Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12277 tópicos neste fórum
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Log in to today's North American session recap for the July 18, 2025. Today's session has been a bit muted, with the U-of-Mich Release being a tiny bit worse than expected, but Inflation Expectations still a bit lower than previous reports. Some Profit-taking has been spotted in Equities after a very decent beginning to the earnings week. The FED just entered it's blackout Period – A two-week period before the upcoming Rate Decision. For the rest, there hasn't been much except for a sell-the-news on Cryptos after the US Senate passed three bills for more widespread adaptation of Digital Assets – Hardcore Crypto aficionados would estimate that these developments go ag…
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The global crypto fund world saw another banner week as investors piled in. According to CoinShares data, net inflows into digital‑asset products jumped to $4.40 billion—beating the prior record of $4.27 billion set after the 2024 US elections. It was the 14th straight week of positive flows, lifting year‑to‑date inflows to $27 billion and driving total assets under management to a fresh high of $220 billion. Trading also heated up: exchange‑traded product turnover hit nearly $40 billion in a single week, underscoring a surge in both interest and liquidity. Record Inflows Hit New High Last week’s $4.40 billion haul wasn’t just a marginal uptick. It smashed the old re…
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As Bitcoin briefly surged to $120,000, BNB price made a semi-surprising move of its own—reaching a new all-time high of $804. The milestone marks a 33% gain over the past month, climbing from $600 on June 22 to $804 on July 22. After nearly a year of consolidation, BNB crypto price has broken out to a new all-time high of $804, driven by five weeks of bullish momentum and strong technical signals. The rally began with a bounce in mid-June and has followed a steep uptrend since August 2024. With BNB now in uncharted territory, the focus shifts to how much higher it could rise in 2025. EXPLORE: Michael Saylor Adds Another 6,220 BTC to Strategy’s Stash In contrast, Et…
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What appeared to be market anxed for the Alphabet (Google) earnings seems to have a bit more legs to it. Markets have formed some kind of intermediate top in today's session with the mixed US PMIs leading to the Dow retracting off of a retest of its all-time highs, closing the session down about 0.70% The S&P 500 however loved the beat on the Services PMI but still retracted throughout the afternoon session back to negative territory (close to unchanged) The Nasdaq has wicked three times just above its previous ATH (marking highs at 23,294 on its CFD) but the bigger picture still looks like a double top – at least for now. You can track some intraday levels for th…
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Antimony is a critical mineral—vital for military applications and ammunition, as well as in batteries and semiconductors —yet its global supply is overwhelmingly controlled by China and Russia. In today’s geopolitically charged world, access to antimony is as much a national security issue as an industrial one. This infographic reveals how antimony mine production is divided among the emerging geopolitical spheres of control, highlighting the West’s vulnerability and the urgent need to diversify supply chains beyond China. (By Anthony Vaccaro; Files from: Ali Ravaghi; Creative: James Alafriz)
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Bitcoin mining, which is central to the world’s largest and most valuable crypto network, has never been more challenging. Gone are the days when miners could simply power on their PCs or laptops. While “mining miracles” occasionally happen and solo miners strike gold by confirming a block, the odds are extremely low. In 2025, Bitcoin mining is dominated by multi-million-dollar farms deploying the latest ASICs with modern, efficient cooling techniques. As BTC ▲0.50% prices rise, so do mining costs. As of August 19, 2025, 977 EH/s of hash rate secures the network, and mining difficulty is at record highs. Hash rate is the total computational power funneled by miners globa…
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Overview: The dollar's impressive recovery from the pre-weekend sell-off spurred by comments from Federal Reserve Chair Powell at Jackson Hole was challenged earlier today on news that President Trump was carrying out his threat to fire Federal Reserve Governor Cook. Cook will reportedly challenge the president's authority. The dispute revolves around whether there is "cause", which is usually understood as job-performance related. Now, as the North American session is about to start, the greenback is narrowly mixed against the G10 currencies, with the euro, yen, and sterling leading the way. The Scandis are underperforming. Emerging market currencies are mixed, with the …
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Episodes or Trend Euro to Dollar Trading Tip We all watch TV Series, waiting for the next Season …is it similar to trading? Trading Tip: Think Episodes, Not Just Trend Most traders love trends. It feels easy, identify the direction and ride it. In theory, all you need to do is wait for a correction and enter. But reality is different. Markets aren’t that simple, especially in forex trading. Price action can be unpredictable, often shifting within the same day. A currency pair might look strong in the morning but turn weak later in the session. That’s why focusing solely on trends can put you in trouble. Why Trading Works in Episodes, Not Endless Trends Markets don’t…
