Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.1556 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue to move downward toward the target of 1.1529 – the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands indicator (black dotted line). When testing this line, a pullback upward is possible with a target of 1.1556 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: Today, from the level…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the level of 1.1621 (the closing price of Friday's daily candle), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, the price may move upward toward 1.1608 — the historical resistance level (light blue dashed line). Figure 1: Daily Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative Scenario From the level of 1.1621 (closing price of Friday's daily …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily close) may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward with a target of 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – upward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: on Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Monday, from the level of 1.1650 (the closing price of Friday's daily candle), the market may begin an upward movement with the target at 1.1710 — the 23.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward movement is possible toward 1.1686 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — upwardFibonacci levels — upwardVolume — upwardCandlestick analysis — upwardTrend analysis — upwardBollinger Bands — upwardWeekly chart — upwardOverall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.1650 (the closing price of Friday's daily candle),…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Tuesday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.1640 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1597 – the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly rebound upward to test the historical support level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1640 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue moving downward tow…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Thursday, the market may continue moving down from the 1.1609 level (the closing price of yesterday's daily candle) toward the target of 1.1556 – a historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1576 – the lower fractal (daily candle of October 22, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – downwardFibonacci levels – downwardVolumes – downwardCandlestick analysis – downwardTrend analysis – downwardBollinger Bands – downwardWeekly chart – downwardOverall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative Scenario On Thursday, the market may continue moving down from t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Friday, from the 1.1617 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may start moving downward toward the target of 1.1576 — the lower fractal (daily candle from October 22, 2025). When testing this level, a corrective upward price movement is possible, targeting 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downFibonacci levels — downVolume — downCandlestick analysis — downTrend analysis — downBollinger Bands — downWeekly chart — upOverall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: Today, from the 1.1617 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1).On Tuesday, the market, starting from the level of 1.1644 (yesterday's daily candle close), may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.1686 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may pull back downward to test the support line at 1.1668 (thick red line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the level of 1.1644 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue moving upward towa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Wednesday, the market may start moving downward from the level of 1.1651 (yesterday's daily candle close), aiming for 1.1597 – the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly rebound upward toward 1.1608 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.1651 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin movin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.1714 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin upward movement toward the target of 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective downward move toward 1.1749 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative Scenario: Today, from the level of 1.1714 (yesterday's daily candle close),…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Thursday, the market may start moving upward from the 1.1602 level (the close of yesterday's daily candle) with a target of 1.1631 – the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.1576 – the lower fractal (daily candle of October 22, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:On Thursday, the market may begin an upward movement from the 1.1602 level (t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Friday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.1569 level (the closing price of yesterday's daily candle) toward the 1.1542 target — the lower fractal (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, a pullback movement upward toward 1.1556 is possible — a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – downwardFibonacci levels – downwardVolumes – downwardCandlestick analysis – downwardTrend analysis – downwardBollinger Bands – downwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario:Today, from the 1.1569 level (closing price of yesterday's…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, from the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin a downward move targeting 1.1685 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a possible upward move may occur toward 1.1689 – a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward move targeting 1.1655 – the 50% retraceme…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.1709 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1655 – the 50% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly rebound upward toward the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1709 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue movi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1655 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1608 — a historical resistance level (light-blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1655 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue downward tow…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the level of 1.1628 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward with a target at 1.1592 – the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may bounce upward with a target at 1.1608 – a historical resistance level (light blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: On Thursday, from the level of 1.1628 (ye…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue its downward movement from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1608 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 3, 2025). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.1645 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: Today, the price from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's da…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market from the level of 1.1699 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.1734 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). When testing this line, a move downward is possible with the target at 1.1685 – the 14.6% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a further move upward is possible with the target at 1.1689 – the historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.General conclusion: downwa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Tuesday, the market may continue moving upward from the 1.1725 level (closing of yesterday's daily candle), targeting 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may pull back downward to test the 38.2% retracement level again (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Volume – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Upward Trend Alternative Scenario: From the 1.1725 level (closing of yesterday's daily candle), the price may continue upward toward 1.1749 – the 38.2% retracement level (re…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dark times are ahead for EUR/USD traders—and for all dollar-based pairs. The continued U.S. government shutdown has halted the release of official economic data. For instance, last week was supposed to bring September's Nonfarm Payrolls numbers, but traders had to settle for the ADP report, which does not cover government employees or several other non-agricultural sectors. This week, key inflation metrics (CPI/PPI) are scheduled for release, but they are unlikely to be published unless Congress unexpectedly reopens the government. If the shutdown continues—which remains the most likely scenario—EUR/USD traders will be forced to operate in a state of information vacuum. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The economic calendar for the week does not include any major events for the EUR/USD pair. The ZEW indices, which will be published on Tuesday (November 11), are of some interest. All other scheduled releases are of not even secondary, but tertiary importance. Therefore, the market's attention will be focused on other fundamental factors, such as the rhetoric of Federal Reserve representatives. Several members of the U.S. central bank will speak throughout the week. The ongoing shutdown, which has already become the longest in U.S. history, remains in the spotlight. Towards the end of Friday's trading, sellers of EUR/USD recovered some lost positions amid a strength…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The upcoming week promises to be volatile and informative. The central event will be the September Federal Reserve meeting, whose outcome will overshadow all other fundamentals. Let's first review the key macroeconomic reports for EUR/USD that will be released in the coming days. On Monday, the US will publish the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index, based on a survey of New York Fed district manufacturers. After two months of growth, it's expected to fall to 4 points, signaling a fading of the momentum seen in July and August. For dollar bulls, the index must not return to negative territory, especially with the ISM Manufacturing Index (in contraction since Ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For the first time in the last three weeks, the euro-dollar pair closed Friday's trading below the 1.1560 target, exiting the established price range of 1.1560–1.1730. Now the main intrigue lies in the simple question: will the price hold below this support level, or will it return to its previous levels? Throughout October, sellers of EUR/USD repeatedly tested the lower boundary of the aforementioned price range, declining towards the base of the 15 figure. However, each time the southern momentum faded, and buyers regained control of the pair. Last week, the dollar strengthened mainly due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on the pace of further rate cuts. It …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Monday marks the first day of a new month, which means that we can expect an informative and, consequently, volatile week. December can be conditionally divided into two unequal parts. The first part (specifically the first three weeks) is characterized by increased volatility in the currency market, as traders react to key monthly releases and the final meetings of central banks. The second part consists of the pre-holiday and post-holiday periods. The first week of December plays a vital role in this context. MondayDuring the U.S. session on Monday, we will learn the November ISM manufacturing index value. This vital macroeconomic indicator has been in contraction …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The first week of every month is traditionally the most informative and, as a rule, the most volatile for dollar pairs. October will be no exception. The economic calendar for the coming week is packed with important events, with the release of September Nonfarm Payrolls standing out. After a strong U.S. GDP growth report and a "neutral" PCE index, the NFP release will tip the scales either toward sellers or buyers of EUR/USD. Nonfarm Payrolls will be preceded by other U.S. labor market reports—JOLTs, ADP, and Unemployment Claims—which may also influence the pair, especially if they fall into the green or red zone. Traders should also pay close attention to ISM indice…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
