Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12214 tópicos neste fórum
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EUR/USD On Thursday, the euro declined by 64 pips, ending up more than 40 pips below the support level of 1.1605. This can be considered price consolidation below the level, which means the euro has chosen the scenario of further decline before closing Monday's gap. The nearest target is 1.1495. Consolidating below this level will open the next target at 1.1392 — the low of August 1. The Marlin oscillator is declining within the area of a downward trend. Yields on U.S. government bonds and the S&P 500 stock index have been moving horizontally all week — the euro has no support for growth, so in the context of the political crisis in France, it continues to decline, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/AUD The EUR/AUD pair continues its steady movement within a descending price channel. Yesterday, the pair attempted to break below the median line of this channel. The consistent downward slope of the Marlin oscillator's signal line suggests that this median line will likely be breached soon — possibly as early as today. A daily close below this line would open the path toward the lower boundary of the channel at 1.7365. If the price exits the channel altogether, the next downside target becomes the support area at 1.7246 — the May low. On the 4-hour (H4) chart and the daily chart, the pair is also declining below both the balance line and the MACD line. The price is…
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GBP/USD The British pound has settled below the support level of 1.3369. There is little remaining to reach the target level of 1.3253, which may be achieved today. A consolidation below this level will open the next target at 1.3140 — the low of August 1. The pound has no unclosed gap from the beginning of the week, unlike the euro, which allows it more freedom in its downward movement. On the four-hour chart, the price is slightly correcting from yesterday's low. The situation with the Marlin oscillator indicates that the correction will soon end, as the oscillator's signal line is about to encounter resistance from the forming line and the consolidation range. We are…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday, once again, without any clear fundamental basis. In previous articles, we've repeatedly pointed out the irrational nature of this ongoing trend. So, we won't repeat ourselves. If the euro currently has no strong reason to weaken, the pound has even fewer. At least in the eurozone this week, there has been a political crisis in France (which still hasn't developed into anything), and Germany's industrial production report printed a disappointing result. In our view, even these events don't justify a sharp euro decline, as the fundamentals should be continuously assessed holistically, not selectively bas…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued a mild downward movement throughout Thursday, still largely unfounded from a fundamental perspective. To recap, the U.S. dollar currently has far more new bearish factors than it has bullish ones. Yet, for nearly two weeks now, the market has been ignoring the overwhelmingly negative fundamental and macro backdrop for the dollar. The reason for this happening is difficult to explain. We believe there's no need to force an explanation for every single move. Who could have predicted two weeks ago that the dollar would rally against the backdrop of a government shutdown, disappointing labor data, and dovish comments from the Federal Reserv…
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair continued its steady decline on Thursday. Interestingly, the drop didn't start after Jerome Powell's speech — the only major event of the day — but rather in the morning. It's unlikely the market was still reacting to the French political crisis for the fourth day in a row. It's becoming clear — something in the market isn't right: either market makers are manipulating price to feign the start of a downtrend, or market sentiment toward Donald Trump's policies has shifted. Either way, the pound continues falling and the dollar continues to rise. Powell said nothing new or significant in his speech, but at this point, the ma…
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EUR/USD 5M Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair continued to decline throughout Thursday. Overall, even if we were to gather all possible factors that could support the U.S. dollar and ignore all the ones that oppose it, even then, such dollar strength would hardly be justified. The only significant event on Thursday was Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech. However, the dollar began to strengthen earlier in the day, which once again highlights the illogical nature of the current market behavior. Perhaps the market has completely changed its attitude toward Donald Trump's policies and now, for example, views them positively. But from our perspective, there shoul…
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Bitcoin price corrected gains and traded below the $124,000 level. BTC is now struggling and might continue to move down below $120,000. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $123,200 level. The price is trading below $123,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $122,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $120,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $125,000 zone and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below the $124,000 support to enter a short-term bearish zone. The bear…
