Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued to rise after bouncing from the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695. Thus, on Monday this process may continue toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. A consolidation of quotes below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. dollar and a further decline toward the support level of 1.1637–1.1645. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the previous wave's low, while the last upward wave did not break the previous peak. Thus, the trend currently remains "bearish." The latest labor market data and the changed outlook for the Fed's monetary policy support bullish traders, so I expect…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rose to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3482, bounced off it, turned in favor of the dollar, fell to the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425, and rebounded from it. Thus, today the growth process may resume toward the 1.3482 level. A consolidation of the pair below 1.3425 would allow us to expect a further decline toward the support level at 1.3332–1.3357, from where the bulls' last ascent began. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, and the last upward wave did not break the previous high. The news background over the past week was negative for the U.S. dollar…
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Is Bitcoin about to steal the spotlight again? As the FOMC meeting looms, investors are fleeing risky altcoins and piling into the king of crypto. Bitcoin dominance just climbed past 59%, its highest level in months, as traders brace for what could be another rate cut in November. With the crypto market turning cautious, coins like MYX, ASTER, and LINEA are being hammered in what appears to be a textbook de-risking move. Crypto Fear and Greed Chart All time 1y 1m 1w 24h The big question now: is this the calm before a massive a…
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Yesterday (October 5), a bombshell was dropped on Aster Crypto, the newly launched Perp DEX platform that has taken the market by storm with a +7,000% price increase for its native token, ASTER. The YZi Labs-backed platform has also dominated TVL and trading volume metrics, quickly surpassing the competition, including Hyperliquid. However, it is these numbers that have come under scrutiny, with the Web3 data platform DefiLlama delisting its perpetual volume metrics and the founder of DefiLlama posting a thread on X, explaining why the platform has delisted Aster. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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Dogecoin is compressing beneath a dense band of weekly resistance that could unlock a powerful upside continuation once cleared, according to crypto analyst The Great Mattsby (@matthughes13). In his October 5 video, Mattsby frames the 0.618 retracement from the 2021 peak to the 2022 cycle low—marked at $0.26261—as the immediate trigger that “price is still getting rejected at,” adding: “That’s the area of interest to maybe try to close above.” Screenshots of his weekly DOGE/USDT chart show price hovering around $0.248–$0.249 at the time of recording, with a session high near $0.265 and low near $0.226, underscoring how repeatedly the market has tested the band without se…
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Asia Market Wrap - Japan Politics Send Markets in a Tailspin, Nikkei Up 4.8% Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Global markets were boosted over the weekend as stock prices soared while currencies and bonds fell. Some investors turned to gold and Bitcoin for safety as Japan’s election of a pro-stimulus leader fueled expectations for aggressive fiscal spending. In Asia, shares jumped to new highs. The Nikkei 225 rose about 5% percent, reaching a record after Sanae Takaichi won the election as the new Prime Minister. At the same time the yen fell close to two percent, slipping to about 150 per dollar and hitting a low against the euro.…
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A recent interview with European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde points to a rather wait-and-see stance from the regulator, which lately has not been much help to the euro's growth. Lagarde stated that she is satisfied with the current policy parameters, as inflation in the eurozone overall remains stable. "We are in a good position, and we need things to stay that way," she said in the interview. In her view, this outcome is the result of coordinated actions by the European Central Bank, member state governments, and structural reforms aimed at strengthening competitiveness and improving economic productivity. Above all, price stability allows the central bank …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the 1.3478 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin a downward move targeting 1.3405 – a historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may possibly begin an upward move toward 1.3416 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3478 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward move targe…
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On Monday, from the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin a downward move targeting 1.1685 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a possible upward move may occur toward 1.1689 – a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward move targeting 1.1655 – the 50% retraceme…
