Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6943 tópicos neste fórum
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It’s an exciting time for $BTC as Bitcoin treasury companies added $1.2B in BTC to their reserves last week, while analysts speculate that Bitcoin’s new all-time high resulted from Bitcoin ETFs. Metaplanet led last week’s Bitcoin purchases by buying 5,258 Bitcoins on Wednesday, while Strategy continued to accumulate with an additional 196 Bitcoins bought. However, while Bitcoin treasuries undoubtedly contributed to Bitcoin’s rally that pushed the price above $125K, the main driver of recent price action is spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw a net inflow of $3.24 billion last week. Analysts predict that altcoins like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), which are fundamentally linked to Bi…
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Montage Gold (TSX: MAU) shares climbed 4.2% Monday morning after the company reported that construction at its flagship Koné Gold Project in Côte d’Ivoire remains on schedule and on budget, with key milestones completed ahead of expectations. Montage confirmed that approximately $418 million—about half of its total upfront capital expenditure—has already been committed, with costs remaining in line with projections. The project’s first gold pour is on track for Q2 2027, marking a major step toward becoming one of West Africa’s next significant gold producers. Key infrastructure components, including site earthworks and process plant foundations, have been complete…
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SwissBorg founding partner Alex Fazel believes the market is entering a multi-year, structurally different bull phase that could deliver “generational wealth,” laying out what he called an “alt season bible” for 2025–2026 in a wide-ranging interview with Altcoin Daily. Speaking in a probabilistic framework, Fazel argued that the confluence of a strengthening business cycle, easier monetary policy, and twin technology booms in crypto/Web3 and artificial intelligence creates the same kind of tailwinds that powered the post-dot-com “recovery cycle” in equities. “I really want to prove to everyone that this is the biggest cycle and the biggest chance for everyone to generate…
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Last week, Christine Lagarde spoke three times. This week, she is scheduled to speak three more times. It may seem that every appearance by the European Central Bank president should trigger a strong market reaction, but in reality, not every speech captures the market's attention. Only those in which her rhetoric regarding key economic indicators or monetary policy changes meaningfully from prior statements tend to matter. Last week, Lagarde made it clear that the current level of inflation in the Eurozone is acceptable to the ECB. This was a very important statement, allowing for a straightforward conclusion: the ECB does not intend to change its monetary policy paramet…
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US stock indices ended the session mixed amid rising gold and cryptocurrency pricesThe S&P 500 rose 0.36%, the Nasdaq 100 added 0.41%, while the Dow Jones declined by 0.14%. Demand for gold reached a new record amid ongoing political crises, and Bitcoin also showed significant growth. Analysts note that the rise in safe-haven assets points to continued investor caution, particularly given the high valuations of equities. Read more at the link. Stock market remains resilient despite risksThe stock market continues to show strength despite headwinds such as overvalued assets and trade tariffs. The S&P 500 has hit 32 record highs this year, driven by developments …
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A prominent macro-crypto commentator argues that digital assets are transitioning from a greed-driven cycle to a “fear bubble,” with Bitcoin poised for a more powerful and more parabolic phase in 2026 than the euphoric surge of 2017. In a post on X from October 8, the analyst known as plur_daddy (@plur_daddy) contends that two narratives—monetary debasement and artificial intelligence—are now the dominant behavioral drivers, and that they operate less on promise than on anxiety. 2017 Vibes: Trump And AI Could Ignite Next Bitcoin Rally “We are in a bubble, and the most parabolic leg is approaching. The true fireworks will be next year but this Q4 we shall get a taste,” he…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated below the support level of 1.1645–1.1656, then rebounded from this level, and this morning – another rebound. Thus, the decline in quotes may continue toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. A consolidation of the pair above the 1.1645–1.1656 level would favor the European currency and some growth toward the 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the peak of the previous one, while the new downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish" for now. The latest labor market data and the revised Fed …
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Review of Trades and Trading Tips for the European CurrencyA price test at 1.1615 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.1574. Yesterday's comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials regarding the inadvisability of further monetary easing triggered a strengthening of the U.S. currency and a weakening of the European one. Today, the absence of economic data from the eurozone suggests the possibility of a short-term correction in the euro, but it is unlikely that buyers will be able to recover all of yesterday's los…