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The Ripple XRP is quietly executing a mission of its own, transforming the global financial plumbing from the inside out. By moving beyond theory and into practical application, XRP technology is being adopted by banks, payment networks, and central institutions seeking faster and more efficient cross-border transfers. XRP As The Bridge Between Old And New Finance While most of the crypto world obsesses over price swings and short-term narratives, Ripple is quietly executing on something much larger: a structural rewrite of global finance. As Xfinancebul pointed out on X, XRP isn’t here to compete with other cryptocurrencies. It’s here to replace the old system that stil…
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The Ethereum Foundation has introduced a new Privacy Cluster dedicated to building out privacy features across the network. This shows a clear push to make privacy part of Ethereum’s foundation rather than a secondary concern. The cluster brings together 47 specialists, including engineers, researchers, cryptographers, and coordinators. It will be led by Igor Barinov, the founder of Blockscout, who has a long history within the Ethereum ecosystem. Working Side by Side with Other Teams Rather than operating as a silo, the Privacy Cluster will coordinate closely with other Foundation groups. One of its key partners will be the Institutional Privacy Task Force, which focu…
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Senator Cynthia Lummis is pushing a new proposal that aims to make spending Bitcoin as easy as swiping a debit card. Her plan introduces a de minimis tax exemption that would remove capital gains reporting for small Bitcoin transactions. By cutting out complicated tax steps, she hopes to make paying for coffee, groceries, or everyday services with Bitcoin far more practical. Breaking Down the Proposal The draft framework would exempt individual transactions under roughly 300 dollars from taxation, with a yearly cap of 5,000 dollars per person. That means people wouldn’t need to calculate capital gains every time they spend small amounts. There are limits, though. T…
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As the stablecoin sector sees global momentum grow, white label event management infrastructure provider Rhuna has raised $2 million in seed funding to expand stablecoin payments in the entertainment industry. Rhuna Raises $2 Million In Seed Round On Thursday, Romania-based infrastructure platform Rhuna announced the completion of a $2 million seed round, led by Aptos Labs, to continue providing on-chain payments, access, identity, and rewards infrastructure for the entertainment industry. The seed round saw the participation of Acc Ventures, X Ventures, NewTribe Capital, Keyrock, CoinarketCap Labs, FunFair, Lémanique, and other investors. Notably, Rhuna provides even…
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Ethereum is trading at critical levels after a period of heightened volatility that has left traders and investors on edge. The price has been swinging between key resistance and support zones, reflecting a market torn between optimism for another leg higher and caution over potential short-term corrections. While sentiment remains divided, on-chain data paints a more confident picture behind the scenes. According to recent reports, large holders and institutions continue to accumulate ETH, reinforcing the idea that the current market uncertainty may be viewed by many as an opportunity rather than a threat. At the same time, staking activity remains consistently strong,…
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XRP’s performance in the ongoing 2025 bull run has become one of the most discussed topics in crypto, as the token continues to challenge the dominance of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BNB. In a recent video shared on the social media platform X, crypto commentator Zach Rector described what he called the inconvenient truth of this market cycle: XRP is currently outperforming most of the top 50 cryptocurrencies in percentage growth since the last US presidential election and from the depths of the previous bear market. Ethereum, BNB, And Bitcoin’s Performance Rector began his comparison by pointing to Ethereum’s recovery trajectory. According to Ethereum’s price chart, invest…
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Solana (SOL) is flashing a powerful bullish setup as it forms a classic cup and handle pattern on the monthly chart. With the 1.618 Fibonacci target sitting near $425 and the monthly MACD gearing up for a golden cross, momentum is building fast. As speculation around a potential Solana ETF approval heats up, traders are eyeing what could be the start of a major breakout rally. Cup And Handle Formation Signals A Major Bullish Setup Lark Davis, a well-known crypto analyst, recently shared an optimistic outlook on SOL, highlighting a significant technical formation that could set the stage for a major rally. According to Davis, Solana is currently developing a classic cup a…
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Donald Trump took office for a second term in January 2025, promising to reduce the U.S. national debt, cut the budget deficit, address immigration issues, and revive American manufacturing. His campaign was powerful and full of grand promises — pledging a "Golden Age" for the American people. Nine months into his presidency, it's time to assess the early results. The U.S. economy is showing mixed signals. In the first quarter, U.S. GDP fell for the first time since 2022, but in the second quarter, it posted its strongest growth since 2023. In other words, it's too early to say definitively whether the U.S. economy under Trump is expanding or contracting. It's worth notin…