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Even though Bitcoin reached a new all-time high over the weekend, crossing above the $125,700 mark, Swissblock reports record-breaking BTC outflows from exchanges. The last time such a large outflow was observed was in December 2022. However, at that time, Bitcoin was at its bottom near $15,000. Now, the situation is the opposite—it is trading near its all-time high. This paradox requires deeper analysis. Clearly, Bitcoin holders are not in a rush to take profits despite favorable market conditions. Instead, they see BTC as a long-term asset and prefer to store it off-exchange, in cold wallets. This behavior indicates confidence in further growth. Another possible expla…
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Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $123,433.02 0.98% Bitcoin BTC Price $123,433.02 0.98% /24h Volume in 24h $49.65B Price 7d Read The Full Article Here 56 minutes ago Hong Kong SFC Chief Julia Leung Secures New 3-Year Term as City Expands Crypto Regulation By Fatim…
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Last Friday, US stock indices ended mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.01%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.28%. The industrial Dow Jones jumped by 0.51%. On Friday, the tech rally slowed, pulling back from record highs. Optimism around artificial intelligence was dented by warnings from US President Donald Trump directed at Hamas and signs of economic weakness amid the ongoing US government shutdown. The yield on 10-year bonds, which sets the range for borrowing costs in the US, dropped by more than five basis points. Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. were among the leading decliners, falling by 7.5% after reports of significant problems in the communication system. D…
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Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high, hitting $125,710 over the weekend. Ethereum also rose, though not as significantly. This explosive growth marks the culmination of several weeks of steady accumulation by big players in support of the broader uptrend. A key driver behind the rally is growing global awareness of the instability of fiat currencies, with investors turning to BTC as digital insurance against fiat devaluation. Bitcoin's new high reflects a broader awakening and increasing trust in a new monetary system. This isn't just hype around another tech breakthrough, but rather a fundamental revaluation of financial principles. As the pioneer of decentralized cu…
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While the Bitcoin price seems to have deviated completely from the four-year cycle that dictated the previous bull and bear markets, there are still some similarities that remain that suggest that it could still play out in a similar way. The major similarity that has emerged is the formation of a bearish crab pattern back in 2021, and now, the same pattern has reappeared. Thus, taking a look at the direction of the 2021 formation could give an insight into where the Bitcoin price is headed next from here. The Pattern That Triggered The Bitcoin Price Explosion In an analysis, crypto analyst Weslad was the one who pointed out that the Bearish Crab Pattern had returned, an…
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What's fueling the growth of the U.S. stock market? The S&P 500 continues to shrug off concerns, including rising valuations, the government shutdown, and even political unpredictability. The broad-based stock index just posted its 31st record high this year. Despite the unpredictable nature of Donald Trump, investors maintain a strong belief that the U.S. president will do everything within his power to support the markets. Additionally, there is the Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle and the boom in artificial intelligence. Democrats and Republicans remain at a stalemate. Neither side seems willing to compromise and restore the full functioning of the U.S. gove…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 147.45 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began rising from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the dollar. This resulted in a minor rise of the pair by about 10 pips. The yen fell by 300 pips against the U.S. dollar on the news that Sanae Takaichi would become the new Prime Minister of Japan. Her plans for economic stimulus and her commitment to accommodative monetary policy triggered a sharp sell-off in the yen on the currency markets. The market appears to view her election as a signal that Abenomics—the policy of aggressive fiscal stimulus and low interest rates—will …
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3465 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. A second test of 1.3465, while the MACD was in overbought territory, provided an entry point for a sell trade according to Scenario 2; however, no major decline in the pair occurred afterward. The British pound responded with solid growth to the news that the U.S. ISM Services PMI had returned to the 50-point area. This morning, expectations for the UK Construction PMI are not optimistic, which may limit the upside potential of the pair. Additionally, a public speech…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1732 level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the downside potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The release of ISM data showing a decline in U.S. services sector activity to the borderline level of 50 raised concerns among market participants but did not trigger a large-scale drop in the dollar. Most likely, the market was already prepared for such a development. The ISM index nearing such a critical level reflects the general trend of slowing economic growth in the U.S., so an interest rate cut in October now appears…
