Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6943 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 146.74 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the dollar and resulted in growth toward the target level of 147.48. Despite the lack of reports and strong demand for the yen in the first half of the day, things changed very quickly. Some market participants revised their expectations regarding the Fed's next steps and began to take profits. Today's driver for the pair will be the US price growth figures, though this data is scheduled for the second half of the day. For this reason, during the European session, not…
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The Fed is set to cut rates in September—a situation painfully reminiscent of last year. Back then, the central bank also cited labor market weakness and began a cycle of monetary easing. Deja vu? In reality, there are plenty of differences from 2024. These differences mean it's not safe to assume the Fed will act at the same speed—or that EUR/USD will follow the previous path. Job creation in the US over the summer has slowed to an average of only 29,000 per month compared to 100,000 in the first quarter. Unemployment, on the other hand, is rising very slowly—not like in 2024, when it jumped by 0.6 percentage points and forced the Fed to cut rates. Clearly, the main reas…
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After hovering around the $300 mark at the start of this week, the Aave price appears to have finally broken out of its consolidatory pattern. On Friday, September 12, the DeFi token made a brief return to the $320 level on the back of a general market surge. The strong momentum of the Aave price movement suggests that the altcoin’s return to $320 might not be a random occurrence. An interesting convergence of an optimistic technical outlook and positive on-chain data paints a picture of what is next for the AAVE token. What Does This Positive Divergence Mean For Aave? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, CryptoOnchain shared an interesting on-chain insight …
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Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a critical turning point, successfully flipping a key horizontal support zone that previously acted as resistance. With momentum now building, the focus has shifted to the next major test: the $117,000 resistance level. A decisive move above this threshold would not only confirm the continuation of the current rally but also set the stage for a potential run toward new highs. Daily Support Flip Confirms Bullish Control Alpha Crypto Signal, in a recent market update, pointed out that BTC is showing renewed strength on the daily timeframe. The leading cryptocurrency successfully flipped a key horizontal zone into support, a move that highlights gr…
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The euro continues to rest on its laurels as the US dollar declines. The euro doesn't even have to do anything to attract investors and traders — market participants are fleeing the dollar like the plague, but money can't just float in the air; it needs to take the form of some currency. How many real alternatives to the dollar are there in today's world? The euro, the pound, and, at best, the yen and the franc. Thus, the main beneficiaries in 2025 are currencies that aren't even making any real effort. Everything in the FX market now hinges on a simple question: Will the US dollar keep falling? If yes, the euro and pound will continue to rise. If the dollar begins to str…
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[Crude Oil] – [Monday, 15 September 2025] Although the RSI is in the Neutral-Bullish area, the position of the EMA(50) being below the EMA(200) could lead to weakness today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 65.00 2. Resistance. 1 : 63.80 3. Pivot : 62.74 4. Support. 1 : 61.54 5. Support. 2 : 60.48 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 61.54, #CL could move lower towards 60.48. Momentum Extension Bias: If 60.48 is broken and closed below, there is potential to test the 59.28 level. Invalidation Level Invalidation / Bias Revision The downside bias is restrained if #CL strengthens, breaks, and closes above 65.00. Technical Su…
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[USDX] – [Monday, 15 September 2025] Today, USDX has a potential to weaken due to a Death Cross between the EMA(50) and EMA(200), and the RSI being in the Neutral-Bearish area. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.00 2. Resistance. 1 : 97.79 3. Pivot : 97.63 4. Support. 1 : 97.42 5. Support. 2 : 97.26 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 97.42, there is potential for continued weakening towards 97.26. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.26 is broken and closed below, the next level to be tested could be 97.05. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is restrained if #USDX strengthens, breaks, and closes above 98.00…
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Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones on a Tear as Fed Rate Cut Looms Oil prices have risen as much as 1.17% at the start of the week following claims by Ukrainian forces that their recent drone attacks have hit two major Russian oil centers in the Baltic Sea. According to reports, these strikes temporarily halted crude oil shipments at Primorsk, Russia's biggest oil port, late last week. There are also claims that three pumping stations that send oil to another port, Ust-Luga, were also attacked. Russia Sanction Calls Grow Add to this growing calls for harsher sanctions on countries and entities which are still purchasing Russian Oil.…
