Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12258 tópicos neste fórum
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For GBP/USD, the wave structure continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse sequence. The wave picture is almost identical to EUR/USD, since the only real driver remains the dollar. Demand for the U.S. currency is declining across the market (in the medium term), so many instruments are showing nearly the same dynamics. At this point, wave 4 is presumably complete. If so, the instrument's rise will continue within impulse wave 5. Wave 4 could still take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much on the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—not only trade-related ones. From time to time, po…
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Recently, the price of gold has received substantial support based on two main factors. First, the anticipated reduction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve would weaken the US dollar. The second factor is the ongoing global tensions, which threaten to escalate into a major conflict. These factors could spark a renewed rise in the price of the "yellow" metal, pushing it first to the recent high of 3672.42, and then to a new all-time level at 3682.00. From a technical perspective, the pair is testing the resistance level at 3644.00; breaking above this level could provide grounds for further price growth. Technical picture and trading idea: The price is above the mi…
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Federal prosecutors in Albany are going after more than $12 million in USDT, they say, that was tied to a crypto investment scam. They’ve filed a civil forfeiture complaint in an attempt to take the funds back. It’s another signal that officials are treating crypto scams just like any other financial crime. How the Scam Played Out The scheme began with random text messages promising profitable investment opportunities. Those messages led victims to a fake trading platform called ShakepayEX. The site was made to look like a real Canadian crypto exchange, but it wasn’t. People who deposited funds were then hit with fake fees and obstacles when they tried to withdraw. Many …
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The Avalanche Foundation is in advanced talks to set up two US digital asset treasury vehicles to raise roughly $1 billion that would purchase millions of AVAX directly from the foundation at a discount, according to the Financial Times. Avalanche Foundation’s $1 Billion Buy Plan One vehicle, led by Hivemind Capital, would seek up to $500 million via a Nasdaq-listed company with Anthony Scaramucci advising; a second, sponsored by Dragonfly Capital, would be a $500 million SPAC. People familiar said the deals could close within weeks; Hivemind confirmed it was working on a deal, while the foundation declined to comment. Currently, AVAX has a 720 million max supply with ab…
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On Thursday, gold was trying to maintain its optimism. On Wednesday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the US annually fell to 2.6% in August compared to 3.3% a month earlier. Other indicators showed that the core PPI—excluding food and energy—rose 2.8% year-on-year, down from 3.7% in July. The absence of inflationary pressure from producers, despite the imposed import tariffs, signals weakening domestic demand amid instability in the labor market. Even though the released Consumer Price Index exceeded forecasts, this dynamic supports market expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at next…
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse structure. The wave picture is almost identical to that of EUR/USD since the sole "culprit" remains the U.S. dollar. Demand for the dollar is declining across the market in the medium term, and many instruments are therefore showing nearly identical dynamics. At this stage, the presumed wave 5 is still developing, within which waves 1 and 2 have already formed. The current wave structure raises no doubts. It should be remembered that much on the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—beyond just trade. Occasionally, positive news emerges from the U.S., but the market cons…
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As investor anxiety grows over the possibility of a new bearish cycle, the case for Bitcoin (BTC) to resume its halted upward trajectory has gained significant traction among top market experts. Market analyst Ash Crypto recently highlighted several key factors, including demand and supply dynamics, a surge in US equities, and increasing inflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), suggesting that the current market conditions could favor Bitcoin’s resurgence. Market Makers Accused Of Manipulating Bitcoin Prices In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Ash pointed out that while US stocks are reaching new all-time highs, Bitcoin has struggled to break above the $117,000 mark, …
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XRP has been subjected to bold predictions about its future value in the crypto community this cycle. One such prediction came recently from Versan Aljarrah, better known as Black Swan Capitalist, who noted that the stage is set for XRP to hit the $100 mark. Here, he outlined a roadmap on social media that explains how XRP could scale from today’s modest $3 price levels to $100, $1,000, and even beyond. Big Players Need To Start Stacking According to Aljarrah, XRP’s first push to $100 is dependent on accumulation by big players. This is very important, and recent market dynamics have quietly increased this accumulation trend, especially as institutional investors are now…
