Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The walls between Wall Street and DeFi keep thinning. KAIO, backed by Brevan Howard and BlackRock Crypto, is deploying over $200 Mn in tokenized fund strategies onto the SEI network (SEI). It’s one of the clearest signs yet that real-world asset tokenization is slowly materializing. For .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Sei SEI $0.2847 1.82% Sei SEI Price $0.2847 1.82% /24h Volume in 24h …
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The British pound, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar were traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. I did not trade anything through Momentum. As expected, in the absence of important statistics from the eurozone and the UK, the euro and the pound showed a slight recovery in the first half of the day. This pause in the continuous pressure that has haunted these currencies in recent weeks allowed some of the market nervousness to calm down. Traders cautiously welcomed the absence of negative news, which in turn pushed the euro and other currencies slightly higher against the US dollar. However, it should not be forgotten that this is only a temporary reprieve. G…
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Uh, hm, I haven’t been keeping up and just noticed on CoinGecko that Zora crypto and Zcash are up 300 and 400 percent, respectively over the last few months. What was the news I missed? Should I be getting more? If you’re asking these questions, then this is the article for you: the Weekly Roundup. The upshot is that Crypto Twitter misses everything; Zora and Zcash weren’t discussed there or really anywhere! Here’s what you need to know about the two top tokens trending this week: #1: Is Zora Crypto The New TikTok? Creator Model Draws Major Capital (Source: CoinGecko) The ZORA token, launched in April 2025, remained relatively dormant until July, when its “creator toke…
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Data from multiple blockchain trackers shows that Coinbase has drastically cut its XRP holdings, a move that has taken many crypto investors by surprise. Analysts say such a huge reduction points to large outflows from institutional investors, but others have gone further by alleging manipulation. However, pro-XRP lawyer Bill Morgan has poured cold water on these claims. Rumors Of Coinbase Manipulation Swirl On X US-based exchange Coinbase recently reduced its stash from more than 780 million XRP to just under 200 million in a matter of weeks. This translates to a 69% reduction in the exchange’s holdings since the second quarter of 2025, including a 57% plunge over the l…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1718 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward with a target of 1.1691 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dotted line). Upon reaching this level, an upward move is possible with a target of 1.1697 – the 76.4% pullback level (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall conclusion: Uptrend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1718 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward with a target of 1…
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3506 (close of the last weekly candle), the price may continue downward toward 1.3389 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may extend its downward move toward 1.3270 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. Overall summary of the GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: The price will most likely have a downward …
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Equity market bets on Fed rate cutsThe US stock market continues to anticipate Fed rate cuts, which supports the S&P 500's advance. Goldman Sachs analysts forecast a 2% rally by year-end, based on favorable economic projections. Investors believe that a dovish monetary policy will become a key driver of growth. Follow the link for details. Tech sector supports stock index growthUS stock indices rose on optimism in the technology sector and expectations of lower interest rates. The S&P 500 gained 0.21%, supported by positive signals from the Asian region. Sustained interest in technology companies continues to bolster the market even amid uncertainty. Follo…
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Germany’s much-publicized Bitcoin seizure campaign has come under fresh scrutiny after blockchain analysts revealed that nearly $5 billion worth of BTC has remained untouched. The finding raises intrigue within the crypto community, as questions swirl over whether the funds are lost, frozen, or simply being held in reserve. Why The Coins Remain Untouched In an X post, Elite KOL Crypto Patel, who is also associated with CoinMarketCap and Binance, has highlighted that Germany’s Bitcoin crackdown has encountered a major roadblock. Blockchain analytics firm Arkham has revealed a massive trove of untouched BTC connected to the now-defunct Movie2K piracy site, suggesting that …
