Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12218 tópicos neste fórum
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 9th Now up above 2% on the week, many Markets and assets can't ignore the ongoing rally in the US Dollar. Between resilient consumers – with, for example, Airlines like Delta giving out strong future expectations – and the Trump Administration-engineered Middle East deal agreed by both parties now, the US is getting back on its feet. Indeed, some questions are arising in concern of the strength of the US Economy. Despite some job losses and tariffs, how is it that company earnings and retail sales are still growing so much ? Some very interesting pieces convey that US Equities at record highs and filthy …
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Despite consolidating around the $0.24 area for months now, a new technical analysis suggests that the Dogecoin price could be gearing up for another explosive move this cycle. A crypto analyst has identified a recurring rounded bottom pattern in DOGE’s historic price chart, suggesting a familiar setup that often precedes massive rallies. The analyst argues that a combination of technical structure and macroeconomic conditions could once again send Dogecoin flying. Macro Correlations Suggest Dogecoin Price Rally Ahead In an extensive analysis shared on X social media, crypto market analyst Osemka highlighted a recurring pattern of rounded bottom formations in Dogecoin’s…
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The US government shutdown, which began at midnight on October 6, shows no sign of ending soon — and many now expect it could at least become the second-longest in US history. Despite six Democratic attempts to pass a funding bill, the Senate has repeatedly rejected proposals to reopen the government. …
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart of EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent weeks it has taken on a more complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend section has been canceled, but a new decline in the euro will require adjustments. The upward trend construction continues, while the news background mostly supports not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations for the Fed rate are growing. The U.S. government shutdown is still in place. The market evaluates the first 7–8 months of Trump's presidency very poorly, even though econo…
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For GBP/USD, the wave pattern still indicates the construction of an upward wave structure, but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form. The pound has dropped too sharply of late, so the trend section beginning on August 1 now looks unclear. The first thing that comes to mind is the complication of the supposed wave 4, which may take on a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also consisting of three waves. In this case, a decline of the instrument toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels should be expected. However, if this assumption is correct, then the euro will also decline, and therefore its wave structure will also undergo certain changes. At pres…
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The Bitcoin price rise is not going to slowing down, according to market expert Anthony Pompliano. The well-known investor and founder of Professional Capital Management believes the top cryptocurrency still has a long way to go. In a recent video post on X, Pompliano revealed that Bitcoin’s value will continue to grow as long as governments and central banks continue to print more money. Anthony Pompliano Links Bitcoin Price Endless Rise To Global Money Printing During an interview with CNBC, Pompliano said Bitcoin’s rally is far from over. According to him, when more money enters the system, the value of paper currencies decreases, and people begin seeking more effect…
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Executive summary: Your required minimum distribution (RMD) equals last year’s December 31 account balance divided by an IRS life-expectancy factor. The real skill is picking the correct factor, applying the rules for each account type, and timing withdrawals to limit taxes and Medicare surcharges. This guide shows you how to calculate RMD accurately, avoid common mistakes, and use smart tactics (including options for gold IRAs) so you can withdraw with confidence. How to Calculate RMD in Five Clear Steps Step 1: Confirm that an RMD applies this year For most people, RMDs start in the year you turn 73 (born 1951–1959). The starting age rises to 75 for those who reach age…
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Trade analysis and advice for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 152.75 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for buying the dollar in continuation of the bullish market. As a result, the pair rose by 35 points. The Japanese yen may lose even more ground against the dollar after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech — especially in light of the lack of any important U.S. fundamental statistics. In the absence of macroeconomic data, market participants' full attention will be on the speeches of U.S. central bank officials. Analysts agree that any hints about keeping…
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Trade analysis and advice for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3399 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a decline toward the target level of 1.3362. The pound's latest drop confirms its position in a deep bearish market, marked by yet another update of the weekly low. Investors and traders are cautiously watching developments, trying to determine where the bottom lies and when at least some recovery might begin. Economic factors such as inflation, high interest rates, and slowing growth continue to pressure the British curren…
