Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Analysts at Standard Chartered are warning of an "inevitable" short-term drop in Bitcoin below $100,000. Paradoxically, this decline may represent the last opportunity for large investors to enter the market ahead of the next bullish impulse. Less than three weeks ago, the same analysts projected Bitcoin to reach $135,000 by Q3, with a possible all-time high of $200,000 by year-end. Now, however, they caution that a temporary break below six figures is likely. Macroeconomic Pressure vs. Crypto Markets: Fear, Trade Wars, and the DollarThe $126,000 peak recorded on October 6 was not only a local top but also symbolized a shift in market phase. Standard Chartered notes that …
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According to Tether executive Paolo Ardoino, the stablecoin USDT has reached 500 million users worldwide. The figure was posted on his social feed. Based on reports, that user base would represent about 6.25% of the global population. At the same time, USDT’s circulating supply is reported to be roughly $182 billion. Tether Reports 500 Million Users The announcement came in a short social post from Ardoino celebrating the milestone. It’s the “biggest financial inclusion achievement” in history, he said. The company frames this as a major step for financial access, pointing to broad use in markets where traditional banking is limited. The method used to count “users” ha…
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XRP is holding firm above the $2.38 support level after a recent pullback, suggesting that bulls may still have control. As buying pressure builds, traders are watching closely for a potential breakout that could reignite bullish momentum in the coming sessions. Early Strength Fades After Hitting $2.52 Umair Crypto, in his latest market update, noted that XRP displayed initial strength after rebounding cleanly from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The price managed to climb to around $2.52 with a solid close on the 4-hour chart, signaling renewed buyer interest and a potential shift in short-term momentum. However, that early optimism was short-lived as XRP’s up…
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The Ethereum Foundation has just moved more than 160,000 ETH, worth around $610 million, into a brand new multisignature wallet. The group described the transfer as a planned migration, though the sheer size of the move caught a lot of eyes. That’s a serious chunk of its treasury, and naturally, people are curious what this means for the road ahead. Goodbye Old Setup, Hello New Safe Wallet The switch wasn’t random. The foundation confirmed it was moving away from its older, custom multisig wallet and adopting Safe Foundation’s wallet system instead. Earlier in the year, it ran tests using a 3-of-5 multisig setup. Once satisfied, the team went ahead and brought the …
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EUR/USD 5M Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair showed another session of low volatility on Wednesday. In the first half of the day, the euro declined for no apparent reason—a pattern traders have likely grown accustomed to this week. In the second half, the euro saw a sudden and somewhat unusual rise. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde gave a speech on Wednesday, which may have sparked this unexpected movement. However, Lagarde had been speaking almost daily for the past three weeks without delivering anything new or market-moving. Thus, we continue to consider the daily flat on the higher time frame (D1) as a key factor. It is this flat environment that…
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair began the day with a sharp drop to the 1.3307 level. However, in the second half of the session, traders regained composure and stopped selling the pound. The UK inflation report was released in the morning, marking the first somewhat notable macro release of the week. Since inflation came in below expectations, the pound understandably declined — dovish expectations toward the Bank of England's monetary policy surged immediately. However, this was the only valid fundamental reason for the pound's decline this week. In the second half of the day, the pound rallied significantly, despite its previous fall on e…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower again on Wednesday, for no apparent reason. While the British pound fell sharply that morning due to a weaker-than-expected UK inflation report (which significantly increased the likelihood of a Bank of England rate cut later this year), this report had no direct relevance to the euro. Indeed, GBP could have pulled EUR down with it, as the two currencies are moderately correlated. But this explanation feels more like an excuse—and lately, the market appears to be full of such "excuses." Let us explain what we mean. Many are now questioning why the U.S. dollar has been strengthening over recent weeks. We've been saying for three weeks…
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The GBP/USD currency pair once again traded lower on Wednesday, but this time with clear and valid reasons. Early in the session, the UK released an inflation report showing that the headline CPI for September remained unchanged, while core inflation even declined slightly. Though this drop was minimal, and the headline figure still exceeds the Bank of England's target by nearly twofold, the data likely served as a catalyst for the British pound's decline. Still, this conclusion is debatable. Let's explain why. With inflation holding at 3.8%, it's highly unlikely that the Bank of England is actively considering another rate cut. The fact that inflation has ceased rising d…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade in the high $100,000 range following the October 9 crypto market crash, some bullish signs are starting to emerge. Notably, stablecoin reserves on leading crypto exchanges like Binance are entering all-time high (ATH) territory, hinting at a potential rally for BTC. Stablecoin Reserves Rise – Will Bitcoin Benefit? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Binance stablecoin reserves are approaching ATH levels, indicating that investors are ready to deploy funds to accumulate BTC at current or lower levels. The CryptoQuant analyst highlighted the rapidly falling Bitcoin-Stablecoin Ratio (ESR). For the uniniti…
