Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12219 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitget’s recent survey has revealed that cryptocurrency is moving from investment portfolios to real-world spending quickly. A strong majority of European crypto users are now willing to fund their holidays using digital assets. Bitget’s study, which polled over 3000 European users, throws light on the demand drivers behind crypto-powered travel. Apparently, 85.32% of respondents used crypto to book travel or are actively considering it. Interestingly, the top intended uses for crypto now includes daily expenses, accommodation and transport. This reflects a growing comfort with use of crypto across the travel lifecycle. Commenting on the findings, Gracy Chen, CEO at …
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Spanish authorities, supported by Europol and enforcement teams from France, Estonia, and the United States, have taken down a sprawling crypto money laundering operation that moved over $540 million in criminal proceeds. Five people have been arrested in connection with the scheme. Three of them were found in the Canary Islands, and the other two were apprehended in Madrid. The coordinated action marks one of the most significant crypto-related crackdowns in the region to date. Following the Europol crypto bust, regulators are expected to tighten oversight on exchanges and enforce stricter KYC policies. A Blended Network of Cash and Crypto The criminal group is accused …
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Europol has joined forces with law enforcement in Latvia and other European countries to dismantle a massive cyber-fraud network that had been operating out of Latvia. The takedown led to the seizure of around $330,000 in cryptocurrency from the suspects. Authorities also froze roughly $500,000 across various bank accounts linked to the operation. The raid happened around October 10, 2025, and resulted in the arrest of seven people connected to the group. What investigators uncovered was a full-blown fraud-as-a-service operation that leveraged telecom tech to carry out thousands of scams across Europe. Inside the Network: SIM Boxes and Fake Accounts The group’s entire s…
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The euro continues to rallly and has put together nine straight winning sessions. Earlier, the EUR/USD pushed above the 1.18 line for the first time since Sep. 2021. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1820, up 0.29% on the day. Eurozone CPI inches higher, core rate steady Eurozone CPI rose slightly to 2.0% y/y in June, in line with the consensus. This was up from 1.9% in May, which marked an eight-month low. Monthly, CPI jumped 0.3%, up from 0% in May which was also the consensus. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, offi…
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The euro continues to rallly and has put together nine straight winning sessions. Earlier, the EUR/USD pushed above the 1.18 line for the first time since Sep. 2021. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1820, up 0.29% on the day. Eurozone CPI inches higher, core rate steady Eurozone CPI rose slightly to 2.0% y/y in June, in line with the consensus. This was up from 1.9% in May, which marked an eight-month low. Monthly, CPI jumped 0.3%, up from 0% in May which was also the consensus. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, offi…
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The euro has resumed its decline following the publication of the European Commission's report. According to the protocol data, the eurozone economy is expected to maintain moderate growth after overcoming the tariff shocks caused by Donald Trump better than anticipated. In its autumn report, the European Union's executive body noted that production is projected to grow by 1.3% in 2025 and by 1.2% in 2026. In 2027, growth is expected to be only 1.4%. This adjustment represents an upward revision for the current year compared to earlier forecasts in May and a slight downward adjustment for 2026. Regarding inflation, it is expected to remain at 2.1% in 2025, as previousl…
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The euro is showing little movement on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1303, down 0.23% on the day. Eurozone near-term inflation expectations rise Eurozone consumer inflation expectations rose in April to 3.1% over the next year, up from 2.9% in March. Inflation expectations for three and five years were unchanged, at 2.5% and 2.1%, respectively. Inflation expectations are carefully monitored by the European Central Bank as expectations that inflation will accelerate can manifest into higher inflation. Still, the reading is not expected to change any minds at the ECB, which is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-po…
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The euro is showing limited gains on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1529, up 0.07% on the day. Eurozone PMIs show little changeEurozone PMIs showed little change in June. The Services PMI rose to 50.0 from 49.7 in May, matching the market estimate. This indicated a slight stabilization in business activity. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found o…