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Wall Street hits fresh highs On Thursday, US stock markets closed at record levels. The rally came a day after the Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point, sparking optimism among investors. Intel surges on Nvidia's investment The biggest market mover was Intel. Its shares skyrocketed 22.8%, marking the strongest one-day gain since October 1987. The jump followed Nvidia's announcement of a 5 billion dollar investment in the struggling chipmaker. Meanwhile, shares of rival Advanced Micro Devices slipped 0.8%. Nvidia rebounds Nvidia itself advanced 3.5%, recovering losses from the previous session, which had been triggered by concerns …
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The British pound resumed its decline after news that the UK government's borrowing in August exceeded forecasts, dealing a blow to Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves ahead of a challenging autumn budget. Even strong retail sales data, which came in better than economists' expectations, failed to provide support. According to data released by the Office for National Statistics on Friday, the deficit amounted to 18 billion pounds sterling, well above the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecast of 12.5 billion pounds, marking the largest monthly borrowing in the past five years. This unexpected increase in borrowing has added fuel to an already difficult economi…
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The Canadian dollar is in negative territory for a third straight day. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3820, up 0.18% on the day. Canada's retail sales slide Canada's retail sales declined by 0.8% m/m in July, a sharp dowrturn from the 1.6% gain in June. The volatility in retail sales reflects uncertainty over the US tariffs, which has affected consumer spending. August is expected to show a rebound, with a preliminary estimate of a 1% gain, which would make up for the July decline. US unemployment claims slip There are no US releases today but there was positive news from the employment front on Thursday. Unemployment claims fell to 231 thoua…
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BHP Group (ASX, NYSE, LSE: BHP) could appoint Geraldine Slattery, president of its Australia operations, as the company’s first female chief executive in its 140-year history, the Financial Times reported on Friday. If appointed, Slattery would join a short list of women to lead a major global mining company. One of the most notable was Cynthia Carroll, who became the first woman to head Anglo American in 2007, serving until 2012. Succession planning underway Current CEO Mike Henry is expected to step down by mid-2026 after five years in the role, according to the FT report, which cited people familiar with the board’s thinking. BHP has said its directors are “…
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Traders shifted into Linea (LINEA), ApolloX (APX), and Convex Finance (CVX) on Friday, with new token milestones and DeFi votes drawing focus on which could be the Best altcoin to buy in 2025. On Sept. 19, 2025, all three posted solid 24-hour gains across major spot venues. LINEA rallied on its airdrop claim window and new listings. APX extended a weeklong surge as it migrates to $ASTER. CVX firmed as Curve’s incentives and cash-flow plans drew new attention. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in September2025 Which Altcoin Looks Strongest: LINEA, APX, or CVX? LINEA rose about +17% in the past day, trading near $0.0307 with roughly $552M in volume…
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Market sentiment improves amid US–China trade talksUS major stock indices continue their rally. The S&P 500 rose by 0.49%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.72%, both setting fresh all-time highs. Market sentiment is improving on the back of ongoing discussions regarding trade agreements between the United States and China. Strong quarterly earnings from tech companies also provided additional support to the market. Experts note that if the current positive trend continues, the indices could reach new levels by the end of the month. [Read more] No alarming bubbles in the stock market Investors point out that, despite elevated asset valuations, there are no signs of "sc…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are only a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, but some of them are truly important. Most notably, the US reports on durable goods orders and the third estimate of Q2 GDP. The third estimate is the final one, and the first and second releases are often revised—thus, the last release carries the most weight. The durable goods report is also significant, as it reflects changes in US consumer demand for major, high-value goods. In Germany, the GfK consumer confidence index will be published, but this is far from the most critical release. Fundamental Events Analysis: Among Thursday's fundamental events, Federal Res…
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The bull crypto market *is* over, for crypto at least. You should have sold. To be clear, the whole of twitter was saying altseason is here last week. So where is it? What if you’re wrong and the bull market is actually over? And you still didn’t take advantage? Every YouTuber and crypto influencer is telling us to HODL. No way they could all be wrong, right? (Source: TradingView) Just one week after the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025, Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious note on Tuesday. He admitted the US labor market is softening, inflation is still running hot, and policymakers face what he called “two-way risk.” “There is no risk-free path forward,” Powell said, le…
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The final US Q2 GDP data provided significant support for the dollar. Nearly all components of the report came in "in the green"—that is, revised upward. This result added to the already optimistic tone set by recent reports and paved the way for further dollar strength. Now, the last puzzle piece for dollar bulls is the release of the core PCE index (September 26). If this release also lands in the green zone, "dovish" sentiment in the market will be greatly diminished. Even one additional rate cut this year could be called into question. We will discuss inflation further below, but for now, let's return to the figures, which sparked a downward impulse in EUR/USD. Acc…
