Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The dollar has stabilized ahead of the release of important US inflation data, starting today with the producer price inflation (PPI) report, and to be followed tomorrow by consumer inflation figures (CPI). How might these affect the dollar and the financial markets overall? Recall that the market already has well-founded expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in response to the extremely challenging situation in the labor market. It is assumed that the key rate will be cut by 0.25% as a matter of course, but there remains a significant probability—currently at 8%—of a 0.50% cut. For the most part, a 0.25% cut is already priced into the value of US …
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BTC ▲0.49% kicked off the day trading just above $112,000, with ETH ▲0.73% crossing $4,300. In addition to price action, news on the SEC has triggered discussion on privacy and how it will affect crypto. A change in regulatory tone is taking shape, and markets are now paying attention. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.24T24h7d30d1yAll time There has been news on chatter around the SEC lately, especially with signs that crypto regulators potentially can ease up on privacy-related issues, something many in the space have been hoping for. With altcoins like SOL ▲1.23% rallying, the optimism seems to be spreading for altcoins season. (source – SOL/USD TradingView) DISCOVER: Ne…
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Only the euro was traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. I did not trade anything with Momentum. Italian industrial data provided some encouragement, allowing euro buyers to maintain a leading position. This positive impulse from Italy somewhat eased concerns about difficulties in the industrial sector. However, one should not forget that Italy's economic problems have not disappeared. Success in the manufacturing sector is a good sign, but it is not enough on its own to fundamentally change the situation. In the second half of the day, data is expected on the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for August, the core Producer Price Index excluding food and energy pric…
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GBPUSD rallied after US CPI data all but confirmed a rate cut next week. At least that is the view of market participants who actually priced in as much as 75 bps of cuts through December 2025, according to futures pricing. For more on the US CPI release, please read A hesistant FX Market after the as-expected September CPI release – Technical levels US data had been the talking point heading into the week, and now with CPI and PPI behind us focus may begin to turn to UK GDP data due out tomorrow. …
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A loose but growing push is under way in the XRP community to build what some people call an “XRP firewall” — a set of tools and checks meant to block scams on the XRPL. Vet, one of the dUNL validators on the XRP Ledger, has hinted at a big update that could change the fight against scams on XRPL. The feature, known as the XLS-86 Firewall, is still in development but is being described as a possible endgame for fraudsters. In a recent post, Vet said the amendment would act as a safeguard to stop losses of XRP, tokens, and NFTs when activated. If approved and rolled out, it could give users a much stronger line of defense against common traps that have cost the commun…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are a lot of macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, which is rather unusual. In Germany, a second, relatively minor estimate for August inflation will be released. In the UK, there will be low-importance monthly reports on GDP and industrial production. In the US, there's the not-so-important University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. In all cases, significant market reaction is only possible if there is a serious deviation from forecasted values. Fundamental Events Analysis: There is nothing notable among fundamental events for Friday. The ECB meeting was just yesterday, so the market has already absorbed all nece…
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For now, Bitcoin continues to react positively to US inflation data, preparing to enter a new bull cycle. However, one of the key crypto exchanges published a report yesterday warning that the BTC market has matured significantly—meaning the times of easy money for corporate buyers of BTC and other altcoins are over. The report notes that simply copying the BTC strategy of companies like Strategy is no longer enough to secure high returns on BTC investments. While it's positive that more and more such firms are entering the market, the odds of seeing huge price swings are becoming less realistic. The report emphasizes that institutional investors now conduct much more t…
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An expert crypto trader shares a strong view on Dogecoin and the broader market, saying conditions look very favorable right now. In their view, momentum is building for the Dogecoin price, and this is not a trend that traders should ignore. The trader warns that the current chart is one “you don’t want to fade.” Dogecoin ETF Launch In The U.S. Market Boosts Dogecoin Price The first reason the trader gives for their optimism is the imminent launch of the first Dogecoin Exchange-Traded Fund in the United States. The Dogecoin ETF goes live on September 11, 2025. By having an ETF in the U.S., the memecoin is gaining new legitimacy and stronger recognition from traditional i…
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The U.S. dollar continues to face problems, and the key question remains: how much more will it lose before the Federal Reserve meeting, and how much after. The main issue for investors this week is whether Fed officials will push back against market expectations of a series of rate cuts, which many economists believe could last into next year. Clearly, the Fed's decision on Wednesday will set the tone for global markets, including currencies, but it is not the only important event on the calendar. The Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are also set to announce their monetary policy decisions. The spotlight will undoubtedly be on Fed Chair Jerome …
