Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Shutdown and its economic consequences A government shutdown has been declared in the United States due to the lack of a funding agreement, resulting in the closure of government institutions and potential mass layoffs. Economists warn of risks to the labor market and financial markets in this environment of uncertainty. Analysts note that a prolonged shutdown could negatively impact GDP growth in the fourth quarter. Additionally, it increases pressure on politicians, as investors demand quick solutions to stabilize the situation. Read more at the link. Index records and declining futuresThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq stock indices ended the quarter at new highs, but future…
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Trend Analysis In October, from the level of 1.3441 (closing of the September monthly candle), the price may begin moving upward with the target at 1.3990 – the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.3786 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (monthly chart). Indicator Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward.Comprehensive analysis conclusion: an upward trend is possible. Overall outcome for the GBP/USD monthly candle calculation: the price will most likely have an upwa…
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Early in the European session, gold is trading around 3,865, below the 21SMA, and within the uptrend channel formed on September 19. Gold reached a high at about 3,895. From this level, we have seen a series of technical corrections. So, the instrument is likely to continue its decline until reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,840. If gold consolidates above 3,870 in the coming hours, we could expect a resumption of the uptrend. Hence, the metal could reach 3,906 around +2/8 Murray. On the other hand, while the gold price is trading below 3,870, the outlook could be negative, and a technical correction is expected that could push the price to the Murray le…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, October 02, 2025] With the RSI in the Extreme-Bullish area and both EMAs showing a Golden Cross, #NDX today has the potential to rally toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 25064.1 2. Resistance. 1 : 24920.6 3. Pivot : 24663.9 4. Support. 1 : 24520.4 5. Support. 2 : 24263.7 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If #NDX breaks and closes above 24663.9, it could move toward 25064.1. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25,064.1 is successfully breached and closes above it, the Nasdaq 100 index could test the 25320.8 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if #NDX drops and c…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holder RVT has plummeted recently. Here’s what history suggests could happen next for BTC. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Value RVT Is Approaching Cycle Lows In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has shared the latest trend in the Bitcoin Realized Value RVT of the short-term holders. The Realized Value RVT is an oscillator that measures the ratio between the sum of profits and losses being realized by BTC investors, and the total transfer volume on the network. In simple terms, what the metric tells us about is whether holders are participating in a high or low amount of profit-taking/loss-taking compared to…
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Circle, the company behind the popular stablecoin $USDC, has just expanded its tokenized U.S. Treasury fund ($USYC) to the Solana Blockchain. Why is this a big deal? Solana’s known for its speed and low transaction costs, making it a perfect match for expanding $USYC’s reach. Previously available on Ethereum, Near, Base, and Canton, USYC is now live on Solana, with BNB Chain integration planned next. $USYC is basically a tokenized slice of a short-term US government money market fund. With a market value of over $635M, up 13% from last month, it’s making a splash in the world of crypto finance. While we’re talking about making a splash, it’d be remiss not to mention …
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Trade breakdown and guidance on trading the Japanese yen The test of the 147.04 price level in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 146.66. Today's U.S. session is rich in macroeconomic reports that are the focus of investors seeking a clearer understanding of both the labor market and manufacturing. Particular attention will be given to the release of weekly initial jobless claims. Traders will carefully compare actual data with forecasts to assess the labor market's resilience and si…
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NexGen Energy (TSX: NXE; NYSE: NXE; ASX: NXG) has secured firm commitments for nearly C$800 million ($600 million) through a dual-market equity raising to fund construction of its flagship Rook I uranium project in Saskatchewan’s Athabasca Basin. The developer announced Wednesday that it had entered into two separate underwriting agreements — one in North America and another in Australia — that will collectively raise C$800 million at C$12.08 per share. Under the Canadian tranche, a syndicate of underwriters led by Merrill Lynch Canada will acquire 33.1 million shares on a bought-deal basis, generating about C$400 million in gross proceeds. In Australia, Aitke…