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On-chain data shows a Dogecoin whale has made a significant withdrawal from cryptocurrency exchange Binance despite the decline in the memecoin’s price. Dogecoin Whale Has Made A Massive Move During The Past Day According to data from cryptocurrency transaction tracker service Whale Alert, a large move has been spotted on the Dogecoin blockchain over the past day. The transfer in question involved the movement of nearly 122.4 million DOGE, worth around $28.5 million at the time the network processed it. Considering the scale of the transaction, it’s likely that a whale entity was behind it. Whales refer to the big-money investors of the cryptocurrency, who can carry so…
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Solana started a fresh decline from the $232 zone. SOL price is now showing bearish signs and might even decline toward the $180 support. SOL price started a fresh decline below $232 and $220 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $204 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $204 and $212. Solana Price Dips Sharply Solana price failed to stay above $232 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL traded below the $220 and $212 support levels to enter a bearis…
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As of yesterday's close, major US stock indices ended lower. The S&P 500 fell by 0.50%, while the Nasdaq 100 lost 0.50%. The industrial Dow Jones retreated by 0.38%. Global equities continue to slide for the fourth straight day, as concerns over high valuations and mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rates have dampened investor sentiment. Traders are digesting the latest economic data and Fed commentary as they try to gauge the future course of monetary policy. Uncertainty is mounting due to diverging opinions within the Fed about the timing and scope of future rate cuts. Some officials emphasize the importance of further data analysis b…
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Cronos erases billions in weeks as the Trump-linked rally fizzles, raising fresh questions over demand and deal execution. Crypto.com’s token Cronos (CRO) slipped toward pre-announcement levels on Friday, giving up the bulk of gains made after last month’s partnership news with Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG). Since peaking on Aug. 26, CRO has lost more than $6Bn in market value. The token was trading near $0.19 today, down about -17% for the week, and now sits in the mid-30s by market-cap ranking. (Source: Coingecko) CRO’s “Trump trade” has now come full circle. The $6.4 billion treasury plan was enough to trigger a sharp rally in late August, but the to…
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Following a rather turbulent trading week, Bitcoin prices now sit below $110,000, representing a 12% decline from its all-time high at $124,457. Amid this situation, popular analyst Ted Pillows has shared an audacious market prediction that would douse fears of an impending cycle top. Institutional Demand To Extend Bitcoin Market Cycle To 2026 A typical crypto market cycle has always peaked in Q4 of the fourth year. This timing usually matches the post-halving hype and a strong wave of retail and institutional market demand. Such behavior is observed in the last two cycles when Bitcoin reached a market top of $19,700 in December 2017, and $69,000 in November 2021. How…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Friday, the EUR/USD pair experienced an upward movement, which represents a correction within the broader downtrend. The descending trendline clearly indicates the prevailing bearish sentiment among most traders, but we would still not expect a strong dollar rally. It is essential to recognize that over the past week and a half, several factors have indeed supported the U.S. currency; however, all of them are temporary. The global trend remains unchanged, as does the overall fundamental background. Thus, we are witnessing another round of correction, but the dollar still finds it extremely difficult to count on more than that. On Friday, E…
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Gold is trading around 3,796, above the 21SMA and above the 8/8 Murray level. Gold could continue its rise in the coming hours and could reach the top of the uptrend channel around 3,840 or reach +1/8 Murray level around 3,828. At the opening of this week's session, gold left a gap around 3,762. It could reach this level and cover the gap in the coming days. If gold falls below these price levels, we could expect it to find strong support around the 8/8 Murray level, located at 3,750. This level is key, so a strong technical rebound could occur around this area, which could be seen as an opportunity to open long positions. On the other hand, if gold continues its rise and…
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Bitcoin rose sharply during today's Asian session, reaching $112,300, after previously trading near $109,000. Ethereum also gained significantly, climbing back to the $4,000 level, which had been broken late last week. Meanwhile, Eric Trump, son of the U.S. president, recently stated that the fourth quarter of 2025 will be incredible for BTC and the entire cryptocurrency market, citing seasonality and similar factors. According to him, the future of crypto looks bright thanks to QE, an expanding money supply, regulatory progress, and the actions of the White House administration. While the impact of political statements on the cryptocurrency market is hard to overestim…
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