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Trade analysis and advice for trading the European currency The price test of 1.1633 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero mark, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined toward the 1.1604 level, allowing for about 30 points of profit. Despite favorable statistics showing an increase in Germany's trade balance surplus, pressure on the euro persists. The European currency continues to be influenced by a set of unfavorable factors. In particular, investors are concerned about a potential slowdown in eurozone economic growth, the uncertainty surrounding the European Central…
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Crypto chartist Dark Defender says XRP’s current monthly structure has flipped back to the same high-momentum regime that preceded its 2017–2018 vertical run, arguing that a fresh impulsive wave is underway after last year’s breakout. In a detailed thread accompanying a multi-year monthly chart, the analyst urged followers to segment XRP’s history into “Left – Middle – Right,” contrasting a 2017 impulsive setup, a 2021 corrective detour, and what he calls today’s renewed continuation phase. XRP Is Repeating 2017 On the left side of the chart, Dark Defender highlights the 2017 template: candles closing above prior highs, price holding above Ichimoku Cloud support, elevate…
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Today, Thursday, gold continues to consolidate, although it holds above the key level of $4000 thanks to mixed fundamental data. The agreement reached between Israel and Hamas on launching the first stage of a peace plan reduces geopolitical tensions and prompts investors to lock in profits on the safe-haven asset — the precious metal, which still appears overbought. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is strengthening its weekly gains, reaching new highs since early August, which further weakens the momentum of this precious metal. Nevertheless, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve still provide some support to vulnerable gold, helping to limit its decline. In addi…
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Silver reached the $50-an-ounce level for the first time in decades on Thursday as surging demand for safe-haven assets led to a squeeze on the already-tightened London bullion market. Spot silver traded as high as $51.23 per ounce, the highest since a notorious squeeze orchestrated by the billionaire Hunt brothers in 1980, as investors continued to pile into precious metals. Click on chart for live prices. This takes silver’s year-to-date gains to nearly 70%, even surpassing that of gold, which scaled record highs 40 times in 2025 and recently hit the $4,000-an-ounce milestone. The precious metals rally comes amid rising demand for haven assets sparked by U…
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First Majestic Silver (TSX, NYSE: AG) said total production rose 39% in the third quarter as the Canadian miner churned out the most silver in its history. Shares hit their highest intraday level in more than four years before retreating. Total production of 7.7 million attributable silver-equivalent oz. in the July-September period included a record 3.9 million oz. silver, 35,681 oz. gold, 13.9 million lb. zinc and 7.7 million lb. lead, Vancouver-based First Majestic said late Wednesday. This compares with 5.5 million silver-equivalent oz. in the same period a year ago. Driving the record quarterly silver output was attributable production of 1.4 million oz. at L…
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Crypto analyst PlanB has explained why the Bitcoin price may never drop below $100,000 again. This comes as market participants continue to speculate on whether the flagship crypto could fall below this psychological level if a full-blown bear market were to occur. Bitcoin Price Has Likely Turned $100,000 Into Support PlanB stated in an X post that he will not be surprised if the Bitcoin price does not drop below $100,000 again as the market witnesses the $100,000 resistance turn into $100,000 support. The analyst further noted that the September close was the fifth consecutive monthly close above that psychological price level. PlanB stated that the same thing happe…
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In the formative decades of the United States Mint, every coin struck carried more than face value — it carried a story. The 1853-O Seated Liberty Half Dollar, particularly the “Arrows and Rays” variety, stands as one of the most fascinating artifacts of mid-19th century American coinage. It tells a story of economic adaptation, artistic refinement, and the evolving identity of a growing nation. A Glimpse Into the Mid-19th Century Mint By 1853, the U.S. Mint was confronting challenges brought about by shifting metal values and the growing demands of commerce. Silver coins, long a foundation of everyday trade, had begun to vanish from circulation as their melt value excee…