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Bitcoin has gained 7% since the start of September, showing renewed strength after weeks of uneven price action. Yet, the market is bracing for heightened volatility in the coming days as attention shifts to this Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors widely expect a rate cut, but the size of the move remains the key question shaping sentiment. If the Fed opts for a 25 basis point cut, many analysts see it as a measured and healthy pivot that could support risk assets, including Bitcoin, without sparking fears of deeper economic weakness. Such a move would likely reinforce confidence in a controlled transition toward easier monetary policy. On the other hand, a…
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Gold prices rose to a new all-time high on Monday, as investors geared up for this week’s Federal Reserve meeting with the expectation that the US central bank will finally let loose and start cutting interest rates. Spot gold hit a fresh peak of $3,682.51 per ounce, about $9 higher than its previous high set nearly a week ago. US gold futures also jumped about 1% to $3,724.90 per ounce. Click on chart for live prices. The latest move takes gold’s year-to-date gains up to 40%, with geopolitical uncertainty and robust central bank buying providing strong momentum for the safe-haven metal. After surpassing the $3,500 mark in April, gold has largely consolidated wi…
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The dust is settling over Hyperliquid’s stablecoin partner decision, and now 99Bitcoins analysts are dissecting what’s next for HYPE price. HYPE price consolidation was rocked this week as the fast-growing derivatives exchange Hyperliquid concluded its highly anticipated stablecoin tender, with users voting to select Native Markets as issuer of the new USDH token. supreme financePriceMarket CapHYPE$168.35K24h7d1y The decision, finalized on September 15 after a week-long bidding process, marking one of the most significant developments yet in the $160Bn stablecoin sector. A New Entrant Backed by Heavyweights: Will New Stablecoin Supercharge HYPE Price? Native Market…
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Japanese financial firm Credit Saison has launched a new fund called Onigiri Capital, aimed at backing early-stage blockchain startups. The focus is on helping US companies expand into key Asian markets by giving them access to capital, infrastructure, and regulatory guidance. The idea is to use Credit Saison’s deep local knowledge to make cross-border growth smoother and more realistic for crypto founders. Building Toward a $50 Million Fund So far, the fund has raised $35 million, intending to hit $50 million. Backing has come from Credit Saison and other strategic investors. The fund will invest in early-stage startups that are building foundational tools for finance. …
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XRP price started a downside correction from the $3.180 resistance. The price is now consolidating and might start another increase if it clears $3.050. XRP price is consolidating losses after declining from the $3.180 resistance. The price is now trading below $3.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if the price clears the $3.050 zone. XRP Price Corrects Gains XRP price started a downside correction below the $3.120 level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $3.050 level to e…
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On-chain data shows inflows into Bitcoin have recently been so large that they outweigh the cumulative capital that entered BTC in its first 15 years. Bitcoin Realized Cap Shows Acceleration In Inflows Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju has shared the trend in the Realized Cap of Bitcoin over its entire history. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures, in short, the total amount of capital that the investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. When the value of this metric rises, it means the investors are feeding a net amount of capital into the network. On the other hand, it going down suggests …
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued to rise on Monday, worked through the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620, and on Tuesday morning closed above it. Thus, the pound continues to gain momentum, bulls keep attacking, and quotes keep rising toward the next Fibonacci level of 127.2% – 1.3708. The wave structure continues to shift to a bullish stance. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the new upward wave broke the last peak. Therefore, the trend can currently be considered bullish. The news background does not allow bears to launch a serious offensive. On Monday, traders received no significant data, but bulls still kept press…
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The Canadian dollar is steady on Tuesday, after starting the week with gains of 0.48% against the US dollar. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3765, down 0.09% on the day. It's a busy mid-week for Canadian events, with the August inflation report later today and the Bank of Canada decision on Wednesday. Canada's CPI expected to climb to 2% Headline CPI is expected to rise to 2% in August, up from 1.7% in July. Two key core inflation indicators are projected to post an average of 3.05% unchanged from July. The Bank of Canada is widely expected to lower rates at Wednesday's meeting, after holding rates for three consecutive meetings. The markets are expec…