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Why is Crypto Down Today? The crypto market just faced its sharpest liquidation wave of October, catching overleveraged bulls off guard. Peace in the Middle East, anon. All safe haven assets are going to crash 80 percent, and leveraged speculative investments are going to 100x. Or are they? So far more than $630 million in positions were wiped out on October 9, according to data from Coinglass, with over 81% of those being long bets. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $121,607.12 0.23% …
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The U.S. government shutdown has entered its 10th day under Donald Trump’s second term, freezing much of Washington and rattling the crypto market. With Congress gridlocked over border security and spending bills, investors are bracing for continued volatility. While traditional markets reel, the crypto price of key assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin has dipped amid uncertainty, though analysts believe the sell-off is temporary. The real question traders are asking now: once Washington reopens and ETF approvals resume, will crypto go back up again? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d …
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Gold is trading around 3,985, rebounding after a strong technical correction of more than $100 in less than 24 hours from 4,050 to 3,947. After the initial strong technical correction that occurred yesterday during the American session, gold is rebounding and is now consolidating below the psychological level of $4,000. During the European session, gold attempted to consolidate above $4,000 but failed. We are now seeing a technical correction, so the bearish cycle is likely to resume. We could expect the instrument to reach +1/8 Murray around $3,906 in the coming days. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive signal for the coming hours. Therefore, if the price consolida…
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Crypto market analyst Javon Marks believes the Dogecoin price could be preparing for one of its biggest price jumps yet. He thinks this setup gives the coin a strong chance to rise much higher in the current bull market if the pattern continues to repeat as it has before. Marks explains that this pattern is not random but follows historical price data that has proven accurate over time. In his view, Dogecoin has built a reputation for repeating its market behavior during each major cycle. Every time the setup has formed, the price has responded by moving sharply higher. Javon Marks Highlights Dogecoin Price Consistent Fibonacci Pattern In his analysis, Marks points out …
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Following a new all-time high (ATH) of $126,199 on Binance, Bitcoin (BTC) is now consolidating in the low $120,000 range. Latest exchange data – such as Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Confirmation Score – suggests that BTC is benefitting from strong underlying demand. CVD Confirmation Shows Strong Demand For Bitcoin According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s CVD Confirmation Score – a 30-day rolling correlation between Bitcoin’s price and the CVD – is suggesting a strong resynchronization of the trend. For the uninitiated, the CVD Confirmation Score measures the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin’s price and the CVD, which tracks the …
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A crypto expert set off a fresh debate by arguing that Chainlink — not XRP — should wear the “banking coin” label. His short tweet on Wednesday got people talking and digging into the numbers behind both projects. Analyst Claims Chainlink Is Banking Coin According to Quinten, a top analyst and host at Coin Compass, Chainlink is better suited to work with banks than XRP. Quinten also admitted that XRP is 10 times larger than Chainlink, a gap he says could narrow if LINK wins more institutional deals. Based on tracker figures, XRP currently trades around $3 with a market cap of a little over $178 billion, while Chainlink trades near $24 and sits at over $16 billion. XR…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Arrests Two-Day Slide Most Read: GBP/USD Technical: Sterling torpedoed by spike in 30-year gilt yield, watch the 1.3315/3280 key support The Asian session saw muted trade this morning as market participants waited for the U.S. markets on Wall Street to open after their long holiday weekend. In Japan, the Nikkei recovered after two successive days of losses. Investor confidence was boosted by two main factors: the hope that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon, and strong sales reports from Japanese department stores. It was an up-and-down day of trading. The Nikkei was down at one point, but it recovered to finish the day …
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Chile’s state-owned copper giant Codelco is warning that national production could stagnate at about 5.5 million tonnes per year as the industry faces mounting challenges. Chairman Máximo Pacheco said at the Ecos de la Minería summit in Santiago the sector faces “enormous difficulties,” citing deeper mining operations, falling ore grades and rising costs. Chile is the world’s top copper supplier, and a prolonged plateau in output could tighten global markets just as demand from the energy transition accelerates. Despite the challenges, Pacheco said Codelco is pressing ahead with upgrades and new ventures. He confirmed the company remains committed to a lithium par…
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We are assisting at a very mixed picture across different asset classes – Equities are down after the long weekend, the US Dollar is up but correcting from its highs since the ISM Manufacturing PMI report, and Cryptocurrencies are sluggish, but showing signs of rebound. After sending worrying signs throughout the past week of price action, with Bitcoin correcting for the whole past week and Ethereum marking a new record in a weak-looking price action, cryptos are finding a floor with traders bracing for the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls. Bitcoin has for example marked an intermediate low at around $107,000 at the extreme of its previous ATH support area and rebounding sinc…