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In the formative decades of the United States Mint, every coin struck carried more than face value — it carried a story. The 1853-O Seated Liberty Half Dollar, particularly the “Arrows and Rays” variety, stands as one of the most fascinating artifacts of mid-19th century American coinage. It tells a story of economic adaptation, artistic refinement, and the evolving identity of a growing nation. A Glimpse Into the Mid-19th Century Mint By 1853, the U.S. Mint was confronting challenges brought about by shifting metal values and the growing demands of commerce. Silver coins, long a foundation of everyday trade, had begun to vanish from circulation as their melt value excee…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Is the Bank of Japan Truly Independent? In Japan in the mean time… One key theme in 2025 has been a weaker USDJPY, driven by diverging monetary policy paths. While the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has been preparing to raise interest rates, other major central banks, most notably the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) are shifting toward rate cuts. USDJPY Daily Chart However, recent political developments in Japan are reshaping market expectations. The soon-to-be Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, a proponent of Abenomics, has signaled a potentially more cautious stance on monetary tightening. According to a Newsquawk.com report: Advisor to Japan’s new LDP leader Takaichi, Honda,…
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The uranium market has momentum on its side as it looks to end 2025 on a strong note, with several catalysts lined up to fuel a sector seen as critical for the future of energy, says Sprott. In a report released on Thursday, the firm listed three key developments that could lift uranium even further, namely the US government’s critical minerals policy, accelerating demand for the nuclear fuel, and concerns surrounding supply. In the first case, Sprott analysts led by Jacob White pointed to the Trump administration’s intent to stockpile more uranium to alleviate the persistent supply gap for US utilities and the country’s heavy reliance on foreign supply, in partic…
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Equities have enjoyed a remarkable run, with major indices pushing to fresh highs — from last Friday’s Dow peak above the 47,000 milestone to yesterday’s record closes in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Since June–July 2025, following the end of the 12-day Israel–Iran conflict, markets have been ecstatic, printing new all-time highs almost every week. Yet, beneath the surface, some divergences are starting to show. The S&P 500 now stands 9.5% above its January 2025 high, the Nasdaq is up 12.5%, but the Dow Jones has gained only 3.6% — a notable gap that hints at sectoral imbalance. A weekly look at US Indices …
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The latest FOMC news signals a clear dovish tilt among U.S. Federal Reserve officials, with the newly released minutes showing that additional rate cuts are likely before the end of the year. Most participants judged that it would be “appropriate to ease policy further over the remainder of 2025,” marking a notable shift from the cautious tone that dominated much of the year. While the central bank remains officially committed to its 2% inflation target, the tone of the September meeting minutes suggests the Fed is becoming more concerned about slowing employment than lingering inflation. The first rate cut in September—by 25 basis points—was driven by signs of a softeni…
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The Dow Jones Index is on the back foot today continuing its bearish trend this week which started with Monday's retreat from the recent highs. The lack of US data due to the US government shutdown has left markets with few catalysts to look forward to. A host of Federal Reserve policymakers including Fed Chair Powell have also done little to inspire any volatility this week. Looking at the current Fear and Greed index, and it is hovering in neutral territory as well. …
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The New Zealand Dollar has been under heavy pressure in recent weeks, weighed down by a string of disappointing economic data, including a sharp GDP contraction that surprised markets and pushed the RBNZ toward a more dovish stance. But markets often move in unexpected ways. Despite the policy decision being split between a 25 bps and 50 bps cut, and the RBNZ ultimately choosing the larger move, NZD/USD didn’t tumble as far as expected. In fact, buyers stepped in, bringing the pair back to nearly unchanged levels by the close of yesterday's session. …
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While Bitcoin and Ethereum are trying to cope with the mild pressure they faced earlier this week, institutional and corporate accumulation of Ethereum has reached a major milestone: companies and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) now collectively hold more than 10% of the total supply. According to StrategicETHReserve, total institutional holdings have grown to 12.48 million ETH, accounting for 10.31% of Ethereum's circulating supply. Specifically, corporate entities accumulating Ethereum collectively hold around 5.66 million ETH, or 4.68% of total supply. Meanwhile, spot Ethereum ETFs now own roughly 6.81 million ETH, representing 5.63% of the total. This trend not only…
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Binance Japan has teamed up with PayPay to make it easier for people in the country to use crypto for everyday cashless payments. The partnership was announced on 9 October 2025 and aims to build new services that connect digital assets with PayPay’s payment network, offering users a smoother payment experience. “By integrating cashless payments and cryptocurrency, we will deliver a seamless financial experience to everyone in Japan.” For those who don’t know, PayPay is a joint venture between SoftBank Group and Yahoo Japan. It offers QR code and barcode-based payment services through a smartphone app, allowing users to link their bank accounts or credit cards and make…
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