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The euro is showing some strength on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1641, up 0.57% on the day. Eurozone retail sales up, German factory orders decline Eurozone data was a mixed bag today. Eurozone retail sales bounced back in June, rising 0.3% m/m after the May figure was revised upwards to -0.3% from an initial -0.7%. This missed the market estimate of 0.4%. Annualized, retail sales gained 3.1%, up from a revised 1.9% but shy of the market estimate of 2.6%. This was the highest level since Sep. 2024. The positive retail sales are critical for the eurozone economy, as global trade tensions remain high and the strong euro will weigh o…
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Prior -3.7Euro area investor morale slumped further going into September, with the headline reading being the lowest since April. Sentix noted that "economic anxieties are coming back with full force", adding that "there is not much sign of an autumn revival and the pressure on export-oriented industry is likely to increase further due to US tariffs". This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
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The euro is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1579, up 0.05% on the day. Eurozone Services PMI shows weak expansion Eurozone Services PMI for June showed slight expansion, rising to 51.0 from 50.5 in May but missing the market estimate of 51.2. This was the fastest growth in services since March, which indicates that the services sector remains in weak shape. The European Central Bank held the cash rate at 2.0% last month after seven consecutive rate cuts in which the central bank chopped 200 basis points. At the meeting, President Lagarde said that the risk to growth remained tilted to the downside as global tension…
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The most traded Forex pair hasn't disappointed traders in terms of trends and volatility throughout 2025. Going from 1.02 to 1.18 highs in 7 months, there had been some decisive momentum to participate with as this strong buying took the Euro to highs unseen since 2021. The geopolitical mishandles from the Trump Administration earlier this year had led to European leaders putting back the Euro unification back on the table. After some major deals were announced from Germany and other Euro Nations, the Euro started its ascent. to up 15% on the year at one point. This theme got accompanied with general lack of confidence from the Trump Administration which led to some ma…
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After a rough month of July taking the most traded Major pair from 1.1830 highs to a 4-handle correction, the NFP report at the beginning of the month led a huge wave of higher mean-reversion – An end-July daily double top on the pair had brought fresh technical fuel to sell the Euro. August 1st marked lows at 1.13915, with oversold daily levels and an over-extended US Dollar created a perfect recipe for consequential dip buying in EURUSD. The pair is now trying to reach the 1.17 psychological level amid another fresh wave of US Dollar selling. Positive data releases for the pair have worked towards bullish fundamentals, allowing fresh buying to take place. This morni…
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Drilling Down to Identify the Strong Side of the Forex Market EURUSD Drill Down Where is it Headed? Analysis and Risk One of the most important decisions in forex trading is identifying the right side of the market to trade. In fact, many traders will tell you that choosing the right side is more than half the battle. If you can consistently position on the strong side of the market, you’re already putting yourself in a better position to succeed. So, how do you find that strong side? The answer lies in a systematic chart analysis method known as “drilling down,” paired with tools like the Amazing Trader charting algorithm. EURUSD Drill Down Where is it Headed? A…
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How to Use Drill Down Analysis in Forex: A Multi-Timeframe Look at EURUSD EURUSD Drill Down: Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy Successful forex trading requires more than just focusing on a single chart. Whether you trade on a 15-minute or 4-hour chart, you must understand the context provided by longer-term time frames. This approach is called drill down analysis, and it’s a favorite strategy of institutional and “real money” traders. In this article, we’ll show you how to perform drill down analysis, apply it to EURUSD, and identify key levels and trends across timeframes to improve your trading decisions. What Is Drill Down Analysis in Forex? Drill down analysis m…
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Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
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The Euro is currently leading gains across the currency board following the weaker-than-expected US CPI release, nearing a break of last week's highs against the US Dollar. While the initial CPI reaction saw reversals in several assets, such as the Nasdaq briefly surpassing the 22,000 milestone before retreating, EUR/USD continues to consolidate at its highs. This occurs as some major banks, including the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) and Bank of America, had previously indicated limited upside for the Euro, and may have been surprised by this morning's USD weakness. Further weighing on market sentiment, recent headlines suggest the US intends to maintain tariffs of up to 30…