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Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 70 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting; the rest for a 50 bps cut) ECB: 8 bps (99% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 12 bps (98% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoC: 42 bps (89% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) RBA: 30 bps (81% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)RBNZ: 38 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) SNB: 7 bps (91% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) Rate hikes by year-end BoJ: 12 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)The biggest changes in interest rates expectations happened o…
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The confidence vote is set to take place later this afternoon with the results expected with the results likely to come in around 1500 GMT or after that. Incumbent French prime minister Bayrou is set to be ousted but are markets underestimating the political turmoil that could follow? Well, let's take a look. For the most part, the euro currency has shrugged off the risks associated with the situation in the region's second largest economy. So, that's one clear spot to look at in terms of potential negative reactions from markets. That at least is what Societe Generale is arguing. The firm outlines that the most probable outcomes are either Bayrou loses the vote and a car…
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For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse structure. The wave picture is almost identical to EUR/USD, since the only "culprit" remains the dollar. Demand for it is declining across the market in the medium term, so many instruments are showing nearly the same dynamics. At present, wave 4 is presumably complete. If this is correct, the instrument will continue rising within impulse wave 5. Wave 4 could take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much in the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies, and not only in trade. From time to time, positive news emerges f…
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Bitcoin price is struggling to recover above $112,500. BTC is now consolidating and might decline if there is a move below the $110,800 level. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $110,800 zone. The price is trading above $111,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $110,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $113,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Key Hurdles Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $110,000 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $110,800 and $111,200 resistance levels. The bulls were able to p…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3567 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair moved down only about 10 points before demand returned. During the U.S. session, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index report is expected. After strong data, the pound may decline slightly against the dollar. While this indicator is not decisive, it can bring short-term volatility to quotes, especially if its value deviates significantly from expectations. Investors closely monitor sentiment in the small business sector, as it is an impo…
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Solana (SOL) is entering a pivotal phase after rallying more than 40% since early August, pushing the price to its highest level since February. This remarkable surge has reignited bullish sentiment, with traders and investors now closely watching whether Solana can sustain its momentum or if a period of consolidation lies ahead. The coming days are expected to be decisive in determining the next major price direction for SOL. Despite ongoing volatility across the broader crypto market, Solana bulls are showing resilience. The asset’s sharp recovery underscores renewed confidence in its ecosystem, driven by strong network activity, DeFi adoption, and its positioning as …
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After Australia's GDP growth in Q2 exceeded forecasts due to an unexpected increase in demand, several other indicators released in recent days have also contributed to a positive outlook. Business conditions rose by 2 points in August and are now close to their long-term average. Business confidence fell by 3 points, but this came after four consecutive months of improvement, and the figure also remains near its long-term average. Capacity utilization, which was already above average, increased further, and overall conditions have become more positive. The Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index fell by 3.1% to 95.4 in September. This decrease came after a sustained post-C…
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After retesting the range lows, Bitcoin (BTC) has closed the week above a key area, momentarily preventing a breakdown to lower levels. Some market watchers suggested that reclaiming the local range highs this week will set the stage for another leg up, but an analyst warned of potential volatility in the coming days. Bitcoin Holds Crucial Weekly Support As the market moves sideways, Bitcoin has continued to trade within its local range between the $108,250-$111,140 levels since the start of the month. The cryptocurrency has shown mixed signals since the second half of August, failing to hold the crucial $109,000 level during the previous week. Analyst Rekt Capital ass…
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