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[XPD/USD] – [Monday, October 06, 2025] With EMA(50) forming a Golden Cross with EMA(200) and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area, Palladium has the potential to move higher toward its nearest resistance level today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1303.51 2. Resistance. 1 : 1283.23 3. Pivot : 1260.97 4. Support. 1 : 1240.69 5. Support. 2 : 1218.43 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Palladium strengthens, breaks above, and closes above 1260.97, it may continue to advance to 1283.23. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1283.23 is breached and closes above it, XPD/USD may try to test 1303.51. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias w…
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[Natural Gas] – [Monday, October 06, 2025] With all technical analysis data indicating bullishness, from both EMAs forming a Golden Cross to the RSI being in the Neutral-Bullish level, it is quite likely that Natural Gas will continue its upward momentum today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.507 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.421 3. Pivot : 3.364 4. Support. 1 : 3.278 5. Support. 2 : 3.221 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If #NG strengthens and breaks out and closes above 3.364, it may move to test the 3.421 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.421 is broken and closes above, Natural Gas could continue strengthening up to 3.507. Invalidation Level / Bias …
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The U.S. dollar remains under pressure. The main reasons for its weakness include disappointing economic data and the ongoing government shutdown in the U.S. since mid-last week. The decline of the ISM Services PMI to the critical 50-point level caused concern among market participants. However, the market appeared to anticipate such a slowdown, further reinforcing expectations of upcoming monetary policy easing from the Federal Reserve. With the ISM index hovering near contraction territory, the trend of weakening economic growth is becoming clearer. That said, the market's reaction to the data was restrained, as investors are awaiting more precise signals from the Fed. …
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Bitcoin is trading around 123,616, bouncing within the bullish trend channel formed on September 26. Bitcoin could continue rising in the coming hours, reaching 8/8 Murray around $125,000 and could even surpass its high and reach +1/8 Murray around 128,125. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below the 21SMA at 122,243, we could expect a trend reversal, and it could reach 6/8 Murray at 118,750. The eagle indicator on the H4 chart has reached the overbought zone. We believe that Bitcoin below the psychological level of $125,000 could undergo a strong technical correction in the coming days and reach 5/8 Murray around 115,316. Our outlook for Bitcoin is positive, so we will look f…
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Early in the American session, the EUR/USD pair is trading with a positive bias around 1.1727. The euro is now above the 8/8 Murray, above the 21SMA, and within an uptrend channel formed on September 25. If the euro consolidates above 1.1700 in the coming hours, we could expect it to close the gap it left around 1.1735 and could even continue rising to reach the top of the uptrend channel around 1.1805. If the uptrend continues, we could expect the EUR/USD pair to reach the +8/8 Murray around 1.1840. On the other hand, if the euro consolidates below 1.1717 and below 8/8 Murray, we can expect a sharp breakout of the uptrend channel, and the price could reach 7/8 Murray aro…
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Gold is on the way to new all-time highs, placing the price within a strong upward trend similar to the movement formed on September 11. XAU/USD could continue its rise in the coming hours, reaching 3,963, a level that coincides with the top of the uptrend channel. At current price levels, gold is having a small consolidation. If the price remains above +1/8 Murray in the coming days, we could expect a strong upward acceleration that could push the instrument up to 3,950 and even to the psychological level of $4,000. Conversely, if the gold price falls below the key level of 3,906, we believe it could reach the 21SMA around 3,872 or the bottom of the uptrend channel aroun…
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Solana found support near the $205 zone. SOL price is now consolidating gains above $220 and might soon aim for more gains above $232. SOL price started a fresh increase above $215 and $220 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $225 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $227 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another increase if the bulls clear $235 and $242. Solana Price Aims Higher Solana price remained supported above the $215 pivot level and extended gains, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $220 and $225 resistanc…
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