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The US dollar has actively regained some of the positions it lost at the beginning of the week. This indicates that traders are taking a wait-and-see approach ahead of important fundamental data. It is clear that the market is influenced by a range of factors that could, in the long term, exert significant pressure on the US currency. Chief among these is the ongoing debate about the future monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. Despite inflation showing signs of rising, the Fed is set to lower interest rates at the upcoming meeting in September of this year. Much will depend on today's US inflation data, which we will discuss in more detail later on. During the European…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Advance Most Read: US CPI Preview: Implications for the DXY & Federal Reserve Asian stock markets went up on Wednesday, following a similar trend on Wall Street. This happened because traders are becoming more confident that the US Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week, as the US job market seems to be weakening. In Japan, the Nikkei stock average rose by 0.8%, while South Korea's KOSPI increased by 1.7%. Taiwan's stock market also did well, climbing 1.5% to reach a new all-time high. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index was up 1.3%, and mainland Chinese blue-chip stocks rose by 0.3%. The Bank of Japan is expected to announce it…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the overall structure is preserved. This allows for accurate forecasts. It should be noted that the wave pattern does not always look textbook-like. At present, however, it looks very clear. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations are growing. Trump's "One Big Law" will add 3 trillion dollars to the U.S. national debt, and the…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenA test of 147.80 occurred just as the MACD indicator was starting to move down from the zero line, confirming a good entry for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair fell toward the target area of 147.03. US inflation data once again weakened the dollar and boosted the Japanese yen. The published US inflation figures, which show a slowdown in consumer price growth, triggered the expected reaction in the currency markets. Additionally, another reason for the yen's appreciation is that a weaker dollar reduces pressure on the Bank of Japan, which has recently faced criticism for not shifting toward a tighter policy. Howev…
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According to veteran trader Peter Brandt, Dogecoin’s price has pushed back above the $0.3 mark, a level that traders watched closely this week. TradingView data shows an 11% rise in a session that sent the coin to a multi-month high, and the move has drawn fresh attention ahead of the first spot DOGE ETF. Volume is high and many eyes are now on how long buyers can hold gains. Meme Coin Retakes A Key Level Based on reports, the rebound came even after the planned ETF launch was delayed. Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart said the REX-Osprey fund has been pushed to next week and will hold spot DOGE among other assets. That structure could allow some in…
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In previous outlooks, I concluded that the fate of both major pairs once again largely depends on the news flow from the United States. And this isn't just about the events listed in the classic forex calendars, but also the developments surrounding the Trump vs. Fed standoff, the trade war, and the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine. Still, for now, these events are not having a strong direct impact on the FX market. The key event will be the Federal Reserve meeting, even if the decision is already priced in. Nobody in the market doubts that the interest rate will be cut by 25 basis points for the first time since last year. However, labor market weakness is intensify…
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In recent weeks, the market has entered a state of relative calm. This is clearly reflected in the US dollar, which, despite everything, is in no hurry to keep declining. I can't say we're seeing a classic sideways trend or a change in the wave pattern, but market activity has dropped, price swings are small, and there is no mass dollar selloff as before. This could be explained by the uncertainty over what to expect from the FOMC over a one-year horizon (due to the complicated situation involving Donald Trump), and because the US president hasn't recently announced or implemented new tariffs. Trump's attention is now entirely focused on trying to stop the conflict in Ukr…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase and climbed above $4,700. ETH is now correcting gains and might aim for another increase if it clears $4,685. Ethereum is now eyeing an upside break above the $4,650 zone. The price is trading above $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $4,660 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,650 and $4,685. Ethereum Price Eyes Fresh Increase Ethereum price started a fresh increase after it formed a base above the $4,350 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,550 and $…
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Recent PEPE price performance has not lived up to the explosive rallies that the meme coin has become known by, slowing down over the last year. However, with the move toward the last quarter of the year, the meme coin’s luck looks to be turning after staging an over 10% rally over the weekend. The possibility of the PEPE price rally continuing is now even higher after the formation of a falling wedge pattern that points toward more bullish movements. PEPE Price Shows Bullishness With Falling Wedge Pattern A pseudonymous crypto analyst on the TradingView website has painted a rather bullish picture for the PEPE price in the near term. According to the analysis shared, th…
