Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1641 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the market may begin moving upward toward 1.1689 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward movement of the price is possible with a target of 1.1685 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upFibonacci levels – upVolumes – upCandlestick analysis – upTrend analysis – upBollinger Bands – upWeekly chart – upOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1641 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the price may begin moving upwa…
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The POL price debate is entering a new chapter as analysts question whether Polygon’s long-anticipated “stablecoin supercycle” could be the catalyst that reverses its sluggish market performance. With stablecoin adoption exploding across banks, fintech platforms, sovereign issuers, and commerce networks, Polygon finds itself positioned at the center of a trillion-dollar transformation. The question now is simple: can this supercycle drive enough demand, liquidity, and real-world utility to reignite POL’s long-term value? Early signals suggest that the answer may depend on how fast (and how widely) global institutions issue tokenized money over the following years. …
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The Solana price prediction narrative is heating up again as traders wait for the upcoming FOMC meeting, betting it could be the spark that sends SOL USD back to $200. With Solana defending the key $130 support level, momentum indicators turning bullish, and macro liquidity potentially returning to the market. With that, the Solana crypto setup looks stronger than at any point since mid-2024. Add in Solana’s growing adoption, institutional inflows, and cultural meme moments pushing retail sentiment, and suddenly the path to $200 doesn’t look so far-fetched. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d …
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Several factors are driving today’s price movements but the sentiment is still very cautious. Analysts at 10x Research highlight that Bitcoin’s current trading range may break soon, with market structure lacking support despite positive macro signals. This view comes as .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px so…
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According to former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes, battles over the US debt ceiling create clear cash swings that move markets. When the Treasury spends down its main checking account — the Treasury General Account, or TGA — new dollars enter the system and lift risky assets. Later, when the Treasury refills the TGA by selling debt, cash is pulled back out and pressure returns to stocks and crypto, he said. Hayes points to 2023 as a clear example, when a large pool of funds at the Fed’s reverse repo facility — about $2.5 trillion — was available to be drawn back into markets. Market Metrics And Recent Moves Traders can see the effects in price action. Bitcoin’s recent fall …
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GBP/USDBrief Analysis: The trend direction for the British pound major has been an upward wave since the beginning of the year. The wave level in the current section allows categorization at the daily time frame. A month ago, the quotes bounced off the lower edge of a wide potential reversal zone, beginning the formation of a bullish segment. The price is approaching another cluster of resistance levels across various timeframes. Weekly Forecast: At the beginning of the upcoming week, the GBP/USD pair is likely to show "sideways" movement. A decline towards the calculated support levels is possible, with a brief spike below the lower boundary not excluded. An increase in …
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EMJ Capital CEO Eric Jackson has laid out one of the most aggressive long-term bitcoin targets in the space yet, arguing in an interview with reporter Phil Rosen that the cryptocurrency could reach $50 million per coin by 2041. His projection is tied to a thesis that bitcoin will evolve from “digital gold” into the core collateral layer of the global financial system. Jackson said his thinking grows out of the same “hundred bagger” framework he used when buying beaten-down equities like Carvana. He recalled entering Carvana after its share price collapsed from around $400 to roughly $3.50 in 2022, at a time when sentiment was almost universally hostile. “You would hear t…
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EUR/USDAnalysis: The analysis of the European currency chart indicates that the corrective bearish wave that started in April of this year continues its formation. The wave level of all price movements lacks reversal potential, continuing the development of the current structure. The unfinished wave segment dates back to September 16 and has formed a counterpullback over the last month. Forecast: This week, the likelihood of the euro major continuing its sideways movement remains. In the early days, a price decline toward the calculated support is expected. A brief spike below its lower boundary is not ruled out. Increased volatility and a return to a bullish trend can be…
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Ethereum continues to correct and may soon reach the only area of interest (POI) on the daily timeframe. In recent days, the technical picture has been somewhat confusing, primarily due to Bitcoin. It is primarily the patterns formed on Bitcoin across different timeframes that contradict each other. However, for Ethereum, the situation is clear. The target area for selling on the daily timeframe has not yet been worked off, and there are no signs that the correction is ending or that the trend is concluding. On the 4-hour timeframe, a reaction was received yesterday from the nearest bullish IFVG, with liquidity being cleared for buying. Thus, traders can observe a situati…
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Bitcoin continues to correct. The technical picture at this time is clear, but yesterday's pattern somewhat complicates the situation. This refers to the "bearish" FVG on the daily timeframe, which contradicts the technical picture on the 4-hour timeframe and all existing patterns. Therefore, I had to refer to Bitcoin's "closest relative" – Ethereum, to clarify the situation. No similar pattern emerged for Ethereum, and on the 4-hour Bitcoin chart, the picture is more than telling. Thus, we conclude that the 4-hour chart is more relevant at this time, considering the corrective status of the movement. On the 4-hour timeframe, the pair worked off the nearest "bullish" IFVG…
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It's hard not to be optimistic when the S&P 500 enters a seasonally strong period and the Fed is set to lower interest rates. The broad stock index has risen to its highest level since the end of October. However, profit-taking ahead of the FOMC meeting prevented it from maintaining the local peak. Nonetheless, the outlook for the US stock market remains bullish. More than three-quarters of asset managers surveyed by Bloomberg are positioning their portfolios for a risk-on market environment. They believe that sustained global growth, ongoing developments in artificial intelligence technology, easing monetary policy from the Fed, and fiscal stimulus will support the …
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[XPD/USD] Although the XPD/USD is currently in a sideways condition, but the position of EMA(50) is still above EMA(200), indicating potential upward movement in the near future. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1512.33 2. Resistance. 1 : 1493.30 3. Pivot : 1470.99 4. Support. 1 : 1451.96 5. Support. 2 : 1429.65 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If XPD/USD breaks above 1493.30, it may continue to strengthen up to 1512.33. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1512.33 is broken, there is potential to test the level at 1534.64. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of XPD/USD declines and closes below 1429.65. Technical…