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With crypto staking gaining mainstream traction, asset managers are exploring ways to package staking rewards into regulated investment products like exchange-traded funds (ETFs). But not all blockchains are suited for the job. Bitwise CEO, Hunter Horsley, appearing at the Singapore Token2049 event, agreed with that sentiment and opined that Solana .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Solana SOL $225.15 2.02% Solana SOL Price $225.15 …
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EUR/USD On Thursday, for the fourth time since Monday, the pair attempted to rise but were pushed back down. This time, the pressure was stronger, with the lower shadow piercing both indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator has moved into negative territory. For the target level of 1.1605 to open, the price must consolidate below the MACD line (1.1700). Even if today's daily candle closes under it, such confirmation won't come until later. Despite mounting pressure on the euro, an upward move remains possible, as the price is still technically above the indicator lines. Sideways movement and uncertainty continue. On the H4 chart, the price continues to fluctuate between t…
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The U.S. dollar strengthened amid the absence of labor market statistics. Concerns that the government shutdown and suspension of federal operations would delay the release of key fundamental data have been confirmed. Yesterday, the weekly jobless claims report was not published, and today we are unlikely to see unemployment and nonfarm payrolls figures for September. This delay undoubtedly adds extra uncertainty to financial markets. Investors and analysts are deprived of timely labor market information, which is critical for assessing the current state of the economy and forecasting its future trajectory. Normally, these data are used for investment decisions and strate…
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US indices are onto another intense session, with the Dow Jones crossing the 47,000 mark and breaking through its long-watched ascending wedge pattern. Some profit-taking has now concluded and overall, the picture in US Equities is green in today's session. …
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Today, gold is attracting buyers again, while the dollar has shown weakness during the day despite positive PMI data.On Tuesday, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that a government shutdown could inflict more significant damage on the economy than previously thought, weighing on GDP, economic growth, and the labor market. However, traders remain optimistic, expecting the effects of a partial shutdown to be limited. This optimism fueled new record highs on Wall Street and continues to support positive sentiment in the stock markets. This acts as an additional factor reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, although a large-scale corrective decline has not…
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Week in review A week that seemed like it might be a busy one from a data perspective did not deliver. Markets were braced for US jobs numbers and the NFP report which never arrived after the US congress failed to agree on funding. This led to a Government shutdown, something which occurred during the first Trump administration as well. Since the official government jobs report was delayed, some people turned to the ADP employment estimate instead, a report that measures only private-sector jobs. This report, which is sometimes unreliable compared to the official data, was quite negative this week. It showed that the US private sector lost 32,000 jobs in September. …
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Samsung is building on its partnership with Coinbase, giving Galaxy smartphone users in the U.S. a way to buy crypto straight from the Samsung Wallet app. Instead of switching between apps or logging in somewhere else, users will now be able to handle everything from inside their Wallet. The goal is to make crypto feel like just another part of your phone. What the Integration Means for Users Once this goes live, anyone in the U.S. using a Galaxy device will get access to Coinbase One directly through Samsung Wallet. That opens up the ability to trade, stake, and keep an eye on crypto balances right alongside things like digital payments and saved passwords. If you …
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Ethereum (ETH) has been on an uptrend since September 28, surging from around $3,800 to the mid $4,000 range at the time of writing. According to recent data from Binance, ETH went through a “reset” during the second half of September and early October, and may now be eyeing the $5,000 price level. Ethereum Reset Over, New Highs Soon? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, ETH underwent a healthy reset over the past few weeks. While the digital asset initially dropped to $3,800 – $3,900 range, it is now trading in the mid $4,000 level. At the same time, ETH’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) remained volatile around 1.0, with multiple spik…
