Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $122,838 on July 14, but has since slipped into a phase of consolidation around the $118,000 level. The recent pause in upward momentum hasn’t dampened market sentiment, which remains firmly bullish. According to Coinmarketcap’s Fear & Greed Index, Bitcoin is still currently sitting at a greed level of 68. This sentiment, combined with technical analysis of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC), shows that Bitcoin is still on track for powerful upward moves. Greed Returns To The Market, But Not Yet Overheated Bitcoin’s price action has spent the majority of the past 48 hours holding above $118,000 after a wave of profit-taking too…
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Log in to today's North American session recap for the July 21, 2025. Risk-on session throughout all markets with Tech once again shining bright, also bringing up altcoins with the ongoing rally – There has been somewhat of a retracement in the afternoon as markets found what seems to be profit taking again. The US Dollar has started the week poorly, with sellers helped by some lower yields on longer-dated bonds (US 30-Year Bonds saw some decent demand today) and Japan's PM Ishiba's political party losing majority, bolstering the Yen strongly. Markets haven't found many other catalysts in the absence of key data and major headlines – US President Trump hates silence s…
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Overview: With a US-Japanese deal in hand, and the prospects of an extended tariff truce between the US and China, many perceive some tail risks associated with the US foreign economic policy have diminished. This has encouraged the animal spirits and helped drive equity prices higher. The dollar is mixed. The uptick in Australia's PMI and cautionary comments from the governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia have helped lift the Australian dollar to new highs for the year and puts it atop the G10 performers today. On the other hand, a disappointing UK PMI pushed sterling down around 0.25% today and is the laggard among the G10 currencies. Emerging market currencies are m…
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Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview where we look at the NA Indices and currencies. After a relatively calm conclusion to July trading, Markets found some heightened volatility to start August on a high note. A streak of positive US data (including PMIs, CPI and a nice July PPI), Markets did not take the miss in Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls lightly. The US Dollar had been on a roll, going from 96.40 lows in the beginning of the past month to breaching the 100.00 psychological level. The missed US Data changed things sharply, with the Dollar Index currently trading closer to the 98.00 level, almost a 2% correction from its 100.20 August 1st top. US Ind…
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The most traded FX pair wasn't exempt of a huge decrease in trading volumes in this final week of August. Without much change to fundamentals, traders have been looking for volatility in the impatient waiting of next Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report. However, yesterday, Markets received the news of the Zelenskyy-Putin meeting not moving forward (It could have been expected with no advances since the past two weeks). The implications for the Euro are still to be clarified, but what is sure is that as long as this conflict keeps going, EU nations are going to keep spending on defense. The fundamental background could be negative for the Euro, but national spending of t…
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The Japanese yen is sharply lower on Tuesday and has fallen to a two-week low. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.62, up 1.0% on the day. BoJ Deputy Governor says rate hike coming Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on Tuesday that the central bank would raise rates if conditions were appropriate. Himino said there were "upside and downside risks for economy and inflation", citing the tight labor market and global economic uncertainty as upside inflation risks and tariffs and commodity prices as downward price risks. Himino said that the impact of US tariffs could be "smaller or larger than expected" and the BoJ woul have to carefully ass…
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Gold blasted to a new all-time high of near $3,600 an ounce on Friday, as fresh US jobs data further cemented market-wide expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut later this month. Spot prices jumped as much as 1.4% to a record $3,597.80 per ounce, surpassing its previous high of $3,670 set only two days earlier. The precious metal is now on track for a 4% weekly close. US gold futures posted similar gains, with the most active contract crossing the $3,650-an-ounce mark for the first time. Click on chart for live prices. Gold’s new record-setting move came as a pivotal US payrolls report on Friday showed a slowdown in hiring last month, while unemployment…