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EUR/USD Brief analysis: The direction of price movement for the euro since the end of July this year has been defined by an upward wave. The wave level corresponds to the daily timeframe. At the end of August, quotes reached the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. In recent weeks, the price has been in correction. Weekly forecast: In the first days of the coming week, the most likely scenario is sideways movement of the euro along resistance boundaries. Toward the weekend, volatility may increase, with a potential reversal and the beginning of a decline toward support levels. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 1.1760/1.1810Support: 1.1600/1.1550Recomm…
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Nasdaq-listed firm Helius Medical Technologies Inc. unveiled the launch of a $500 million Solana-focused Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) backed by Pantera Capital and Summer Capital. Helius Reveals Solana Treasury Strategy On Monday, Helius Medical Technologies, a neurotech company in the medical device field, announced an oversubscribed private investment in public equity (PIPE) offering of common stock to launch a new Solana treasury strategy. The offering, led by Pantera Capital and Summer Capital, is estimated to raise $500 million and an additional $750 million in stapled warrants to purchase shares of common stock, assuming full exercise. Additionally, Big Brain Ho…
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Crypto markets enter a decisive week as investors brace for the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting on September 17, where a 25bps rate cut is widely expected. Bitcoin has already shown choppy price action, briefly slipping below $115K before regaining support, while traders eye potential volatility around the Fed’s decision. Attention is also shifting to Coinbase’s Base network after Jesse Pollak hinted at the possibility of launching a native token and a possible airdrop. With Bitcoin consolidating and new opportunities emerging, investors are asking which altcoins might be the best to buy right now. EXPLORE: Coinbase Is Thinking About a Token for Base Network Bitcoin BTC …
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Overview: The US dollar is trading with a softer bias against nearly all the G10 currencies. Yesterday's losses have been extended. The exception is the Norwegian krone, which is hovering around unchanged levels. The greenback is softer against most emerging market currencies. Despite Britain and France sending aircraft to help protect Polish airspace after more drone incursions, and Warsaw denying China's request to re-open the border with Belarus (a key conduit for Chinese goods into Europe), central European currencies, including the zloty are firmer. The Chinese yuan is at a new high for the year. After new record highs by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq yesterday, most b…
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The euro and the pound continued their active rise today, making the Momentum strategy work very well. I did not trade using the Mean Reversion strategy. A sharp increase in euro area business sentiment led to another strengthening of the euro against the U.S. dollar, followed by gains in the British pound. Investors welcomed the data, which indicated a recovery in industrial production and the services sector, easing fears of a possible recession in the region. Confidence in the European economy is also supported by other factors. In particular, inflation is slowing, albeit at a slower pace than previously expected. The European Central Bank continues to maintain a loose…
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The crypto world just got some rare good news. After years of fighting, Gemini and the SEC have finally agreed to settle their dispute over the Gemini Earn lending program. The deal isn’t final yet, but it already shows a softer tone from regulators. For investors, it’s a sign that crypto projects might get more breathing room as the industry matures. Add Gemini’s successful IPO to the mix and you have a new narrative: crypto isn’t going anywhere, it’s getting stronger. And that leaves one big question on the table. What’s the next crypto to explode as Gemini and SEC make peace? Let’s dive into three new crypto projects that could be the next to explode. The Gemini-SE…
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Uranium.io has launched what it calls the world’s first live uranium spot pricing oracle, aiming to inject long-missing transparency into a market that has operated largely in the shadows. The proprietary feed, available at price.uranium.io, updates every 60 seconds and delivers near real-time spot price estimates by aggregating multiple market inputs and applying advanced algorithms. Unlike other commodities with transparent benchmarks, uranium has long relied on opaque, over-the-counter trades and delayed reporting. The new oracle seeks to close that gap by offering continuous, market-reflective pricing. “Price discovery for uranium isn’t just happening in t…
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A new meme coin from China, Pudgy Pandas ($PANDA), raised over $300K in one day on presale, gaining significant attention in the Asian crypto market via social platforms like WeChat. With a real-world cause (#FreeThePandas campaign) fuelling its momentum, this new meme coin on presale proves there’s room for more at the party Pudgy Pandas challenges the Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU) franchise, which has dominated the year so far with a market cap of over $2B. Speaking of, the $PENGU ETF with the SEC, as well as the $DOGE ETF, signal the rise of meme coins as serious investment products. That, combined with the growing buzz around projects like Pudgy Pandas, and Pudgy Pengui…