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As the market recovers, Bitcoin (BTC) is kicking off the weekend on a positive note by reclaiming another crucial support level. Some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a new price discovery rally, which could start sooner than expected. Bitcoin Eyes Third Price Discovery Uptrend On Friday, Bitcoin jumped nearly 3% to hit a two-month high of $123,894. The flagship crypto has seen a massive recovery from last week’s correction, surging 14% from the local lows. Earlier this week, BTC reclaimed the $115,000-$117,000 area, which served as a key support zone during the early Q3 rally, before surging to the crucial $120,000 barrier on Thursday.…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rose to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3482, bounced off it, turned in favor of the dollar, fell to the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425, and rebounded from it. Thus, today the growth process may resume toward the 1.3482 level. A consolidation of the pair below 1.3425 would allow us to expect a further decline toward the support level at 1.3332–1.3357, from where the bulls' last ascent began. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, and the last upward wave did not break the previous high. The news background over the past week was negative for the U.S. dollar…
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Bitcoin’s wonderful rally to a new all-time high of $125,700 on Sunday was met almost immediately by a sharp correction. This sudden pullback, which is expected given the all-time high, saw Bitcoin break below $123,000 in less than two hours after the new record. Interestingly, on-chain data shows a notable increase in whale activity during and after the all-time high to and from exchanges. One such example is a massive $200 million Bitcoin transfer into Binance, a move that appears to have been a calculated profit-taking action by a whale address. Whale Profit-Taking Contributes To Selling Pressure Shortly after Bitcoin hit its record high, blockchain data first revea…
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B2Gold’s (TSX: BTO, NYSE-A: BTG) Goose mine, part of the Back River Gold District in Nunavut, has officially reached commercial production three months after making its first pour. Shares surged. Commenting on the milestone, CEO Clive Johnson said: “The Goose mine will be a cornerstone of B2Gold’s production base and demonstrates the strength of our construction and operating teams worldwide.” According to the Vancouver-based gold miner, it declared commercial production at Goose following an internal commercial production measure of 30 consecutive days of mill throughput averaging 65% or greater, based on a design capacity of 4,000 tonnes per day (t/d). From …
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The US government has shot down reports that it is considering buying a stake in Critical Metals (NASDAQ: CRML), the company developing one of the world’s largest rare earth resources in Greenland. The Trump administration is not currently considering a deal that would see it take a stake in Critical Metals, a White House official stated on Monday, as first reported by Bloomberg. On Friday, Reuters reported that Washington had been in talks over an equity investment in the New York-based company while it was completing a deal to buy a 5% stake in Lithium Americas (TSX, NYSE: LAC), developer of a large lithium project in Nevada. That report, together with Criti…
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BNB .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } BNB BNB $1,222.14 4.52% BNB BNB Price $1,222.14 4.52% /24h Volume in 24h $4.38B Price 7d Some people like Ash are noticing. And it begs the question: Is BNB a good buy now? How much further can price rally? Before continuing, please catch up with last month’s article here. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coi…
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Trade Analysis and USD/JPY Trading TipsThe price test at 150.26 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move down from the zero line, confirming it as a valid entry point for selling the dollar. This signal led to a drop in the pair of over 40 points. A moderate decline in the dollar occurred yesterday afternoon following yet another failed round of budget talks between Republicans and Democrats, which resulted in an extended government shutdown. As is commonly known, a shutdown erodes confidence in the U.S. economy. Moreover, the shutdown has a direct impact on the flow of economic data. When government agencies cease operations, it causes delays in reports …
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US stock indices ended the session mixed amid rising gold and cryptocurrency pricesThe S&P 500 rose 0.36%, the Nasdaq 100 added 0.41%, while the Dow Jones declined by 0.14%. Demand for gold reached a new record amid ongoing political crises, and Bitcoin also showed significant growth. Analysts note that the rise in safe-haven assets points to continued investor caution, particularly given the high valuations of equities. Read more at the link. Stock market remains resilient despite risksThe stock market continues to show strength despite headwinds such as overvalued assets and trade tariffs. The S&P 500 has hit 32 record highs this year, driven by developments …
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The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. On Monday, the pair dropped impulsively to the mid-1.16 range but failed to break through the key support level at 1.1650, which corresponds to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. The trading day ended at 1.1711, and on Tuesday, sellers tried to hold the pair within the 1.16 zone, driven by broad U.S. dollar strength and waning euro demand. With little to focus on in the economic calendar, traders have turned their attention to political and geopolitical news — particularly developments in France and the U.S. shutdown. The unexpected resignation of Fran…
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