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A $105 million deal has been struck between Trump Media & Technology Group, Yorkville Acquisition Corp., and Crypto.com to acquire 684.4 million Cro Crypto (CRO) tokens at about $0.153 each. The purchase amounts to roughly 2% of the token’s circulating supply and will be placed in institutional custody. Devin Nunes, chief executive of Trump Media, called the purchase a statement of confidence in CRO’s role as a payment token. “We’re convinced that CRO has tremendous potential to spread widely as a versatile utility token and a superior form of safe, fast payment and money transfer,” he said. Crypto.com’s Kris Marszalek added that it marks “the first of many steps t…
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The Bitcoin price has managed to stay above $110,000 over the weekend, and on-chain data shows that the premier cryptocurrency sits above three crucial support levels. Here are the critical levels to watch out for over the next few weeks. Where Are The Next Support Levels For BTC? On Saturday, September 6, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez took to the social media platform X to offer on-chain insights into the current layout of the Bitcoin price. This price evaluation, which revolves around the BTC UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) metric, shows the next support levels for Bitcoin. The capacity for a price level to act as an on-chain support or resistance zon…
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Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
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Most Read: Markets Today: Japan PM Resigns, Gold Above $3600/oz, China Exports Miss Forecasts, FTSE 100 Holds at Support Oil prices have risen as much as 1.8% at the start of the week as Oil pares last week's losses. The rally this morning has come as a surprise to some quarters after eight OPEC + members agreed to lift output by 137,000 bpd from October. However, the move by OPEC + was seen as more modest than expected and thus saw market participants shrug off the potential consequences. On top of that, markets are focused on the possibility of more sanctions on Russian crude.after Russia hit Ukraine with its biggest air attack since the start of the war. For now, conce…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3511 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics held back the pound's upward momentum. Technical analysis also points to the possibility of a correction. Overbought signals and divergence on daily charts warn of weakening bullish momentum. A break of key support levels could trigger sellers' activity and strengthen the downtrend. In the second half of the day, traders will focus on U.S. consumer credit data, where overly strong figures could lead to a decline in GBP/USD. This is because robust c…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3541 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward with the target at 1.3593 – the upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may then move downward with the target at 1.3565 – the upper fractal (daily candle from August 18, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3541 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start moving upward with the target a…
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Markets climb ahead of crucial inflation reportOn Tuesday, the MSCI global equity index edged higher, the US dollar strengthened, and Treasury yields moved upward as investors awaited key inflation figures. The cautious optimism followed a significant revision of US employment statistics. Labor market growth revised downwardThe US Department of Labor announced that for the 12 months ending in March, the economy generated 911 thousand fewer jobs than previously estimated. Analysts note that the slowdown in hiring began even before President Donald Trump introduced aggressive import tariffs. Wall Street sets new highsAll three major Wall Street benchmarks closed in positive…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.30%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.03%. The industrial Dow Jones fell by 0.48%. Futures on US and European equities showed stability ahead of the highly anticipated US inflation data, due today, while the Asian session was marked by gains in technology giants. Euro Stoxx 50 futures were little changed, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures pared losses during Asian trading. Japan, South Korea, and mainland China's major stock indices advanced, while Australian and Hong Kong indices declined. The MSCI Asia-Pacific regional index was flat after five straight days of gains. US Treasuries stabilized afte…
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Bitcoin, having reached a weekly high around $116,400, is currently undergoing a technical correction and is likely to find strong support around the 21SMA at $114,600 or around the bottom of the uptrend channel formed on September 9 at $114,500. If Bitcoin consolidates above $114,500, it will be seen as a signal to resume buying, with targets at the top of the uptrend channel around $117,448. Crypto could even reach the 6/8 Murray level at $118,750. Conversely, a break below $114,500 could be seen as a strong technical correction, and Bitcoin could drop to the 4/8 Murray level at $112,500. The eagle indicator on the H1 charts has reached overbought levels, and it's likel…