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The British pound is unchanged on Wednesday, trading at 1.3645 in the European sesison. UK inflation remains entrenched Today's inflation report was a dour reminder that UK inflation remains entrenched. CPI for August was unchanged at 3.8% y/y, matching the consensus and its highest level since January 2024. Airfares decreased but this was offset by food and petrol prices. Monthly, CPI rose 0.3%, up from 0.1% in July and matching the consensus. Core CPI, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, eased to 3.6% from 3.8%. Monthly, core CPI ticked up to 0.3% from 0.2%. The inflation report comes just a day before the Bank of England announces its rate deci…
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EUR/USD Following yesterday's Federal Reserve meeting, the rate was cut by the expected 0.25%. However, neither FOMC members nor Jerome Powell himself showed a hawkish stance, which is why the U.S. Dollar Index strengthened by only 0.38% — a modest reaction for such an event. The dot plot indicated the intention to cut rates two more times before year-end. In his remarks, Powell even slightly downplayed the inflationary risks stemming from Trump's tariffs, while the Fed raised its PCE forecast for next year from 2.4% y/y to 2.6% y/y. Indirectly, these steps smooth out the tension in the confrontation with Trump. We allow for a scenario in which inflation picks up again be…
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On-chain data shows the Dogecoin whales have gone on a notable selling spree recently, potentially explaining the decline DOGE has seen since its $0.307 high. Dogecoin Whales Have Reduced Holdings By 680 Million Tokens In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed about the latest trend in the Supply Distribution of the Dogecoin whales. The “Supply Distribution” here refers to an indicator from on-chain analytics firm Santiment that tells us about the total amount of the DOGE supply that a given wallet group is holding right now. Investors or addresses are divided into these cohorts based on the number of coins that they are currently carrying. For example, a …
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Following the Federal Reserve's recent meeting, Bitcoin remained stable, while several altcoins responded with notable gains. Tensions surrounding the key interest rate persist, largely driven by forecasts about the near-term outlook for the US economy. After the Fed's decision, Bitcoin held its ground and on Thursday, September 18, climbed to $117,300. Meanwhile, other digital assets like Ethereum, Dogecoin, Solana, and XRP showed strong upward momentum. Notably, ETFs based on XRP and Dogecoin sparked avid investor interest in the US. The Fed's interest rate cut has revived hopes for a new crypto rally, which some analysts believe could be the largest since the bull ma…
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Zeus Network is positioning itself at the heart of cross-chain innovation by linking Bitcoin’s unmatched security with Solana’s high-speed infrastructure. If successful, Zeus Network could become a cornerstone of cross-chain adoption, reshaping how value flows between blockchains in the ecosystem. Unlocking New Use Cases For Bitcoin In Solana DeFi Zeus Network is stepping into the spotlight as the project is designed to connect Bitcoin and Solana into one seamless ecosystem, the two most powerful blockchains in the crypto space. SkyeOps, in a post on X, has highlighted the core of Zeus Network’s technology, a decentralized permissionless communication layer that enables …
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An analyst has pointed out how a 78% price move could be coming for Pepe based on a technical analysis (TA) pattern forming in its daily chart. PEPE Is Approaching The End Of A Symmetrical Triangle In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a TA pattern forming in the 1-day price of Pepe. The pattern in question is a “Symmetrical Triangle,” which forms when an asset observes consolidation between two trendlines approaching each other at a roughly equal and opposite slope. The upper line of the pattern acts as a resistance barrier, while the lower one provides support. Together, they make it so that the price remains stuck in the channel between them, and since …
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The EUR/USD currency pair calmly and effortlessly returned to its original levels on Thursday, where it stood before the Fed's meeting results were announced. This is precisely what we warned about in previous articles: it often happens that the pair rockets in one direction, then the other, and then simply returns to where it began. As we can see, that's precisely what happened. That's why we urged against rushing to conclusions or making trade decisions during the Fed meeting. This event is quite deceptive, as many traders begin to trade impulsively and emotionally, so there's no logic in such movements. For example, overall, you could say the dollar strengthened after …
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Ethereum steadied on Thursday after the Federal Reserve trimmed rates and co-founder Vitalik Buterin addressed growing concerns over staking withdrawals. ETH traded near $4,618, holding a narrow band between $4,434 and $4,646 through the US session. The Fed’s 25-basis-point cut set the macro backdrop. Markets initially slipped as investors weighed the slower pace of easing, but later recovered. Bitcoin hovered around $117,700, while Ethereum kept to its range. Buterin’s remarks aimed to calm unease over the network’s staking exit queue. He argued that withdrawal delays are intentional safeguards, comparing instant exits to “a soldier deciding to quit the army.” Predicta…
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