114,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $112,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $110,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $112,500 resistance level. BTC recovered above the $112,800 and $113,000 resistance level…
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Elon Musk’s one-word reply on X has put Bitcoin back in the headlines, even if the comment was brief. His simple response — “True” — came after a widely shared post linking recent gains in gold, silver and Bitcoin to heavy government spending and currency debasement. Markets and crypto fans noticed fast. Musk’s Brief Reply Signals Interest According to the post by ZeroHedge, which has more than 2 million followers, the rallies were tied to what the author called an AI “arms race” between the US and China and to large-scale fiscal outlays. Musk agreed with the thread. He added a view that echoes a common pro-Bitcoin line: fiat can be printed, while Bitcoin’s tie to ener…
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The Dogecoin weekly chart structure may be setting up for a classic Elliott Wave “third wave” advance, according to trader and market commentator Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow), who argued that DOGE has reclaimed a critical Fibonacci level and could be transitioning from corrective price action into a new impulsive leg. Dogecoin Set For Takeoff As Wave 3 Kicks In Sharing a weekly chart, the analyst wrote: “Initially I thought DOGE wave 2 retraced to 0.5 of wave 1, which is valid, but it decided to get to 0.382 which is also possible for a wave 2 retracement. Now it’s reclaiming 0.618 and wave 3 could be starting… and wave 3 is the most bullish and most powerful of them all.…
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The Ethereum Foundation has deposited 2,400 ETH into Morpho’s lending vaults, along with roughly $6 million in stablecoins. This marks a notable shift in how the foundation is handling its treasury. It looks like they’re getting more comfortable with using DeFi protocols directly. On-chain analysts say this might be the largest single exposure the foundation has taken on in a permissionless lending system. Morpho is an open DeFi platform designed to improve capital efficiency. It matches borrowers and lenders more directly, reducing the gap between borrowing and lending rates. By using Morpho, the Ethereum Foundation is putting serious trust in the protocol’s infrastruct…
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Tether has expanded its reach to Solana by launching two omnichain tokens, USDT0 and XAUT0, built using LayerZero technology. These tokens are managed by Everdawn Labs and are designed to move seamlessly across blockchains while staying fully backed. USDT0 connects Solana to a broader liquidity network that includes Ethereum, Tron, TON, and others. According to Lorenzo R., co-founder of USDT0, the system now taps into more than $175 billion worth of Tether liquidity across chains. Circulating Supply Still in the Early Stages Right now, USDT0 has a circulating supply of roughly 7.5 billion tokens. XAUT0, the gold-backed counterpart, sits at around 7,355 tokens. For conte…
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XRP may be quietly setting the stage for another major breakout. Recent chart patterns and market behavior show striking similarities to its 2017 accumulation phase, a period that preceded a massive parabolic rally. As Q4 unfolds, technical indicators and Bitcoin dominance data hint that the long-awaited bullish setup could still be in play. Q4 Move Still Possible: XRP’s Bullish Potential Isn’t Gone Yet Crypto analyst CoinsKid recently shared an update confirming that the highly anticipated Q4 move for XRP is still a potential option. This optimistic outlook is heavily underpinned by the current data observed on the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart, which the analyst view…
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The XRP price has been exhibiting a complex pattern of consolidation and retracement for weeks. However, according to prominent market analyst Egrag Crypto, there’s a critical signal to watch for that could determine whether the cryptocurrency’s bullish narrative remains intact or not. The expert’s analysis, shared on X social media, highlights that the behaviour of XRP’s 3-day candles could soon decide the direction of its next major move. XRP Price Integrity Hinges On 3-Day Candle Closes Below $2 In his post on X, Egrag Crypto explains the “measured move breakdown” for XRP, identifying a key technical formation in the form of a descending triangle that, based on its s…
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On Tuesday evening, what may end up being the most closely watched event of the week took place—Jerome Powell's speech. Although, in my view, this event draws more attention out of habit rather than actual substance, at least at this stage. Powell rarely shakes the markets with bold statements or abrupt policy changes. As a result, 8 out of every 10 of his speeches offer little new information. In recent weeks, leading up to the next FOMC meeting, Powell has spoken multiple times, reiterating the same core message: any decision will depend on incoming economic data. Yet therein lies his skill in message delivery. Powell never offers specifics, but like a skilled gardener,…
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On Wednesday, the Japanese yen was rising amid a general weakening of the US dollar. Tensions surrounding trade tariffs escalated on Tuesday after China announced new special port fees for American vessels arriving at Chinese ports. This move came alongside tightened Chinese export restrictions on rare earth metals and threats from U.S. President Donald Trump to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 100%. In addition, Trump threatened to halt trade with China on several goods, including cooking oil, and responded to China's decision to stop purchasing American soybeans. These developments have raised concerns about a further escalation in the trade conflict between the world…
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The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which reflects the value of the dollar relative to a basket of major world currencies, continued its decline for a second consecutive day, falling below the key 99.00 level. This suggests a possible preparation for further losses in the near term. The weakening of the dollar is primarily due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice this year — once in October and again in December. An additional factor putting pressure on the currency is the concern that an extended government shutdown may have a negative impact on the broader U.S. economy. On Tuesday, the stopgap funding bill proposed by Republic…
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To reach a goal, one must sometimes make sacrifices. France's new Prime Minister, Sebastien Lecornu, concluded that short-term political stability is more important than pushing forward with pension reform. He agreed to postpone raising the retirement age from 62 to 64, effectively protecting himself from a no-confidence vote. As a result, the Socialist Party no longer intends to vote for his removal. The yield spread between French and German bonds plunged, and EUR/USD launched a counterattack. French-German Bond Yield Spread Dynamics Pension reform has long been a cornerstone of Emmanuel Macron's policy agenda. However, the president recognizes that another prime …
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