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US manufacturing is saved! Or at least that’s what crypto investors are waiting to find out as markets brace for a pivotal Tuesday and fresh manufacturing PMI data, as new US economic data could shape the next leg of financial and crypto market sentiment. The spotlight will be on the Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 53.3, previous: 49.8) at 9:45 AM ET, followed by the ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 48.9, previous: 48.0) at 10:00 AM ET. Manufacturing is the only part of the economy that matters: wealth creation comes from value-added manufacturing. Services only exist to support manufacturing. (Source: X) Wait, maybe that wasn’t the right Twitter post? Eh, no, it works. …
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The US dollar has posted sharp gains against most of the majors on Tuesday. In the North American session,EUR/USD is trading at 1.1672, down 0.33% on the day. The euro fell as smuch as 0.84% today but has recovered most of those losses after soft US manufacturing data. Eurozone CPI ticks up to 2.1% Eurozone inflation ticked higher in August to 2.1% y/y, up from 2.0% in July. This was just above the market estimate of 2.0%. Services inflation, which has been sticky, eased to 3.1% from 3.2%. Core CPI, which excludes energy and food, was unchanged at 2.3% y/y for a fourth consecutive time, above the market estimate of 2.2%. The core rate remained at its lowest level sin…
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Baseline: +74k NFP; unemployment rising to 4.3% from 4.2%.July: +73k with -258k net downward revisions; mounting political pressure on the BLS.Labour demand is cooling: Atlanta Fed Job-Switchers wage growth 4.3% y/y; NFIB shows vacancies easier to fill.Implications: tilts toward a 17 Sep Fed cut; risks from upside surprises and data-quality uncertainty. The August employment report is likely to confirm a cooling in labour demand and reinforce a dovish signal for the Federal Reserve. We expect nonfarm payrolls to rise by about 74k, with the unemployment rate increasing from 4.2% to 4.3%. …
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After a period of consolidation, SUI’s price action has finally tightened, forming a bullish structure that has analysts on high alert. With a clear foundation for an upward move now in place, all eyes are on the pivotal $3.50 resistance level. Presently, speculations are whether the bulls can summon enough momentum to push past this key hurdle, potentially unlocking a new phase of growth for SUI. Market Structure Strengthens For The Next Wave Up CryptoPulse, in his recent SUI analysis posted on X, highlighted how the token tapped perfectly into the $3.30 support zone. As anticipated, buyers quickly defended this zone, stepping in with strong momentum that signaled the m…
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Ethereum price started a fresh recovery wave above the $4,450 zone but failed. ETH is still struggling and might slide below the $4,220 zone. Ethereum is still struggling to recover above the $4,400 zone. The price is trading below $4,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at $4,310 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a decent increase if there is a close above the $4,350 level in the near term. Ethereum Price Remains At Risk Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,200 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the…
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Polkadot crypto might be out of the top 30, slipping below Toncoin (TON crypto) and Cronos (CRO) in the market cap ranking. However, this does not mean DOT USD is not being watched. DOT USD is firm at spot rates, and the candlestick arrangement suggests that the Polkadot price is primed for major gains that could propel it to new H2 2025 highs in the coming sessions. Coingecko data shows that Polkadot crypto has been stable in the past day and week, adding roughly +5%. At this pace, DOT USD is shaking off the weakness seen from mid-August 2025, finding a solid footing for possible gains. Still, DOT crypto has not completely reversed losses of the past year, and is down…
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Amid the back and forth that has rocked the crypto market, the Ethereum price has now found itself between a rock and a hard place. Right now, bulls and bears are still locked in a tug-of-war in a quest to take control of the digital asset. Here, there are now multiple levels to watch that could determine the next steps for the Ethereum price. Ethereum Price Close To Critical Demand Zone After falling back below $4,300 over the weekend, the Ethereum price is now trading very close to a critical demand zone. Crypto analyst ProfitMagnet highlights this in a TradingView analysis, showing the possibilities for the Ethereum price as it looks to test this zone. So far, the E…
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On Tuesday during the Asian session, the USD/CAD pair attempted to attract buyers but failed amid mixed fundamental signals. Nevertheless, spot prices are comfortably holding above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Weak Canadian labor market data released on Friday strengthened market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Bank of Canada at the September 17 meeting. Naturally, this pressures the Canadian dollar, serving as a key factor that could allow the pair to rise. At the same time, a modest recovery in crude oil prices limited the downside potential of the commodity-linked Canadian dollar. On the other hand, the U.S. dollar has also weakened, falli…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD pair also traded in a very strange and frustrating way for traders on both Tuesday and Wednesday. On Tuesday, there was a decline when everyone expected growth. On Wednesday, the British pound edged higher, but volatility was again near zero. The market justifiably ignored the Producer Price Index, since the Consumer Price Index will be released today, and it no longer matters much. If inflation rises rapidly, the Fed will still cut the key rate at least twice this year. What happens next year is anyone's guess. If inflation grows slowly or not at all, the odds of monetary easing at every meeting through the year-end will grow eve…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 11 Markets woke up to a fresh jolt after the US CPI release, which came in broadly as expected at 0.3% MoM, but nonetheless shifted sentiment. The immediate reaction saw the US Dollar tumble, only to settle back into its recent support range, leaving traders guessing on the next breakout. In contrast, US equities surged, with the Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500 pressing fresh all-time highs, as optimism for a 50 bps FOMC cut keeps creeping back into the picture. The FED Watchtool is showing mixed pricing for the upcoming meeting and participants now await for any comments from WSJ's Timiraos for any…