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It seemed yellow metal could hardly surprise us anymore, unless with a sudden explosive rise. Yet gold has more tricks up its sleeve: it's going digital. Usually, that term is used to describe Bitcoin, but the first cryptocurrency has nothing to do with this. Some big market players have begun digitizing physical metal, and this new experience is revealing. Earlier this week, gold dipped slightly, reaching $3,635 per ounce. Market activity remained low as traders acted cautiously ahead of the Fed meeting. On Tuesday, September 16, gold was trading at $3,693 per ounce. According to analysts, the overall fundamental bias stays on the side of gold buyers. On Monday, Septem…
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The euro has posted sharp gains on Thursday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1867, up 0.90% on the day. The euro has not been at these levels since September 2021. German investor confidence crushes estimateGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment rose modestly in September to 37.3, up from 34.7 in August. This blew past the market estimate of 26.3 and the euro has responded with sharp gains. The survey of financial experts indicates cautious optimism, with the outlook for the export sector showing promise after a prolonged decline. At the same time, the index monitoring the current economic situation worsened, declining to -76.4 from 68.6, below the market es…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, but this time the rally was much stronger. None of Tuesday's published reports played any significant role for traders. European data allowed room for the euro to rise, but, for example, industrial production came in weaker than forecast. US reports didn't interest the market at all: retail sales and industrial production came in above expectations, yet the dollar still fell all day. As we've said many times, the dollar has plenty of global fundamental reasons to fall, even in the absence of local macroeconomic catalysts. We've repeatedly noted that even technical analysis on…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also continued to move north, though not as strongly as EUR/USD. The uptrend on the hourly timeframe remains, as evidenced by the trendline, while UK statistics released yesterday morning had no real effect on the pound's growth. All three UK reports published were dull and neutral, almost exactly matching economist forecasts. They simply couldn't provoke a rally throughout the day. The same applies to US data (industrial production, retail sales), which also beat forecasts and should have supported the dollar, not the pound. However, the US currency still has plenty of fundamental reasons for decline, an…
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CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has jumped from 20 to 50 in just four days, suggesting a swift shift out of bearish territory for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Back In Neutral Region In a new post on X, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno has talked about the latest trend in the analytics firm’s Bull Score Index. This indicator basically tells us about which phase of the market Bitcoin is in right now. The index combines the data of several key on-chain metrics to determine its value. Some of these indicators include the Market Value to Realized Cap (MVRV) Ratio, keeping track of average investor profitability on the network, and the Stablecoin Liq…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the market may start moving downward toward 1.1828 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.1881 — the resistance line (thick blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the price may continue moving upward towa…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “USD/JPY Technical: Mild JPY strength detected ahead of US CPI”, published on 11 September 2025. In the last four weeks, the US dollar has weakened significantly against several major currencies, such as the euro, which rallied to a 4-year peak against the greenback on Tuesday, 16 September, but the bearish momentum of the US dollar has lagged against the Japanese yen (see Fig. 1). …
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3631 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pound's downward potential. In the first half of the day, inflation data was released in the UK. The market showed no reaction. The pound sterling continued to trade within a narrow sideways channel. It will likely remain there until the Fed's decision. In the second half of the day, the FOMC decision on the key interest rate, FOMC economic projections, and Jerome Powell's press conference are expected. Markets are frozen in anticipation. Investors and analysts around the world are preparing for the mome…
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Riding on the coattails of dollar weakness and safe-haven demand for much of 2025, USD/CHF currently trades at monthly lows of 0.78698, down -1.10% in yesterday’s session aloneDespite renewed deflationary pressures, as seen in Monday's PPI report, safe-haven flows concerning U.S. policy, especially regarding trade, continue to benefit CHF pricingWhile the SNB has been expected to return to its usual playbook of currency interventions to weaken the franc, recent market realisations suggest that new leadership is less interested in ‘interventionist’ policy Currently on pace for its best yearly performance in over two decades, 2025 has been an interesting year for dollar-…
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