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How much gold can I realistically buy at one time? Buying gold in bulk is not as simple as writing a check and walking away with bars. Dealers, banks, and regulators impose limits. Storage and resale add another layer of complexity. Retirees in particular need to balance security, liquidity, and long-term planning. This guide explains the practical ceiling on how much gold you can buy at one time, what factors matter most, and how to avoid costly mistakes. Is There a Legal Limit? In the United States, there is no federal cap on how much physical gold you can own. Private ownership has been fully legal since 1975. What constrains purchases today are dealer policies, banki…
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Banks lift European markets European stocks opened the week with modest gains, largely supported by bank shares. Investors are bracing for a pivotal series of central bank meetings in the coming days, with the US Federal Reserve at the center of attention. Rubis shines after takeover talk Shares of French energy retailer Rubis surged following reports of potential acquisition interest. According to market sources, both CVC Capital Partners and commodities trader Trafigura are considering a deal. The news sent Rubis stock up by 6.7 percent, making it the best performer within the STOXX 600 index. The company's market value is estimated at around 3.5 billion dollars. Bank…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the market may start moving upward toward 1.3593 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this line, the price may then move downward toward 1.3582 – the upper fractal (daily candle of September 11, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may sta…
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Bitcoin remains quite resilient, following an uptrend. However, this growth is fragile, experts warn investors. Meanwhile, the outlook for the US dollar is unstable and leans negative. Against this backdrop, analysts believe that the dollar may require shock therapy for a meaningful recovery. On Monday, September 15, Bitcoin opened the day with a slight decline, trading near $115,670. At its daily peak, the leading cryptocurrency reached $116,181. According to analysts, BTC has launched a new upward wave, rising above $112,500 and breaking through resistance levels at $113,500 and $114,200. At the start of the new week, Bitcoin bulls managed to push the price above $115…
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US Indices haven't stopped bullying through new highs on strong impulses, with Equity bears surely in awe. Markets which tend to slow down in consolidation before such key rate decisions haven't had the chance to stop a minute: Since last week's positive surprises in US inflation releases, American stocks and particularly tech-equities are on a historic run. …
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With the Federal Reserve set to announce policy on Wednesday, September 17, a closely followed trader has laid out a precise, level-by-level playbook for navigating Bitcoin’s next move. In his weekly “Market Outlook #51,” published on September 15, Nik Patel (@cointradernik) for Ostium Research maps out both long and short triggers around a tight cluster of resistance at $117.5k–$120k and a “line in the sand” support at $112k—frameworks he argues should contain BTC’s path through the FOMC and into quarter-end. How To Trade Bitcoin Into September FOMC Nik’s higher-timeframe read starts with a strong weekly close that reclaimed the August open near $115.3k and, crucially, …
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A month ago, on August 19, we expected a US stock market reversal based on the completion of five DeMark sequences. However, that reversal didn't materialize—there was only a five-day correction. Now, however, we've encountered six sequences, marked by the number "9" on the daily chart. Given today's complex monetary policy decision, the Fed faces, the chances of a significant S&P 500 decline are even higher. Visually, the market could fall into the 5916–5973 range, a zone it traded in from mid-May to mid-June before resuming its uptrend. Another reference point is the simple moving average (SMA) with a period of 233, which currently lies just above that zone. The M…
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Trade review and advice for trading the euro The price test at 1.1805 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the euro—especially after yesterday's Fed decision. As a result, the pair gained more than 45 points. Despite the absence of important Eurozone statistics, demand for the euro returned. Clearly, the Fed's strong dovish stance yesterday is maintaining demand for risk assets. The current situation reflects broader trends in global financial markets. Investors are showing an appetite for risk, supported by confidence that central banks will continue to backstop the economy. The Fe…
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The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the integrity of the structure is preserved. This makes accurate forecasting possible. I should remind you that wave counts rarely look textbook-perfect. Right now, however, they look very good. The construction of the upward trend section continues, while the news background mostly supports everything but the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's dovish expectations regarding Fed policy are growing. Market participants rate the results of Trump'…
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