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The most traded FX pair wasn't exempt of a huge decrease in trading volumes in this final week of August. Without much change to fundamentals, traders have been looking for volatility in the impatient waiting of next Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report. However, yesterday, Markets received the news of the Zelenskyy-Putin meeting not moving forward (It could have been expected with no advances since the past two weeks). The implications for the Euro are still to be clarified, but what is sure is that as long as this conflict keeps going, EU nations are going to keep spending on defense. The fundamental background could be negative for the Euro, but national spending of t…
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The Euro had been on a strong run this year, and only a few events could stop its uptrend in the first half of 2025. Between new infrastructure deals, unification behind the Ukrainian cause, and the constant mess-ups from the Trump Administration, EUR/USD had many reasons go higher. But Markets are forward-looking, and all these factors have been priced in, with sellers now heavily grabbing control of the price action: The latest EU-US Deal is considered disadvantageous for the EU, and this is turning into a sell-the-fact trade. The pair's end-June rally has not seen any retracement, and the ongoing selloff is about to make this final up-move to the 1.1830 highs vanish…
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The US Dollar has staged a decent comeback from the 98.00 handle after enduring a particularly brutal start to August. This is hurting EUR/USD in today's session. You can access our most recent US Dollar analysis right here. One of the key catalysts behind the drop in the pair was the Manufacturing PMI data beating market expectations (53.3 vs 49.5% exp). Markets are now holding their breath, awaiting comments from Jerome Powell tomorrow morning 10:00 at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The Fed Chair's speech is expected to be a market-moving event, with participants still awaiting for clues about future policy direction. EURUSD had enjoyed a spectacular relief rally follo…
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Review of Trades and Trading Tips for the European CurrencyA price test at 1.1615 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.1574. Yesterday's comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials regarding the inadvisability of further monetary easing triggered a strengthening of the U.S. currency and a weakening of the European one. Today, the absence of economic data from the eurozone suggests the possibility of a short-term correction in the euro, but it is unlikely that buyers will be able to recover all of yesterday's los…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the EuroThe price test of 1.1606 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of this level occurred when the MACD indicator was in the oversold zone, triggering Scenario #2 for buying the euro, which resulted in a 20-pip rise in the euro's value. President Trump's inconsistent approach to resolving trade disputes with China continues to keep investors from active operations with the euro. Uncertainty about the possibility of reaching a full-fledged trade agreement negatively affects market sentiment…
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Trade Review and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the 1.1580 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line and remained in the oversold zone for a while. This allowed scenario #2 for euro buying to be fulfilled, resulting in the pair rising by more than 25 pips. Yesterday's statements by Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller that he would support a more accommodative monetary policy put intense pressure on the U.S. dollar. Traders grew fearful that Waller's potential appointment as the next Fed Chair could lead to a longer-term dovish stance from the central bank. This shift in tone sparked broad market discussion. Until…
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Trade Review and Trading Advice on the EuroThe price test at 1.1596 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move above the zero line, confirming a valid entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair rose to the target level near 1.1617. Dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials on the future path of interest rates, along with hints of an imminent end to the Fed's quantitative tightening program, exerted downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. Today will be devoted to analyzing macroeconomic data, specifically the Eurozone PMI figures for October: manufacturing and services activity indicators, as well as the composite index. These figures reflect the regio…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price at 1.1631 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair increased by just 15 pips. Data showed that inflation in the United States is developing much more slowly than economists had anticipated, which led to a decline in the value of the American currency and an increase in the value of the euro last Friday. Investors who were expecting a softer stance from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates are now fully convinced that the central bank no longer needs to focus on r…
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