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In previous outlooks, I concluded that the fate of both major pairs once again largely depends on the news flow from the United States. And this isn't just about the events listed in the classic forex calendars, but also the developments surrounding the Trump vs. Fed standoff, the trade war, and the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine. Still, for now, these events are not having a strong direct impact on the FX market. The key event will be the Federal Reserve meeting, even if the decision is already priced in. Nobody in the market doubts that the interest rate will be cut by 25 basis points for the first time since last year. However, labor market weakness is intensify…
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Hang Seng Index Technical: Recent sell-off overdone, bullish trend remains intact”, published on 5 September 2025. The Hong Kong 33 CFD Index (a proxy of the Hang Seng Index futures) has staged the expected bullish breakout above its prior 4-week “Ascending Wedge” range resistance of 25,890 and hit the next intermediate resistance at 26,120, as highlighted in our prior report. Thereafter, it extended its gains and scaled up to a 4-year high of 26,583 on 12 September 2025, a rally of 4.7% on the backdrop of a stronger Chinese yuan and robust bullish sentiment in China's Big Tech, such as Alibaba, Bai…
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What should you expect from the FOMC meeting this week? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on September 16–17, with traders betting heavily on a 25-basis-point rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s a 92% probability of easing, a near certainty. The case rests on cooling inflation and weakening labor data. TLDW: FOMC meeting will likely lower interest rates, effectively turning on money printers. Expect long bond yields to GO UP! “The probability of a quarter-point cut is almost baked in,” analysts at CME noted, pointing to CPI at 2.9% year-over-year and PPI softening below 3%. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.29T24h7d1y This will mark the Fed’s …
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Artemis Gold (TSXV: ARTG) has announced plans to upgrade the existing Phase 1 processing plant at its Blackwater mine in central British Columbia, a move that the company regards as a “step change” opportunity while it progresses with a Phase 2 expansion. Amongst the upgrades will be a vertical mill to provide additional primary grinding capacity and expanded leach circuit, says Artemis, adding that construction work for the upgraded plant (Phase 1A) has already started, with completion and commissioning both earmarked for the fourth quarter of 2026. Some of the enhancements are expected to be brought online in steps ahead of the completion date. Once up and runni…
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The NZD/USD pair is struggling to extend its recent two-day rally that set a new monthly high. Sellers are now appearing near the psychological level of 0.6000, but the decline remains limited as traders await the key decision of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Fed is expected to announce at least a 25-basis-point rate cut. Market focus is on updated economic projections and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference, which should provide guidance on the future rate path. These signals will have a direct impact on the short-term dynamics of the U.S. dollar and may set a new impulse for the NZD/USD pair. Ahead of this important event, position adjustments ar…
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Ivanhoe Mines (TSX: IVN) says it has begun the second stage of its Kakula mine dewatering plan, but will delay its copper production guidance for the next two years until that has advanced. Three out of the four Stage 2 high-capacity, submersible pumps were recently installed and commissioned on schedule, the company said in a press release, adding that the underground water level in the Kakula mine has since dropped by about 10 metres out of a possible 80 metres. The Vancouver-based miner also said it expects all four pumps to start operating in the coming days at a combined pumping rate of approximately 2,600 litres per second. At that point, it will reposition …
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The British pound has posted losses on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3551, down 0.54% on the day. Bank of England maintains rates at 4% The Bank of England stayed on the sidelines at today's meeting, maintaining interest rates at 4.0%. This followed a quarter-point cut in August. The decision was anticipated by the markets and the British pound is showing limited movement. The 7-2 vote saw two members vote for a quarter-point cut. Last month's decision to lower rates was decided by a 5-4 vote and took an unprecedented two rounds. The split votes reflect dissension within the BoE with regard to the Bank's future monetary policy. The Bo…
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