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Despite recent bearish movements, Shiba Inu (SHIB) continues to defy market pessimism, showcasing one of the strongest community-driven displays of conviction in the crypto space. Even with an 18% monthly decline and ongoing selling pressure, more than 1.54 million wallets now hold SHIB, according to the latest data from Etherscan. This steady rise in wallet count shows growing investor interest even as the token struggles to stay above the $0.00001 level. Shiba Inu Investor Confidence Remains Strong as Wallet Count Grows The rise in holders, though modest, reflects continued confidence in Shiba Inu’s long-term prospects. On-chain analyst Etherscan_SHIB described th…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has still not breached into the territory that marked the tops of previous cycles. 30-Day EMA Of Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Is Still Below Overheated Zone As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross is yet to hit an extreme level in the current cycle. The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio is an on-chain indicator that measures the ratio between BTC’s market cap and transaction volume. When the value of this metric is high, it means the value of the network (as represented by the market cap) is high compared to its ability to transact coins (the volume). Such a trend ca…
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Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $107,500 and $108,000. BTC could rise further if there is a clear move above the $109,500 barrier. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $108,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $109,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at $108,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $109,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Takes Hit Bitcoin price declined again below the $109,500 level. BTC tested the $106,750 zone and is currently consolidating losses. A low was formed at…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave from $3,700. ETH is moving higher but faces a couple of key hurdles near $3,850 and $3,920. Ethereum started a fresh recovery above $3,750 and $3,800. The price is trading below $3,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,850 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $3,920. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price started a minor recovery wave from the $3,700 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price surpassed the $3,750 and $3,800 levels to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even cleared th…
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Wednesday's Trade Recap: 1H EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair demonstrated minimal volatility—something traders have grown used to in recent weeks. The U.S. dollar once again attempted to strengthen for no apparent reason, even though there were no important economic events or reports in either the EU or the U.S. At the time of writing, traders failed to secure a break below the 1.1584 level, though the nature of current price action suggests this level may eventually give way. As such, we continue to observe dollar appreciation that contradicts both the global fundamental picture and even the short-term technical setup. It's worth noting that nearly all …
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Wednesday's Trade Recap: 1H GBP/USD Chart The GBP/USD pair traded with significantly more volatility on Wednesday than in previous days of the week. The reason is quite simple — the first major release of the week was published: the UK inflation report. While we still believe that inflation in the UK is excessively high and does not suggest further easing from the Bank of England, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September did not rise as expected. This triggered a sell-off in the British pound driven by stronger dovish market expectations. However, in the second half of the day, the U.S. dollar began falling for unknown reasons. We continue to view this price acti…
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Russia has officially unveiled a sweeping legal framework to integrate crypto into its foreign trade system, a move widely seen as a direct response to mounting Western sanctions. The Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank have agreed to legalize crypto settlements for international trade, allowing Russian exporters and importers to transact in Bitcoin and other digital assets. This follows an experimental legal regime introduced in September, which tested crypto use for cross-border settlements. Russia Moves to Legalize Crypto for International Trade Under the new Russian policy, all crypto transactions for foreign trade will be processed through regulated channe…