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As I've already mentioned this week, the biggest current intrigue lies with the U.S. Federal Reserve and the ongoing government shutdown. I don't believe that the political crisis in France is significant enough for market participants to continue reacting to it for another week or two. In my view, the shutdown is far more important because it, for instance, deprives the Fed of crucial data on inflation, unemployment, and the labor market for September. The shutdown also results in the partial suspension of government operations and delivers a blow to the economy. Many economists already forecast a slowdown in the U.S. economy in the coming years, despite a strong second …
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On Thursday, the Japanese yen continued to decline. Earlier this week, Japan's Finance Minister, Katsunobu Kato, emphasized that the government would closely monitor foreign exchange movements, underscoring the importance of exchange rates that reflect real economic fundamentals. At the same time, the unexpected victory of Sanae Takaichi in last Saturday's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership race paves the way for her potential appointment as Japan's first female prime minister. Her win also fuels speculation about a more expansionary fiscal approach under her leadership. In response, traders have priced in just a 26% probability that the BoJ will raise its key inte…
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The New Zealand dollar recently hit a six-month low against the U.S. dollar, sliding to 0.5731. The intraday decline was triggered by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) October monetary policy decision to cut the official cash rate by 50 basis points — a much more aggressive move than the widely anticipated 25-basis-point cut. So the actual result surprised market participants. Moreover, the central bank has made it clear that it is open to further steps to ease monetary policy. This "ultra-dovish" move took the market by surprise and reminded traders that the RBNZ is not afraid to act boldly when needed. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand really does know how to s…
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"Strong economies support strong currencies." This fundamental analysis principle remains valid. While tariffs and Donald Trump's hardline anti-immigration policies are expected to weigh on U.S. GDP in 2026, the "big and beautiful" tax cut legislation will only sugarcoat the damage. In contrast, Europe is set to benefit from rising defense spending and fiscal stimulus from Germany — factors supporting the ongoing uptrend in EUR/USD. That said, no trend exists without corrections. From 2022 to 2024, the U.S. dollar dominated the Forex market, driven by the exceptional performance of the American economy and stock indexes, which considerably outshone their European counterp…
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Bitcoin traded just above $121,000 on Wednesday, holding onto gains after a drop from a recent peak above $126,000. According to analyst Egrag Crypto, a small market move could trigger a much larger rally, building on a pattern he says has repeated across past cycles. Historic Channel Breakouts Egrag’s view is based on a three-month look at price channels that, he argues, have preceded major rallies. Based on reports, similar channel breakouts were visible before the 2013 surge to about $1,163, the 2017 rise past $19,000, and the 2020–2021 rally that pushed prices above $69,000. He says the current channel began forming in April 2022, and that a modest “blip” upward co…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 9th Now up above 2% on the week, many Markets and assets can't ignore the ongoing rally in the US Dollar. Between resilient consumers – with, for example, Airlines like Delta giving out strong future expectations – and the Trump Administration-engineered Middle East deal agreed by both parties now, the US is getting back on its feet. Indeed, some questions are arising in concern of the strength of the US Economy. Despite some job losses and tariffs, how is it that company earnings and retail sales are still growing so much ? Some very interesting pieces convey that US Equities at record highs and filthy …
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Despite consolidating around the $0.24 area for months now, a new technical analysis suggests that the Dogecoin price could be gearing up for another explosive move this cycle. A crypto analyst has identified a recurring rounded bottom pattern in DOGE’s historic price chart, suggesting a familiar setup that often precedes massive rallies. The analyst argues that a combination of technical structure and macroeconomic conditions could once again send Dogecoin flying. Macro Correlations Suggest Dogecoin Price Rally Ahead In an extensive analysis shared on X social media, crypto market analyst Osemka highlighted a recurring pattern of rounded bottom formations in Dogecoin’s…
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The US government shutdown, which began at midnight on October 6, shows no sign of ending soon — and many now expect it could at least become the second-longest in US history. Despite six Democratic attempts to pass a funding bill, the Senate has repeatedly rejected proposals to reopen the government. …
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart of EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent weeks it has taken on a more complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend section has been canceled, but a new decline in the euro will require adjustments. The upward trend construction continues, while the news background mostly supports not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations for the Fed rate are growing. The U.S. government shutdown is still in place. The market evaluates the first 7–8 months of Trump's presidency very poorly, even though econo…
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