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[Gold] Although the RSI(14) is in the Neutral-Bearish level, the Golden Cross condition of both EMAs indicates that there is potential for strengthening in the near future. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4283.11 2. Resistance. 1 : 4240.23 3. Pivot : 4215.89 4. Support. 1 : 4173.01 5. Support. 2 : 4148.67 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Gold breaks above 4215.89, it may have the potential to reach 4240.23. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4240.23 is breached and closes above, there is a potential for Gold to test 4283.11. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines below 4148.67. Technical Summa…
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $132 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $138 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $130 and $132 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $138 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $132 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $138 and $140. Solana Price Eyes Upside Break Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $128, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $130 level. There was a …
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Monday. It can confidently be stated that macroeconomic factors will have a very weak influence on market sentiment today. Germany will release its industrial production report for October, which is not among the most important reports. Later in the week, the FOMC meeting will undoubtedly stir the market, but increased activity may only be observed for a very brief period. Recall that the market is almost certain that the Federal Reserve will lower the key rate for the third consecutive time. This means that this decision may already be priced in. Nevertheless, the overall funda…
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Analysis of Friday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD pair traded again on Friday with minimal volatility, not exceeding 40 pips. In principle, we have been discussing weak volatility for several consecutive months, and unfortunately, there is little we can do about it. The market remains in a state of stagnation, and for the sixth consecutive month, a flat trend persists between 1.1400 and 1.1830 on the daily timeframe. Therefore, novice traders can currently only expect weak movements within the sideways channel. On Friday, the macroeconomic backdrop offered some hope of more interesting movement. The Eurozone released the final GDP report for the …
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Analysis of Friday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair showed a disappointing performance on Friday, a reminder of the excellent first half of 2025, when high-volatility trending moves occurred almost every day. The same reports from across the ocean triggered a similar meager market reaction in the GBP/USD pair—a strengthening of the dollar by 25-30 pips. The events calendar in the UK was empty, resulting in virtually no movements during the first half of the day. Overall, the upward trend remains relevant, and novice traders can expect further growth. Support for the British pound comes from the support area of 1.3319-1.3331 (the updated area), …
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XRP price started a recovery wave above $2.050. The price is now showing positive signs but might struggle to clear the $2.10 resistance. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $2.050 zone. The price is now trading above $2.060 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.090 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.160. XRP Price Faces Uphill Task XRP price remained supported above $2.00 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $2.020 and $2.050 to enter a positive …
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,000. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $3,150. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,000 and $3,020 levels. The price is trading above $3,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,140 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,150 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes Additional Gains Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,920 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,000 and $3,020 resistance levels.…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above $90,500. BTC is now consolidating gains and might attempt an upside break above $91,650. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $90,500 zone. The price is trading above $91,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $90,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $91,650 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $90,500 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC gained strength for a move above the $91,500 and $92,500 levels. There was a…
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The GBP/USD pair showed no interesting movements on Friday. While the euro saw trading activity for two days this week, the British pound only saw movement on Wednesday. Interestingly, it is still unclear what triggered the strong movement of 150 pips that the market hadn't seen in over a month and a half. Recall that the rise of the British currency began during the night on Wednesday, continued throughout the European session, and ended during the American session. The most important report of the day and the week—the ADP report on the US labor market—was published precisely during the American trading session. Next week, there will be several important events in the UK…
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The EUR/USD pair showed only one thing on Friday—a complete reluctance to move in any direction. Overall, there were no significant movements last week, despite numerous important macroeconomic reports. However, the market essentially traded only on Monday and Wednesday, and even then, it seemed like a favor was being done for someone. Throughout the week, we only saw two relatively interesting price movements. As depicted in the illustration below, these two "good movements" were around 60 pips in size, which cannot even be considered strong. In fact, the situation was even worse on the other days. At first glance at the events calendar, one might describe the upcoming w…
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Analysis of GBP/USD (5M) The GBP/USD pair continued to correct on Friday with minimal volatility, staying within the upward trend. Macroeconomic data from the US triggered a market reaction of only 25 pips, and the day's overall volatility was again minimal. In the UK, the macroeconomic and fundamental backdrop was absent. While we would like to say that the upcoming week will be defining for the market and that traders will wake up to strong trending movements, the likelihood of this is low. Yes, the FOMC meeting is indeed a significant event. However, the market is already mentally prepared for a third consecutive rate cut. Therefore, the primary intrigue remains Jerome…
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Analysis of EUR/USD (5M) The EUR/USD pair struggled on Friday, with volatility not exceeding 40 pips. For the second consecutive day, the pair corrected within a weak upward trend. The ascending trendline remains relevant, suggesting the euro retains upside potential. However, next week, movements and the trend will certainly depend on the FOMC meeting, Jerome Powell's speech, and possibly the JOLTs report, which will be significant simply because there are no other labor market data from the US. The pair could easily consolidate below the trendline and below the critical line, which would cancel the upward trend again. On Friday, the Eurozone released a GDP report, a…
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