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XRP price started a recovery wave from $2.20. The price is struggling to clear $2.50 and might decline if it trades below the $2.320 support. XRP price is moving lower from the $2.550 zone. The price is now trading below $2.420 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2.320 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.450 resistance. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price formed a base above $2.250 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.40 and $2.420 resistance levels. The bu…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are no macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday—again. The only data point worth mentioning is the secondary report on U.S. existing home sales. Interestingly, this report may elicit a reaction from traders simply due to the absence of any other relevant data or events. Volatility across both currency pairs remains near zero. The flat trend on the daily time frame persists. Irregular and illogical intraday price movements continue. Fundamental Event Analysis: Very few fundamental events are scheduled for Thursday. The only item of note is a speech by European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane. However, consid…
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[Gold] – [Thursday, October 23, 2025] Considering the EMAs position which still in a Death Cross configuration and the RSI indicator remains in the Neutral-Bearish zone, Gold has the potential to extend its decline today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4244.28 2. Resistance. 1 : 4170.97 3. Pivot : 4087.50 4. Support. 1 : 4014.19 5. Support. 2 : 3930.72 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If gold breaks down and closes below 4,087.50, it may continue its decline toward 4014.19. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4014.19 is breached and closes below, gold could try to test the 3930.72 level. Level Invalidation / Bias Revision: The downside bias is invalidated if…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, October 23, 2025] As seen by the RSI indicator which is slightly at the Neutral-Bullish level and both EMAs are still Golden Crosses, it seems that the Nasdaq 100 index is still biased towards strengthening today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 25427.0 2. Resistance. 1 : 25149.8 3. Pivot : 24895.9 4. Support. 1 : 24618.7 5. Support. 2 : 24364.8 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the #NDX breaks and closes above 25149.8, it may continue rising toward the 25427.0 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25427.0 is breached and closed above, the Nasdaq 100 could test the next level at 25680.9. Level Invalidation / Bias …
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A recent MEXC Q3 report highlighted the strong performance of the crypto market during the last quarter, which saw active traders surge as the total crypto market capitalization climbed to the $4 trillion mark. Spot Market Sees Strong Q3 Performance On Wednesday, crypto exchange MEXC published its Q3 2025 Ecosystem & Growth Report, highlighting sustained expansion, robust user activity, and security from the previous quarter. According to the report, the exchange experienced strong activity and trading momentum during the market run between July and September, with over 680 new tokens added to the crypto exchange in Q3, representing a 17% increase from Q2. Moreove…
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The U.S. dollar sharply weakened against the euro and British pound but managed to hold its ground versus the Japanese yen. Yesterday's remarks from Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller — who stated he would support a more dovish monetary policy — put significant pressure on the dollar. Traders are concerned that Waller's potential appointment as the new head of the Federal Reserve could signal a long-term policy shift toward lower interest rates. Today's key release will be the Eurozone Consumer Confidence Index for October. Though this indicator is unlikely to be a major driver for the euro in the immediate term, it remains a critical component in assessing the o…
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Trade Review and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the 1.1580 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line and remained in the oversold zone for a while. This allowed scenario #2 for euro buying to be fulfilled, resulting in the pair rising by more than 25 pips. Yesterday's statements by Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller that he would support a more accommodative monetary policy put intense pressure on the U.S. dollar. Traders grew fearful that Waller's potential appointment as the next Fed Chair could lead to a longer-term dovish stance from the central bank. This shift in tone sparked broad market discussion. Until…
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Trade Review and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3326 level occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to rise from the zero line. This confirmed a valid entry point for buying the pound, resulting in a 30-pip upward move. The pound dropped sharply in the first half of the previous day following news that UK core inflation had declined. This unexpected development triggered a wave of selling in the British currency, as investors reassessed their expectations regarding future Bank of England actions. Reduced inflationary pressure could give the central bank more room to maneuver and reduce the need for aggressively high interest rates. However, i…
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Trade Review and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 151.88 level occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to rise from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the U.S. dollar against the yen. However, the bullish move ended after a modest 15-pip rally. Yesterday's comments from Federal Reserve officials in support of a more accommodative monetary policy pressured the dollar, but notably not in its pairing with the Japanese yen. This divergence drew attention and fueled speculation as to why the yen showed resilience despite broader dollar weakness. Many traders attribute this stability to Japan's new prime minister, who has signaled…
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