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Banks lift European markets European stocks opened the week with modest gains, largely supported by bank shares. Investors are bracing for a pivotal series of central bank meetings in the coming days, with the US Federal Reserve at the center of attention. Rubis shines after takeover talk Shares of French energy retailer Rubis surged following reports of potential acquisition interest. According to market sources, both CVC Capital Partners and commodities trader Trafigura are considering a deal. The news sent Rubis stock up by 6.7 percent, making it the best performer within the STOXX 600 index. The company's market value is estimated at around 3.5 billion dollars. Bank…
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The most important day in a few trading months is coming up fast (two days left!). The September FOMC rate decision is part of four quarterly meetings where key economic projections (SEP or Summary of Economic Projections) are published (don't forget the 4 other meetings). They take place in March, June, September and December. These quarterly meetings tend to hold higher weight on potential changes to the FED's tone. With Wednesday's meeting in focus, markets are preparing for a change in tone and changing SEPs. While the decision itself may not surprise (25 bps is heavily priced in and should be the basis except for any surprise), the details in the projections and P…
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High-grade results from drilling at Seabridge Gold’s (TSX: SEA; NYSE: SA) Iskut project in British Columbia’s Golden Triangle have confirmed the continuity and size of the Snip North target and spurred the company to add 3,000 metres to its drill program. Highlight hole SN-25-30 cut 104.3 metres grading 1.55 grams gold per tonne, 0.25% copper and 4.5 grams silver from 390 metres depth, including 57.6 metres at 2.62 grams gold, 0.4% copper and 3 grams silver, Seabridge reported Monday. “A core zone may be emerging within this mineralized envelope showing strong gold and copper grades that we see continuing for hundreds of meters in our drill logs,” Seabridge Chair …
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse structure. The wave picture is almost identical to that of EUR/USD since the sole "culprit" remains the U.S. dollar. Demand for the dollar is declining across the market in the medium term, and many instruments are therefore showing nearly identical dynamics. At this stage, the presumed wave 5 is still developing, within which waves 1 and 2 have already formed. The current wave structure raises no doubts. It should be remembered that much on the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—beyond just trade. Occasionally, positive news emerges from the U.S., but the market cons…
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Canadian miner Erdene Resource Development (TSX:ERD) has poured its first gold at the Bayan Khundii mine in southwestern Mongolia, marking a major milestone for the project less than a decade after discovery. Erdene President and CEO Peter Akerley said the deposit, first identified in 2015, has quickly become a cornerstone of the Khundii Minerals District. “With construction of a 242-kilometre power line, mining underway, the process plant commissioned and first gold doré poured in just 22 months, the team deserves tremendous credit,” he said. The mine is expected to rank among the highest-grade open-pit operations globally. It is projected to reach nameplate …
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On Monday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward move, as I expected, and on Tuesday morning reached the target – the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. A rebound from this zone would favor the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1695. Consolidation above this zone would increase the probability of continued growth toward the next Fibonacci level of 127.2% – 1.1896. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous one, while the last downward wave did not break the prior low. Thus, the trend can now be considered bullish, although not the strongest or most confiden…
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Against the backdrop of anticipation for key data releases, prevailing dollar-selling sentiment has pushed EUR/USD up to 1.1800 — its highest level since July 3. Optimism regarding the economic outlook for the euro area's largest economy could strengthen and provide additional momentum to the single currency if German data comes in stronger than expected. This, in turn, should support the continuation of the EUR/USD rally. At the same time, market reaction to a potential disappointment is likely to remain limited, given the reduced likelihood of further rate cuts by the European Central Bank and rising expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the U.S. Fed…
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US Retail Sales (YoY) (August): +5.0% vs +3.2% expected, above consensus by +1.8%US Retail Sales (MoM) (August): +0.6% vs +0.2% expected, above consensus by +0.4%US Retail Sales Control Group (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs +0.4% expected, above consensus by +0.3%US Retail Sales ex. Gas/Autos (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs -0.1% expected, above consensus by +0.8%US Retail Sales ex. Autos (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs +0.4% expected, above consensus by +0.3%US Retail Sales Report (August 2025): …
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